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Will Silver Close at the High This Year?In September, we discussed the potential of silver forming a 'Cup & Handle' pattern, similar to what we observed with gold at the end of 2023. We saw how gold performed in 2024. If the Silver can settle at around here at the end of this year, establishing this formation, we should be able to see the rising trend of the Silver in 2025. In this tutorial, we will discuss why silver may close higher towards end of the year. Silver Futures & Options Ticker: SI Minimum fluctuation: 0.005 per troy ounce = $25.00 Micro Silver Futures Ticker: SIL Minimum fluctuation: 0.005 per troy ounce = $5.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:SI1!Long
by konhow
1
Can SILVER BREAKOUT above 32.50?Silver (along with every other beaten down commodity) exploded on the news of China's stimulus! Unfortunately for silver bugs "somebody" was lying in wait with a mighty big hammer when it poked its head above 32.50. In a vacuum the fundamentals (supply/demand) are incredibly bullish. However in the macro context of China's housing and economic woes there is a bear case to be made for base and industrial metals. If Copper starts rolling over I expect Silver to follow. Raw cash injections might keep Chinese stocks afloat but I do not believe it alter the reality of the real economy and its effect on commodities. In addition to the issues with China, the US is at serious risk of a recession. 50 basis point cut has never been bullish. If you take the time to look at the last initial 50 basis point cuts it might curb your enthusiasm. I know... this time "its different" TECHNICALS: Silver may retrace to the $30 breakout level.... Great re-entry... if it holds... ( ; If Silver is able to hold above 32.50 the rally remains intact.
COMEX:SI1!Short
by TheSilverOracle
SILVER SHORT via AG (WORST RUN MINER IN THE GAME) FUNDAMENTAL - Price of Silver aside, AG is an incredibly poorly run miner. From mass share dilution to disastrous acquisitions I can not think of a more poorly run company. The stock price speaks for itself... sitting near the lows of the year despite silver at recent highs. SILVER - Silver has been behaving very weak in relation to Gold. Unless we break out above 31.50-32.50 I see Silver continuing to be range bound at best. There are many reasons for this. Mainly indications from strong correlations that I will not mention (secret sauce). TECHNICALS - The price is at a solid supply level (6.20) and has already began dramatic impulses to the downside at any hint of Silver rolling over. In addition we have divergence on the RSI. DISCLAMER: No Neumeyers were hurt in the making of this post
NYSE:AGShort
by TheSilverOracle
The ART of sitting ON YOUR HANDSI was not always a bear... but my arms are tired of holding these Silver Bags for over a decade. I am still bullish! In the long long term ( ; I am still holding a longterm SILJ short position ( see previous post ) but the immediate future is not clear. Will we get an explosive rally leading up to... during... or after the FOMC? I would not bet on it. The truth is however that nobody knows. As Ray Dalio says, "He who lives by the crystal ball will eat shattered glass" The next few weeks will provide a challenge for market timers and speculators. I expect plenty of whipsaw and broken hearts before a trend is established (bullish or bearish). I am waiting for a break of 29.83 to become a Bull and enter Long I am waiting for a break of 26.67 to become a Bear (a big one) and enter Short I strongly recommend waiting for a daily close over these levels before getting to comfortable unless you are prepared to keep a tight stop and run for the hills if either of these breaks turn out to be a trap. Until then this range (in between the two levels will provide plenty of juicy scalping opportunities for cowboys like myself. I am using the .382 Fib level 28.10 (derived from the Oct 23 Low to the High in May 24) as my guiding light and BABB (Bullish above Bearish below) in the interim with TPs at my key break levels. They will be formidable resistance/support zones until broken and proven otherwise. Happy trading!
COMEX:SI1!
by TheSilverOracle
Gold Wash-out Low after Flag Apex. Need To See $2540+ On Close.Watch this video if you are trading gold. With a perfect Flag formation and a deep washout-low rotation, we need to see Gold rally back up to near $2540 to reach the Apex level again. Any continued price weakness will show Gold may be attempting a deeper pullback after reaching $2570. I believe Gold will settle very well into the end of the day. Possibly even reaching $2550+. But, this is news-driven. This move is related to the geopolitical events taking place in Taiwan and other areas of the world. Buckle up. Gold wants to move above $2602 - but it will be a struggle from now on. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
COMEX:GC1!Long
by BradMatheny
Is the Silver to Gold Ratio due to tripleWallStSilver Silver Bugs have had to bear many decades of no euphoric price action Like the saying goes every dog has it's day And in speculation a Bull market in one sector often means another sector get's neglected Things don't move in lock step It's just the nature of speculating/investing which we can't control but also offers us opportunity I believe Silver should be a relative out-performer of most things (not all things) And cheap prices or cheap ratio's tilt the odds in your favour.
