XAGUSD Buy this dead-cat bounce.Silver (XAGUSD) remains within the 2-year Channel Up pattern we mentioned on our Aptil 17 analysis (see chart below) that hit our 32.000 Target:
The price is on a 3-week correction, which is technically natural within this pattern. The symmetry with the previous Bearish Leg of the Channel Up suggests that since the price has hit the 0.382 Fibonacci level from the top, it might rebound like the July 17 2023 High pricing on the 0.786 Fib (blue).
As a result, as long as the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) stays intact, we now turn bullish for the medium-term, targeting 31.000 (just below the 0.786 Fib).
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Si1
Gold & Silver May Rally 65% to 120% Before End Of 2025This updated research video highlights why I believe Gold and Silver are about to launch higher over the next 90+ days - into the upper ranges of my BreakAway phase. This move would represent a 20~25% move for Gold and a 35~45% move for Silver.
But the BIG MOVE won't happen till after November 2024. That's when I expect to see Gold make a large upward move targeting $3500~3750+ and Silver making a move targeting $40~55+.
Why am I so confident metals will make this aggressive move higher?
It comes down to two things.
A. If the US economy continues to be the 900-lb Gorilla compared to other global economies, then metals will become the primary or secondary hedge asset for most of the world (the US dollar being the other).
B. The turmoil related to a new US President (new policies, plans, foreign relationships) could present a very real tipping point for certain aspects of the global economy. And it does not matter if Trump or Biden wins. The reality is the world will be shifting quickly into a transition phase as we move closer to 2030.
Part of the Generational Cycle process that many people fail to understand is human psychology paired with excessive central bank manipulation over the past 20+ years. This has led to a very interesting global central bank predatory mode, which is currently playing out quite aggressively related to global currencies.
The primary hedge instruments are US-Dollar-based assets and metals. That will probably continue - but at a more significant demand rate.
All of this plays out as an incredible opportunity for skilled traders.
Go get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
DAILY FOREX MARKET WATCH: SILVER IS BULLISH!Silver is the market analyzed.
After respecting the W +FVG, a bullish BOS followed.
The D1 shows another +FVG was formed, a bullish indication.
I am looking for the D1 +FVG to be tested before price heads higher. It would be a great POI to
long from.
If you like the video, give a thumbs up and subscribe!
And thanks!
May profits be upon you.
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Gold & Silver Build Momentum Into A New Rally PhaseAre you following my videos/research? If not, pay attention.
Gold and Silver will start to build momentum over the next few weeks - eventually moving 5 to 12% higher before mid-September.
This is a huge move for metals and will prompt Gold to attempt a rally toward $2750 while Silver attempts to rally above $32 - possibly targeting $34.
The dynamics of the global markets and the pending US POTUS elections will continue to drive global traders harder into precious metals as a hedge.
Nothing has changed.
The only thing that is new and taking place right now is the pause in metals is nearing an end point - which means we shift into bullish trending again.
Get ready - here we go (BULLISH)
We remain wary of today’s gains on gold and silverSilver rose over 2% in Thursday’s Asian session, eventually prompting gold to try and catch up. Yet gold’s ‘rally’ was lacklustre in comparison, and with silver pausing near a resistance cluster, we’d prefer to fade fold below $2350 for a move lower.
Silver has stalled around a high-volume node (HVN) and trend resistance. RSI (2) is overbought and prices have risen whilst volumes were lower. RSI (2) is also overbought for gold on this timeframe with lower volumes, and the monthly pivot point and weekly R1 pivot reside around 2350.
Bears could fade into gold below $2350 and target the weekly pivot around $2320. They could also seek shorts on silver around current levels with $30 as an initial target. At which point, bulls could then seek evidence of a swing low around the monthly pivot point or $30 for long swing trade.
XAGUSD continues to give excellent set-ups to trade.Silver (XAGUSD) couldn't have gone better on our last signal we gave (April 17, see chart below) as it did give us the pull-back inside Resistance Zone 1 that we wanted in order to buy and immediately rallied to the top of the Channel Up to hit our 32.00 Target:
Since the break-out, the metal entered a more aggressive Diverging Channel Up (blue), which after a Higher High, it pulls back to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and then rallies to the -0.5 Fib.
As a result, we will wait until the price approached the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again as it did on May 02 and then buy, targeting 35.000 (just below the -0.5 Fib and at the Top of the Channel Up).
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XAGUSD: Bullish Megaphone going for its top.Silver is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.691, MACD = 1.067, ADX = 40.719) as it reversed last week's minor pull-back. Being supported on the 1D MA50, the current Bullish Megaphone pattern is aiming for its top. We are expecting a +33.66% rise (TP = 34.500), same as the first Bullish Wave.
