Si1! (Silver Futures)
XAGUSD Bull Flag to test the strength of the MA50 (1d).Silver has completed a Cup pattern with the price breaking above it this week.
Yesterday's pull back may start a Bull Flag, delayed Handle of the Cup, same as the mid April Bull Flag that gave an excellent buy above the MA50 (1d).
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the 1.0 Fibonacci level.
Targets:
1. 38.500 (the 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is also trading on a similar pattern as April. A neutral (1d) RSI is perhaps the most efficient buy signal there is.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
Cycles and Sentiment may no Longer Matter - SilverWatch video for more detail on the trajectory for silver's next move
EDIT: in the video I said "convert unleveraged to leveraged"
I mean to say take profit on leveraged positions and convert to unleveraged accordingly depending on how quickly we approach 35-40
XAGUSD One of the best investments you can make for 2025.Silver (XAGUSD) has successfully followed up the May - August 2024 Bull Flag with a green September 1M candle that recovered all loses. Having broken above its Resistance, the trend looks more bullish than ever, especially on the hyper long-term 1M time-frame.
We can view the whole sequence since 2021 as a Cup and Handle (C&H) pattern. Interestingly enough, this is not the first time we see a similar pattern historically. Based on the 1M RSI fractal, we can see similar Arc patterns formed in 2008/09, 2000/03 and even 1974/78.
All of them rose to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level from the Cup's top. On the current pattern at hand, the 2.0 Fib is a little higher than 50.000. Keeping in mind that the new Cycle of Rate cutting has already started by the Fed, buying a stable asset such as Silver under this economic environment, is perhaps one of the best investments we can make for 2025.
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XAGUSD correction towards the end of the year.Silver (XAGUSD) has made a Double Top (red circle) on October 04 near the Higher Highs trend-line of the 2-year Channel Up. Last time it did a similar Higher High was on May 05 2023, after remarkably a similar +48.50% rise, it started a correction that extended below bot the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
The first stop was the 1D MA200 and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level and that's where our end-of-year Target is at 28.500.
Notice also the 1W MACD similarities between the two peak fractals. Also the time from bottom to top has been highly identical at 246 and 248 days respectively.
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XAGUSD: If this Bearish Cross happens, it's a sell.Silver is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 63.461, MACD = 0.757, ADX = 29.627) but hit yet again the top (HH) of the Channel Up and got rejected. The metal has gained recently due to the tensions in the Middle East and after today's much stronger than expected Nonfarm Payrolls report, it should see a retrace as the USD is expected to gain, while the geopolitical tensions ease. The last Channel Up correction hit the 0.618 Fibonacci level, so any sell target above it and the 1D MA50, is justified (TP = 30.400).
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XAGUSD One final Low remaining.Silver (XAGUSD) has been trading within a 2-year Channel Up pattern and since its last Higher High (top) on the week of May 20 2024, it has been declining on the new Bearish Leg. The price already broke below the 1D MA100 (red trend-line) and so far seems to be replicating the Bearish Leg (Channel Down) of May - September 2023.
With the 1D RSI sequences between the two fractals also similar, we expect Silver to make one final Low just below the 1W MA50 and above the 0.618 Fibonacci level, before bottoming and rebound. Our Target is 26.500.
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Gold, copper, silver: A hard or soft-landing conundrumMetals were all lower on Tuesday as investors braced for a hard-landing scenario. But not all metals fell equally. We take a look at gold, silver and copper to sort the longs from the shorts, depending on which variant of an economic landing we could be facing.
Gold Ripper Rally Set For 8-16 into 8-20 Targeting $2575-$2650Have you been following my research on GOLD?
This next move will likely be a very strong Ripper-Rally where Gold will break through the dual Flag Apex and move dramatically higher over the next 5-10+ days.
I will let this video tell you all you need to know.
Remember, watch my Gold Dual-Leg Rally video too.
I wonder what the "driver" of this rally in Gold will be?
US-Dollar?
Foreign Markets?
