Accumulate - gold price will continue to FALL✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 12/02 - 12/06/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices edged higher late in the North American session on Friday, gaining 0.67%, though still on track for a monthly decline of over 3%. Geopolitical concerns continue to influence market movements, with the non-yielding metal hovering near $2,600. XAU/USD is currently trading at $2,652, rebounding from a daily low of $2,634.
Tensions in the Middle East eased slightly after Israel and Lebanon reached a ceasefire agreement. However, both nations have since accused each other of breaching the terms of the deal.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price is still accumulating, sideways below 2680, moving within 2 H4 trendlines. In the context of the end of 2024, profit taking by investors will take place, gold price will continue to be under selling pressure.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2680, $2720, 2755
Support : $2607, $2584, $2540
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Shorttrade
Gold price moves up trendline - short term⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) gain momentum on Friday, reaching a four-day high near $2,662 during the Asian session. Heightened geopolitical tensions and trade war concerns continue to fuel demand for the safe-haven metal. Additionally, expectations of another Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cut in December and a drop in US Treasury yields further support gold's appeal.
Meanwhile, the likelihood of additional Fed rate cuts has pressured the US Dollar (USD) to a two-week low, boosting gold demand. However, hopes that President-elect Donald Trump's policies will spur inflation and indications of stalled progress in reducing US inflation could make the Fed cautious about further easing. This may limit USD losses and keep a lid on XAU/USD's gains.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
H1 frame moves in 2 uptrend lines, gold price moves mainly sideways below the price range of 2700
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2670 - $2672 SL $2675 scalping
TP1: $2665
TP2: $2658
TP3: $2650
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2688 - $2690 SL $2695
TP1: $2680
TP2: $2670
TP3: $2660
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2640 - $2638 SL $2633
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2672
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold trend! continued decrease ! sideway⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) continue to decline during Thursday's Asian session, following the previous day’s pullback from the $2,658 level. Strong US economic data released on Wednesday, along with limited progress in reducing inflation, suggest that the Federal Reserve (Fed) may approach further rate cuts cautiously. This outlook has driven a slight rebound in US Treasury yields and bolstered US Dollar demand, putting pressure on the non-yielding precious metal.
However, markets are still largely expecting a 25 basis point (bps) rate cut by the Fed in December. Additionally, US President-elect's tariff threats have sparked concerns over a potential trade war that could harm global economic growth. Combined with ongoing geopolitical risks from the Russia-Ukraine conflict, these factors are helping Gold maintain support above the $2,600 level.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Selling pressure continues - target returns to 2605 area, bank holiday gold price mainly sideways and decreases slightly
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2633 - $2635.5 SL $2639 scalping
TP1: $2625
TP2: $2612
TP3: $2605
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2657 - $2659 SL $2664
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2630
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2605 - $2603 SL $2598
TP1: $2615
TP2: $2622
TP3: $2630
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU ! Scalping , trade under 2700 ! The bears will prevailSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
US President-elect Donald Trump's promise to impose tariffs on imports from Canada, Mexico, and China sparked renewed safe-haven demand for Gold.
Meanwhile, Ukraine reported its largest Russian drone attack to date, alongside reports of Russia using a hypersonic missile last week and advancing at its quickest pace since the 2022 invasion. Allegations of North Korean troops being deployed in Ukraine further complicate the situation, while Ukraine's strikes on deep Russian targets using Western-supplied missiles increase the risk of further conflict escalation.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is recovering. If it breaks through 2662, the buying force will still be strong and will wait for a stronger resistance area at 2688.
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2688 - $2690 SL $2693
TP1: $2680
TP2: $2670
TP3: $2660
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Rebound 2661 - still moving DOWN! XAU⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold’s decline was limited by the escalating Ukraine-Russia conflict, which helped XAU/USD hold above the $2,600 per ounce level, despite the Greenback regaining some strength.
On the data front, the US Conference Board's Consumer Confidence for November came in stronger than both expectations and October's figures.
Looking ahead, key US economic reports this week include Durable Goods Orders, Initial Jobless Claims, and the Fed’s preferred inflation measure, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
H1 frame shows signs of Gold breaking the rising trend, expected to recover to the 2662 area then follow the main trend DOWN by the end of 2024
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2661 - $2663 SL $2668
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2640
TP3: $2630
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2607 - $2605 SL $2602 scalping
TP1: $2612
TP2: $2618
TP3: $2625
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2582 - $2580 SL $2575
TP1: $2590
TP2: $2600
TP3: $2610
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Will 90k Hold Bitcoin?Alright, so we couldn't quite tag 100k. Not surprising. 100k is huge psychological resistance and we can now see from on-chain data that long-term hodl'ers, which is defined as anyone who hodls BTC for 6+ months, have started to sell more rapidly as we approached that price point. So, we got our pullback as expected. Now, the question is how far down do we go? Will 90k hold us? Or will we go lower? Let's explore these questions a bit in this post using some basic technical analysis combined with our knowledge of past historical price action at the beginning of a bull run.
