Shorttrade
USD/JPY Short: Two potential IdeasOn montly we had an upmove without FVGs. The previous month showed some rejection, but stayed inside: This gives us potential for a rotation into the middle. The weekly chart is still confined in the big downwards candle and took the previous week low. The current day close is clearly below the previously mentioned weekly low. This move was carried by clear 4h-FVGs. This gives us two options:
Idea 1:
More on the bigger scale. A quick spike in the upcomming 1-2 4h candles with a clear rejection on the latest 4h-FVG would be an ideal trade location for short. I would like to see price around 156.37 and try to get an lower timeframe entry, e.g. on 15-30min. The ideal approach would not show any bullish FVGs on a lower timeframe like 30min.
Idea 2:
More aggressive, since 4h could attract market. But if we build another 30min candle and manage to produce a bearish FVG, we would have the potential for an earlier reversal. In this scenario it would be ideal to close the last bullish FVG beforehand. The 2nd indicated candle should then a rejection on the FVG and could give a good entry. This scenario stays active for me unless we either build more bullish FVGs or go below the current days low.
The first Take Profit, e.g. first half, would be the current days low around 155.95 - be wary to get a small stop for a good CRV. The 2nd half should be trailed.
The DOWN trend prevailed at the beginning of the week⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
The Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles in the Asian session due to conflicting factors and stays near a three-week low. The expectation of rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and easing inflationary pressures weaken the US Dollar, supporting gold as a safe-haven asset. However, positive market sentiment and hopes for a cease-fire in Gaza limit the upside for gold. Traders are waiting for important US macro data, including the Nonfarm Payrolls report, and central bank decisions from the Bank of Canada and the European Central Bank.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
The selling pressure at the beginning of the week is still maintained - the DOWN trend is dominant, waiting for support areas for Gold
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2306 - $2304 SL $2299
TP1: $2312
TP2: $2320
TP3: $2330
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2340 - $2342 SL $2347
TP1: $2332
TP2: $2327
TP3: $2320
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Huge selling pressure - Gold price continues to DECREASE✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 6/3 - 6/7/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold (XAU/USD) slumped back into the $2,330s on Friday after the release of US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) data for April. The data showed a decrease in core price pressures, with Core PCE cooling to 0.2% month-over-month. Analysts had expected it to remain unchanged at 0.3%. This unexpected decrease increased the likelihood of the Fed cutting interest rates sooner, which is positive for Gold as it reduces the opportunity cost of holding the non-yielding asset.
🔥 Identify:
Despite receiving positive economic news supporting Gold - the great selling pressure pushed Gold prices down immediately. Wait for the next support and decline areas next week
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2362, $2414
Support : $2306, $2282, $2250
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold price continues to adjust DOWN⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades lower on Thursday due to a stronger US Dollar (USD) and higher US yields. The reduced expectation of a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) is putting pressure on gold as it increases opportunity costs. The second estimate of Q1 2024 US Gross Domestic Product (GDP) will be closely watched by investors, as a stronger-than-expected reading could further strengthen the USD and weigh on gold. However, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East may support gold as a safe-haven asset. Additionally, increased demand from central banks may limit downside for gold in the near term.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold continues its DOWN trend amid easing military tensions. Mainly waiting for US economic data to be released
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2315 - $2317 SL $2312 scalping
TP1: $2320
TP2: $2325
TP3: $2330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2305 - $2307 SL $2300
TP1: $2315
TP2: $2322
TP3: $2330
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2364 - $2366 SL $2370
TP1: $2358
TP2: $2350
TP3: $2340
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold price recovers in the short term !!⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) fell after a three-day winning streak due to the Greenback's slight recovery and hawkish comments from Federal Reserve officials. Strong US economic data also reduced expectations of a Fed rate cut in September, boosting the US Dollar and weighing on gold prices. However, geopolitical tensions and uncertainty may still drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset. Central bank demand will continue to support higher gold prices in the short term. Traders are watching the Fed's Beige Book and John Williams' speech, as well as the release of the US Core PCE Price Index on Friday, which could impact the possibility of delaying a Fed rate cut if inflation shows signs of increasing.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered in the short term - however, the long-term frame H1 and H4 are showing a larger DOWN trend
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2324 - $2322 SL $2319 SCALPING
TP1: $2330
TP2: $2335
TP3: $2340
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2305 - $2307 SL $2300
TP1: $2315
TP2: $2330
TP3: $2340
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2370 - $2372 SL $2375 scalping
TP1: $2360
TP2: $2350
TP3: $2340
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
$QQQ Quick Market Crash from TOMORROW (or Fri) Till June 4th1. Everything fits perfectly into place from a Fibonacci POV.