Some political or geo-political news?
Something will send Gold upward $75-$100+ over the next 5+ days.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis on Silver (XAGUSD) Looking to BuyShort Term Elliott Wave View in Silver (XAGUSD) suggests that pullback to 28.58 low ended a wave (A). The metal turned higher again in wave (B) ended at 31.75 high. The market resuming lower from wave (B) high breaking below 28.58 low to rule a larger correction. It means, Silver is developing a wave (C) of ((4)) as a zig zag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave (B), wave ((i)) ended at 28.65 and wave ((ii)) ended at 29.45. Wave ((iii)) lower ended at 27.40, and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 28.19. Wave ((v)) ended at 27.29 which completed wave 1. Pullback in wave 2 ended at 29.22 high and the metal resumed lower in wave 3.
Down from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 27.93 and wave ((ii)) ended at 28.67. Wave ((iii)) lower ended at 26.49, and pullback in wave ((iv)) built a triangle structure ended at 27.16. Currently, silver is trading in wave ((v)) of 3. We are calling for one more low to end the cycle. The ideal place to end this wave comes in 26.32 – 26.06 area, where buyers should appear to start wave 4 pullback. Near term, as far as pivot at 29.22 high stays intact, expect pullback as wave 4 to fail in 3, 7 or 11 swing for further downside in wave 5 of (C).
GOLD Plan Your Trade For 8-7 : Huge Dual-Leg Rally Setup $2550+Gold is setting up a unique dual-leg rally phase, and traders need to be aware of this before the move is complete.
The recent panic setoff by the BOJ unsettled the markets - including Gold.
The Yen Carry-trade unwound over the past 5+ days - resulting in a very consolidated downward price trend in Gold.
I believe Gold is about to make two very big moves to the upside.
The first move will be quick. Probably lasting only 2 or 3 days.
The second move may be a bit longer, but it has the ability to rally well above $2550 as Gold reverts higher.
Please pay attention to this video if you follow Gold. Gold as a hedge is one thing. This move is related to the reversion pressure and the protection of currency devaluation after the past 3+ weeks of global decoupling.
I believe this next rally in gold will be explosive (min upside target $2550 or higher).
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
XAGUSD Buy this dead-cat bounce.Silver (XAGUSD) remains within the 2-year Channel Up pattern we mentioned on our Aptil 17 analysis (see chart below) that hit our 32.000 Target:
The price is on a 3-week correction, which is technically natural within this pattern. The symmetry with the previous Bearish Leg of the Channel Up suggests that since the price has hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level from the top, it might rebound like the July 17 2023 High pricing on the 0.786 Fib (blue).
As a result, as long as the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) stays intact, we now turn bullish for the medium-term, targeting 31.000 (just below the 0.786 Fib).
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Gold & Silver May Rally 65% to 120% Before End Of 2025This updated research video highlights why I believe Gold and Silver are about to launch higher over the next 90+ days - into the upper ranges of my BreakAway phase. This move would represent a 20~25% move for Gold and a 35~45% move for Silver.
But the BIG MOVE won't happen till after November 2024. That's when I expect to see Gold make a large upward move targeting $3500~3750+ and Silver making a move targeting $40~55+.
Why am I so confident metals will make this aggressive move higher?
It comes down to two things.
A. If the US economy continues to be the 900-lb Gorilla compared to other global economies, then metals will become the primary or secondary hedge asset for most of the world (the US dollar being the other).
B. The turmoil related to a new US President (new policies, plans, foreign relationships) could present a very real tipping point for certain aspects of the global economy. And it does not matter if Trump or Biden wins. The reality is the world will be shifting quickly into a transition phase as we move closer to 2030.
Part of the Generational Cycle process that many people fail to understand is human psychology paired with excessive central bank manipulation over the past 20+ years. This has led to a very interesting global central bank predatory mode, which is currently playing out quite aggressively related to global currencies.
The primary hedge instruments are US-Dollar-based assets and metals. That will probably continue - but at a more significant demand rate.
