Trump's latest tariff announcement weakens the dollar🔔🔔🔔 USD/CHF news:
➡️ US President Donald Trump on Sunday announced a 100% tax on films produced outside the country. A move to reimpose tariffs by President D. Trump. This move, once again raised concerns about the Trump administration's tariff policy. At the same time, the uncertain context of potential trade agreements between the United States and its trading partners has not been completed, causing the USD bulls to decrease. The US dollar fell again amid trade uncertainty and repositioning before the Fed.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The trade agreements are still uncertain and it is positive only at the level of cooling down between the parties involved, causing the USD to decrease.
➡️ Analysis based on important support resistance and Fibonacci levels combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell USD/CHF 0.8256 - 0.8270
❌SL: 0.8296 | ✅TP: 0.8200
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Shortterm
Stay within the trend line and wait for US NFP news🔔🔔🔔 EUR/USD news:
➡️ EUR/USD is climbing above the 1.1300 level during Friday’s European session, rebounding from a three-day losing streak that had pushed the pair to its lowest level in over two weeks. The recovery is being driven by profit-taking on the US dollar as traders adjust their positions ahead of the upcoming US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
Personal opinion:
➡️ EUR/USD will remain in a trending position after a significant increase today and await the results of the US NFP data
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell EUR/USD 1.1345 - 1.1355
❌SL: 1.1390 | ✅TP: 1.1300
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Positive tariff news favors lower gold prices - wait for FOMC🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold prices ended the week down around 2.50% as improved risk appetite - driven by easing trade tensions and a strong US jobs report - prompted investors to book profits ahead of the weekend.
➡️ Over the weekend, China's Ministry of Commerce said the US was open to trade and tariff talks, reaffirming that Beijing's door to dialogue remains open.
➡️ Bullion prices continued to fall after April's non-farm payrolls unexpectedly rose, beating expectations, while the unemployment rate remained unchanged from March. XAU/USD fell to an intraday low of $3,222 as traders reduced expectations for four rate cuts from just three now.
Personal opinion:
➡️ There is still no strong enough momentum for gold to continue rising and must wait for the upcoming FMOC. Therefore, gold will maintain a short-term downtrend in the beginning of next week
➡️ Note: any information about the US-China trade war is given top priority
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3293 - 3296
❌SL: 3190 | ✅TP: 3200 - 3205 - 3210
👉Sell Gold 3255 - 3258 (Scalping)
❌SL: 3263 | ✅TP: 3251 - 3246 - 3240
FM wishes you a successful trading week 💰💰💰
move below 3273-3270 zone and wait for reaction from US NF news🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold prices are holding modest gains heading into the European session, though bullish conviction remains lacking, and the metal continues to trade below the key $3,265–$3,2703 support-turned-resistance zone. Meanwhile, the US dollar has come under some selling pressure, snapping a three-day winning streak after hitting a three-week high.
➡️ A mix of factors is discouraging traders from making aggressive bullish bets, thereby capping further upside in the precious metal. Investors remain hopeful for easing trade tensions between the United States and China—the world’s two largest economies. This optimism supports a broader risk-on sentiment, which in turn undermines demand for safe-haven assets like gold.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The 3265–3273 zone is a strong resistance zone for gold. A break above this zone would mean the end of the short-term downtrend and vice versa. Therefore, buyers and sellers will be aggressive to secure this zone. Today's US NF news will be a strong driving force for gold prices before the tariff information appears and covers the market.
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels and trend lines combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3202- 3205
❌SL: 3198 | ✅TP: 3210 - 3215 – 3220
👉Sell Gold 3270 - 3272
❌SL: 3276 | ✅TP: 3266 - 3261 – 3255
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Short-term downtrend has formed 🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ The US dollar continues to rebound following recent remarks from President Donald Trump, who stated that he has "potential" trade agreements with India, South Korea, and Japan, and expressed high confidence in reaching a deal with China.
➡️ Meanwhile, gold prices have been declining for the third consecutive day as of early Thursday, nearing a two-week low. Trade-related headlines have once again overshadowed US economic data, significantly impacting the traditional safe-haven appeal of gold.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Negative US fundamentals cannot help gold rise after positive signals from the trade war are still the decisive factor. Gold has broken the 3265 zone and turned into a short-term downtrend.