TVC:SILVERLong
by BallaJi
Silver is Next to Rally After Gold Whenever gold prices are trending higher, it hints at trouble ahead. Historically, silver always catches up later. During past crises, when this happens, this “silver shift” is very fast and furious. Its magnitude for silver is much greater than that of gold. Video discussion: 1. One key reason why silver is lagging behind for the time being 2. Why Gold and Silver always move in tandem over the long-term? 3. Is there a bond crisis ahead? Gold Futures & Options Ticker: CG Minimum fluctuation: 0.10 per troy ounce = $10.00 Silver Futures & Options Ticker: SI Minimum fluctuation: 0.005 per troy ounce = $25.00 Disclaimer: • What presented here is not a recommendation, please consult your licensed broker. • Our mission is to create lateral thinking skills for every investor and trader, knowing when to take a calculated risk with market uncertainty and a bolder risk when opportunity arises. CME Real-time Market Data help identify trading set-ups in real-time and express my market views. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs www.tradingview.com
COMEX:SI1!Long
by konhow
3
QSI Quantum-Si | Why is so Bullish? Price Target ! If you haven`t bought the Double Bottom here: Then I'll try an explanation why QSI Quantum-Si incorporated is so Bullish right now! QSI is a protein sequencing company, which could be revolutionary, similar to the gene sequencing stocks. Quantum-Si Incorporated is dedicated to developing a protein detection platform that enables Next Generation Protein Sequencing (NGPS). This comprehensive platform consists of the Carbon automated sample preparation instrument, the Platinum single-molecule detection and NGPS instrument with Time-Domain Sequencing chip, the Quantum-Si Cloud data analysis software, and reagent kits designed for use with its instruments. QSI's competitor, RXRX, experienced a significant boost in its stock price after announcing a $50 million investment from NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) on July 12. The investment was part of a private investment in public equity (PIPE) arrangement. With this deal, NVIDIA gains access to Recursion Pharmaceuticals' (NASDAQ: RXRX) extensive biochemical and genetic data. NVIDIA plans to utilize this data to train machine-learning models in support of its new BioNeMo service, an artificial intelligence (AI) tool for drug discovery. Simultaneously, NVIDIA will also collaborate with Recursion to enhance their own models for drug discovery. Apart from Quantum-Si's Platinum product, which began selling this quarter, the company also offers cloud-based proteomics data analysis software, made possible by their single-molecule detection and NGPS instrument with Time-Domain Sequencing chip. Considering this, I believe it's only a matter of time until a major chip developer, such as NVDA, or a cloud services company with interest in the field, makes an investment similar to NVDA's investment in RXRX. This is my growth thesis, and regarding the Price Target, I find $10 to be reasonable for now, and there's also the possibility of a potential buyout. Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
NASDAQ:QSILong
by TopgOptions
4
SI Silvergate Capital going to $0???If you haven`t sold crypto`s favorite bank, SI Silvergate, here: Then you should know that Silvergate Capital Corp, the parent company of Silvergate Bank, announced its closure and liquidation of assets on Wednesday. Shortly after, New York state banking regulators closed down Signature Bank to prevent the fallout from the failure of Silicon Valley Bank. Lawyers representing plaintiffs in a class action lawsuit by FTX customers against 18 defendants, including Signature and Silvergate, claim that these events will severely limit the amount of money they can access if they can prove the banks are responsible. Kerry Miller of Fishman Haygood, whose firm filed the lawsuit in Miami federal court, stated that FTX customers may have to rely on insurance policies covering the banks' top executives and board members since these events impose another hurdle. Haven`t seen any bidders for it, or other banks supporting SI SIlvergate. Most likely to file for bankruptcy and go to $0. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
SShort
by TopgOptions
2