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Silver Will Continue To Channel In Dual-Flag SetupIf you are trading Silver, you need to see this video. Be prepared for a sideways melt-up in Silver while the dual Flags play out.
Gold will likely move more aggressively than Silver. But Silver will give you two or three opportunities to buy into the lows.
Pay attention.
XAGUSD New Bull Cycle but pull-back possible. Buy it.Silver (XAGUSD) easily broke through the 25.000 Target we set 2 months ago (February 15, see chart below) and invalidated the Triangle pattern as it is entering into a new long-term Bull Cycle:
This was achieved as it broke above the 2-year Resistance Zone 1 and the Triangle transitioned into a Channel Up. Last week it hit Resistance Zone 2 and technically we should be expecting a medium-term pull-back as this is close to the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up. Note that Resistance Zone 2 was formed after the August 2020 High.
We are looking for a buy within 26.500 - 26.000 to target the top of the Channel at 32.000. A Resistance Zone 2 break-out practically confirms the new Bull Cycle. We have to point out also the the 1W RSI broke last week above the 70.00 overbought barrier and is at the highest level since September 2020.
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XAGUSD Rejection at the top of the 1 year pattern. Huge SELL.Silver (XAGUSD) reached the 25.000 Target that we set more than a month ago (February 15, see chart below) easily surpassing the 0.786 Fibonacci level and getting heavily rejected exactly at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 1 year Triangle pattern:
On July 20 2023, a rejection slightly lower started wave (e-f) towards the bottom of the High Volatility Zone and touched the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). This trend-line has made contact with all corrective waves of the long-term Triangle pattern.
As a result, taking also into account the 1D RSI which has hit the exact 70.00 overbought barrier like on July 19 2023, we are now bearish and targeting 22.500 (expected contact with the 1W MA100).
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XAGUSD Time to turn bearish.Silver (XAGUSD) almost reached the 25.000 Target that we set almost a month ago (February 15, see chart below) but as it seems to fail to touch the 0.786 Fibonacci level, it is time to take the profit earlier and turn bearish:
At least this is what took place on July 20 2023, a rejection that started wave (e-f) back inside the High Volatility Zone that touched the 1W MA100 (red trend-line). This line has basically made contact with all corrective waves since the long-term Triangle pattern started on May 05 2023.
As a result, taking also into account the 1D RSI which has almost hit the 70.00 overbought barrier like on July 19 2023, we are now bearish and targeting 22.500 (expected contact with the 1W MA100).
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XAGUSD Buy opportunity on a 1 month horizon.Silver (XAGUSD) is on the 2nd straight green 1D candle, the strongest two day rally since December 14 2023. The natural technical Resistance is the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and if broken and the 1D candle closes above it, we will buy the break-out and target the 0.786 Fibonacci level at 25.000.
This is because based on the 1D RSI, the current Double Bottom rebound is similar to tthe late June - early July 2023 rebound. The RSI supported by a long-term Higher Lows broke above the top of a descending channel. That was an early signal 3 days before the 1D MA50 break-out which formed a peak on the 0.786 Fib on July 20 2023.
Note also how the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) has been an excellent buy level for short-term rebounds.
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XAGUSD: Neutral on 1D. Use this LH trendline to trade.Silver is on a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.485, MACD = -0.282, ADX = 24.810) as despite a straight downtrend since December 22nd 2023, it has registered three successive green 1D candles that pushed the price over the LH trendline of the December 4th 2023 High and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Technically, if the price stays over the LH trendline, it is a buy as every time it breached the 0.382 Fibonacci level, it rebounded over the 0.5 Fibonacci again (our TP = 23.750), except for September 29th 2023. Consequently if it crosses back under the LH trendline again, we will short and target the long term HL trendline (TP = 21.200).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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XAGUSD Head and Shoulders sell signal.Silver has formed the Right Shoulder of a Head and Shoulders pattern.
A Right Shoulder targeted on August 30th target the previous Low/ Support.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 22.520 (Support 1).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is about to cross under the MA trend line. This will be the sell signal's confirmation.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
XAGUSD: Approaching a buy level.Silver has turned bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 38.233, MACD = 0.035, ADX = 37.062) as it has been on a continuous decline since the December 4th top. The price is already under the 1D MA200 and the 1D MA50 and even touched the 0.382 Fibonacci level. The 0.236 - 0.382 Fibonacci range has been the most common Support since April but in order to rebound the price tends to require from the 1D RSI to enter the S1 Zone. We will go long when it does and target the 0.618 Fibonacci (TP = 24.000).