2. Jamie Dimon (who likes to give passive bearish opinions) said today that he thinks Private Credit debt investments, like BCRED, Pimco Flex Cred, which are basically Privatized bonds, could become an ugly nightmare for grandma's or innocent investors, that are trying to get their money out and can't because of liquidation limits. Liqudation limits have been put on the Private REITS already (BRIET and Starwood Capitol REIT). But Private Credit Funds are made up of the same bullsh NYSE:T as in the movie "The BIG SHORT", those are collaterized debt obligations, that's right.
3. Interest rates, specifically the %-!) Year Treasury rates have SPIKED the last 2 days and mortgage rates will certainly follow suit, making home buying even harder. (again).
This will cause an already shaky real estate market, even shakier.
"SHAKE SHAKE SHAKE, Shake yo Booty"
4 This Bearish correction trend should start sharply with the initial drop ending at around Tues, June 4th, at approximately between 10am - 1pm.
5, In total, after a B wave up, we could see a bear market into Middle to End of July.
6.
a. My bearish trade will start with Credit Call Spreads, Aug 19th expiration, with the short calls at 0.25 Delta, the long calls will be around 0.10-0.05 delta.
b. Then I may take 1/2 of all that premium and start buying deep OTM puts with same expiration, and then just buy and sell those into July, but keeping the Credit Call spread in placed till 21 DTE, approx July 20th, when they should be near worthless.
SELL PNB spot cmp 133 target 110 SL 139Technically, there is a distribution going on and sign of exhaustion in strong rally. Multiple times the stock face correction from higher level and then later on it only managed to cross the previous high by some margin to fall again. This means big players selling their delivery. Fundamentally, its already overvalued with high PE and fairly valued Price to Book. So combined analysis says that it can fall to 110 levels soon with any support from market fall.
Time to take profit in Eicher motors and wait for break outRight at the resistance- It is always good to book some profits at resistance. I would like to wait for confirmation if breaking out. though I kind of lean towards break down. If it goes as per my plan I would like to accumulate at the specified accumulation range.
Gold recovered slightly in the first session of the week⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) gains strength on Monday, supported by a weaker US Dollar and escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. The long-term outlook remains positive due to increased demand from central banks. However, expectations of fewer rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and a hawkish stance from Fed officials may put some selling pressure on gold as higher interest rates make it less attractive as a store of value.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price recovered slightly in the first session of the week, still in a DOWN correction in the H1 and H4 frames
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2306 - $2304 SL $2298
TP1: $2315
TP2: $2322
TP3: $2330
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2321 - $2319 SL $2316 scalping
TP1: $2326
TP2: $2332
TP3: $2340
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2354 - $2356 SL $2361
TP1: $2348
TP2: $2340
TP3: $2330
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
ETH - Short Details I have shorted ETH from the current price of 3,860 suspecting a substantial drop - aligned with my recent Bitcoin ideas - prior to the forex market beginning the week.
DXY is showing a bearish breakdown on the one month - leading the way of a lengthy extended bull market.
I suspect that prior to this upside, BTC and ETH will be liquidating out long positions and dropping substantially.
Sideway, correction DOWN!! XAU✍️ NOVA hello everyone, Let's comment on gold price next week from 5/27 - 5/31/2024
🔥 World situation:
Gold price stabilized on Friday after two consecutive days of losses, increasing by 0.23%. However, it experienced a weekly decline of more than 3%, marking the largest weekly loss since December 2023. The better-than-expected US Durable Goods Orders data had a reduced impact due to a downward revision in the previous month's reading, which encouraged buying of gold. The XAU/USD is currently trading at $2,332 after reaching a daily low of $2,325. Gold traders reacted before the weekend as US business activity improved, reducing the likelihood of a rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed). As of now, fed funds rate futures estimate only a 25 basis point interest rate cut in 2024.