JPM / JP Morgan - Don't Gamble On Regional BanksI know that whenever something drops by 30 or 50 or 70 percent in one or two days it seems like you might be able to smash buy and ride the bounce back to the top, but just take a look at how well that worked out for tech stocks once the market started to correct at the end of 2021, or just take a look at how well that worked for Silicon Valley Bank dip buyers who found their shares worth $0 in a few hours. JP Morgan and the other big American banks aren't just "big American banks," but the financial arm of the United States' military industrial complex. Moreover, they're something that's become a pillar of the entire world's financial ecosystem. The heart of the world's economy is in Manhattan, but they're also the ones responsible for providing a financial life line (a blood transfusion) to the Chinese Communist Party all of these years. Here's some things everyone should think about: 1. Regional banks are not a buy, because they need to be eliminated for Central Bank Digital Currencies 2. SWIFT itself is expanding its CBDC platform pilot globally after a test run that involved a JP Morgan-created centralized fork of Ethereum . 3. CBDCs are required for the global implementation of the CCP's social credit credit system 4. CBDCs mean citizen and small business banking becomes centralized in Federal Reserve proxy accounts ran through the biggest banks 5. Welcome to communism. The purpose of all of this is to install communism for the purposes of attempting to change the human living condition. Credit Suisse is probably going to implode for real and that's going to cause some chaos for the markets. This play is pretty much a mirror of the 2008 GFC with Bear Sterns, which everyone would do well to educate themselves on how that went down . The problem with Central Bank QE isn't all the Libertarian crap you've been told. The problem is that deposits are a liability for banks because they have to pay interest on them, and so they need to seek yield. Seeking yield on a very large position is very hard, because guys like JPM and Blackrock and Vanguard happen to make the markets, and markets are a euphemism for a casino, and casinos are zero sum games where there's a small number of winners and a large number of losers. And so when there's no interest rates, banks have to take risks to generate cashflow to pay interest to the very, very large depositors. When QE was hot that seemed to have meant long bonds, long equities. And then the Fed raised rates 5 percent while they were holding a lot of equities and bonds and now those bonds and equities aren't worth very much. So they're red on their positions and can't HODL through it because of bank runs and go under. It's as simple as that and it was an engineered play for smaller banks to be destroyed and then the big banks buy the liquidations. It's the same as how whales kill sharks by holding them upside down in the water, which makes them disoriented and paralyzed, and then the whales eat their livers and leave them to die. JPM on the monthly is not likely to have topped and gives you no reason to think there's a financial crash or any real bearishness brewing: Yet the weekly shows you confluence between Fib levels and gaps, and that it's just too early to go long, and kind of scary to scalp short to boot: JPM's double tops at $145 made very little sense at the time, and that's because, in my opinion, they were short their own stock under $150 in anticipation of what everyone who's running big data analysis for real knew, that SIVB and SBNY and SI would collapse, that CS was a bloated corpse in the river that the Swiss National Bank couldn't save, and that it was time to start taking down the regional banks by using the crisis as an opportunity. Naturally, being a bank and part of the sector, this will give grounds to make JPM's shares drop, so they just sell, and then buy back, and then give themselves bonuses and go for happy hour with cocaine and strippers when the drama is over because someone buys CS and the Fed pauses hikes, and they pump their own stock back to $200. Another thing is that the narrative is that equities are *going2themoon* because the Federal Reserve just HAS to stop hiking rates now. Look at how much damage the rate hikes caused! They just have to stop hiking now! They probably won't. FOMC hasn't led to a dumpster fire in quite a few months and you should be concerned about that. After Wednesday's FOMC, the next one afterwards is May 2. Expect them to pivot then, not now, and for May, June, July to become another "most hated rally" for bears. Except this time it won't be a bear market rally, but a bump and run reversal, that pumps tech and other dumpster trash to a new ATH that makes bears blow their accounts. Look for longs in the $110 range on JPM and expect the October bottom to hold, because it's called a pivot for a reason, sons. It's JP Morgan. This kind of disaster in the markets today was arranged by them, and is not something they're personally subject to. The disasters that lie ahead for the current regime because of what they've been doing to help the CCP as it persecutes Falun Gong over the last 24 years are retribution that they haven't arranged and that nobody can dodge, and something that will catch the entire market off guard. But for now, you can get $40 a share if you buy in the $110s and sell at $150. And the time horizon is probably literally no later than the end of May, too. Don't go long on regional banks. Go long on the big banks. And then get out and be careful, because everything in this world is about to change very quickly, and human beings are not going to be able to bear the terribleness of what happens when the regime goes to install communism worldwide.
