TRADING ACTIVE Options were closed when stops were hit. Stock is kept as better entry. More resistant to market whipsaw (no time issue like options). Chart Details Banana/Shoe pattern is repeating. We are at the end of current pattern. Expecting gap fills up to possibly $17+ Bullish EMA Cross (at $13.70) and Bullish 10WeekMA cross ($14.60). Over both we...
TRADING ACTIVE IN SPXS Chart Details SPXS confirmed Buy Signal on Daily yesterday. Gaps to fill up to $17.50. Bullish EMA cross will occur around $13.94. 10WeekMA cross around $14.60. Anything above $14.60 should confirm Bullish trend up to gap fills. Price may stop at each gap fill – watch to exit if reversal occurs. RSI turned Bullish. Trend Dots confirm...
I AM NOT IN THIS TRADE. I am using SPXS instead of shorting/buying puts on SPY. I will update SPXS chart momentarily. Chart Details SPY confirmed Sell Signal on Daily yesterday. RSI trendline broken confirms downtrend short-term. Filter dots also verify Bearish trend has started. We need to watch for continuation. We should see reversion to 10WeekMA around...
Weekly view on VIXY/TVIX confirms the trend should be flipping to Bullish by next week. Weekly RSI trend has just broken to the upside. Recently broke out of the shoe/banana pattern. VIXY has followed this pattern for years, so I feel this is strong. Everything is lining up to next week sometime we should see SPY go down and VIXY/TVIX go up. EXITS -At pink...
30Min view of SPX shows we stayed within the current wedge pattern for the most part. There was a small increase above the resistance line which moved the tip of the pattern back by 7 hours. (I don't think this is big deal) 10WeekMA is coming from below like a shark. IMO we have less than a week before SPY/SPX turns down. News - Steve Bannon was on CNBC this...
Using the 10WeekMA for SPY we can see selloff's occur the last 3 times when price was within $8.60 or less of the moving average (red zigzag). We are currently less than $8.60 from the moving average - but no selloff. If we use the normal moving average on 64bars, and ignore the double jump up, by 12/13 price is closer than last selloff. Last selloff price was...
Based on the Daily trend with AAPL, and the high correlation with SPY, I see us taking our trip down before year end. The moving average is too close to price with AAPL. The blue resistance line is multi-year (forming in 1998 see Outter Space Chart) and I don't see price going beyond blue resistance by more than $10. By next week the 10WeekMA will be around $263....
SPX / SPY - the final wedge within a wedge pattern has little room left to expand further IMO. Top white resistance line is multi-month resistance from Weekly view chart from 12/9 (see link below). RSI trend is already high in position and short. Bollinger Bands are tight. Going back in pattern, last time price angle like this with tight bands we have...
The fake breakdown in AAPL and SPY is getting old, but the moving average cross is becoming unavoidable. The blue resistance line in the AAPL chart is multi-year resistance (hard to breakout). 10WeekMA is pressing upwards toward this blue resistance line, leaving price no room. 10WeekMA is moving roughly $1 per day closer ($4.90 every 5 days). With current white...
SPX / SPY is overextended and on a weekly basis has been bullish over 12 weeks. This is abnormal with RSI on Weekly in the 80's. But we keep getting these breakdowns, which lack momentum, and form back into same pattern. Wedge which has resumed now ends on 12/12. My SPY Puts are for 12/27. I am going to consider getting some out into January if price falls by...
VIXY/TVIX showing a Buy Signal on the Daily yesterday. Yellow bull flag formation (kind of sloppy but its there). Price currently broke out bullishly. 10WeekMA is reaching out farther by the day to reach price. Rate is currently $1 per day closer to price (which is fast). If we cross 10WeekMA, price should continue higher. Based on current rate, 10WeekMA should...
MTUM is the ETF ticker which tracks momentum. The pink lines show a megaphone pattern, which is bearish when tilted up. education.howthemarketworks.com The inner white trendlines of the megaphone show price hitting the angled resistance. The angled resistance crosses the current white price trendline on 12/13. Going back in history with MTUM, inside the megaphone...
SPX and SPY both confirmed a hangman doji for end of week last week. :) This bearish doji normally signals a reversal in price trend. en.wikipedia.org(candlestick_pattern) I am seeing a bearish pattern ending last week, bearish pattern premarket today, and bearish patterns. Weekly view shows same view of white 30Min wedge, inside blue ascending wedge, inside...
SPX on the 30Min is showing we are consolidating in a wedge. An ascending wedge is a bearish pattern. If you ask me - having a wedge, in a wedge, in another wedge should be extremely bearish. LOL We are in a white wedge (could be ascending wedge based on support angle), inside a blue ascending wedge, which is inside the main multi-week white ascending wedge. The...
Jobs Report was released today showing an increase in jobs added. To me, people working 2-3 part-time jobs is not adding employment. Most people in this group need to work multiple jobs because of poor pay, causing inflated jobs numbers. While the CNBC anchors say "goldie locks" for stocks, the charts show 12+ weeks of bullish trend indicating prices are...
Weekly view of AAPL confirms downtrend is just beginning. RSI trend is about to be broken. Weekly RSI is overbought at 76+. Bullish trend is overextended. Weekly Bullish trend has been going since Sept.2nd week. 16 weeks bullish trend was longest recently (after December 2018 selloff). 12 Weeks is overextended. AAPL is hitting blue resistance line which has...
SPX is forming a Bear Flag on multiple time periods (easier views are 1Hr or less). I added a Aqua colored channel to the chart, as it appears this last support was not retested. For this reason with the Bear Flag combination, I see we continue down by Friday if not Monday next week. While the SPX is forming a Bear Flag, VIXY is forming a Bull Flag. This...
VIXY is forming a Bull Flag as SPX (or SPY) forms a Bear Flag. Price is reaching out to 10WeekMA just like SPX. The inverse relationship continues between these two, which confirms to me that the "hidden trend" is still in play. We are basically consolidating on the way down. Much like oxygen masks come out when a plane goes down to keep people calm, they are...