SPY is about to complete its blow-off topThe current atmosphere is of extreme fear. However VIX has not spiked as much as anticipated and a significant amount of assets are either completely oversold or seemingly getting ready to short squeeze (see GME, DJT, BTC). Looking at the chart, the top also seems incomplete. US elections are forthcoming, and global M2 supply is rising. I cannot currently see the bear case yet, but with the amount of shorts and puts that have accumulated in a panic-driven fashion during last week any upside move would lead to immediate and violent upside continuation.
Extreme R:R for those who dare.
Disclaimer: This idea is not intended as investment advice and should not be interpreted as an offer to sell or a recommendation to purchase any asset. Any decisions made based on the information presented in this idea are the sole responsibility of the individual. All investment decisions should be made independently, taking into account your financial situation and objectives.
Shortsqueeze
DBI Short Squeeze (Designer Brands Inc. 2-3 week trade)I’ve been scanning for large short interest positions on small and mid-cap stocks this weekend. A few have raised eyebrows (and I will list them below…FYI) but this DBI (Designer Brands Inc.) has really prompted me to lay some research out with the intent to go long on Monday pre-market.
It’s a wild/poor chart for sure with an overall downward trajectory since 2013. Year long spikes from 50% to 500% as the chart gets closer to zero and something I think can squeeze 25 to 100% from this current point at $5.81
The Share Statistics pasted in the bottom right are from Yahoo Finance as of Aug 30/2024. Current short % of float is 93%. Percentage of stock held is over 130%...sound familiar? Current short ratio is 8-9 days to cover and it has been bought up/covered for the last 3 days. I believe there is at least a week or two of upside to capture this squeeze.
Coupled with FOMC rate cuts Sept 18th being great for small caps and a general bullish sentiment on individual small-mid caps I am going to be very watchful of volume, which is on the up-tick. Short interest is reported twice a month so I will also be paying attention to what the new numbers are this week. If it is still over say, 50-75% I’ll open more long positions and hold till months end.
RSI on the daily is also in the pits and due for a mean reversion.
The other tickers I have flagged as possible short squeezes are PLCE (53% short on float), TRUP (33%), GRPN (27%), ALT (31%...although short interest here has already been declining since May). Make of those what you will. I may play some of them in the same way.
I wish you all the best and remember our trades are our own choices. Cheers.
NQ Futures Daily Bullflag to $22,000After a sudden drop from ATHs and a big rebound, a daily bullflag formed into month end setting September up for a very big run.
Upside PTs are: 20150, 20300, 20450, and 22000 if a break above the previous ATH to finish out the bullflag
SL would be invalidation of the flag
DJT might flyDJT (Trump Media)
Short Interest % Float 15,93 %
Off-Exchange Short Volume Ratio 57,52 %
With the upcoming political events and elections and this stock being a potential investment vehicle for allies, and also considering how far the stock has been sold down by now, this seems like an ideal candidate for a massive short squeeze.
Disclaimer: This idea is not intended as investment advice and should not be interpreted as an offer to sell or a recommendation to purchase any asset. Any decisions made based on the information presented in this idea are the sole responsibility of the individual. All investment decisions should be made independently, taking into account your financial situation and objectives.
Bull Flag On The DailyWell well well, this looks familiar. I wonder where I seen this before? Beautiful Bull Flag on GME daily. Once we fill the bottom of this wedge around the $20 mark, its go time back to $30. If we break $30, this could head straight back to $60... Once again, get your tickets, because this is a show you're not going to want to miss.
$ALZN dips 3 times the past day. Short interest up. Squeeze?NASDAQ:ALZN has been on an interesting exponential decrease from $5000 per share to $2.5 since June 14th, 2021. Wow!
In the past day it has dipped a few times. It might be ready for a rebound!
Number of people shorting has increased over the past day on the daily chart:
Could the price squeeze up?
BTC hovering around $60k: Short squeeze potential?Hey everyone!
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Welcome to this BTC quick analysis.
Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at around $60k, and we might see a potential short squeeze in the charts.
Here's what to consider:
Support level: There is some support around $62k, which could hold if additional selling pressure eases.
Market sentiment: You're right, recent price drops might make some retail traders hesitant to re-enter.