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XAGUSD peaked and expected to pull-back for the rest of DecemberSilver (XAGUSD) has hit a peak price amidst the geopolitical unrest this weekend (Red Sea attacks) and this is technically the Higher High of the medium-term Channel Up that started on the September 22 High. The 1D RSI is reversing already and as a target we have two technical candidates.
In the past 7 months we've had 5 major corrections, the minimum being -7.61% and the maximum -13.13%. As a result our target is the minimum projection of -7.61%, aiming for 24.000. However we may even see a technical extension as low as 23.450, which will not only be the bottom of the Channel Up, but also a 1D MA50 test (blue trend-line) but more importantly the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which is where the November 13th Low almost bottomed.
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XAGUSD: Channel Down confirmed sell signal.Silver has failed to close a 1D candle over the 1D MA50 for four straight sessions and as it previously did on the 1D MA200, this is a bearish signal. Its confirmation is the 1D MACD that formed a Bearish Cross and each time the market has done so since April, inside this long term Channel Down, a new Low was made.
Even the 1D technical outlook just turned bearish (RSI = 44.205, MACD = -0.090, ADX = 34.407) and today's late session rise gives us a better opportunity to enter a short and target the top of the S1 Zone (TP = 20.850).
See how our prior idea has worked:
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XAGUSD Giant Inverse Head & Shoulders makes it long-term bullishSilver (XAGUSD) is one of our favorite assets to analyze on the 1W time-frame, as a result of its high reliability of following long-term patterns. You can see a few examples of such successful trades we made using this time-frame below:
This time we have another major pattern forming on the 1W time-frame, an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S), a formation typically found on market bottoms that initiates trend reversals. Interestingly enough, the last two weeks have been ranged within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). This high volatility action can be an indication that a major move is approaching. Technically the IH&S patterns can target as high as the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. On such a large time-frame, this target is of course on the long-term.
On the shorter-term, we may be seeing the emergence of a Channel Up that aims inevitably at the 3 year Resistance Zone. We are technically at the start of the bullish leg towards that Zone, but a 1W MACD Bullish Cross can only confirm it. Once it does, Target 1 will be 28.750 (bottom of Resistance Zone) and when the Channel Up breaks, Target 2 will be 34.500 (just under the 2.0 Fibonacci extension).
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XAGUSD Critical Resistance test. Trade the break-outs.Silver (XAGUSD) gave a solid rejection at the top of the long-term Channel Down (see chart below) when we looked into it on July 21 2023:
This rejection gave way to the creation of the current Bearish Megaphone pattern whose low got priced on October 04. This initiated the current bullish leg which tested the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and almost reached Resistance 1 (23.775). As long as this holds, the selling pressure will pile up to see if the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) will hold.
If it closes a 1D candle below it, we will sell and target 22.350 (top of Support 1 and above the 0.5 Fibonacci level). If on the other hand we close above Resistance 1 (23.775), we will buy and target the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Bearish Megaphone at 24.300.
Note that the 1D RSI is testing its own Lower Highs trend-line. As long as it remains below it, the selling pressure will keep piling up.
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XAGUSD Buy opportunity on the bottom of a Triangle.Silver hit the Rising Support of the bottom of the Triangle.
The sell off got more heavy after a Golden Cross on the (1d) time frame.
Even though based on the March 8th 2023 fractal there is one chance for a slightly lower bottom, those oversold levels are ideal for buying.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 23.765 (Resistance 1 and 0.786 Fibonacci).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) made a Bullish Divergence on the March 8th bottom. It would be ideal to see one on the current bottom too.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
XAGUSD Channel Up bottom buy opportunity.Silver / XAGUSD is trading near the bottom of 15 month Channel Up with the 1day MA50 and MA200 on a parallel move.
The 1day RSI is on a Channel Up / Bullish divergence since May 25th and it is much like the bottom trade at the start of the Channel Up.
Buy and target 25.900 (bottom of Resistance A).
Previous chart:
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XAGUSD Rebounding on the 1W MA50. Buy.Silver (XAGUSD) gave a solid rejection at the top of the long-term Channel Up (see chart below) when we last looked into it on July 21 2023:
The price hit on Thursday the 1W MA50 (red trend-line), which gave the previous short-term rally in mid-August. As long as it holds (closes weekly candles above it), we expect a similar rebound, thus turning bullish targeting the Lower Highs trend-line at 24.600. Only a closing above the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level can justify further buying into a rally. In that case the long-term target will be 26.935 (Resistance 2).
Notice the 1D RSI Rectangle formation, solid buy low/ sell high trades can be made within it.
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