December 2022 = major short squeeze???Boring times in the crypto market so great opportunity to analyze deeper than usual. What I have found is that when BTCLONG crossed above RSI 50 level (monthly close March 2021), a long squeeze followed and it is still going on since April 2021. With monthly closure of November 2022 BTCSHORT will close above RSI 50 so I wonder whether there would follow a major short squeeze like, long squeeze in April 2021. I draw a Fib retracement and maximum pain for both sides show us a price level of around $ 31000. Maybe a Santa rally till this level is coming? What do you think?
Shortsqueeze
Short squeezes are happening!Discussing some potential short squeeze candidates.
Some of these names have already bolstered huge gains and looking to potentially squeeze higher if price action holds firm.
All of these names need to be monitored in the near term for opportunities.
Shorts get nervous when stocks are moving higher.
AI, SPWR, CHWY, WOOF
The Boulevard of Broken Dreams. Pump and Dump Part IIRecently we watched in the news the resurrection of the "Meme Stocks" frenzy and the "Roaring Kitty" username. Those who witnessed the first surge in stocks like NYSE:AMC , NYSE:GME , NYSE:BB , etc., remember those were basically a "Make me Rich quick" kind of event, they were known as "Meme Stocks" because it all started as memes by a group of traders in internet forums who allegedly went against the Wall St. Hedge Funds who were heavily invested in shorting these stocks, by buying all at the same time and triggering a strong short squeeze.
Well, this event was the hope for this group of traders who saw the opportunity to pocket huge profits in a short time frame, and it gave them the sense of power against Wall St. That time these stocks were heavily shortened, and they were prone to an aggressive short squeeze, not only from these member of the meme stock traders, but by professional traders.
At the end of the day this group of stocks spiked, the people took profits, they left the market, some richer, some poorer, and others as bag holders. All these stocks faded along the time and some even went bankrupt. This event was imprinted in the memory of those hoping that this could happen again, but most amateur traders don't take the time to actually learn to trade, they ran with the rumor again after a fuzzy post by the "Roaring Kitty" and they just grabbed whatever was being mentioned in the forums. This time however it was very different. Their behavior was predictable and the professional traders already had a plan in advance, to short the spike. The small buying power of the meme stock traders plus their inexperience in swimming with professional sharks just turned them into an easy morning lunch. The rumor, action and shorting cycle was very fast. In the chart we can see outstanding profits in the order of hundreds of percentual points. But if we take a look at the short sale volume, we notice that the spike was immediately extinguished.
The #VolumeCandles feature of Trading View is an excellent tool to visually pinpoint the development of this pump and dump event. In the chart I added some more stocks which were rumored in the forums, NYSE:GME , NYSE:AMC , NASDAQ:KOSS , NYSE:OKLO , NASDAQ:FFIE , NASDAQ:GWAV , $CRKN. The symbols used to display the short volume were:
FINRA:GME_SHORT_VOLUME
FINRA:AMC_SHORT_VOLUME
FINRA:KOSS_SHORT_VOLUME
FINRA:OKLO_SHORT_VOLUME
FINRA:FFIE_SHORT_VOLUME
FINRA:GWAV_SHORT_VOLUME
FINRA:CRKN_SHORT_VOLUME
All of them have the same pattern,
Rumor in the meme stock forums
Frenzy buying
Immediate huge short volume
The takeaway of this presentation is, never fall for what others "rumor" in forums, trade following your own system, your money and your profit/loses are just yours, so the responsibility to plan your trade.
Buying and selling shares in the stock market is very easy, trading is not, and they're definitely not the same. #LearnToEarn.
FFIE Short Squeeze Levels and Zones ChartedBeen watching and trading this thing since $0.09. Couldn't believe the structure and strength of the buying. 1 billion volume past 3 days. 97% shares Sold Short. now there's articles and vids popping up and our beloved apes from AMC GME looking for more nose candy.
Something I've noticed is that the past 3 days have rallied @ or near 12pm(Noon) EST as noted on the Chart. is it when the shorts go to lunch? < jokes but maybe.
But I think this thing is really in perfect storm territory
Im going to be looking for this noon bounce thats happend past 3 days.
looks like there's going to be some pressure from 3.11-5.48 with 13.96 in range of this run.
