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The trendline on the btcusd weekly.The trendline had its importance, the price crashes into it and retraces, I hope only in the short term, otherwise I may have done the math wrong. There is. Nobody knows the future and technical analysis is the study of the past, therefore the probability that this ongoing movement is a short-term correction is high, for the simple context in which we find ourselves I made this reasoning, an all-time high and then a pullback, I think it's textbook. I also noticed an interesting date like March 29th, on that day there will be a very large number of options expiring, I don't know if it's related but given the amount of BTC in question, I think it's important to keep this in mind. The weekly candle that just closed the day before yesterday is a clear indecision candle drawn on a dynamic resistance like the trendline we see on the chart. So once the strength of the bears has run out, the bull could come back and perhaps even very violently until the intermediate correction, usually longer than 3/4 weeks, unless this is in progress, in which case the scenario would change slightly, but the underlying trend would remain clearly bullish.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by Melupira89
What is Dow Theory?The Dow Theory is a financial concept based on a set of ideas from Charles H. Dow‘s writings. Fundamentally, it states that a notable change between bull and bear trend in a stock market will occur when index confirm it. The trend that is recognized is considered valid when there is strong evidence supporting it. The theory states that if two indicators move in the same way, the primary trend that is identified is genuine. However, if the two indicators don’t align, then there is no clear trend. This approach mainly focuses on changes in prices and trading volumes. It uses visual representations and compares different indicators to identify and understand trends. Dow Theory: The Dow Theory originated from the analysis of market price movements and speculative viewpoints proposed by Charles H. Dow. It served as a fundamental building block for technical analysis, especially in a time when modern software-based technical analysis tools did not exist. Robert Rhea’s book “The Dow Theory” thoroughly explores the evolution and significance of the theory in speculative endeavours, closely examining the Wall Street Journal editorials written by Charles H. Dow and William Peter Hamilton in the 19th century. This theory represents one of the earliest efforts to comprehend the market by considering fundamental factors that provide insights into future trends. The main version of the theory primarily focuses on comparing the closing prices of two averages: the Dow Jones Rail (or Transportation) (DJT) and the Dow Jones Industrial (DJI). The premise was that if one average surpassed a specific level, the other average would eventually follow suit. Dow used an analogy to illustrate this concept, likening the market to the ocean. He explained that just as waves rise to a certain point on one side of the beach, waves on another part of the beach will eventually reach that same point. Similarly, in the market, different sectors are interconnected, and when one sector shows a particular trend, others tend to follow suit as they are part of a larger whole. The Paradigms of Dow Theory: To comprehend the theory, it is essential to grasp the various rules formulated by Dow. These principles, often referred to as the tenets of Dow theory, serve as guiding paradigms Three major market trends: The tenets of Dow Theory classify trends based on their duration into primary, secondary, and minor trends. Primary trends can be either upward (uptrend) or downward (downtrend) and can last for months to years. Secondary trends move in the opposite direction to the primary trend and typically last for weeks or a few months. Minor trends, on the other hand, are considered insignificant variations that occur over a shorter time span, ranging from a few hours to weeks, and are considered less significant than the primary and secondary trends. Primary trends have three distinct phases: Bear markets can be divided into three distinct phases: distribution, public participation, and panic. In the distribution phase, there is a gradual selling off of assets by investors. The public participation phase occurs when more individual investors start selling their holdings, leading to a broader decline in the market. The panic phase is characterized by widespread fear and selling pressure, often resulting in a sharp and rapid decline in prices. On the other hand, bull markets experience three phases: accumulation, public participation, and excess. During the accumulation phase, astute investors start buying assets at lower prices, anticipating an upward trend. The public participation phase occurs as more investors join the market and buy assets, contributing to the market’s upward momentum. The excess phase represents a period of exuberance and speculative buying, often marked by overvaluation and unsustainable price increases. Stock market discount everything: Market indexes are highly responsive to various types of information. They can reflect the overall condition of an entity or the economy as a whole. For example, any significant economic events or problems in company management can impact stock prices and cause movements in the indexes, either