XAGUSD: Sideways within a Rectangle. Bigger downside. Short.Silver is trading within a 14.500 - 14.800 1D Rectangle (RSI = 52.138, STOCH = 53.739, ADX = 17.520, CCI = 1.5082, Highs/Lows = 0.0000) that is dictating the movement for the better part of the month. However as long as the 14.895 Resistance holds, the downside potential towards the 14.220 Support will be greater. Short TP = 14.265.
Si1
Silver. Short Opportunity. Target 12-13.66Silver market was undermined with a notorious Flash Crash occurred last summer.
The chart structure was spoiled but at the end of the day if we have enough patience
to wait until dust settles we could see the clear picture again.
I spotted for you both the blue downtrend and the yellow triangle pattern in the wave X on the chart.
It looks like we can gain from the last drop down to the previous low at the 13.65 or even lower to the downside
of the downtrend to the area of 12 handle.
The RSI indicator can't raise its head above the waterline beyond the 50 level and it favors the short.
The invalidation level is set at the finish of the wave "e" of X at the 17.70 level.
The minimum risk/reward then is equal to 2 and is healthily asymmetric.
SILVER IN CRASH MODE - USDOLLAR to 1021. Wave (X) is a complex correction, in that wave "X" is a triangle.
2. For me wave a) has finished and we are in the b) wave
3. I am expecting the wave "C" has to fall below the spike happen @ 14.390
to finish the wave (X)(red color)
4. Lot of possibilities wave formation and it may go messy too...
but for me this may happen here...dont bias on this..my stop
is in 15.600 below for the previous buy given @ 16.050-15.900.
5. I am looking my long position to closed once it reached and cross
above the 16.200 zone.
Silver: fractal studyFound this fractal at the foot of the 2011 silver berg... looks ominous. Many of these types of "forerunner" fractals I've seen that lie at the foot of crypto bubbles have played out accurately so far.
Silver plays a very long game. A lot can happen, fundamentals can change (no I don't think they're factored in already).
Check back with this idea in 2222...
Silver, Symmetrical Triangle AnalysisSilver has slowly created a long-term Symmetrical Triangle Pattern. There is also a Strong Support that already did his job many times, so there's no doubt that it will continue doing it even after the Triangle Breakout will arrive.
But now there's a even more important pattern doing very well ; the Rectangle is actually stronger than the Triangle and this pattern can be considered as a long-term Accumulation phase after the big downward trend finished at the beggining of 2016.
What do i think it's gonna happen now?
Well, i think that price is going to break the bearish resistance of the Triangle (the red line) and retest the resistance of the channel . In my opinion, the probability for it to break the long-term support (green area) is very low and just in the case it will, the area around 15 can be used as a new support level.
Sky is not the Limit
The informations and the strategies discussed are NOT recommendation to buy, sell or trade any securities. They are strictly for educational and illustrative purposes.
Preparing to Long Silver SIK SI1!SIK18 SI1! May Futures Comex
Update Apr30
Silver is trading into a down sloping wedge. The surrounding BB's are suggesting a lower boundary, downward penetration.
I believe support could be found at the 16.30 level with a SL under 21Mar swing low at (say) 16.15
The long entry should be taken on an upside break and close above the yellow wedge radian and ideally as close to 16.30 as possible, or better.
Don't be over anxious. I also believe we may get a lower fake fade. Remember there is a lot of "good" news circulating at the moment to support a fake.
Exit (TPs) will be at the (old) rising trend line that let me down last time &/or the horizontal (red) upper channel (circa) 16.80
So there is a 50c profit potential against a 15c loss or (say) 3:1 before costs.
If you are trading warrants or options buy yourself some time (say) Sep or Dec (U or Z) and trail your stop coz there is Upper Resistance all over the shop!
... just my ("Round 2") 2c worth ...
Silver breakout coming within next 6m (Spring 18' ?)Silver is approaching a long-term consolidation and has put in a nice selling tail with high volume. We're approaching a consolidation wedge between the long-term resistance with the secular bull support from 2000. I expect a breakout one-way-or-another and suspect it will be in early spring and to the upside due to the Gold/Silver ratio being at an upper extreme.