We want to see the same signals. Nice Vwap support, Selling met with stubborn buying at support levels, Local Top aggressive selling met with aggressive buying during with those nice long wicks to Vwap support. The 3 min chart has been great visually to see this stock work through price levels
#Bitcoin [ Inverted Head And Shoulders - Short Squeeze Combo ] BTCUSD has printed an allbeit slanted yet very nice inverted head and shoulders that has retested and played out perfectly so far. The measured move coincides with multiple high time frame short liquidation levels (Not marked on this chart) with the biggest level being a 6 MONTH high volume liquidation level at $74,045. This strong of a #shortsqueeze could easily amplify the measured move, which I have extended, using the 150%-161.8% fib levels. The extension also lines right up with where all short liquidation levels end on the Coinglass heat map.
AMC and GME Gamma Squeeze vs Short Squeeze durationYou are surely wondering how long this rally on GME and AMC could go!
Let's look at the 2021 short / gamma squeezes to find out!
GME rallied from Jan 13 to Jan 28 for 15 days and went up 24X at its peak! That was a gamma squeeze!
AMC, on the other hand, rallied from May 13 to June 2 for 20 days, during which it went up 6X at its peak. That was more of a short squeeze!
A gamma squeeze and a short squeeze are both market phenomena, but they operate in different ways and involve different types of trading strategies.
Short Squeeze:
In a short squeeze, traders who have sold a stock short (i.e., they've borrowed shares and sold them with the intention of buying them back later at a lower price) are forced to buy the stock back at higher prices to cover their positions. This buying pressure drives the stock price even higher, causing more short sellers to cover their positions, thus further increasing the price. It creates a feedback loop where rising prices force short sellers to buy, further increasing demand, and thus prices.
Short squeezes often occur when there's significant negative sentiment or speculation about a stock, and a sudden positive development causes the price to rise sharply, catching short sellers off guard.
Gamma Squeeze:
A gamma squeeze, on the other hand, involves options trading. It occurs when option sellers (who are often large institutional investors or market makers) have sold call options (contracts that give the holder the right to buy a stock at a certain price) and need to hedge their positions by buying the underlying stock. As the stock price rises, they need to buy more stock to maintain their hedge, which further fuels the price increase.
Gamma squeezes are typically triggered by a sharp rise in the underlying stock price, causing the delta (the rate of change of the option price with respect to the price of the underlying asset) of the call options to increase rapidly. This forces option sellers to buy more stock to adjust their hedges, leading to a feedback loop similar to a short squeeze but driven by options trading.
We could be entering a cycle here, let's see!
[WSB] How to trade the GameStop Short Squeeze!r/wallstreetbets recently picked up the GameStop Stock (GME). Why? Because we basically have free money sitting here.
GameStop struggled with keeping up with the growing digital gaming market and the price plummeted.
With a strong focus on E-commerce, a strong brand with over 55 million PowerUp members and a solid team (Source: r/wallstreetbets "GME FULL STORY),
we will most likely see further growth in the company in terms of revenue and stock price.
I made this chart to verify important levels and an in depth trading-plan to reduce the risk as much as possible.
Everything relevant is on the chart. The Cup & Handle Pattern is one of the easiest patterns to trade and extremly powerfull to extend
a strong uptrend - which is highlighted by the Ascending Parallel Channel.
Please make sure to place a Stop-Loss order and place your buy after the confirmation with a Breakout-Candle.
Let me know if there are any questions and feel free to discuss in the comment section.
cheers
4hr Cup & Handle breakoutWhat an absolute monster Cup & Handle on the 4hr. GME has been on quite the run lately. If this continues we could see another $3 to $7 gap up over the next week or so according to the Fib Ext. And being DFV is now active again, this may be the catalyst needed to spark the fuse on this weekly Bull Flag that has begun to finally breakout.
Apes Watch a Slow Motion Train Crash for Years to ComeI already am eating from the trash can all the time.
The name of this trash can is ideology.
The material force of ideology makes me not see what I am effectively eating.
This one is not going to be good for your mental health.