upward or downward. Trend confirms with volume: When there is an uptrend, trading volume rises and decreases while a downtrend starts Index confirm each other: When multiple indices move in a consistent manner, following the same pattern, it indicates the presence of a trend. This alignment among indices provides a strong signal of market direction. However, when two indices move in opposite directions, it becomes challenging to determine a clear trend. In such cases, conflicting signals make it difficult to deduce a definitive market trend. Trends continue until solid factors imply the reversal: Traders should be careful of trend reversals, as they can often be mistaken for secondary trends. To avoid this confusion, Dow advises investors to exercise caution and verify trends with multiple sources before considering it a genuine reversal. How Does Dow Theory Work in Technical Analysis? The Dow Theory played a crucial role in the development of technical analysis in the stock market and served as its foundational principle. Which, approach to analysis highlights the importance of closely observing market data to identify trends, reversals, and optimal entry and exit points for maximizing profits. As the market is considered an indicator of future performance, the application of technical analysis based on the Dow Theory helps investors make profitable trading decisions by identifying established long-term, mid-term, or short-term trends. By using this approach, investors can gain insights into market dynamics and make informed decisions to enhance their trading outcomes. In conclusion: The Dow Theory has significantly influenced technical analysis in the stock market, serving as a cornerstone for its development and advancement. By analysing the careful examination of market data, this theory helps traders to identify trends, spot reversals, and determine optimal buy and sell points for maximizing profits. The market itself is considered a reliable indicator of future performance, and technical analysis aligned with the Dow Theory assists investors in making profitable trading decisions by detecting established long-term, mid-term, or short-term trends. By using this analytical framework, investors can gain valuable insights into market behaviour and make well-informed choices to improve their trading outcomes. The Dow Theory’s enduring impact continues to guide traders in their pursuit of success in the dynamic world of stock market investing. ___________________________ 💻📞☎️ always do your research. 💌📫📃 If you have any questions, you can write me in the comments below, and I will answer them. 📊📌❤️And please don't forget to support this idea with your likes and comment
NSE:NIFTYEducation
by khushaljain023
NZDCAD - Keep It Simple 📊Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders, On 4H: Left Chart NZDCAD has been overall bearish trading within the falling channel in blue. Currently, NZDCAD is approaching the lower bound of the channel so we will be looking for sell setups on lower timeframes. On 1H: Right Chart 📈 For the bulls to take over, we need a momentum candle close above the neckline highlighted in gray. 📉 Meanwhile, NZDCAD would be bearish short-term and can still trade lower. 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Richard Nasr
Long
by TheSignalyst
2
Bitcoin Mid-Term Analysis4H Timeframe: Bitcoin broke through the $70,000 area and pulled back, forming a lower low and a lower high. These are the first signs of a trend change in the medium term. Based on this analysis, the first target for this correction is the $63,000 area and the second target is the $61,000 area. Weekly Timeframe: Bitcoin is still in an uptrend in the weekly timeframe. Therefore, caution should be exercised when taking a short position. Long-Term Trend: The price trend in the long term is strongly bullish. Any price drop at this stage could be a good opportunity for traders to re-enter and could be just a correction. Historical Precedent: In previous Bitcoin cycles, there have been corrections before halvings. Therefore, it is not unexpected that this will happen in this cycle as well. Disclaimer: The analysis provided here is for informational purposes only. You are solely responsible for the consequences of any trades you make based on this information.
Short
by CryptoPuzzle
Is there any upside potential for the main 2023 leader? NVDA demonstrated astonishing move for market-type stock, gaining more than +230% since Jan 2023. Is there any upside left in the mid-term? My analysis of the price structure suggest there at least on possibility for that in the mid-term, although... ... on Daily time-scale until price stays below 479 and Aug highs , I cannot rule out one more, potentially sharp and scary, move down to important mid-term support zone: 371-307 as per green count on the chart. Under this scenario, the price needs to find support in this area and start building the bottom and the right side of the base/cup. Alternatively, if price manages to consolidate above Sep low and create pivot around recent 476 highs, I would be eager to consider going long with price breaking above 479 with volume support. Trading thesis: until price respects 479 short-term resistance area, I would lean towards the short side, with any consecutive lower-low being a shorting opportunity (orange circle on a chart above as a potential example) with stops above recent high. Although mid-term analysis shows potential for at least one more leg up, in the short term we are in no mans land, with both sides (long/short) having technical arguments to support itself. I would wait for the dust to settle and high quality, low risk set-up to emerge before taking any decisive stance.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by artemfedorov