Editors' picks
NYSE:JPMLong
by LordWrymouth
10
Silver SI - A Simple Trendline and Levels ScalpSilver's price action has been curious, as it started to drop suddenly right at the beginning of February. Lost 5% in a day, in fact. Gold took a little bit longer to move, and notably dumped on a much smaller magnitude. I have an open call from mid-January that gold is likely to correct, and it appears to be coming to fruition: Gold GC1 - Discard Greed, Enjoy the Tranquility of Rationality The thesis being that the Nasdaq and tech will moon... Nasdaq NQ QQQ - Reality Will Be a Tough Pill for Permabears And as it does, metals will dump, and once the stock market is exhausted then the pump cycle will rotate back into metals, and things will really go. All that being said, I believe that based on Silver's price action that it's dumped for the purpose of short trapping and liquidating longs and is about to make another move up before silver really starts to head down. A warning on China Since January 10, the Chinese Communist Party has claimed that there has been 0.00 new Wuhan Pneumonia/COVID-19 cases. This comes after news that the country was absolutely sacked by the pandemic after Xi Jinping threw away the disastrous COVID-Zero social credit lockdown blunder. The after effects were so significant that countries like South Korea were suddenly blanketed in difficult-to-explain smog , which may very well have come from mainland cremation furnaces being on full blast. What this tells you is that at any moment, any bullish impulse in markets-at-large can be interrupted by big time pandemic problems, up to and including the USSR-style fall of the CCP. So you have to be careful, and you have to be prepared. Mainstream media is not going to alert you that there's any problems with their darling erstwhile model of the world they want to create: the Chinese Communist Party. They'll leave you ignorant until the disaster is sprung on you like a cantilever and you'll be the one who suffers the regrets. If you have heavy long positions you should really hedge with 60+ day 10% OTM puts on the indexes/index ETFs. The call To understand silver, we have to look at the long term price action. Monthly We're dealing with a _very_ wide dealing range between $30 and $12~. '22's low of the year was only $17.50, and any very very bearish scenario below that could see as low as $13. I have reservations that we see $13. I think that in reality a bear impulse on silver might only go as low as $15, and not for very long. On weekly bars, the present situation is more obvious. Weekly We're dealing with a 10+% pullback with both a trendline and the $25 algorithmic/psychological operation figure that went untouched. Not only did $25 go untouched, but they set a double top there before the curiously-timed dump that gold did not follow. Thus, I believe that what the market makers have set up to do is to raid the $25.50 level, perhaps in the period around Tuesday's CPI and into the end of February, before silver retreats back towards $18. The iShares Silver Trust $SLV likewise set a double top, failing to raid the previous daily high by 2 cents. All the stars are aligning, so to speak, and makes a fine trade long over $25 in anticipation of a Lyft-style fakey trendline breakout: LYFT - Buy the Dip, Ride the Lift $22 --> $25.5 is close enough to 15% and in a time horizon that should manifest before February is out. This play will also knock out a ton of short sellers, while bringing in a lot of momentum traders who like to buy highs. The MMs may also use this to drag in the fools who think that the USD is done and that their bullion will reign supreme, despite us living in an era when every central bank wants to install its own digital currency and its own CCP-style social credit system. And thus, if this pump does manifest, you have to mind your greed. Over $25 is a sell and you want to see big manipulation to the downside, because when this Party is very close to being finished, $50+ silver is legitimately coming.
COMEX:SI1!Long
by LordWrymouth
3
Bitcoin is doing exactly what it was designed to do!Traders, These are the times in history when we are supposed to see heroes rise to the occasion. With the trust in the U.S. dollar faltering a bit, lead by the failures of some major banks (Silicon, Silicon Valley, Signature, Credit Suisse), the time for Bitcoin to shine is now. And it has! To some, the recent move up in Bitcoin came as a surprise. However, it shouldn't have been. This is what Bitcoin was designed for, to provide a hedge against the failures of large centralized institutions and the eventual inherent risk of holding the U.S. dollar. And it's doing exactly that remarkably well. We should expect this type of response from Bitcoin again in the future as we continue to see cracks in the system laid bare! Stew
CRYPTOCAP:BTC.D
by stewdamus
4
