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Great shorting entry point on SPX as it hits resistanceOn today's CPI report, inflation rose 0.5% in January, which was higher than expected (according to CNBC ), yet the market rallied. With this rally, the market is hitting a supply zone, which was the swing high for two of the most recent swings. In the shorter term, it has also been seen that the recent rally has been rejected twice at the bottom of this supply zone, which corresponds with the 0.236 Fibonacci level, showing strong resistance. Furthermore, SPX is hitting its 300-day SMA, adding further resistance. Back in 2008 when $SPX approached its 300-day SMA after the first part of the fall, a 50% drop in the S&P 500 followed over the next year. To trade this, I have entered a short position. Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, I have never worked professionally in finance in any capacity.
SP:SPXShort
by spiritualhealer117
3
WHATS NEXT FOR CARDANO?Hello traders! Today we are going to take a look at ADA's movement these past few days. As i mentioned in my last post: It is consolidating at the 0,3280 area and is looking to make a bottom, if it breaks down to 0,3200 I would look for a short position hitting the final demand zone at 0,3050. On the 4 hour and also the 1 hour time frame we can see that ADA has made a solid descending channel and is aiming downwards towards the last demand zone at the 0,30-0,3050 and potentially heading towards a more and more likely target at 0,27. If the last demand zone is met we can then begin fill our long positions with a potential 30-40% upside (longterm). All take profits is specified. On the smaller timeframes like the 15-5min i would start to look at a short position towards the last demand zone (swingtrade). Don't forget to fill up your long positions, this is a huge discount. Enjoyed the analysis? Like! Want to see more? Follow! Let me know what you guys think! Let me know in the comments! -The Stallion REMEMBER TO ALWAYS TRADE AT YOUR OWN RISK AND I AM NO FINANCIAL ADVISOR.
Long
by TheStallion_
FTSE BULLISH EXHAUSTION?I am currently looking to sell this index. It is no surprise to anyone who reads my ideas ,not many:p, that I am of the option that whilst the latest inflation data coming from the UK has ticked lower, I believe it will again raise its head to bite the UK on its ar$e. I guess more importantly, I think the inflation data coming out of the US over the coming months will be hot and with that the dollar will rally once again. Although not quite as it did in 2022. This will result in a significant exportation of inflation around the world which will further increase the prices of food, energy and fuel; pretty much everything that is priced in USD. Ultimately hurting the economies which the companies comprising the FTSE rely on. Aside from big pharma and petrochemicals. Moreover, if you look at the chart above, the FTSE has been in a decent rally since October of last year which culminated in an all-time high milestone of 8000. The rally to date has been moving in an ascending triangle (WHITE) which coincided nicely with relatively strong divergences between the move up to 8000 and the indicators shown (RED). This is often a good indication of weakness in a prevailing trend and may potentially signal bullish exhaustion. The price broke this triangle structure on 28/02/23 with a failed rally back to support which indicates that we may be looking at a decent move to the downside in the coming weeks and months. As such, I’m now looking to enter a sell trade from here-on. My POI for this move is anywhere between 8950 and 8130 (current price to top of structure) As always I will be scaling in my positions as (or if) the price moves higher, which I expect it will until Powell comes out and admits that last months 25bps hike was a mistake. It’s important to note that the UK economy and this index are not overly correlated because whilst the companies making up the FTSE may be HQ’d in the UK, their market audiences are more global. Please bear in mind that this is not a full breakdown or analysis for an entry, it is just my current thoughts on this market and a very basic o view of why I’m looking to short this index. Please always do your own analysis and always trade with caution.
FShort
by jamesfrench73
Possible beginning of a new bearish leg for SPXSummary: Main bearish trend (dotted teal downtrend line) Reversal attempt in progress (purple uptrend line) 200-SMA breakout in jan-2023 Failure to continue the breakout (failed bull flag - orange lines) Arrow #3 as a good entry option for a bear trade. Possible beginning of a new bearish leg, aligned with the main trend Possibility to surpass the last low (oct-13-2022). Set target @3,330.00. Timeframe expected: 3 to 4 months. Detailed explanation: 2022 was a very bearish year for stock markets, and prices have navigated under the 200-days simple moving average (200-SMA) for the most part of the year. On the other hand, the first months of 2023 had some attempts of breakout to this widely known indicator. By December, 2022, prices tried to break-up the 200-SMA, but failed, then pulled back and tried a new breakout in January, 2023, that succeeded and provided some hope for a reversal. Arrow #1 is signaling the top of this bullish leg. After this, prices developed a little bull flag (orange lines) , near a resistance level. I have been closely following the price movement on this flag, to try to catch a trading opportunity, bullish or bearish. The bullish case was the most evident, and would happen with the breakout of the flag, confirming the continuation of the main trend reversal. But if it didn’t come true, prices could continue on a longer range or even breakdown the 200-SMA, providing, hence, a bearish trade. It turned out that the second case is being developed. On February 21st the bull flag was undone, by a very bearish -2% candle, then some days passed and the 200-SMA offered a support for the prices, this movement came along with some doubt candles (tiny ranges, long wicks), their in the area near arrow #2. This arrow points specifically to a bullish engulfing candle, that signaled a possible return of the bull and that the 200-SMA would indeed sustain the prices. After that, a bullish candle confirmed the engulfing pattern, and I considered that now it was a “make or break” situation, that either had to continue with strong buyings or finally give away and return to the main bearish trend (dotted teal downtrend line) . The second scenario happened, with a classical shooting star candle denoting a top, indicated by arrow #3 and followed by a relevant -1.53% bearish candle. I consider it can turn out to be the beginning of a new bearish leg in favor of the main market trend. If it breakdown the 200-SMA (and the previous bottom, of arrow #2) we will probably be full gas back to the bearish trend, reverting that secondary bullish trend indicated by the purple line. Predicting the future is impossible, but trading is a probability game, and to my criteria the odds are high enough to make a bet now. So, I started a trade yesterday near the market close. The stop zone is a little above the high of the shooting star candle of mar-06-2023, and my target is @3,300.00, I chose this number considering that this is a movement with the main trend, and that the last low (oct-13-2022) is usually surpassed in this kind of situation. PS: I know there’s a whole FED policy/interest rates discussion going on, and that it provides much of the ultimate reasons for the market movements I described, but I will stick to technical analysis here and to the principle that the chart sums it all up, hence I considered only price patterns in my analysis.
SP:SPXShort
by thessia_
1