AMC just purchased a Gold Mining Company? truth really is stranger than fiction
Look at my LAZR Analysis before you let MMs Shake You Out!Get ready for an exciting week ahead with LAZR Luminar Technologies! We're seeing the upside earnings surprise being priced in, coupled with a massive falling wedge that's about to break out above $1.70 and then soar to $2.00-$2.20 on the second wedge.
LAZR Analysis:
Earnings may be the catalyst for this breakout, but that's not all. I've also identified a weekly diamond pattern, indicating a perfect storm for a rise. Watch out for any gap downs below $1.68 (we saw $1.51-$1.52 after hours) - these are just shakeouts orchestrated by market makers. Stay strong and don't let them fool you!
Short Ratio as of May 5th, 2024, is at 22 days to cover or more, with short interest vs float/outstanding at 25% or more. Dark pool off-exchange trading is over 50%. We're on the brink of something big, and I'm more convicted on this trade than anything else I hold!
Bolstering LAZR Bull Sentiment:
Remember, we're also keeping an eye on the VIX, which further supports our bullish stance on LAZR. As the VIX falls, the stage is set for heightened bullishness in stocks like LAZR. The VIX's decline indicates decreasing volatility and rising confidence in the market, both of which are favorable for LAZR's upward trajectory.
📉 LAZR, LuminarTechnologies, EarningsSurprise, FallingWedge, StockAnalysis, BullishTrend, ShortRatio, DiamondPattern, TechnicalAnalysis, TA
Short GETRA short at 0.2889 to 0.2595 with the necessary risk management will bring a 10.17%+ return
AMC 's CEO says no to bankruptcy and so it pumps LONGAMC on the 60 minute chart shows an early reversal out of a three week downtrend after
two months of a wide ranging price action that was sideways. The more or less takes
bankruptcy considerations off the table. In the meanwhile, the streaming services continue
to beat down movie theaters. No matter, AMC has new bullish momentum and the trading
volumes to support it. The PVT indicator shows the new trend. The TTM Squeeze indicator
triggering has relevance. The trend is your friend especially if you befriend it early. You never
know, the short squeeze Ape Nation has been hoping maybe just maybe could happen. I will
take a long position of shares here and insure them partially with a put option to cover a wide
stop loss of 15% given the expected volatility. For the shares, targeting 3.85 with 35%, 5.50
with 25% and the remaining 50% to run with a trailing stop loss.
THE BIG LEBOWSKIHere is a bullish play on a name you've probably never heard of unless you love bowling lol. I love bowling. Bowlero Inc is the next MOASS that could put GME/AMC to shame.
Quick stats:
Short Percentage of the Float: 90.4%
Short Interest Ratio/Days to Cover: 11.2
Average Trading Volume (3m): 1,270,749 (High liquidity)
Cost to Borrow: 17%
Chart Analysis and Forecast:
- love this setup, nice momentum that will generate a squeeze (actually just started today)
- Fractal re-accumulation pattern with nearly identical setup as the accumulation pattern that it initially broke out of a few months back
** Initial Target = 17.50 by early-mid April 2024
**** Goal Target = 19-21 by mid May 2024 (up to 50% near-term upside from current price)
Those targets are being conservative, if it breaks above 21 it will go APE.
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Bullish play (not financial advice):
Load the boat with shares, Apr 19 15.00 calls, and May 17.50 calls.
Join the squeeze, its just beginning.
DUOL looks to bounce from a fib retracement LONG.DUOL on the 30- minute chart shows a healthy pullback of about 5% from its ATH reached both
Feb 29th and a few days ago. so it is just under a double top. On March 19th, it rallied from
the pullback to put in the second ATH and then dropped 5%. The question here is whether,
CUOL can attract interest volume and so money inflow to allow a price rise (Wychoff''s therory
applied). The bottom wicking on the last two candles is significant and may suggest and
impending reversal. This was a great trade from the earnings. I will not mind at all if
it is setup and ready to go at Monday's morning bell. The predictive algo forecasts a
quick rise to 246 or about 7% upside. DUOL did run up hard before. Recently it may
have attracted some shorts who will sell quickly if a 6% jump occurs. Potentially,
a short squeeze could send DUOL higher than the forecast. Time will tell.
