Shorttrade
ICT BASIC XAUUSD H1 JAN 29 2025 - JAN 30 2025Like in the picture, The Candle Has been made change of :
structure by created MSS(Market Structur Shift)
and after that created Buy Side Liquidity
FVG Has been Set like in that chart, and the price it would go down when price make touch to FVG or OB
and the price will goes to Sell Side Liquidity
SCALPING ! GOLD ! Gold sideways - selling pressure pushes price ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US President Donald Trump directed his administration to implement emergency 25% tariffs on Colombian imports. However, the tariffs were paused after Colombia agreed to fully accept all illegal migrants returned from the US.
On Tuesday, Trump announced plans to impose tariffs on pharmaceutical and computer chip manufacturers, along with upcoming measures targeting aluminum and copper industries, with potential consideration for steel and other sectors.
These actions reignited concerns over Trump's protectionist policies, raising fears of inflation. As a result, the yield on the 10-year US Treasury bond rebounded from a one-month low, strengthening the US Dollar and pressuring Gold prices.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Price is currently sideways - sellers have more advantage. Wait for SIDEWAY price zone, entry SELL 2745
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥 SELL GOLD zone: $2744 - $2746 SL $2749
TP1: $2740
TP2: $2735
TP3: $2730
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
This is a no Brainer for you noobs - check itWhat up? how is everyone doing the almost end of January w a new Admin?
one things i do wish is that Robinhood will collab with @TradingView does anyone have info on this? Why are the holding back?
follow along...
i swing only SPY 500 options- 7 years in training, a year before the covid 19.
i buy calls or buy puts overnight, easy-
up or down?
1. The week, before this weeks volume was pretty decent I must say.- this held us up.
2. I do like continuation patterns.
3. $ 605.00 is in the cards for next week of 1/27 - 1/31
4. With the month closing on Friday the 31, we may even see a low touching that $ 600.00
5. Therefore we are looking for bounces on either side.
6. I kind of like $ 600.00 to confirm there are buyers on that area of support. For our continuation of an upmarket trend.
7. Although volume and candlestick are key to watch around 605. ⛳️
do we get a birdie or a par this week? --
-
leave a comment or evaluation below.
Gold falls on inauguration day of TRUMP⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Last week's softer-than-expected US inflation data could support Gold prices by fueling speculation of more than one rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Traders are now looking ahead to President-elect Trump's inauguration on Monday for insights into the executive orders he plans to issue. "Uncertainty surrounding the policies President Trump will implement has been one of the factors supporting Gold," noted David Meger, Director of Metals Trading at High Ridge Futures.
Moreover, ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Russia-Ukraine conflict continue to drive safe-haven demand for Gold. According to The Guardian, the Russian military captured two additional settlements in eastern Ukraine's Donetsk region on Saturday, marking the latest progress in its westward advance.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold short term down around 2700 area, sideways and waiting for new economic policies of the trump administration
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2678 - $2676 SL $2671
TP1: $2685
TP2: $2693
TP3: $2700
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2716 - $2718 SL $2723
TP1: $2710
TP2: $2700
TP3: $2690
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Buying power is weakening - resistance 2724 good for SELLComment: 📌
The recent inflation data and comments from Fed official Waller put pressure on the US dollar, as traders grow increasingly confident that the US Central Bank might cut rates sooner rather than later. Waller did not dismiss the possibility of a rate cut at the March meeting, highlighting that inflation "is approaching our 2% target."
Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, a voting member in 2025, expressed optimism that the labor market is stabilizing, as reported by The Wall Street Journal.
Market participants are now pricing in nearly equal odds of the Fed implementing two rate cuts by the end of 2025, with the first reduction expected as early as June.
XAU Trend: January 17 📌
Gold is reacting downward at the H4 2724 resistance zone, buying force is becoming weaker. Opportunity for sellers to push the price back to 2705, creating more liquidity for the market
Signal:📌
SELL XAU 2723-2726
SL: 2731 | TP: 2715 - 2708 - 2700
Thank you for reading my comment: "FM"
XAU/USD Short Trade Setup | Entry 2690.766 | SL 2700 RR: 1:10Executed a short position on XAU/USD with a strategic entry at 2690.766. Using my standard market structure analysis, I identified a solid resistance level and potential downside momentum. Placing a stop loss at 2700 to manage risk and targeting 2593.019 for a solid risk-to-reward ratio. Ensuring a calculated approach with every trade.
UNI/USDT Short PositionThis chart illustrates a short position on UNI/USDT following a potential bearish breakout from an ascending wedge pattern. The price action has been respecting the upper and lower trendlines, forming higher highs and higher lows. However, the breakdown below the lower support trendline signals a reversal.
Key Levels
- Entry Price: Near 13.90 (just below the breakdown point)
- Stop Loss: Around 14.27 (above the wedge resistance)
- Take Profit Target: 12.12 (aligned with key support levels and pattern height projection)
Technical Insights
Rising Wedge Pattern: Typically bearish, indicating weakening bullish momentum before a potential decline.
Bearish Confirmation: The strong bearish candlestick closing below the wedge support adds confidence to the short setup.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio : This trade offers a favorable R:R, approximately 1:2.5, making it an attractive short opportunity.