First, let's review where some of these trendlines on my chart actually come from.
That pink ascending trendline was made by connecting the wick top in April of '21 to the wick top in November of '21 and then extending it out infinitely to the right. In my last post, I stated that it would act as resistance. It did. But I also was unsure that it would hold us below for more than a few days. It didn't. There was enough hype in the market to break us to the upside. Now that same line should act as support. I would expect it to hold us up at least through Thanksgiving weekend here in the U.S. This may give altcoins enough time for one final pump.
And as long as Bitcoin decides to remain above that line, altcoins should continue to shine.
But, if Bitcoin's price decides to break below our trendline (I estimate that this will not occur until after this weekend), then altcoins will pull back more drastically as Bitcoin descends further.
So, if Bitcoin breaks below 90k, where will it go?
My guess will be that we drop to that second pink trendline below us somewhere around 75-76k. That trendline was drawn similarly to the way I drew the upper pink trendline. I drew a line from the wick high of November '21 to the wick of our most recent high of March this year. I then extended the line to the right. You can see from the chart that this was also a significant trendline because once the price broke above it, it sent, confirming the significance of the trendline.
Now, the rationale for my timeline and potential drop increments includes the fact that markets tend to stay optimistic over the holidays here in the U.S., especially when we are in the beginning stages of another bull run. And that we are. Therefore, if we do drop further, I wouldn't expect this to occur until after Thanksgiving weekend.
In bull runs, it is quite common to see 20%+ pullbacks while we move up. A drop to 76k would meet this historical pattern.
Again, I don't have high conviction that we actually will drop to 76k, therefore, I am not shorting. But I am a bit softer on the longs at this point and have all my stops at appropriate placement. Subs, check the tracker for those details. My current stable holding is around 40%.
Let's see how this all plays out.
✌️ Stew
BTW, I haven't mentioned it in this post, but my year-end target is now 102-109k. And yes, even with any pullback, I still believe we'll get there. I'll write more about this in a future post.
DOW formation - DOWN trendXAU / USD trend forecast November 26, 2024
Gold prices (XAU/USD) plunged during Monday’s North American session following reports of a ceasefire agreement between Lebanon and Israel, which bolstered demand for riskier assets. Coupled with the announcement of Scott Bessent as the Treasury Secretary in Trump’s administration, this added further pressure on the yellow metal. XAU/USD is currently trading at $2,620, marking a drop of over 3%.
The shift in risk sentiment has been a key factor driving Gold’s decline. The metal has broken below the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $2,664, paving the way for potential further losses.
Gold maintains price range below 2700 after ending short-term recovery - DOW wave 5 bar h1 frame
/// SELL XAU : zone 2649-2652
SL: 2657
TP: 50 - 150 - 300pips (2622)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold sideways below 2700 price zone ! Scalping XAU / USD trend forecast November 25, 2024 ! SCALPING
Gold prices (XAU/USD) remain under significant selling pressure during the early European session on Monday, though they manage to stay above the $2,650 mark and hold support at the 100-period Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the 4-hour chart. The nomination of Scott Bessent as US Treasury Secretary has removed a key source of uncertainty for the markets. Additionally, reports suggesting that Israel is nearing a ceasefire agreement with Hezbollah in Lebanon have bolstered investor confidence, reducing demand for the safe-haven yellow metal.
Monday gold price is under a lot of selling pressure below $2700, sideways and accumulating below this price range
/// SELL XAU : zone 2685-2688
SL: 2691
TP: 40 - 80 - 150 pips (2673)
Safe and profitable trading
Scalping ! Find short-term FIBO retracement pointsSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold (XAU/USD) dropped over 1% on Monday, trading in the $2,670 range, as markets reacted positively to the appointment of a steady and experienced figure to succeed Janet Yellen as the next US Treasury Secretary.
President-elect Donald Trump selected hedge fund manager Scott Bessent for the role, set to begin in January 2025. Bessent's reputation for cautious decision-making and his potential to temper some of Trump’s more extreme economic and trade policies appear to have eased market concerns, reducing the demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Price decreased at the beginning of the week on Monday - price recovered at 2690 entry FIBO, SELL SCALPING
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2690 - $2692 SL $2696
TP1: $2685
TP2: $2678
TP3: $2670
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
XAU / USD ! 25 Nov ! Gold price adjusted downXAU / USD trend forecast November 25, 2024
Gold prices (XAU/USD) surge to approximately $2,720 during the early Asian session on Monday, supported by a weakening US Dollar (USD). The USD's sell-off lends support to the USD-denominated Gold price, while escalating geopolitical tensions further bolster demand for safe-haven assets like the yellow metal.