The FED HAS already pivoted! Who cares what the FED does next?Apologies for the click-baity title, but I did want to get your attention to make (once again) my point that inflation is ON now and that the FED has actually pivoted while many are watching and don't see it that way. Let me explain. Back when the FED started raising rates rapidly I grew worried that at this unprecedented pace of rate hikes, something would break. I stated this all along through each of my post. Foolish people and businesses simply do not have the acumen to hedge against the rapidity of dried-up liquidity in the markets. I did not know the banks would become the first culprit exposed in their foolish investment endeavors. But here we are. Banks are failing because of their own stupidity and guess who gets to pay for it once again? That's right, you and I do through the continued devaluation of our U.S. dollar. "But the dollar's getting stronger", you emphatically retort. Yes. It was. As the FED moved to increase rates in a reactionary manner, as they always are, the dollar did gain strength and is currently fairly strong, relatively speaking. However, things will soon change and many do not even know it as they are focused on the wrong indicator, FED rate hike action and future interest rates. While this is certainly still important, it does not tell the whole story. As you know, I have been calling for a pause or pivot from the FED soon. That pivot has already come. "How so?", you asked. The FED has not articulated strong indicative language regarding a pause or pivot. That's true. But while the banks were failing, the FED did begin to guarantee depositors their money due to 'systemic risks'. I've heard this before (think 2008 and the BIG 3). In guaranteeing depositors their funds, the FED mushroomed its balance sheet by roughly $300 billion dollars last week alone! And this may just be the beginning! Incredible. This is the pivot that I was looking for from the FED. So, while everyone else continues to focus on what the FED will do next in terms of interest rates, savvy investors have already spotted the change and recognize that it's now inflation ON! This subtle (or not so subtle, pending perspective) change in direction correlates with three important thesis points that I have been making all along: That something will break That the FED will pause/pivot That we will see a blowoff top in the US stock market It also aligns with current technicals. As you can observe from the chart above, price action has retested our macro-downtrend line precisely as anticipated, has bounced from there as anticipated, and is currently trending up as anticipated. I do believe this is the beginning of our blowoff top with a price target of US500 to be at or around $5,500 to $6k by early to late fall. Maybe early winter. Timing is difficult. Best to you all, Stew
ULong
by stewdamus
2
SVB, Silvergate, Signature: 2008 Again?Hi Traders, Investors and Speculators of the Charts 📈📉 Ev here, committed to keep you updated on the latest major event that's taking the world by storm: The recent collapse of three major banks: Silicon Valley Bank $SIVB , Silvergate Capital Corporation $SI and now Signature Bank $SBNY . It has since came to light that many cryptocurrency companies had vested interest in thee bank including Coinbase, Circle and Ripple. Furthermore, over a dozen Chinese-based firms confirmed their exposure to SVB. Many other companies have since confirmed exposure including Roku ($487 million) , Etsy $ETSY , BlockFi and more. Most recently: 🛑 HSBC agreed to acquires UK branch of SVB for 1 pound . Yes, yes you read that correctly. 🛑 Just a few hours ago, signature Bank, a New York financial institution with a big real estate lending business that had recently made a play to win cryptocurrency deposits, closed its doors Sunday after regulators said that keeping the bank open could threaten the stability of the entire financial system. 🛑 It comes to light that SVB executives sold large portions of their shares earlier in February: - CEO George B. sells 11% on 27 Feb - General Counsil Michael Z. sells 19% 5 Feb - CFO Daniel B. sells 32% 27 Feb - CMO Michelle D. sells 25% 1 Feb Are we seeing some shocking similarities to the 2008 market crash? The global financial crisis of 2008 was caused by a complex interplay of factors, including the collapse of several major banks. Some of the notable banks that collapsed or were bailed out during the crisis: 1) Lehman Brothers: This investment bank filed for bankruptcy on September 15, 2008, after it became clear that it was heavily exposed to toxic mortgage-backed securities. 2) Bear Stearns: This investment bank was acquired by JPMorgan Chase in a government-backed bailout in March 2008, after it became clear that it was struggling to meet its financial obligations. 3) Washington Mutual: This savings and loan bank was seized by federal regulators in September 2008 and its assets were sold to JPMorgan Chase. 4) Merrill Lynch: This investment bank was acquired by Bank of America in a government-brokered deal in September 2008, after it became clear that it was heavily exposed to mortgage-backed securities. 5) Wachovia: This commercial bank was acquired by Wells Fargo in a government-brokered deal in October 2008, after it became clear that it was heavily exposed to risky mortgage assets. These are just a few of the banks that experienced significant financial difficulties during the crisis. The collapse of these institutions had a profound impact on the global economy, leading to widespread job losses, foreclosures, and economic turmoil. In case you missed the earlier updates and important facts: In the past few weeks, there have been two significant bank failures in the United States that have sent shockwaves throughout the financial world. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank and Silvergate Bank has sparked concerns about the stability of the banking system and the future of the crypto industry. The failure of these banks highlights the fragility of the financial system and the challenges faced by institutions that operate in high-risk sectors like tech and crypto. Silicon Valley Bank ( SVB ) was closed by the FDIC on March 9 due to its heavy losses caused by the downturn in technology stocks and the U.S. Federal Reserve's aggressive plan to increase interest rates. