BITCOIN ANALYSIS: SLOW BOMB!Hello traders!
After a month of upward accumulation with some struggles, Bitcoin price has increased strongly in the past 3 days, from April 2022 until now Bitcoin has just returned to the 42k price range. Such market excitement seems to be due to defiance combined with plans to push goods by the big players in the market to get rid of goods before re-dealing new cards before the halving occurs. There are a few reasons as follows:
- The price has increased continuously from the price range of 27k to now 42k, an increase of nearly 57% without any significant adjustment.
- The internal factors have not been shown much yet. When the FED is not really dovish, there will be no cheap money flow to pump too strongly into the market. We can see through the volume of the recent increase. That cannot be considered strong cash flow.
- The main news that affects the sudden increase in price is that the Bitcoin ETF has been approved, but until now it is still just a rumor and not a single application has been approved, at least until January 2024, the situation is There will be no sudden changes to this event.
Possible upcoming events:
- The most potential price that can increase is the 0.62 fibo area, around 48.5k.
- Within the next 2 weeks, the price could reach the 48.5k, even 50k area, which the big guys will surprise us with when a number of people don't think the price will reach that mark. This will cause all players who want to short to catch the peak to be destroyed.
- On the other hand, the remaining crowd begins to pay attention and FOMO following the rise of bitcoin price will be tragically destroyed when bitcoin price hits the 48.5k-50k area. When red, just a relatively large selling volume occurring in a short period of time will trigger sell and short orders simultaneously. Start the process of deep price adjustment before the Halving.
- Although I personally know it sounds like a conspiracy theory, I don't think it's that simple after Binance was fined and CZ resigned. This is most likely a bomb waiting to be detonated within the next two weeks, heavy enough to cause a simultaneous sell-off.
- My personal plan is still to wait for a short sale in the 48.5k-50k area.
Shorttrade
Long Term Short Trade Setup on DisneyAfter Elon's "Go F yourself" to woke blackmail con-artist and hypocritical arrogant prick Bob Iger, I really was just curious how Disney was actually doing from a purely technical perspective.
Disney's chart is looking shockingly bearish long-term. Shorter term (like over the next several weeks) it does look like we will hit $100+ before collapsing further, but once that price is hit, it looks like a Disney-like happy ending is NOT in store here unless something big changes fast. And so far Bob Iger and co. have proven to the public that they are actually hell-bent on destroying the company while attempting to make it look as though they have the best interest of the public in mind. This type of narrative, as you know, has been played on repeat ad-nauseam by lame stream legacy media since the Covid plandemic. To be frank, it's nothing more than pure gaslighting. But will it work? In some cases, yes. In other cases, maybe, In Disney's case, the charts are saying no. Actually, the charts are saying "HELL NO"!
For the sake of brevity, I will not go into everything I am seeing on this chart. I really only want to highlight some of the most important indicators which really make up less than 20% of the bearish indicators that I have spotted overall.
First of all, on the main chart I am posting you will see one red ascending trendline which started in 2009. If you have been following me for any length of time, you'll know that I have traced this same trendline on many of the chart (if not most) of our predominantly indicative macro-market leaders (i.e. - SPY, DJI, Nasdaq, DXY, FAANG stocks, energy, oil, regional banks, etc.). This trendline, IMO, is the predominant indication showing whether a stock remains a part of the secular bull market, which by the way, we have never exited since 2009, not even the COVID glitch in the matrix could take us there. Except until now. Enter Disney.
For the first time, not that I follow the rigged U.S. stock market that closely, a major company has dipped below that all important trendline. And it wasn't simply a dip of the toes in the water type of drop. No sir. It looks like Disney has preformed a canonball splash of a 600 pound sumo wrestler. It has absolutely decimated any magical hope of those fairy tale dreamers that may insanely still be holding for the storybook ending here and it looks as though it will continue to do so.
Could Disney be a leading indicator of what will happen to the rest of the companies who follow the same strategy as Disney? I think it may and so it is worth adding to your list of observation.
Now, zooming in to the shorter-term perspective, you will note that we have been moving up most-recently. Yes, the market can be irrational as I have observed and alluded to in my post numerous time before. But here we are. And actually, Disney is not looking bad for a short-term long trade to around the $100-$104 price target. But after that? I would want to short the sh** out of this thing. Longer term target down would be anywhere from $67-$60 somewhere around mid-2024.
May all of your SHORT dreams come true!