All of this plays out as an incredible opportunity for skilled traders.
Go get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
DAILY FOREX MARKET WATCH: SILVER IS BULLISH!Silver is the market analyzed.
After respecting the W +FVG, a bullish BOS followed.
The D1 shows another +FVG was formed, a bullish indication.
I am looking for the D1 +FVG to be tested before price heads higher. It would be a great POI to
long from.
If you like the video, give a thumbs up and subscribe!
And thanks!
May profits be upon you.
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gold & Silver Build Momentum Into A New Rally PhaseAre you following my videos/research? If not, pay attention.
Gold and Silver will start to build momentum over the next few weeks - eventually moving 5 to 12% higher before mid-September.
This is a huge move for metals and will prompt Gold to attempt a rally toward $2750 while Silver attempts to rally above $32 - possibly targeting $34.
The dynamics of the global markets and the pending US POTUS elections will continue to drive global traders harder into precious metals as a hedge.
Nothing has changed.
The only thing that is new and taking place right now is the pause in metals is nearing an end point - which means we shift into bullish trending again.
Get ready - here we go (BULLISH)
We remain wary of today’s gains on gold and silverSilver rose over 2% in Thursday’s Asian session, eventually prompting gold to try and catch up. Yet gold’s ‘rally’ was lacklustre in comparison, and with silver pausing near a resistance cluster, we’d prefer to fade fold below $2350 for a move lower.
Silver has stalled around a high-volume node (HVN) and trend resistance. RSI (2) is overbought and prices have risen whilst volumes were lower. RSI (2) is also overbought for gold on this timeframe with lower volumes, and the monthly pivot point and weekly R1 pivot reside around 2350.
Bears could fade into gold below $2350 and target the weekly pivot around $2320. They could also seek shorts on silver around current levels with $30 as an initial target. At which point, bulls could then seek evidence of a swing low around the monthly pivot point or $30 for long swing trade.
XAGUSD continues to give excellent set-ups to trade.Silver (XAGUSD) couldn't have gone better on our last signal we gave (April 17, see chart below) as it did give us the pull-back inside Resistance Zone 1 that we wanted in order to buy and immediately rallied to the top of the Channel Up to hit our 32.00 Target:
Since the break-out, the metal entered a more aggressive Diverging Channel Up (blue), which after a Higher High, it pulls back to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and then rallies to the -0.5 Fib.
As a result, we will wait until the price approached the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again as it did on May 02 and then buy, targeting 35.000 (just below the -0.5 Fib and at the Top of the Channel Up).
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XAGUSD: Bullish Megaphone going for its top.Silver is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.691, MACD = 1.067, ADX = 40.719) as it reversed last week's minor pull-back. Being supported on the 1D MA50, the current Bullish Megaphone pattern is aiming for its top. We are expecting a +33.66% rise (TP = 34.500), same as the first Bullish Wave.
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Silver Will Continue To Channel In Dual-Flag SetupIf you are trading Silver, you need to see this video. Be prepared for a sideways melt-up in Silver while the dual Flags play out.
Gold will likely move more aggressively than Silver. But Silver will give you two or three opportunities to buy into the lows.
Pay attention.
XAGUSD New Bull Cycle but pull-back possible. Buy it.Silver (XAGUSD) easily broke through the 25.000 Target we set 2 months ago (February 15, see chart below) and invalidated the Triangle pattern as it is entering into a new long-term Bull Cycle:
This was achieved as it broke above the 2-year Resistance Zone 1 and the Triangle transitioned into a Channel Up. Last week it hit Resistance Zone 2 and technically we should be expecting a medium-term pull-back as this is close to the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up. Note that Resistance Zone 2 was formed after the August 2020 High.
We are looking for a buy within 26.500 - 26.000 to target the top of the Channel at 32.000. A Resistance Zone 2 break-out practically confirms the new Bull Cycle. We have to point out also the the 1W RSI broke last week above the 70.00 overbought barrier and is at the highest level since September 2020.
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