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (FDIC) is an independent agency created by the US Congress in 1933 to maintain stability and public confidence in the nation's financial system. The FDIC provides deposit insurance that guarantees the safety of deposits in member banks, up to a certain limit. In the event that a member bank fails, the FDIC will step in to insure deposits, provide assistance to depositors, and liquidate the failed bank's assets. The FDIC also regulates and supervises member banks, as well as conducts research and analysis on the banking industry. Silicon Valley Bank bought bonds using customers' deposits, but the value of those investments fell as interest rates rose. This is usually not a problem for banks, but Silicon Valley Bank's customers were largely startups that needed cash. Venture capital funding was drying up, and companies were tapping their existing funds deposited with Silicon Valley Bank, which was at the center of the tech startup universe. In response to this liquidity crisis, SVB sold a $21bn bond portfolio at a loss of $1.8 billion. The bank attempted to fill the solvency hole with a combined equity offering of $2.25bn on March 8, but the attempt failed. This is the largest failure of a financial institution in the United States since Washington Mutual collapsed more than a decade ago. The closure of SVB had an immediate effect on some startups that had ties to the bank, as they scrambled to pay their workers and feared having to pause projects or lay off employees until they could access their funds. SVB , the 16th largest bank in the US, had assets of $209 billion, with more than 50% of its investments tied up in long-term securities, including exposure to the Silicon Valley tech and health startup world. The bank's sudden collapse has raised questions about its risk management practices, and the impact of its closure on its clients, who are largely startups and wealthy tech workers. The bank's large uninsured deposits and exposure to high-risk sectors like tech and crypto contributed to its downfall. But SVB isn't the only one... Silvergate Bank, which has been a significant player in the crypto world, has announced that it is closing and returning deposits. The bank's holding company, Silvergate Capital Corporation, stated that the decision was made "in light of recent industry and regulatory developments." The closure follows the loss of one billion dollars in a quarter after customers withdrew $8.1 billion, and a subsequent filing in March revealing even worse financials. The closure of Silvergate Bank is concerning for the crypto industry, as it may lead to companies turning to less regulated institutions for their banking needs, potentially making the space even riskier. Coinbase, Crypto.com, and Paxos have already started moving away from the bank. The collapse of the bank will likely draw scrutiny from lawmakers who are concerned about the crypto contagion affecting the traditional financial sector. The Silvergate Exchange Network, which allowed crypto exchanges like Coinbase, Gemini, and Kraken to move money between themselves and other institutions, has also been shut down. The bank's financial struggles have been ongoing for some time, with some of its high-profile clients like FTX and Genesis also experiencing challenges. Silvergate's collapse raises concerns about the future of the crypto industry, as companies may turn to less regulated institutions for their banking needs, potentially making the space even riskier for everyone involved. The bank's failure is also likely to draw scrutiny from lawmakers concerned about the potential contagion of the crypto industry on the traditional financial sector. Late Friday night Coinbase, a popular cryptocurrency exchange, announced that it would suspend conversions for the USDC stablecoin. This led to a rush of people trying to sell their USDC holdings, causing it to depeg from its value of $1 and trade as low as $0.87 before recovering to $0.92. Another stablecoin, Dai, also depegged and experienced a high volume of trading. Stablecoins are important in the cryptocurrency market as they provide a way for traders to move funds between different exchanges or cryptocurrencies without having to convert back to fiat currency. They are also used as a store of value by some cryptocurrency investors who prefer a more stable asset compared to the volatility of Bitcoin or other cryptocurrencies. If stablecoins depeg permanently, it could lead to a loss of confidence in their stability and reliability. This could potentially cause a sell-off of stablecoins and a shift towards other assets perceived as more stable, such as traditional fiat currencies. But before we panic too hard and FUD out, it's important to note that the impact of this crisis on cryptocurrencies such as alts and Bitcoin would depend on the severity and duration of the stablecoin depegging event, as well as other market factors such as investor sentiment and regulatory actions. In the past, there have been instances of stablecoins temporarily depegging from their underlying assets without significant impact on the broader cryptocurrency market. One notable example of a stablecoin depegging in the past is the case of Tether (USDT) in 2018. Tether is a stablecoin that is pegged to the value of the US dollar , with each USDT token representing one US dollar . In