Stewdamus
Scalping XAU! 30/11 sideway adjustment DOWN⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is struggling to gain momentum in early European trading on Thursday. It is currently consolidating its recent strong gains, reaching its highest level since May 5th, which was achieved the previous day. Traders are showing hesitancy and are choosing to wait for the release of the key inflation data from the United States (US) before making any new bets on the direction of the market. The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index is scheduled to be released later during the North American session and may have an impact on the Federal Reserve's (Fed) future policy decisions. This, in turn, will influence the demand for the US Dollar (USD) and provide substantial motivation for the non-interest-bearing precious metal.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Currently, the price is sideways around the 2035-2045 area. To overcome the 2050 resistance area, several downward corrections are needed before there is enough force for the next price increase
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2041.5 - $2043.5 SL $2047 Scalping
TP1: $2037
TP2: $2034
TP3: $2029
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
AUD/USD: Reversal Sell Opportunity Confirmed!!!On November 29 and 30, AUD/USD touched a crucial pivot point at the price of 0.66411, indicating a potential change in direction, especially as it aligns with a level of miring Support and Resistance, suggesting a Major downtrend. The bearish reversal signal on the daily candle following the pivot point touch adds confidence to the potential downturn. The recent dovish stance conveyed by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) further adds pressure on AUD/USD.
Technical Analysis:
Pivot Point and Support/Resistance: The price hitting the pivot point at 0.66411 suggests a potential reversal, particularly at the miring Support and Resistance level.
Bearish Reversal Signal: The formation of a bearish reversal pattern after touching the pivot point indicates weakness in the bullish momentum.
Major Downtrend: The trendline illustrates that AUD/USD is currently experiencing a Major downtrend.
Fundamental Analysis:
Dovish RBA Stance: The dovish statement from the RBA can enhance the downward pressure on AUD/USD.
Trading Scenario:
Considering the above factors, traders may contemplate the following scenario:
Wait for Correction: Exercise patience until the price undergoes a correction from the 0.66411 level.
Sell Limit with Confirmation: Initiate a sell position after a correction, with confirmation of further downside. Confirmation could involve the formation of a bearish pattern.
Target Take Profit: Set a take profit target around 0.64660, an area indicating the potential for further decline.
Stop Loss: Safeguard the position by placing a stop loss above the nearest resistance level or above the high of the confirmation candle.
It's crucial to continuously monitor market conditions, stay informed about the latest news, and practice prudent risk management. Trading always involves risks, and the final decision remains the responsibility of the trader.
Scalping XAU! 28/11 Accumulate price range⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
There appears to be limited potential for any significant downward movement in the price of Gold, as it is increasingly recognized that the Federal Reserve (Fed) has concluded its efforts to tighten monetary policy. Additionally, the markets have already factored in the likelihood of multiple interest rate cuts in 2024. As a result, US bond yields and the value of the US dollar are expected to remain restrained. Furthermore, concerns regarding a global economic downturn and a generally weaker performance in European stock markets should provide some support for the safe-haven appeal of precious metals. Considering these factors, bearish traders should exercise caution ahead of the release of important inflation data from the US this week.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The price is still accumulating sideways before continuing to overcome the 2020 resistance area
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2016 - $2018 SL $2021
TP1: $2012
TP2: $2008
TP3: $2005
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
BTC retest to 27K, then a real BULL will hit the BEAR. Hi Traders,
I will keep it simple, this is not a reading course, just check the chart and understand.
Bearish signs
Weekly candles showing weakness after massive green candles, doji and little hammers appear at the top.
Stoch RSI is clearly representing us that there must be a decrease in price, but to what level?
That is why i use Ichimoku Cloud. Probably, we will staying between the red cloud, maybe reaching its bottom in the next 1-3 weeks, but then i assume it will keep increasing.
What about next year? well, ETF, BTC Halvening, XRP trial and so many more could appear.
Now who is holding BTC either a HODLer or a very great investor. Right now this is not a playground of people who don't understand the market as we saw in 2021 and before. When the price of BTC and everything start to increase, this again became a playground, and keep in mind that as always, there are more people who lose money here than who not, this is the nature of the market.
Share your ideas, and check my others.
NVDA in correction sideways.NASDAQ:NVDA has gone through a great rise and we are currently entering a flat correction that should break further downwards given its increase since mid-October so we could see prices from $395 to $300 to see its correction completed.
I am more inclined to see NVDA between $300-$350 in the coming weeks since the moving averages have not yet given a clear sign of a deep correction, but of a lateralization for its distribution process providing the opportunity for trades within the ranges previously established and for the moment we would be entering in shorts for day traders.