WORX - Position taken/ Watching for a short squeeze LONGWORX is shown here on a weekly chart. Basically it has been falling since COVID. Apparently,
a Chinese company manufacturing electric landscaping and yard maintenance tools. In the past
four days a big move up from 1.40ish to over 3. Looking to the left, it traded at 125 around the
time of COVID. The FINRA short indicator had a burst of activity and the relative volume is
20-40X. In the context of things, shorts could have been taking positions dating back as far as
four years and may now be buying to liquidate their positions and realize profits. Any rising
price action will stimulate more of the same synergized with new buyers stepping in to get
a piece of the action. I am now one of them. My targets of 6.8, 8.7 and 11.8 are drawn on
the chart from pivots in the past year. The 4H RSI on the dual time frame indicator shows
a rise over 50 while the weekly RSI line is chronically low and not yet changing. If the short
squeeze takes off, the targets will be met quickly. Hype in trading rooms and social media like
Reddit will add fuel to the price action in rising volume. Volumes over 100 million typically
cause more interest which helps sustain the volumes. Shorts buying to cover adds more to even
more volume.
TGL Fintech with a push discounted 96% from ATH LONGI am watching TGL for a short squeeze. A recent pivot high in the past year was about 37 and
the ATH of 168 was the winter and spring of late 2022 and early 2023. This is an app that
matches merchants and consumers with incentives to both to deal and make transactions.
I believe that it has been heavily shorted while in a persistent trend down. Relative strength
has been rising and the TTM triggering. A spike in relative volume was more than 50X. I have
taken a position and have an unrealized profit of 22% however, I expect more and will add to
the position given a dip from the high of 8 down to 6. For the time being the targets are 10.5
and 12, where I will take off 25% of the position at each level. IF TGL can squeeze and maintain
momentum over the weekend, next week could be a bigger move.
ZS got too short, LONG opportunityNASDAQ:ZS has been very "bearish" for almost month but we're still in a monthly uptrend. At the same time there are bearish exhaustion signs: weekly bearish upthrust has diminished, and value area has been overlapping for the last three days. This creates opportunity to capture possible short-squeeze.
It is a high risk trade given the context but upside can be huge. Exercise with caution.
You can see example of possible trade on the chart (conservative profit target)
Disclaimer
I don't give trading or investing advice, just sharing my thoughts.
One Last Pop To At Least 1170Buying this dip here to catch the final pop before ditribution begins.
Minimum target 1170
- earliest by end of day 2/16
- latest Mar 1 2024
*** Anything above this will be pure squeeze, but there is really no roof for how high this can go.. I'd say 1300-1500
Pretty wild.
NVAX- a medical penny stock Buy Weakness LONGNVAX on a 120 minute chart demonstrates a trend down in the past month after a period of
consolidation producing the POC line on the volume profile. The MACD shows some bullish
divergence. The volume profile has high volume nodes at 4.0 and 5.0 separated by a relative
volume void. NVAX fell quickly through that void. It can just as easily rise through it. See the
linked article on NVA from TipRanks. Options volume and pricing analysis is that bets are looking
at5.0 diligently. Fundamentally, NVAX has been range limited by its focus on COVID but it does
have other projects in its pipeline admittedly on various timelines with varying probabilities
of capitalizing on them depending on clinical trials FDA approvals and so on. On the imbedded
relative strength table as compared with SPY and peers in the pharmaceutical, biotechnology,
medical device and healthcare spaces NVAX compares favorably with MRNA its closest peer
but is weak compared with most of the others I have selected especially with LLY, which is
high-flying from its anti-obesity drug breakout. Device companies Stryker and Intuitive Surgical
are quite strong as well. United Healthcare is dominant in the insurance subsector and strong
overall.
One often effective strategy is to buy when an instrument is oversold and undervalued at a
discount. I will buy NVAX here no matter that I have insider connections with one of those
medical device companies and a few not on the list. Sentiment only goes
so far. I found the article compelling and so Novavax long I go. On a trading site left unsaid
my screenname is "Bottom Feeding Grinder". I have an appetite for NVAX found at the bottom
right now. This is a reversal/reversion to the mean long trade. It is not without risk. As a
penny stock with high volumes, low cost of entry and perhaps low floats, volatility is
underscored and exaggerated if a volume inflow gets underway That said, a short squeeze
is within the spectrum of possibilities. Enough said for now.