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support and Fibonacci levels combined with RSI to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3191 - 3194
❌SL: 3186 | ✅TP: 3199 - 3205 – 3210
👉Sell Gold 3262 - 3265
❌SL: 3270 | ✅TP: 3257 - 3251 – 3245
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
bearish reversal sign after entering overbought zone🔔🔔🔔 GBP/USD news:
➡️ The British Pound edged lower below 1.3400 against the U.S. Dollar during Tuesday’s European session, retreating from a fresh three-year high of 1.3445 reached earlier in the day. The decline came as traders grew increasingly confident that the Bank of England (BoE) will cut interest rates at its May policy meeting. This dovish shift is largely driven by weakening UK inflation expectations and rising concerns over global economic stress.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The USD is showing good signs of recovery during the day, plus not very positive news from GBP. So GBP/USD will maintain its downward momentum in the coming time
➡️ GBP/USD is showing signs of a recovery after reaching the overbought level
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels combined with EMA and trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉sell GBP/USD 1.3410 - 1.3400
❌SL: 1.3460 | ✅TP: 1.3345 - 1.3270
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Gold has little momentum to continue rising - continues to fall 🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold prices reverse course during Monday’s U.S. trading session, recovering strongly from an intraday low of $3,268.03 to hover around $3,330. In the absence of major macroeconomic data, investors remained focused on trade developments. Mixed headlines regarding U.S.-China trade negotiations stirred some concerns after a quiet start to the day, with cautious optimism leading earlier sessions in Asia and Europe, thereby putting pressure on demand for the U.S. Dollar.
➡️ However, gold struggled to maintain its overnight rebound and faced renewed selling pressure during Tuesday's Asian session. Signs of easing U.S.-China trade worries and optimism about potential trade deals from the U.S. continued to support a risk-on sentiment, weighing on the appeal of the safe-haven metal.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Positive information about tariff negotiations is appearing more and more, and the parties are also easing trade tensions. So the gold price decrease is still maintained or at least difficult to increase further, unless there is a strong enough announcement to push the gold price up
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with trend lines to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell Gold 3357 - 3360
❌SL: 3365 | ✅TP: 3352 - 3346 – 3340
👉Buy Gold 3270 - 3273
❌SL: 3265 | ✅TP: 3278 - 3283 – 3289
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Trade talks improve and confidence returns🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold prices declined as improved risk sentiment weakened demand for safe-haven assets. Optimistic U.S. macroeconomic data released on Thursday supported the USD, limiting gains for the precious metal.
➡️ On Friday, the U.S. dollar showed signs of recovery as market sentiment remained upbeat due to positive developments in trade negotiations. According to Reuters, the Trump administration appeared to be making progress in preliminary trade talks with Asian allies South Korea and Japan.
Personal opinion:
➡️ The sellers are gaining the upper hand thanks to optimistic news, and the buyers are resting due to little news affecting the upward momentum of gold prices.
The analysis is based on resistance - support levels and Pivot points combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy.
Personal plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Buy Gold 3281 - 3284
❌SL: 3277 | ✅TP: 3289 - 3294 – 3300
👉Sell Gold 3369 - 3372
❌SL: 3377 | ✅TP: 3365 - 3360 – 3355
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Sellers continue to dominate the market today.🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ The US dollar (USD) continues to attract buying interest driven by short-covering and easing US-China trade tensions, maintaining downward pressure on gold prices denominated in USD, even as US Treasury yields and risk sentiment decline once again.
➡️ With trade tensions between the US and China subsiding, market focus is shifting back to US fundamentals and the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook, which could potentially support gold prices in the coming days.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Gold continues to maintain a downtrend today, following positive trade negotiations between the US and related countries.