Exchange & MM activity: Exchanges and Market Makers (MMs) may benefit from increased trading activity. However, their specific actions are difficult to predict.
Important to remember:
Short squeezes are not guaranteed: While some factors suggest a potential squeeze, it's not a certainty.
Shorting with the crowd can be risky: Many traders might be hoping for a bounce at $60k, so shorting now could be a crowded trade.
IMO, soon this dump will be over and we will see a good upside move this week. Let's see how the price reacts from here.
What are your thoughts on BTC's current price action? What are you watching in the altcoin market? Share your analysis in the comments below!
BIG MOVE! SHORTS TRAPPED! What's next?Based on the chart analysis, the rising wedge pattern signals a likely bearish correction in the short term, with the price potentially testing the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level around $518.36 as a key support. However, the Elliott Wave projection suggests a bullish reversal toward point (C) if support holds, indicating a medium-term upward move. Traders should watch for confirmation of support at the 0.618 level and look for signs of reversal to enter long positions, targeting the previous high around $532.99 and beyond. We must stay above $524.71 to escape this wedge channel and maintain the potential for an upward breakout. Maintain vigilance for a break below the 0.618 retracement, which could signal further downside risk.
Leave a comment of what you think about where the market is heading!
AMC PullbackAMC coiling here near a key moving average after pullback from its initial move. Our premium indicator has giving 2 blue continuation signals + GME looks to be in a similar position.
Besides the risk of how volatile this name is, this play also has significant overnight risk. A realistic stop on the position is around 15-25% meaning the sizing has to be very low.
December 2022 = major short squeeze???Boring times in the crypto market so great opportunity to analyze deeper than usual. What I have found is that when BTCLONG crossed above RSI 50 level (monthly close March 2021), a long squeeze followed and it is still going on since April 2021. With monthly closure of November 2022 BTCSHORT will close above RSI 50 so I wonder whether there would follow a major short squeeze like, long squeeze in April 2021. I draw a Fib retracement and maximum pain for both sides show us a price level of around $ 31000. Maybe a Santa rally till this level is coming? What do you think?
Short squeezes are happening!Discussing some potential short squeeze candidates.
Some of these names have already bolstered huge gains and looking to potentially squeeze higher if price action holds firm.
All of these names need to be monitored in the near term for opportunities.
Shorts get nervous when stocks are moving higher.
AI, SPWR, CHWY, WOOF
The Boulevard of Broken Dreams. Pump and Dump Part IIRecently we watched in the news the resurrection of the "Meme Stocks" frenzy and the "Roaring Kitty" username. Those who witnessed the first surge in stocks like NYSE:AMC , NYSE:GME , NYSE:BB , etc., remember those were basically a "Make me Rich quick" kind of event, they were known as "Meme Stocks" because it all started as memes by a group of traders in internet forums who allegedly went against the Wall St. Hedge Funds who were heavily invested in shorting these stocks, by buying all at the same time and triggering a strong short squeeze.
Well, this event was the hope for this group of traders who saw the opportunity to pocket huge profits in a short time frame, and it gave them the sense of power against Wall St. That time these stocks were heavily shortened, and they were prone to an aggressive short squeeze, not only from these member of the meme stock traders, but by professional traders.
At the end of the day this group of stocks spiked, the people took profits, they left the market, some richer, some poorer, and others as bag holders. All these stocks faded along the time and some even went bankrupt. This event was imprinted in the memory of those hoping that this could happen again, but most amateur traders don't take the time to actually learn to trade, they ran with the rumor again after a fuzzy post by the "Roaring Kitty" and they just grabbed whatever was being mentioned in the forums. This time however it was very different. Their behavior was predictable and the professional traders already had a plan in advance, to short the spike. The small buying power of the meme stock traders plus their inexperience in swimming with professional sharks just turned them into an easy morning lunch. The rumor, action and shorting cycle was very fast. In the chart we can see outstanding profits in the order of hundreds of percentual points. But if we take a look at the short sale volume, we notice that the spike was immediately extinguished.