Watch for additional confirmations like increasing volume on the breakdown or retests of the former support turned resistance to add confluence.
Scalping ! sideway - accumulation below 2655⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
President-elect Donald Trump's planned tariffs and protectionist measures are anticipated to drive inflation and disrupt global trade, boosting demand for safe-haven assets like Gold.
On Sunday, Ukraine launched an offensive in Russia's western Kursk region, where Russia’s Defense Ministry reported Ukrainian losses of up to 340 soldiers.
Meanwhile, Israel's ongoing strikes on Gaza show no signs of slowing, and the Israeli military confirmed it has carried out operational raids in Syria amidst allegations of cease-fire breaches.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Sideway price range 2630-2655, gold price accumulates. Resistance 2655 waiting for correction
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2652 - $2654 SL $2657 scalping
TP1: $2647
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
ES - bearish setup The overnight push up was shaped as abearish ascending flag
Watch the 50% retracement of the Monday decline = 6,036.25
Remember, 6,032.25 is the Weekly resistance
Bears have a setup to drive ES down to 5,987 with possible extension down to 5,972
I would not be surprised to see first a fake breakout of that flag tagging 6,036, the 50% retracement then brutal bearish reversal followed by a break under the lower blue trend line
A failed breakout is the best trigger / catalyst of a bearish leg to a lower low
The key level of support for this morning is 6,007
XAU tries to recover above 2650 - January ,2025 ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) inches higher during the Asian session on Tuesday, attempting to extend its rebound from the $2,615-2,614 zone seen on Monday, but with limited upward momentum. Market expectations that US President-elect Donald Trump's proposed tariffs and protectionist policies could fuel inflation support gold's appeal as a hedge against rising prices. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions, including the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and unrest in the Middle East, provide underlying support for the safe-haven asset.
However, the outlook for slower interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2025 continues to drive higher US Treasury yields, creating a headwind for non-yielding gold. Moreover, renewed demand for the US Dollar (USD) limits further gains for the yellow metal. Investors remain cautious, avoiding strong moves ahead of the release of the FOMC minutes on Wednesday and the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report on Friday.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Buyers and sellers are fighting over the price zone of 2600 - 2650, still maintaining accumulation today.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2615 - $2617 SL $2610
TP1: $2625
TP2: $2638
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2647 - $2649 SL $2654
TP1: $2640
TP2: $2630
TP3: $2620
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Short Bitcoin (BTC) (For Study Purpose Only)Short Recommendation
Entry Level: Below $94,000
Stop Loss (SL): $111,111
This surge has been largely attributed to President-elect Donald Trump's pro-cryptocurrency stance, including promises of deregulation and the establishment of a national strategic Bitcoin reserve.
However, concerns are emerging regarding Bitcoin's current valuation. Analysts warn that the market may be overheating, with some predicting a potential correction of up to 35%.
COINTELEGRAPH
Additionally, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has stated that the U.S. central bank cannot hold Bitcoin, which has introduced uncertainty into the market.
This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always consult your financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Cryptocurrency trading involves significant risk, including the potential loss of capital. Ensure to evaluate your risk tolerance and conduct thorough research.
XAU ! Gold down at the beginning of the week - SELL retest ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) rebound from recent losses seen in the previous session, though trading volumes remain lighter than usual on Monday ahead of the New Year holiday. The precious metal benefits from safe-haven demand as markets await updates on the US economic outlook under the incoming Trump administration and the Federal Reserve’s 2025 interest rate strategy.
Expectations of potential trade tensions driven by Trump’s proposed tariffs and policies could boost risk aversion, increasing gold’s appeal. However, projections of fewer Fed rate cuts in 2025 may limit the upward momentum for the non-yielding metal.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The downtrend has been implemented by the bears, break H1, waiting for the price to continue to decrease to the 2600 area.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2616 - $2618 SL $2621 scalping
TP1: $2613
TP2: $2608
TP3: $2600
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold in the new year 2025, continue SIDEWAY✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 12/30/2024 - 01/03/2025
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) slip slightly in light post-Christmas trading, settling near $2,630 during the Asian session on Friday. Still, the safe-haven asset could gain support as markets await insights into the US economy under the incoming Trump administration and the Federal Reserve's 2025 interest rate plans.
As a non-yielding asset, gold benefits from moderate US PCE inflation data, which challenges expectations of minimal Fed rate cuts next year and suggests the possibility of further easing. Its safe-haven allure is further reinforced by persistent geopolitical tensions, including the ongoing Russia-Ukraine war and unrest in the Middle East.