➡️ However, it is necessary to closely monitor the US-China trade negotiations. This is still the main focus of the market
➡️ Analysis based on resistance - support levels combined with Fibonacci and EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Plan:
🔆Price Zone Setup:
👉Sell Gold 3367 - 3370
❌SL: 3375 | ✅TP: 3362 - 3356 – 3350
👉Buy Gold 3244 - 3247
❌SL: 3240 | ✅TP: 3252 - 3258 – 3265
FM wishes you a successful trading day 💰💰💰
Positive trade talks could send gold prices lower next week🔔🔔🔔 Gold news:
➡️ Gold reversed its Thursday recovery and slipped to around $3,300 per ounce by the weekend as market sentiment continued to improve, driven by optimism over positive developments in the U.S.-China trade dispute. U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated that the United States and South Korea could reach a "mutual understanding" on trade as early as next week, according to Bloomberg. The growing number of headlines suggesting potential trade agreements is adding downward pressure on gold prices.
Personal opinion:
➡️ Positive trade agreements are emerging, and the market is gradually pricing in positive news, causing gold to continue to decline early next week
➡️ Note: The trade war remains the focus and any negative news could affect gold prices and cause the upward trend to resume.
➡️ Analysis based on important resistance - support levels and Fibonacci combined with EMA to come up with a suitable strategy
Resistance zone: 3370 - 3433 - 3500
Support zone: 3270 - 3253 - 3145
FM wishes you a successful trading week💰💰💰
ETC/USDT 4h chart Hello everyone, let's look at the 4h graph etc to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price came out of the top of the lasting downward trend. Going further, let's check the places of potential target for the price:
T1 = $ 17.44
T2 = $ 18.75
Т3 = 20.73 $
T4 = 22.48 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = $ 16.25
SL2 = $ 15.05
SL3 = $ 13.74
SL4 = $ 12.66
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
As we entered the upper part of the range again, which apparently affected the slow price of the price.
LINK/USDT 8H - targets and stoplossHello everyone, let's look at the 8h chart LINK to USDT, in this situation we can see how the price has come out on top from the local downtrend line and how it is currently moving in a local sideways trend.
Let's start by defining the targets for the near future that the price has to face:
T1 = 12.65 USD
T2 = 13.13 USD
Т3 = 13.87 USD
Т4 = 14.40 USD
Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall:
SL1 = 11.91 USD
SL2 = 11.05 USD
SL3 = 10.36 USD
SL4 = 9.66 USD
The MACD indicator shows an attempt to return to the uptrend, but here we can see a struggle that gives a sideways trend on the chart.
Will BTC emerge from the resistance zone on top?BTC bounced off an important support zone at $74,154 - $77,050 and we are currently seeing a very strong upward movement at the 10% level. It is also clear that the price drop created a higher low and the upward impulse gave a higher high, which is positive in the short term for continued growth.
However, you need to be careful here because the BTC price has entered a strong resistance zone from $81,900 to $83,900, only breaking out of this zone on top will open the way towards $89,000.
It is worth paying attention to the RSI indicator, which confirms the dynamic movement, but considering the 4H interval, there is still room for the price to overcome the zone on top.
Short-Term Upside Potential in Palm OilPalm Oil (FCPO1!) is expected to strengthen in the short term as part of wave b of wave (ii), with a potential test of the 4,525–4,771. However, caution is advised for a possible reversal toward the 4,235–3,973 range to complete wave c of (ii), as indicated by the black labels.
NZDUSD - H4, H1 Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasTechnical analysis is on the chart!
No description needed!
OANDA:NZDUSD
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USOIL To Retest $70.5I'm watching TVC:USOIL for a strong push towards at least the $70.5 level, though this area presents significant resistance.
A confirmed break of the bearish trend could fuel strong buying momentum, but patience is key.
Ideally, I’d like to see a solid rejection off the $68.5 level as confirmation before a move higher.
If we get a decisive breakout above $70.5 with sustained bullish momentum, my next target would be the major resistance around $75.
GOLD(XAUUSD) -Weekly Forecast,Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 OANDA:XAUUSD Daily Timeframe:
As forecasted by 4CastMachine AI last week, gold started its decline when it hit the red channel line.
This decline will continue, but the support area of 2955 could trigger a rebound.
At the support area of 2955, the up trend line will also prevent further declines.
If this area is broken, the price will decline to the support area of 2789.95.