3
BTC new ATH and CorrectionHello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a one hour time frame. As you can see, the price dynamically moved lower from the local upward trend line. Let's start by determining the support and as you can see, the price is in the support zone from $62,971 to $61,218, and may continue to stay around $58,999. Looking the other way, you can see resistance at the level of $64,493, then the second one at $66,360, and then a very strong resistance zone from $67,691 to $69,349, where the price described the new ATH. Looking at the RSI indicator, you can see a local downward trend line, with room for a larger correction, while on the STOCH indicator we are approaching the lower limit but a possible downward movement is still visible.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC/USDT 1HInterval Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC in the USDT pair, taking into account the one-hour interval. First, we will mark the local sideways trend channel with blue lines, but here inside the channel we can see a strong downward trend line. It is worth turning on the EMA Cross 10 and 30 indicator at this point, where you can see the place where the red ema cross 10 line crossed the green ema cross 30 line from above, which confirmed the local downward trend. Now we can move on to marking support areas in the event of a correction. And here, first of all, you can see the support zone from $51,128 to $50,614, which is located right at the lower border of the channel and in the place of the current price. However, if we fall below this zone, we could see a quick downward move towards the support level of $49,165. Looking the other way, we can determine resistance locations in a similar way using the Fib Retracement tool. First, resistance is visible at $52,095, and then we have a very strong resistance zone from $52,494 to $52,994, which is located at the upper border of the channel. If we look at the RSI indicator, we can see a downward trend from which the indicator is bouncing, while the STOCH indicator shows a movement near the lower limit, which brings the price to a lower level, but here it may result in a trend reversal.
by cryptodailyuk
JSW INFRA - SHORT TERM & LONG TERM SEEMS GOODCan enter at CMP 224 If falls again you need to average at 200 level Targets - 245,280+ Disclaimer - All information on this page is for educational purposes only, we are not SEBI Registered, Please consult a SEBI registered financial advisor for your financial matters before investing And taking any decision. We are not responsible for any profit/loss you made. Request your support and engagement by liking and commenting & follow to provide encouragement HAPPY TRADING 👍
NSE:JSWINFRALong
by Jagadheesh_JP
BTC/USDT 1HInterval Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to check the current situation on BTC in the USDT pair, taking into account the one-hour interval. First, we will use the yellow line to determine the local upward trend line above which the price is firmly holding. Now we can move on to marking the resistance areas, for this purpose we will deploy the Trend Based Fib Extension tool, thanks to which we can see how the price is approaching the significant resistance level of $52,596, when this level is overcome and the price tests it positively, it will be able to give upward impulse towards the strong resistance level at $55,258. Looking the other way, we can determine places of support in a similar way. First, we will mark support at $51,267, then the support zone from $50,410 to $49,982 is visible, and then we can see a decline to the strong support level of $48,684. As we can see, volume has a significant advantage on the buyer side. On the RSI indicator we are moving at the upper limit, while on the STOCH indicator we remain above the upper limit, which may translate into the need for a rebound, which may result in a price recovery.
by cryptodailyuk
BTC Short-Term 1HHello everyone, let's take a look at the BTC to USDT chart on a one hour time frame. As you can see, the price dynamically returned to the downward trend lines. After unfolding the Fib Retracment saitka, you can see that the price has returned to the strong support zone from $42,517 to $42,227. Looking the other way, you can see resistance at $42,940, and then a significant zone from $43,355 to $43,571. The RSI indicator still shows room for a downward move, similarly to the STOCH indicator, but it is approaching the lower limit, which could have resulted in a slowdown in the decline.
by cryptodailyuk
ETH Short-Term 1HIntervalHello everyone, let's look at the ETH to USDT chart on an hourly basis, as you can see we are staying on a local uptrend line. After unfolding the trend based fib extension saitka, you can see how the price remains above the resistance, and the next significant resistance is at $2,353. Looking the other way, we see support at $2,281, and then we have a support zone from $2,235 to $2,210. The RSI shows a sideways move, with room for movement in both directions, while the STOCH indicator indicates a decline with room for the price to go lower.