🔥 Identify:
Gold continues SIDEWAY, market sentiment awaits new year 2025 and price trades above 2600
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2638, $2665
Support : $2607, $2597, $2584
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
My plan keep SELLING GBPUSD all timeframe*Notice: It is Xmas and New Year holiday so that the Market is very slow and low volume. (reduce volume on your trading position)
About this Plan for OANDA:GBPUSD today:
- I saw a strong downtrend structure on almost timeframe of GU : D1 - H4 -H1
- I saw Confirmed downtrend signal on H1 and also H2 timeframe
So I make this plan for SHORT GBPUSD today:
Entry Zone: 1.25200 - 1.25300
Stoploss: 1.25700 (=1R)
Target Expected:
target 1: 1.24500
target 2: 1.23500 (RR= 4.1)
Lack of liquidity at the end of the year, gold sideways⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices hold steady near $2,611 as markets adjust to a more cautious stance on US interest rates. The US Dollar remains strong, bolstered by expectations that the Federal Reserve will slow its pace of rate cuts in the coming year. Fed officials now project a federal funds rate of 3.9% by the end of 2025, reflecting a slower disinflation process and lingering uncertainties about President-elect Donald Trump's policies on trade, taxes, and immigration.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold continues to move sideways in the range of 2600 - 2650 by the end of 2024
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2650 - $2652 SL $2657
TP1: $2640
TP2: $2630
TP3: $2620
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2607 - $2609 SL $2602
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2622
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU recovers - returns to downtrend retest zone⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The Federal Reserve cut interest rates at its December meeting as anticipated but signaled a slower pace of future reductions. The updated dot plot, which outlines projected rate trends, now suggests a half-percentage-point cut in 2025, down from the full percentage-point reduction forecasted in September. This shift continues to strengthen the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on USD-denominated Gold, as rising real interest rates increase the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets like gold.
On the other hand, weaker-than-expected US inflation data may help limit gold’s downside. The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index rose to 2.4% year-over-year in November, up from 2.3% in October but slightly below the 2.5% market estimate. Meanwhile, Core PCE remained steady at 2.8% but fell short of the expected 2.9%.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold H1 frame recovered and retested the break zone in the downtrend, mainly sideways price below 2650 zone
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2643 - $2645 SL $2651
TP1: $2635
TP2: $2620
TP3: $2610
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2606 - $2604 SL $2599
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2628
TP3: $2640
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – December 21, 2024Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – December 21, 2024
Overview:
Let’s focus on Bitcoin (BTC/USD). Over the past few weeks, Bitcoin has been pumping steadily, but it now appears to be losing momentum. The market structure has created an imbalance, suggesting a potential decline in the coming weeks.
Trade Idea:
Potential Buy Zone: The price could fall to the marked zone around $73,000.
Entry Timing: Avoid entering immediately when the price reaches this level. Instead, wait for a clear reaction—such as bullish confirmation or upward momentum—before considering a buying opportunity.
Key Considerations:
This setup is similar to the structure seen in the German Index (DE40), which showed comparable behavior before a significant drop. The resemblance in patterns could signal a similar outcome for Bitcoin.
Monitor price action closely in the coming weeks for signs of reversal once the price reaches the anticipated zone.
Risk Management:
Do Not Rush: This is not financial advice. Always wait for clear entry signals before making any decisions.
Stay Disciplined: Protecting your capital is more important than making profits. Use proper stop-loss levels to safeguard your trades.
Trading Requires Patience: A reactive approach is key. Trading is about responding to what the market shows you, not forcing predictions.
Final Note:
Making no money is always better than losing money. Watch Bitcoin closely in the coming weeks, and stay disciplined in your analysis. Let’s see how the market unfolds. See you in the next update!
Will the interest rate cut in late 2024 happen? XAU UP OR DOWN ✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 12/16 - 12/20/2024
🔥 World situation:
Although gold posted some losses, it remains up nearly 1% for the week, supported by a mix of US economic data. While inflation figures were varied, the latest Initial Jobless Claims report strengthened investor confidence in a December rate cut by the Federal Reserve.
Attention now shifts to the Fed’s December 17-18 policy meeting, with traders pricing in a 93% likelihood of a 25 basis point cut, according to CBOT data. Following the announcement, all eyes will be on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s press conference for insights into the policy direction for 2025.
🔥 Identify:
H4 is seeing price close to the bullish trendline - which will be validating the last rate cut of the year. There will be some upside but it will still be difficult to break above the 2723 price zone
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2678, $2723
Support : $2613, $2590, $2535
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Negative News - XAU Continues Bearish Cycle ⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) rebounds from a one-month low near the $2,584-$2,583 region seen during the Asian session on Thursday, halting a two-day losing streak. Geopolitical tensions and trade war fears, combined with the Federal Reserve's (Fed) hawkish shift on Wednesday, have weighed on global risk sentiment. The resulting declines in equity markets have driven safe-haven demand for gold.
However, the Fed's signal of a more cautious approach to rate cuts next year has kept US Treasury yields near multi-month highs and supported the US Dollar (USD), which remains close to a two-year peak. These factors could limit gold's upside, urging caution for bullish traders. Market participants now await US economic data, including the final Q3 GDP figures and Weekly Initial Jobless Claims, for short-term trading cues.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The FED cut 0.25 points as expected, however the statements about future plans are very negative for the market, along with the end of the year transactions will be liquidated by investors causing continued selling pressure.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2633 - $2635 SL $2640
TP1: $2625
TP2: $2610
TP3: $2600
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2585 - $2583 SL $2578
TP1: $2595
TP2: $2607
TP3: $2624
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account