This area, which was previously a major resistance, will become a major support, creating a good buying opportunity.
So, given the long-term uptrend, we can use this area as a long-term BUY ZONE.
💡 TVC:GOLD H4 Timeframe:
The price is in a Corrective wave.
Given the break of the ascending trend line in the RSI, the corrective wave is expected to continue to a depth of 2955.
💡 H1 Timeframe:
A Head and Shoulder Reversal Pattern has formed and the neckline has also been broken. Price is touching the neckline again. It is very likely that the downward wave will start from this area.
3027.83 support is broken now. It will act as a Resistance now!
Forecast:
Correction wave toward the Sell Zone
Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs
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MSTR - MicroStrategy : Long Strategy
This stock Microstrategy Inc is showing some good recovery price action here on the 1Hr chart. It is a triple bottom and this is strong market structure, typical of a reversal sequence
The neckline is about 314 which will soon be taken. The chart has a very popular indicator FBB, Fibonacci Bollinger Bands. The middle line is derived from volume moving averages.
It is also bullish on the daily and weekly.
Fundamentals are good, I did hear they burnt through stacks of cash but this was for inventories. Future is bright for this techy and its these companies, Nvidia, Apple, Google etc that lead the markets bullish out of corrections.
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SWING IDEA - SAILSAIL Stock Technical Analysis
Steel Authority of India Limited ( NSE:SAIL ) has been consolidating around the 95 resistance level for over a year. After multiple attempts, the stock finally broke out above this level in January 2024, turning it into a strong support zone.
Following the breakout, SAIL surged to a peak of 175, marking an 85% gain. However, the stock then saw a sharp retracement, correcting by nearly 47% and revisiting the rising trendline support around the 100-105 range. This level, which previously acted as resistance, has now become a critical demand zone.
Currently, SAIL is showing signs of renewed bullish momentum, bouncing off its trendline support and forming a potential reversal. The weekly MACD crossover, observed in the chart, further reinforces a trend reversal signal. Additionally, a short-term upside target of 12% is indicated, while a long-term potential target of 76% upside is visible in the chart, aligning with the previous swing high.
The chart also highlights three take-profit targets:
Target 1: The first profit-taking zone, offering an initial opportunity to secure gains.
Target 2: A mid-level profit-taking zone, aligning with previous consolidation areas.
Target 3: The final take-profit level around 175, marking the prior high and a potential full exit point for long-term investors.
KEY OBSERVATIONS:
One-year resistance of 95 was decisively broken in January 2024
Stock surged 85% to a high of 175 before correcting 47%
100-105 level now acts as a strong rising trendline support
Weekly MACD crossover signals a bullish momentum shift
Three take-profit targets identified, with the final target at 175
Potential upside target of 76% from support levels, aligning with previous highs
RECOMMENDATION:
Based on this technical analysis, holding SAIL for the long term could be a strong strategy. The potential returns include:
12% upside in the short term
76% upside from current levels, targeting previous highs around 175
This analysis presents a compelling buying opportunity in SAIL, fueled by its breakout, support validation, and momentum reversal.
IMPORTANT NOTE:
Investors should be aware that there is a chance the stock may retest the 100-105 support level before resuming its upward trajectory. This potential pullback should be carefully monitored, and investment strategies should be adjusted accordingly.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial advice. Technical indicators and historical data are not guarantees of future performance. Investors should conduct thorough research, assess risk tolerance, and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
GOLD Daily, H4, H1 Forecasts, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasDaily Timeframe:
TVC:GOLD has been rising rapidly recently but has almost stopped since February 11, when it hit its uptrend channel line.
With the RSI hitting resistance at 77 and showing signs of falling, there is a high probability that a corrective wave is about to begin.
Four-hour Timeframe:
A rising wedge pattern has formed in the price.
As long as the price does not break the resistance at 2955 and the red line of the rising wedge continues upwards, a downward wave is expected to begin.
A strong bearish divergence has also formed in the RSI.
One-hour Timeframe:
A head and shoulders pattern is forming.
If the price can break the neckline downward and the blue trend line of the rising wedge is also broken, the probability of a downward wave will be very high.