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Shortxauusd

Gold move under $1205.90 will signal the presence of sellersXAUUSD Technical Overview: Pivot: 1201.20 Key Support: 1200.10 - 1198.45 - 1194.89 - 1191.23 Key Resistance: 1205.45 - 1207.55 - 1210.85 - 1214.75 Technical Indicator: RSI: The indicator having bearish divergence. Moving Average: SMA 55(1194.55) SMA 100(1191.75) & SMA 200(1195.78) strong support for Gold today. Technical Trade View: Most Likely Scenario: long @ 1206.10 with targets @ 1211.00 & 1217.00 in extension. Alternative scenario: below 1201.30 look for further downside with 1197.50 & 1194.00 as targets. Overall, Gold prices have been aggressively rallying overnight. Rather odd that the USD is not leading this move that has triggered a significant and very convincing short squeeze. Remember that according to CFTC data GOLD speculative net positioning increased to its highest since December 2001 as prices declined for a sixth straight month in September. Accounts sold an additional 6,804 contracts in the week to September 25, according to the latest CFTC data published last Friday, bringing total net short positions to 17,648, the most since the week of December 11 2001. Gold has moved higher overnight primarily driven by the return of safe-haven appeal, keeping Italy risks in mind. Interesting I was discussing that fact yesterday, that in the past when we were not dealing with a strong USD narrative, Gold would pop $15-20 higher in a heartbeat on EU contagion fears. Sometimes, it’s easy to be blind to the facts, especially when getting so accustomed to positioning gold off the US dollar moves. But with l tightness in Copper markets influencing the base metal complex higher. There’s likely some knock-on effect from that correlation as well; indeed, shorts are being caught out on this one, and weaker near-term stops above $1200 level are probably contributing the flow. But for a specific technical trigger, commodity traders were focusing a Gold cross currency relationship, and it was the break of Gold vs EUR 1030 that triggered the short position carnage. Thanks YoCryptoManic
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by yoCryptoManic
Gold should continue to ride the Fed-driven roller coaster lowerXAUUSD Technical Overview: Pivot: 1187.55 Key Resistance: 1196.45 - 1198.20 - 1200.0 - 1205.23 Key Support: 1191.73 - 1189.66 - 1185.00 - 1181.53 Technical Indicator: Moving Average: SMA 200 (1196.20) strong resistance & SMA 55 (1188.26) strong support for Gold today. RSI: The RSI moving into overbought condition soon, now moving around 68 level in 1H chart. Technical Trade Idea: Most Likely Scenario: long positions above 1187.55 with targets at 1197.75 & 1200.00 in extension. Alternative scenario: below 1187.55 look for further downside with 1184.89 & 1181.53 as targets. Bullish Scenario A sustained move over $1193.90 will indicate the presence of buyers. If this generates enough upside momentum then look for a possible surge into $1200.00 to $1205.90. The market could begin to really take-off if buyers can overcome $1205.90 with conviction. Bearish Scenario A sustained move under $1193.90 will signal the presence of sellers. If the move is accompanied by strong volume then look for the selling to extend into $1187.50, followed by $1184.30. US ISM Manufacturing: Slowdown in September - Wells Fargo Gold should continue to ride the Fed-driven roller coaster lower "Gold should continue to ride the Fed-driven roller coaster lower, after the FOMC raise," rates as expected at the September meeting and kept the dot plots trajectory largely unaltered. Mr. Powell and friends lifted the long-run dot and went to great lengths to say that dropping any reference to "accommodative" in the communique did not mean that they will be straying from their previously announced plan for no," analysts at TD Securities explained. Thanks YoCryptoManic
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by yoCryptoManic
Yellow Metal Gold Weaken After China Cancels Trade MeetingXAUUSD Technical Overview: Pivot: $1200.20 Key Resistance: $1199.85 - $1204.28 - $1207.47 - $1211.89 Key Support: $1194.33- $1191.56 - $1188.00 - $1186.66 Day Trading Range: $1204 - $1186 Technical Indicator: RSI: The indicator lacks upside momentum, moving below 50 level. Moving Average: SMA 100 ($1199.65), SMA 200 ($1198.45), SMA 50 ($1201.50) strong resistance for Gold today. Technical Trade Idea: Most Likely Scenario: short positions below 1200.20 with targets at 1193.25 & 1189.85 in extension. Alternative scenario: above 1200.20 look for further upside with 1204.55 & 1207.10 as targets. Overall,Driving the price action in gold last week was the U.S. Dollar. For most of the week, gold was underpinned by a weaker U.S. Dollar. On Friday, however, gold managed to give back all of its weekly gains when the dollar rebounded to the upside. Driving the U.S. Dollar’s price action was the investor response to fresh tariffs by the U.S. and China. The trade dispute and the dollar will continue to drive the price action in gold this week. However, this week, the dollar could strengthen and gold could weaken. This is because China called off the trade talks with the United States and said it wouldn’t meet with high level negotiators until after the November mid-term elections. Also contributing to the movement in gold will be the outcome of this week’s two-day Federal Open Market Committee meeting which culminates with the Fed’s interest rate and monetary policy decision on Wednesday, September 26. Although the Fed is widely expected to raise its benchmark interest rate during the meeting, gold traders will be primarily focused on the direction the Fed will chart ahead. Traders essentially want to know how aggressive the Fed will be in increasing rates in the future. Thanks YoCryptoManic