Investors remain focused on developments in the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Last week, Russian President Vladimir Putin lowered the threshold for a nuclear strike in response to an expanded range of conventional attacks, following reports that the US had permitted Ukraine to use American-made weapons for deeper strikes into Russian territory. This situation is likely to sustain safe-haven flows, benefiting Gold prices.
Gold adjusts H2 fibo, downtrend creates more liquidity for the market
/// BUY XAU : zone 2651-2648
SL: 2643
TP: 50 - 150 - 300pips (2678)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold continues to rise - waiting for a correction⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices continued to rise for the fourth consecutive day, approaching the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) as heightened tensions in the Russia-Ukraine conflict increased demand for the safe-haven metal. XAU/USD is trading at $2,672, near weekly highs, with a gain of over 0.80%.
Concerns escalated after reports suggested Russia had launched an Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) on Ukraine. However, a Western official cited by Reuters clarified that no ICBM was used on Thursday.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
H1 frame is still a very stable price increase - aiming for above 2700 area, waiting for corrective reaction
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2706 - $2708 SL $2713
TP1: $2695
TP2: $2680
TP3: $2660
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2640 - $2642 SL $2635
TP1: $2650
TP2: $2660
TP3: $2670
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
SasanSeifi|Will Gold Reach Higher Targets!?Hey there, ✌Analyzing the gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe shows that after a bearish trend and reaching the 2540 level, the price entered a consolidation phase and faced demand. Following the breakout of the supply zone, the price rallied to the 2640 range.
Currently, after hitting the 2640 resistance, the price has started a corrective move toward the support zone at 2620-2610. In a bullish scenario, the price is expected to target levels of 2645, 2650, 2660, and potentially 2667-2675. However, rejection and further corrections are possible from these levels.
If the price breaks below 2610 and stabilizes, the likelihood of further declines toward 2600-2590 increases.
On the daily timeframe, the overall outlook leans more towards a bearish move, with a target of 2500.
💢 Please remember that this is just my personal viewpoint and should not be taken as investment advice. I’d love to hear your thoughts and share opinions!
Happy trading!✌😎
Sure, if you have any more questions or need further clarification, feel free to ask. I'm here to help!✌
XAU ! 11/20 ! Gold sideways, holding above 2600XAU / USD trend forecast November 20, 2024
Gold prices (XAU/USD) continue their intraday retreat from the $2,642 level, a one-and-a-half-week high reached earlier on Wednesday, dropping to a new daily low during the early European session. The US Dollar (USD) gains support from dip-buying, fueled by a notable rise in US Treasury yields amid expectations of a more cautious approach to policy easing by the Federal Reserve (Fed). This shift in sentiment diverts investment flows away from the non-yielding yellow metal.
Gold price recovered, still maintaining above 2600, sideways price range 2600-2645
/// SELL XAU : zone 2629-2632
SL: 2637
TP: 50 - 100 - 300pips (2602)
Safe and profitable trading
No NEWS, Opportunity for gold to continue to recoverSCALPING XAU / USD
⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices (XAU/USD) remain steady during the early European session, hovering near $2,620, slightly below Tuesday’s one-week high. Persistent geopolitical tensions, including the prolonged Russia-Ukraine conflict and unrest in the Middle East, continue to fuel safe-haven demand for the precious metal for a second consecutive day. However, expectations of a less aggressive rate-cutting approach by the Federal Reserve (Fed) limit further gains for the non-yielding Gold.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
Small frame, gold buying pressure is still large, positive recovery, price will still move within the range of 2600 - 2644
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2603 - $2601 SL $2598
TP1: $2610
TP2: $2618
TP3: $2625
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
USD/ JPY ! 11/14 ! JPY value will increaseUSDJPY trend forecast November 14, 2024
The Japanese Yen (JPY) remains under selling pressure during the Asian session on Thursday, helping USD/JPY reach the 156.00 level for the first time since July 23, supported by a strong US Dollar (USD). Market sentiment suggests Japan’s political climate may hinder the Bank of Japan (BoJ) from further tightening its policy, which weakens the JPY. Additionally, worries about potential trade tariffs from US President-elect Donald Trump add further pressure on the Yen.