October 2018, Tether's price dropped below the $1 peg on several cryptocurrency exchanges, leading to concerns about the stability of the stablecoin. The depegging was attributed to a variety of factors, including regulatory pressures, concerns about Tether's reserves, and a general market downturn. The depegging led to a sell-off of Tether and a shift towards other stablecoins such as USD Coin ( USDC ) and TrueUSD (TUSD), which saw increased demand as traders and investors sought more reliable alternatives. Despite the depegging of Tether, the broader cryptocurrency market did not experience a significant impact, with Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies largely unaffected. However, the incident highlighted the potential risks and uncertainties associated with stablecoins and their reliance on centralized institutions to maintain their pegs. In terms of price action for the immediate term, the Tether (USDT) depegging event in 2018 did have some impact on the cryptocurrency market prices, although the impact was relatively limited and short-lived. Following the depegging of USDT, there was a brief sell-off of Tether and a shift towards other stablecoins such as USD Coin ( USDC ) and TrueUSD (TUSD). This led to increased demand for these stablecoins, which helped to maintain their pegs to the US dollar . However, the broader cryptocurrency market, including Bitcoin , was largely unaffected by the Tether depegging. While there was some initial volatility and uncertainty, the market quickly stabilized and resumed its upward trend. 💭 Share your thoughts in the comment section and stay tuned! _______________________ 📢Follow us here on TradingView for daily updates and trade ideas on crypto , stocks and commodities 💎Hit like & Follow 👍 We thank you for your support ! CryptoCheck
SShort
by CryptoCheck-
29
Why SI Silvergate Capital Corporation Collapsed ? If you haven`t bought puts here: Then you should know that last week, Silvergate's stock plunged by up to 45% following the company's announcement that it would delay filing its annual report due to ongoing investigations by various regulatory bodies, including the U.S. Department of Justice. This led major players in the crypto industry, including Coinbase and Paxos, to sever ties with Silvergate. The second largest bank serving digital assets companies, Silvergate, announced that it would wind down its operations on March 8. Analysts attributed the decline to a loss of trust in the crypto industry following the FTX meltdown, as well as concerns raised by short sellers primarily on Twitter. Silvergate primarily serviced cryptocurrency firms, including FTX, which ultimately failed. I am still bearish on the outlook of this stock! Looking forward to read your opinion about it!
SShort
by TopgOptions
1
COIN Coinbase Crypto Winter in SpringIf you haven`t sold COIN here, ahead of earnings: Then you should know that following a string of investigations and lawsuits against it, Silvergate Bank, a prominent lender to cryptocurrency firms, lost five key partners on March 2. Coinbase, Paxos, Gemini, BitStamp, and Galaxy Digital were among the notable crypto firms that previously relied on Silvergate as their banking partner. As a result, Coinbase ended its relationship with SI Silvergate and turned to SBNY Signature Bank, which i also believe it can drop significantly in price. In my opinion, we are about to witness a Crypto Winter in full Spring. COIN Coinbase could easily reach $53 by the end of this month, according to the Fibonacci retracement tool. Looking forward to read your opinion about it.
NASDAQ:COINShort
by TopgOptions
8
Silvergate Capital - Crypto's White Knights About to Eat a MOASSSo, Silvergate Capital is this bank that services the crypto market and is arguably a pretty shady company. It's a shady company because crypto itself is extremely filthy, is a cult, and doing business with shady cult people who are printing money out of thin air on the Internet brings with itself certain problems that no bank who is legit is willing to muddy its hands with. Crypto is this thing that was originally supposed to provide a check and balance against a national central banking system that was corrupted by the globalists. But, like everything else, crypto was co-opted and ruined by the exact same system it was designed to destabilize. History has come to pass, and just like really dirty water, you can't make it clean ever again. You can only burn it and watch it vanish. If you want to see where the real scam with crypto and its "stablecoins" like BUSD and Tether is, then you need to start looking at how Chinese Communist Party-related entities have pumped and dumped other cryptos, ultimately for conversion into BTC and ETH, which are offloaded on both foreign (South Korea) and US domestic exchanges in exchange for USD. The ultimate purpose of which is for CCP princelings to enrich themselves, and for the regime to have an under-the-table blood transfusion route for USD, which it has needed to stay alive all these years. They need USD because you need USD to buy oil and commodities. It's just that simple. Don't believe it? Look at what happened with Sri Lanka last year when it ran out of USD reserves and couldn't buy oil. People burned the presidential palace to the ground, and their president had to run away in a helicopter. The Communist Party has never been powerful. The Communist Party is dangerous, but it's not powerful. Nothing as riddled by corruption as it is counts as "powerful." It's just that all its members