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by yoCryptoManic
European Session Gold keen observing "sensitive US dollar"XAUUSD Technical Overview: Pivot: $1197.10 Day Trading Range: $1194 - $1214 Key Resistance: $1204.45 - $1207.29 - $1212.66 - $1218.89 Key Support: $1197.10 - $1194.22 - $1191.45 - $1189.56 Technical Indicator: RSI: RSI lacks downside momentum, trading above 50 level. Moving Average: SMA200($1198.94) & SMA100($1200.48) strong support for xauusd today. Technical Trade Idea: Most Likely Scenario: long positions above 1197.10 with targets at 1205.50 & 1207.56 in extension. Alternative scenario: below 1197.10 look for further downside with 1194.50 & 1189.45 as targets. Overall, Gold remains in a sideways consolidation between 1214 and 1182 but is making the case for a break higher according to the bullish symmetrical triangle. For bulls to get back control, whereby the market is heavily short of gold and to reconsider its positioning, (net speculative short positions, or bets an asset’s price will fall, in gold, are up 275% year to date), then they need to get and hold above the 50-D SMA at 1211 first, then 1214 which is resistance and then the 200-W SMA at 1233 will need to be challenged. A retry of the downside now should target 1146/20 monthly levels. Fundamentally, the intensifying U.S.-China trade dispute is the driver ahead of next week's FOMC meeting. However, we have only seen modest moves in the greenback so far and markets, in fact, took the trade headlines in their stride. Even with President Donald Trump announcing $200 billion tariffs against China on Monday that provoked an expected and swift retaliation from the nation, fear has yet to really show up in the market and the US benchmarks were higher with the DJIA making another all-time record high. Thanks YoCryptoManic
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by yoCryptoManic
European Session "Golden Eye" on WarXAUUSD Technical Overview: Day Trading Range: $1188.85 - $1207.27 Pivot: $1202 Key Resistance: $1202 - $1205.35 - $1207.89 - $1212.33 Key Support: $1196.28 - $1194.69 - $1191.89 - $1189.21 Technical Indicators: RSI: Indicator is confusing where to go, moving around 50 level, trend downward (See chart RSI). MACD: MacD is having negative volume for xauusd. Moving Avg: SMA55 ($1198.74) strong support & SMA200 ($1199.78) which is CMP (time of writing). Technical Idea: Most Likely Scenario: short positions below 1202.00 with targets at 1196.28 & 1192.20 in extension. Alternative scenario: above 1202.00 look for further upside with 1205.85 & 1208.65 as targets. Overall Review: Trade war fears continue to be a major issue as well, which almost certainly looks likely to pick up a bit. We think that the Gold markets will continue to be very range bound, with the $1195 level underneath the be supportive, and the $1215 level above should be resistive. Overall, this is a market that we think should continue to see volatility, but we also recognize that we are more than likely going to move with the US dollar, as we have seen for some time now. we think at this point though, it’s probably easier to short this market at higher levels than anything else, because the move has been extended so rapidly during the day on Monday. Thanks YoCryptoManic
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by yoCryptoManic
European Session XAUUSD fear from $XAUUSD Technical Overview: Pivot: $1197.20 Day Trading Range: $1200 - $1186 Key Resistance: $1196.44 - $1200.00 - $1205.89 Key Support: $1193.35 - $1189.56 - $1186.78 Technical Indicators: Moving Avg: SMA100 ($1198.33) & SMA200($1200.12) strong resistance for the day. MACD: MacD is having low buyer volume and try to get seller volume soon. Most Likely Scenario: short positions below 1197.25 with targets at 1192.00 & 1187.50 in extension. Alternative scenario: above 1197.25 look for further upside with 1200.00 & 1202.00 as targets. Fundamental: Yellow Metal continue to be held hostage to the US dollar which can’t seem to get its direction Set. This has a lot to do with emerging markets and of course the global trade issues, and as a result the gaining US dollar continues to weigh upon the Gold markets overall. If that’s going to be the case, I think that the market will probably continue to offer selling opportunities on rallies, and that’s probably how you should play this market. Thanks YoCryptoManic
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by yoCryptoManic
Yellow Metal Struggling After US Job DataXAUUSD Pivot: 1198.00 Day Trading Range : $1186.45 - $ 1198.89 Key Resistance: $1196.45 - $1198.89 - $1204.00 Key Support: $1189.56 - $1186.45 - $1182.27 Technical Indicator: Moving Avg: SMA1100($1196.60) & SMA200($1204.16) both are strong resistance for yellow metal for the day. MACD: MacD having negative volume for Gold. Most Likely Scenario: short positions below 1198.00 with targets at 1193.25 & 1190.00 in extension. Alternative scenario: above 1198.00 look for further upside with 1203.00 & 1207.00 as targets. Fundamental: Gold futures closed lower last week with the selling pressure attributed to safe-haven buying of the U.S. Dollar and a jump in Treasury yields fueled by stronger-than-expected U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls data. The selling could have been worse, however. Bullish speculators seem to believe that the Fed is moving closer to neutrality, which means the dollar is not likely to strengthen very much. Additionally, safe haven buyers are also taking positions in the Japanese Yen and Swiss Franc. If you trade the relationship between gold and the Dollar Index and your bullish gold, all you’re hoping for is a rally in the Euro. Thanks YoCryptoManic
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by yoCryptoManic