Continue to adjust and accumulate short-term! XAU⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) has recovered some of its losses as the US dollar (USD) continues to decline in the early Asian session on Friday. No economic data was released from the US on Thursday. Currently, the gold price is trading at around $1,992, with no change throughout the day.
Moving forward, gold traders will be closely monitoring the US S&P Global PMI data on Friday. It is expected that the Manufacturing PMI will decrease from 50 to 49.8, while the Services PMI is estimated to ease from 50.6 to 50.4. Traders will be paying attention to these figures in order to identify potential trading opportunities based on the gold price.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Today's PMI news is not expected to have much impact on Gold prices too much. Gold price is still in the process of adjusting and accumulating to enter the strong resistance zone of 2005-2010.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $1973 - $1975 SL $1968
TP1: $1985
TP2: $1997
TP3: $2008
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2008 - $2010 SL $2017
TP1: $2000
TP2: $1990
TP3: $1980
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Bank holiday! Slowly today XAU⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The recovery in the price of gold (XAU/USD) has lost its momentum after pulling back from $2,006 earlier in the Asian session on Thursday. The positive US consumer sentiment report has led to an increase in US Treasury yields and a stronger US Dollar, which has attracted some sellers of the yellow metal. Market activity remains subdued as the United States prepares for the Thanksgiving Day holiday on Thursday. Currently, the price of gold is trading around $1,990, showing a slight increase of 0.02% for the day.
At the same time, the US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the USD against a basket of six major currencies, is hovering around 103.88. The yields on US Treasury bonds are also rising, with the 10-year yields climbing by 4.40%. This upward movement in yields puts pressure on gold as investors see US Treasury yields as a more attractive investment compared to non-yielding metals.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Today is BANK holiday in the US market. There will not be much fluctuation today, the price is mostly sideways and in a cumulative correction
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $1980 - $1982 SL $1977 Scalping
TP1: $1985
TP2: $1988
TP3: $1991
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $1968 - $1970 SL $1960
TP1: $1980
TP2: $1988
TP3: $1995
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $1994 - $1997 SL $2001
TP1: $1988
TP2: $1975
TP3: $1968
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Scalping XAU! Slight adjustment after Unemployment Claims news⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The USD Index (DXY), which monitors the performance of the US dollar against a group of currencies, continues to rebound from its lowest point since August 31st, which was reached on Tuesday following the release of the hawkish Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes. In fact, policymakers reiterated their commitment to maintaining higher interest rates for an extended period and tightening further if efforts to control inflation prove insufficient. This, combined with the recent inability to sustain momentum above the significant $2,000 level, is discouraging bullish investors from initiating new positions in gold.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Unemployment Claims data shows good signs for the dollar. At the same time, Gold prices need to have a downward adjustment rhythm to create more liquidity. Price will decrease first and then continue to increase
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2003 - $2005 SL $2008 Scalping
TP1: $2000
TP2: $1996
TP3: $1993
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Slight adjust today, still in an uptrend⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The price of gold (XAU/USD) is attracting buyers and has surpassed the $2,000 mark in the early hours of Asian trading on Wednesday. This increase in demand for the precious metal is driven by the decline in US Treasury bond yields and the weakening of the US dollar (USD).
According to the minutes of the November Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, all participants agreed that policy decisions would continue to be based on the complete set of incoming information. They also deemed it appropriate to maintain the target interest rate within the range of 5.25% to 5.5%.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
After yesterday's strong price increase, surpassing the 2000 mark. Prices will tend to adjust slightly to gain liquidity before continuing to a new peak this year.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $1980 - $1982 SL $1975
TP1: $1990
TP2: $2000
TP3: $2010
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2015 - $2017 SL $2023
TP1: $2008
TP2: $2000
TP3: $1990
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
AAPL's Overbought Indicators Hint at Possible CorrectionCurrently, Apple Inc. (AAPL) shares are presenting intriguing signals for discerning investors. Two key technical indicators, Stochastic RSI and MACD, provide indications that AAPL may have reached a point of overbought conditions.
Stochastic RSI, serving as a measure of market saturation, highlights AAPL's overbought condition, suggesting that the price has likely reached a level prone to correction or decline. Furthermore, MACD shows negative divergence, indicating the potential weakening of the upward momentum in prices.
It is essential to direct attention to the Support and Resistance level (SNR) around 182.34. This level not only boasts a strong history as a previous resistance level but may also play a significant role as a support level.
However, it is crucial to bear in mind that trading always involves risk, and trading decisions should be based on comprehensive analysis and well-calculated risk assessments.
short idea $KLIC, United States, Nasdaq, Producer ManufacturingShort entry stop limit order at $45.2 with hard stop loss at $49.35
The industry is setting up for both longs and shorts with a few names setting up short on the weekly timeframe at spots where I like taking shorts. If this one works, I will be adding another couple of names that are setting up.
