Shorttrade
Bitcoin in symmetrical triangleHello Fellow Traders
Greetings from team trading the tides !
lets discuss bitcoin which is inside a Symmetrical triangle , volume is pretty low waiting for the break out to enter position for long or short but I am more interested to wait till it reaches 31-32 k level which is a major resistance area and a good distribution point if we see the history .
potential area to initiate short : 31-32 k levels
according to the market conditions 22 k level is also very likely because there's a cme gap and btc inflows from wallets to exchanges are rising !
happy trading !
Short the Long-term Trend I always do the same & it usually works more often than it doesn't; but thats not the point
What is important is to cut the losses & let the winners run. In a world of 50/50 probability. There are four outcomes to a trade. a big win, a big loss, a small loss and a small win. If we can eliminate the big loss; the small win/loss will even themselves out. And we are left with big wins. Here is an example of letting winners run. Although I admit I Closed full position at Profit target 1 & did not let the winner run all the way to the end. Why? a bullish market influenced me, possibly a mistake but thats fine. this is why I document my trades so I may learn along side the reader.
SET UP
. the (W) is in downtrend
. Long-term(M) in downtrend
. price correcting to Lowest High of the (W) downtrend
ODD ENHANCER
. over buying momentum into qualified (SZ) thats also the Lower High of (W) downtrend
. general market in downtrend
. Supply Zone (SZ) never been tested before
EURJPY Short Position The EURJPY pair has recently broken a significant resistance level and is currently retracing back to it, which could signal a potential trend reversal.
A head and shoulders pattern has formed on the chart.
The neckline of the pattern (146.400) is a key level to watch, as a break below it would confirm the pattern and potentially trigger further selling pressure.
The MACD and RSI indicators are also showing signs of bearish divergence, which supports the idea of a potential short trade.
The target for this trade is 145.200 the previously broken resistance level, which could act as a support level and potentially provide a bounce for the price.
A break above the right shoulder will invalidate the bearish bias.
It is important to note that all trading decisions should be made in accordance with one's own risk management strategy and analysis of the overall market conditions.
Disney Short positionOn the chart we can see that the price broke down of the rising channel. It looks like the upsloping support has already failed, therefore we expect that the price go lower.
You can enter the short position now as the support failed.
Target is shown on the chart.
Invalidation of this thesis would be if the price comes back above upsloping support line.
GOLD SHort Risk 0.5%
TP1 = 1:2 RR
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
NZD USD SHORTRisk 0.5%
TP1 = 1:2 RR
Disclaimer:
The contents in this Idea are intended for information purpose only and do not constitute investment recommendation or advice. Nor are they used to promote any specific products or services. They serve as an integral part of a case study to demonstrate fundamental concepts in risk management under given market scenarios. A full version of the disclaimer is available in our profile description.
Potential swing trade on NZD/JPYA soft inflation report from New Zealand weighed broadly on the Kiwi dollar yesterday, as traders began to price in the prospects of a 25bp hike (down form 50bp) or even a pause at the RBNZ's next meeting. The slight risk-off tone saw flows into the yen, and risk-currencies such as AUD and NZD were lower which has placed ZD/JPY on our shirt watchlist.
The cross has seen repeated failures to close above 83.50 over the past three weeks, and yesterday's high met resistance perfectly at the 200-day EMA. Given the bearish engulfing candle which has now formed, we suspect a leg lower seems more probably than a break higher. Also note the decisive close beneath trend support.
- The bias remains bearish beneath yesterday's high
- However, we'll seek bearish setups below/around 83.15 (50% retracement of yesterday's open-close range)
- Initial target is the cycle just above 82.0
swingging between channel resistance and supportNot only price touched the 1D longterm resistance trendline, it also reached channel resistance. High likelyhood it will come down to at least first support at 1.0873 and maybe retest channel support (see 2H chart for more clarity). It is also on the verge of creating a bearish pinbar.
Opened a small short position to actively manage.
If price breaks channel support, good chance it runs to 1D trendline support too.