The dollar is benefiting from the new president trump FOMO, but it is cooling down soon.
The Japanese yen also has new moves with the new prime minister, helping the value of the Japanese yen increase further.
/// SELL USD/JPY : zone 156.100 - 156.400
SL: 156.700
TP: 40 - 100 - 200 pips (154.400)
Safe and profitable trading
Continue downtrend - target 2506 coming soon✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 11/18 - 11/22/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold prices fell for the sixth consecutive day, heading for a weekly loss of over 4%—the steepest since September 2023. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's mildly "hawkish" remarks strengthened the US Dollar, reducing demand for gold. As of now, XAU/USD trades at $2,564, down 0.17%.
On Thursday, Powell stated that the Fed is not in a hurry to cut interest rates, citing a resilient economy, a robust labor market, and inflation still above the 2% target.
🔥 Identify:
The decline in gold will continue as money is being drawn to other opportunistic financial sectors, the decline could be prolonged, sending gold prices to 2500 or 2400.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2590, $2610, 2645
Support : $2539, $2504
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Looking for NAS100 to Short back to Previous Structure High. Notes: Possible descending triangle forming.
look fore bearish sell to trend line/61.8/H4 lvl or H4
Structure point 50% prz/daily lvl 20,595
H1 lvl showing possible Bearish trend beginning
LL & LH formed with Liquidity sweep just above LH
Daily: Bullish
H4: Bullish
H1: Bullish
Thesis: Price is bullish forming a descending triangle
preparing for sell off to trend line.
XAU ! 11/14 ! still a strong decreaseXAU / USD trend forecast November 14, 2024
The US Dollar gained strongly as markets had largely anticipated a 25-basis-point hike by the Federal Reserve at its December meeting. CME FedWatch Tool data shows the odds have increased from 58% to 82%. The DXY index, which measures the Dollar’s strength against major currencies, reached a year-to-date high of 106.52, just above the previous high of 106.51 from April 16, and is currently around 106.49, up 0.50%.
yesterday's sharp drop - continues to make investors believe prices will fall further: 2500
/// SELL XAU : zone 2574-2577
SL: 2580
TP: 50 - 100 - 150pips (2561)
/// SELL XAU : zone 2590-2593
SL: 2598
TP: 50 - 200 - 300pips (2563)
Safe and profitable trading
AVAX Short Signal (Fibonacci Harmonic Gartley)🔻 On the 30-minute timeframe, AVAX is approaching the $36 level. If the price reaches this zone and is rejected with a strong momentum candle, there’s a high probability of completing a Harmonic Gartley pattern, which could push the price towards the $30 level.
🔻 If the price reaches $30 and fails to show strong support, the next potential target would be the $27 support zone. This scenario presents a lower-risk opportunity for a short entry.
⚠️ Note: This signal goes against the prevailing uptrend and is considered a higher-risk trade. If the identified trendline breaks, entering a short position would be less risky.
💡 While this is a short setup, remember that we’re still in an overall uptrend. Any of the mentioned support zones could present excellent buying opportunities later on. Be sure to assess the strength of support at each level carefully.
📝 Proper risk management and stop-loss placement are crucial for this position.
AUDUSD Continues Downtrend with High-Probability Weekly FVG AUDUSD has maintained a strong downtrend, recently wicking into a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) that previously broke structure, confirming this FVG as high-probability. The recent close below the weekly FVG reinforces a bearish bias, indicating that sellers are still in control.
The next target for this move is the sellside liquidity at 0.63541. This setup aligns with the prevailing trend, making it a high-probability continuation to the downside.
Always remember: DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
BLUEDART SHORT CAUGHT!Today was a one side, short market!
I always believe in following the money - the smart money!
Coupled with the options Weekly contracts termination like BANKNIFTY, MIDCPNIFTY, FINNIFTY, etc, we are going to see more sell off in this week, as per my observation.
Dont go LONG in the market blindly tomorrow ( 14, Nov, 2024).
Good luck and Namaste!
11/12 ! XAU ! Bears determined to continue to lower pricesXAU / USD trend forecast November 12, 2024
Gold dropped over 2.5% on Monday as the US Dollar surged to a four-month high. Speculation that a second Trump term might reignite trade tensions is supporting the USD's strength. XAU/USD is now trading at $2,611 after hitting a daily high of $2,686. This decline follows gold's worst weekly performance in more than five months after the election, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) up 0.6% to 105.57.
Gold prices continued to decline on Monday - returning to the 2610 zone. The 2606 support zone could help gold recover and stay above 2600 in the short term.
/// SELL XAU : zone 2654-2657
SL: 2662
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (2627)
Safe and profitable trading