are bound by "mutually assured destruction." Since none of the white knights are willing to touch the topic of the connection to history's most wicked and brutal regime and just want to sound off about Binance and Tether for likes on Twitter, this should already tell you a lot about the integrity of the people who claim to be fighting for justice. But if there's one thing I despise the most, it's the soy leftists who feign to be white knight justice warriors who are opposed to the crypto ponzi and the money laundering scheme, because they just, like, really have morals, yeah? But in reality they use the opportunity to bring in a glut of followers and readers who lost a lot of money in crypto and are resentful and disenfranchised to both grift from and spread socialist indoctrination to. That group of scum happens to be a group boys and girls who has been, only because they were provided intelligence from someone who understands, holding puts on SI and SBNY for a very long period of time. People who are following the instructions of others tend to fail at thinking for themselves, and they tend to get greedy and forget that they don't actually have any abilities. If you don't believe it, just look at all the fools who called for $85 and $55 Tesla when it was already at $100 after falling for four or five straight months. Their bottom puts, and their puts all the way back up, all expired worthless as Tesla more than doubled in value and never even dipped again. Further to my point, Silvergate is the #1 most shorted stock in the market , and by a huge margin. 73.5% of the float is shorted as of Jan. 31, the most recent reporting. Putting that into perspective, everyone's favourite memecoin to lose money on, Bed Bath and Beyond , only had 48% of its float shorted. Now, it's a fallacy to think that because something is super shorted that you're going to get a "MOASS," and even stupider to think that retail can combine their bottle depot pocket change to take out Wall Street's positions. That was never what happened with Wall Street Bets and Gamestop. What really happened is a narrative was spun on the Marxist Reddit PR train to bring in idiots to provide exit liquidity at the top, and only an idiot would believe the narrative that retail combined forces to injure the pearly gates of the world's financial heart. Moreover, despite SI being such a piece of crap and the crypto market being on the verge of being smashed by the Federal Reserve and the US Treasury as they take down stablecoins to install a Central Bank Digital Currency and their own version of the CCP's social credit system, one based on "saving the world from climate change," according to 12/31 SEC filings , the biggest holders of SI, fundamental names like Blackrock and Vanguard, State Street, Block.One, Morgan Stanley, etc, all increased their positions. That should really ring some bells for you boys who are following the soy leftists on Twitter to ape on how crypto, SBNY, SI, Tether, and Binance are all going to $0, and going to $0 tomorrow. You're a few months early. Guillotines fall from high up. Use your brain. Moreover, you can divine some insight from the options chain . Open interest on puts with strikes at $10, $15, and $17.50 are in the high four and mid five digits expiring March 17, and in the low four digits expiring in April from $12.50. But starting in May, open interest on calls with strikes from $15 to $50 are low to high four figures, while in May, there's 35,000 contracts of open puts from $10. I'm of the opinion that Bitcoin is about to retrace significantly to take out early bulls and trap overzealous bears who don't understand market structure and can't think like the market maker. Bitcoin - Can You Fade the Bear Trap for $34,000? Since SI is a crypto bank it will be algorithmically moved in connection with the underlying asset. There is confluence in the price action on SI in that the lows have not been retested. Yet, the dump on crypto is not going to be to set new lows. It's more likely to print new highs. But what the monthly candles tell you is that an extremely critical pivot was already taken out in January: And what weekly candles show you is that when price bounced back into the $20s, PA both printed lower highs and was held back by the mitigation candle left in November Moreover, from the Friday close to the low is a 25% range. This % is a very significant amount from a PNL perspective. Thus, I believe that what is coming is: 1. Too early to go long and PA doesn't support it. 2. Crypto is likely to correct before going up again, if it goes up again. 3. Bottoms are untested, and so a double bottom is possible, but a 78%+ retrace is slightly more likely. 4. Bears are looking for $0.00 because they're very smart, very rational, and are avatars of justice. 5. MMs are going to show them the meaning of "expired worthless" because they're the ones who sold them the puts, lol. You have to understand that a call for a long trade is not an endorsement of a company, the stock market's health at large, or an underlying instrument. It's simply that things don't go to the bottom in a straight line, and the more greedy people become, the more fearful you should be. This is a Warren Buffet quote, and if you can keep a cool head you can take advantage of what's about to happen. Not only can you take advantage of the long opportunity, but you can use the wisdom to find the best short for when these D-list banks really do go to $0.
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by LordWrymouth
10