I will update with first profit target as the trade develops, if my stop limit at $45.2 get hit.
Happy trading fellow traders.
I am momentumftw, trader of international equities
Short Trade Idea: Wipro (WIT)The share price of Wipro (WIT) has declined by around 6.88% in the past month. This short trade idea focuses on selling the asset, based on the following strategy:
12-day exponential moving average (EMA) below 26-day EMA: This strategy seeks out assets where the 12-day EMA is below the 26-day EMA. This indicates a potential bearish trend and suggests that the price may continue to decline in the near term.
Significant support levels: The asset should also have significant support levels that can serve as profit targets. These support levels act as price levels where buying interest is expected to outweigh selling pressure, potentially causing the price to bounce back.
By selling the asset, traders can aim to profit from the expected downward movement in the share price. However, it's important to note that this strategy carries a somewhat high risk tolerance and is suitable for a short investment horizon.
Please note that this trade idea is based on the provided facts and does not take into account any additional information or analysis. Traders should conduct their own research and analysis before making any investment decisions.
Technical Outlook
Technical Analysis: Wipro Approaching Key Support at $4.5
Wipro's stock (WIT) is currently approaching a key support level, just 10 cents away from 4.5. The stock's price action is crucial at this level, as dropping below it could indicate further losses ahead. On the other hand, a failure to break below 4.5 could be viewed positively by market bulls, potentially leading to a retracement.
Yesterday, Wipro's stock formed a "Bearish Harami" chart pattern, signaling impending bearish sentiment. This, combined with the ongoing downtrend, suggests that the stock's downward movement is likely to continue.
In the past 5 days, Wipro has appreciated by 1.32%. The stock is currently trading with a market cap of $23.99 billion. Yesterday, there were 960,788 shares traded, which is below the average of 1.73 million shares.
Wipro's immediate support level is around 4.57, while its resistance level is at 4.62. These levels will be important to watch as the stock's price action unfolds.
In comparison to other themed assets, Texas Instruments closed yesterday with a 1.82% drop, Apple saw a rise to 179.23 from 176.65, and Microsoft was up 1.06%.
Overall, Wipro's stock is at a critical juncture, and its ability to hold above or break below the $4.5 support level will be key in determining its future direction.
JSW Steel : Rusting Begins?- JSW Steel looks ready for a short-term downturn phase
- Look how the PE ratio has shot up crazy from the last time we saw the same price ( Price is not justified)
- With the current selloff, The bulls are trapped at ATH making them long-term investors.
- We do have a trendline that may give support when the time comes. But until then, It's time to bleed?
What are your thoughts? Leave us a boost👍👍👍.
Disclaimer: Please note that we are not registered advisors and the views expressed here are solely personal opinions. We strongly recommend consulting with your financial advisors before making any investment decisions. We like everybody else, have the right to be wrong :)
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS VIEW OF BITCOIN 6/11: WAITING FOR THE FALL!Hello traders!
In the past 2 weeks, Bitcoin price tried to test the 36000 price range and accumulated in the 33000 to 36000 range until now. Last weekend we also witnessed the action of whales transferring a large amount of Bitcoin to the exchange, which signals that there will be large price fluctuations in the coming weeks, most likely a profit-taking action by traders. big. Next week we also look forward to the speech of Fed Chairman Powell and other members. Most likely, combining the above two events, Bitcoin price will adjust sharply to have notable price actions before entering the last month of the year.
Let's come to some technical analysis comments according to Wyckoff on the BTCUSDT pair on November 6:
Timeframe H1 (BTCUSDT pair chart on Binance):
Figure 1: Now is the time to wait for Bitcoin's collapse (source: Tradingview)
Events that took place during the distribution phase:
- Price has completed forming phases A, B, C and is in phase D of the distribution phase according to the Wyckoff model.
- In phase D, the price retested the upper edge of the trading range with 2 LPSY events. Prices increased but volume decreased, demonstrating the weakness of demand. Now, as long as the big guys or the bears are determined to step down, the price will drop sharply.
- Possible plan: continue to sell more immediately after the price tests the upper boundary of the trading range or create new LPSYs. Wait for the price to break the lower boundary of the trading range to create the final SOW in phase D, then you can completely close out the position and pull the stop loss of the remaining positions to the entry point, while preserving the positions. Just continue to wait for the following declines to take more profits.
Safe trading!
@dvd