by cryptodailyuk
1
Short term correction on btcusd.Does the macd indicate weakness of the short-term correction, is the decline over? A rise now could also bring the price above 49k USD, but tomorrow's FED meeting will affect the direction of the price in the short term, so we have to wait to understand just how many cuts they will make on interest rates this year. Once this event has passed, I hypothesize a resumption of the upward trend in the price in the coming weeks, barring sensational events that could change the ongoing scenarios. This is not in question for now.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Melupira89
1
SasanSeifi 💁‍♂Bullish Short-Term OutlookHi. As you can see in the STG/USDT chart on the 2-hour timeframe, the price ranges between 0.50 and 0.52 cents. In the 2-hour timeframe, I expect that if the price confirms a breakout of 0.5260 cents, after ranging or a minor correction, it can again be accompanied by minor positive fluctuations in the short term up to the liquidity ranges of 0.54 cents and 0.56 cents. For the desired scenario, maintaining the price range of 0.50 / 0.51 cents is very important. R: R ⏩ 2.50 🔵Remember, always conduct your analysis and consider other factors before making any trading decisions. Good luck!"✌️ ❎ (DYOR)...⚠️⚜️ Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help! if you found my analysis helpful, I would appreciate it if you could show your support by liking and commenting. Thank you!🙌
Long
by SasanSeifi
BTC/USDT 1HInterval Chart ReviewHello everyone, I invite you to a quick review of BTC on an hourly basis. As you can see, the price dropped below the local upward trend line. After unfolding the trend based fib extension grid, you can see how the price is struggling under support, if it starts to go further down, the next one is at $41,473, and the next strong one is at $40,640. Looking the other way, there is a significant resistance zone from $42,425 to $42,767, followed by resistance at $43,318. On the RSI, despite the decline, there is room for a further price drop, while on the STOCH indicator we are again at the lower limit, which slows down the correction.
by cryptodailyuk
1
Key Notes for BitcoinIt's like crazy as we know the last few days of the market environment which is obviously not good for BTC. The way the market is looking right now however is pretty horrible. Together with the Grayscale's FUD which they keep selling BTC to the market somehow is killing this market slowly. Therefore, I give you these key notes as guidance for the next BTC movement : 1. There is consolidation range currently is forming between $44454 and $40270 with the middle level is located at $42362 2. Price is temporarily breaking down below the $40270 as the range low. As long as the price can't reclaim above this broken support there is risk for further downside movement. 3. There is the bull market support band on the weekly time frame which is becoming the main idea that has been driving the price over time since a long time ago. Currently the Bull market support band is now having an alignment with the .382 Fib level from the whole swing structure from $15466 to $48993. 4. Not it's all on bearish side as of now. In fact, the price is now trending at the extremely oversold level after 21% drop from the peak of prior impulse structure located at $48993. With current amount of the short sellers coming into the market, there is also possibility of the relief rally on the short term. The liquidity gap / fair value gap located at around $45000 is becoming the hottest spot as of now as it has an alignment with the golden ratio level. There are all some of the notes you need to consider just before you jump into any trade. In my opinion, opening a short position at current structure is not worth at all due to the fact that the price has been dropping for more than 21% from the peak. Entering short position at this rate is also not good because the room to move to the downside is way smaller than entering long position. Entering long (buy) position is way safer in term of the risk management idea because there is still huge room to gain to the upside. And also, there is still another pushing factor which is the fair value gap located at the upside which hasn't been closed. My personal position is at the long (buy) side as of now which I've been opening since the price was at $38700 and of course, I still have majority capital as back up to accumulate more (if necessary) if the price drops even more in the future. Based on my perspective and calculation, the long(buy) position is in a very good favor and I see the possibility of 'discount' in current price. But once again, I only share my thought here and this post is not the recommendation to enter any position as you know I'm not your financial advisor. So that it's important to understand that you must Do your own research before jump in any position. All risk is at yours
INDEX:BTCUSDLong
by julio24albert
BTC/USDT 1HInterval ChartHello everyone, I invite you to check the BTC situation on an hourly basis. First, we will use the blue lines to mark the local channel of the sideways trend, in which this time we will use the yellow line to define the downward trend. As you can see, the price remains at the lower border of the channel, and after unfolding the FIb Retracement grid, we can see how the price is struggling with the support zone from $40,689 to $40,278. However, if we see a break from the current channel and the price drops below the zone, it may result in a drop to the support level of $39,094. Looking the other way, we can similarly determine resistance when the price starts to rise, and here we see resistance at the level of $41,050, while further it is worth defining the resistance zone from $41,798 to $42,200, which has so far effectively kept the price from further increases. To confirm the local downward trend, we can turn on the EMA Cross 10 and 30 indicator, which shows how systematically the red ema cross 10 line remains below the green ema cross 30 line. However, on the RSI indicator and the STOCH indicator, we see a visible movement in the lower part of the range and we can see how small rebounds are used to bring the BTC price to a lower level.
by cryptodailyuk