The #VolumeCandles feature of Trading View is an excellent tool to visually pinpoint the development of this pump and dump event. In the chart I added some more stocks which were rumored in the forums, NYSE:GME , NYSE:AMC , NASDAQ:KOSS , NYSE:OKLO , NASDAQ:FFIE , NASDAQ:GWAV , $CRKN. The symbols used to display the short volume were:
FINRA:GME_SHORT_VOLUME
FINRA:AMC_SHORT_VOLUME
FINRA:KOSS_SHORT_VOLUME
FINRA:OKLO_SHORT_VOLUME
FINRA:FFIE_SHORT_VOLUME
FINRA:GWAV_SHORT_VOLUME
FINRA:CRKN_SHORT_VOLUME
All of them have the same pattern,
Rumor in the meme stock forums
Frenzy buying
Immediate huge short volume
The takeaway of this presentation is, never fall for what others "rumor" in forums, trade following your own system, your money and your profit/loses are just yours, so the responsibility to plan your trade.
Buying and selling shares in the stock market is very easy, trading is not, and they're definitely not the same. #LearnToEarn.
FFIE Short Squeeze Levels and Zones ChartedBeen watching and trading this thing since $0.09. Couldn't believe the structure and strength of the buying. 1 billion volume past 3 days. 97% shares Sold Short. now there's articles and vids popping up and our beloved apes from AMC GME looking for more nose candy.
Something I've noticed is that the past 3 days have rallied @ or near 12pm(Noon) EST as noted on the Chart. is it when the shorts go to lunch? < jokes but maybe.
But I think this thing is really in perfect storm territory
Im going to be looking for this noon bounce thats happend past 3 days.
looks like there's going to be some pressure from 3.11-5.48 with 13.96 in range of this run.
We want to see the same signals. Nice Vwap support, Selling met with stubborn buying at support levels, Local Top aggressive selling met with aggressive buying during with those nice long wicks to Vwap support. The 3 min chart has been great visually to see this stock work through price levels
#Bitcoin [ Inverted Head And Shoulders - Short Squeeze Combo ] BTCUSD has printed an allbeit slanted yet very nice inverted head and shoulders that has retested and played out perfectly so far. The measured move coincides with multiple high time frame short liquidation levels (Not marked on this chart) with the biggest level being a 6 MONTH high volume liquidation level at $74,045. This strong of a #shortsqueeze could easily amplify the measured move, which I have extended, using the 150%-161.8% fib levels. The extension also lines right up with where all short liquidation levels end on the Coinglass heat map.
AMC and GME Gamma Squeeze vs Short Squeeze durationYou are surely wondering how long this rally on GME and AMC could go!
Let's look at the 2021 short / gamma squeezes to find out!
GME rallied from Jan 13 to Jan 28 for 15 days and went up 24X at its peak! That was a gamma squeeze!
AMC, on the other hand, rallied from May 13 to June 2 for 20 days, during which it went up 6X at its peak. That was more of a short squeeze!
A gamma squeeze and a short squeeze are both market phenomena, but they operate in different ways and involve different types of trading strategies.
Short Squeeze:
In a short squeeze, traders who have sold a stock short (i.e., they've borrowed shares and sold them with the intention of buying them back later at a lower price) are forced to buy the stock back at higher prices to cover their positions. This buying pressure drives the stock price even higher, causing more short sellers to cover their positions, thus further increasing the price. It creates a feedback loop where rising prices force short sellers to buy, further increasing demand, and thus prices.
Short squeezes often occur when there's significant negative sentiment or speculation about a stock, and a sudden positive development causes the price to rise sharply, catching short sellers off guard.
Gamma Squeeze:
A gamma squeeze, on the other hand, involves options trading. It occurs when option sellers (who are often large institutional investors or market makers) have sold call options (contracts that give the holder the right to buy a stock at a certain price) and need to hedge their positions by buying the underlying stock. As the stock price rises, they need to buy more stock to maintain their hedge, which further fuels the price increase.
Gamma squeezes are typically triggered by a sharp rise in the underlying stock price, causing the delta (the rate of change of the option price with respect to the price of the underlying asset) of the call options to increase rapidly. This forces option sellers to buy more stock to adjust their hedges, leading to a feedback loop similar to a short squeeze but driven by options trading.
We could be entering a cycle here, let's see!