🔥 Identify:
Gold price is in a DOWN correction, but sales volume is decreasing. Economics and politics are in a period of hesitation, Gold prices will mainly sideways in the range from $2300 - $2350 next week.
🔥 Technically:
Based on the resistance and support areas of the gold price according to the H4 frame, NOVA identifies the important key areas as follows:
Resistance: $2363, $2395, $2442
Support : $2306, $2280
🔥 NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
PMI continues to pressure Gold downward !!⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) continues to decline due to the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes being interpreted as more hawkish. This has limited the upside potential for gold. The cautious approach of the US Federal Reserve to maintain its restrictive policy for longer has boosted the strength of the US dollar, putting downward pressure on gold. Traders will monitor the preliminary reading of the US Manufacturing and Services Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for May, as a weaker reading could spark hopes of rate cuts by the Fed and support gold prices. Geopolitical tensions, uncertainties, and inflation concerns may also provide some support for gold in the short term. Other factors to watch include the Chicago Fed National Activity Index, weekly Initial Jobless Claims, New Home Sales, and comments from Fed's Bostic.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold fell after yesterday's FOMC meeting - quite tough statements on inflation. When the Gold price reaches a new ATH peak, it is obvious that a downward adjustment will create more liquidity for the market, the price will continue to be under selling pressure today and tomorrow.
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2347 - $2345 SL $2340
TP1: $2352
TP2: $2360
TP3: $2370
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2403 - $2405 SL $2410
TP1: $2395
TP2: $2380
TP3: $2370
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold price falls - sideway adjustment⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) trades lower on Wednesday after pulling back from a recent high. The Federal Reserve (Fed) has expressed the need for stronger evidence of easing inflation before considering interest rate cuts, implying that rates will likely remain higher for an extended period. This could potentially strengthen the US dollar and weigh down gold prices, although factors like US-China trade tensions, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and demand from central banks and Asian buyers may limit the metal's downside. Today, gold traders will focus on the release of FOMC Minutes and a speech by Fed's Goolsbee.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price adjusted down within the H1 trend line, sideway accumulation
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2407 - $2409 SL $2404 scalping
TP1: $2413
TP2: $2418
TP3: $2425
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2399 - $2397 SL $2392
TP1: $2405
TP2: $2415
TP3: $2430
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2440 - $2442 SL $2447
TP1: $2430
TP2: $2425
TP3: $2417
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
Gold price adjusted - slightly decreased⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) loses recovery momentum due to lack of fresh catalysts in a quiet session. However, renewed demand is supported by bets on interest rate cuts from the US Federal Reserve, geopolitical tensions, and strong demand from central banks and Asian buyers. Traders will focus on Fedspeak and the upcoming FOMC Minutes. Hawkish stance from Fed officials may lift the Greenback and lower USD-denominated Gold.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price in the short-term adjustment price line - creating liquidity for the market. Pay attention to the short support zones $2400, $2390
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2392 - $2390 SL $2385
TP1: $2400
TP2: $2410
TP3: $2420
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2454 - $2456 SL $2461
TP1: $2448
TP2: $2440
TP3: $2430
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest
A weaker Australian Dollar vs US DollarThe Australian dollar appears reluctant to break above its resistance level, so we consider selling and targeting the support level below. We believe that the current market conditions suggest a bearish outlook for the Australian dollar, as it struggles to gain momentum above the resistance level. By selling at this point and targeting the support level below, we aim to capitalize on potential downward movement in the currency.
PPI good for USD - Gold falls ! today⭐️ Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️ GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold prices bounce back even as the US Dollar consolidates on Tuesday. However, the rise could be restrained as investors anticipate key US inflation data. Continued high US rates have pressured gold prices recently, but increasing Middle East tensions may temporarily support them.
⭐️ Personal comments NOVA:
Gold price is still recovering - however today's PPI data is likely to support the dollar - Gold is under selling pressure
⭐️ SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2308 - $2306 SL $2300
TP1: $2315
TP2: $2322
TP3: $2330
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2376 - $2378 SL $2383
TP1: $2370
TP2: $2360
TP3: $2350
⭐️ Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️ NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
- The winner is the one who sticks with the market the longest