Sideways
sideway market before the 10th...fpcoso it is still a boring sideway market...higher resistance : 2474...
current resistance : 2430...
critical support level : 2300...
watch out for the important levels...
gud luck and gud trading...
**PS : normally, fcpo market is volatile or indecisive when it is near to the 10th every month...awaiting for report frm mpob...
still in consolidation of "head-and-shoulder" patternthis is a continuation of the previous analyst...the formation of "head-and-shoulder" is still in making...nothg much to expect...onli 2 points :
resistance : 2474-2480....
breakout frm this one to form New Structure High indicates movement to the upside...
support : 2300 or the "Neckline"...
going lower than this point indicates movement to the downside...
lower level support at 2200 - 2250...
other than that, playing within the range might spark some real risk...gudluck and gud trade...
FCPO TRADING : 90) one-day of sidewaypay attention to support level : 2625-2630...
resistance level : 2690-2700
watch out for gap down go down scenario, whr a possible reversal signal has been formed...
lower support level : 2580 -2560
fcpo-oct still on uptrend, temporarily no reversal signal yet...
WARNING : this is juz a trading idea...trade at your own risk!
**your "LIKE" and "FOLLOW" are my main source of motivation to continue posting more valuable contents...TQ**
What is next forTRX?Hello, traders
See, for TRX, we had a reversal in an important support level, but in my view, we are still without trend since we felt the first resistance in 204 satoshis, if we pass that level I believe that the price can get the next resistance at 250
If a candle closes above 195, it calls my attention to the bulls being stronger.
At any case, 168 satoshis is a good spot point to buy this asset
Best Regards.
Sandro and Gustavo.
Expiry sidewaysAs discussed yesterday, expiry seems to be sideways and giving opportunity on both sides, these kind of days are not good for option buyers but sellers enjoy them. However, if you are a good trader you can always scalp for few points on both sides.
Nifty is still getting dragged by BNF, it would be interesting to see what happens on Friday, I'm expecting again significant bearish move, even if it opened gap up.
Trade Log NIFTY July 10In my yesterdays post I had said
Even though the chart looks good, I have a bearish bias for tomorrow and Monday. This is mostly because the whipsaw we saw yesterday. If NIFTY manages to close above the new high by Monday, I’ll be wrong again.
I’ll not short, but mostly observe if it crosses 10850. I’ll short NIFTY below 10730.
Nothing changes in my view and I carry forward my view to Monday.
My trades
I did not trade today, as none of the levels I was watching were clearly broken.
Observations for the day
NIFTY sideways for the day, ultimately closed 0.42% down.
BANK NIFTY down 2.22%.
VIX mildly up 0.12%
Advance Decline ratio is 14 to 36, in line with negative closing.
Option data tilted for mild bearish bias.
Overall, NIFTY did not do badly because of Reliance. BANK NIFTY trend is near bearish, NIFTY sideways for near term. NIFTY’s consolidation can be an intermediate topping pattern or consolidation. It can be confirmed only when NIFTY closes below 10560 levels.
I’ll do a detailed post over the weekend on my next week’s view.
Have a great weekend ahead!
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My July 9 Post
Day trading and Scalping Example NIFTY July 8I use multi time frame analysis very heavily. I always establish context for trading before I start the day. For context and levels, please check the following posts prior to July 8 *** Links Below
I am always fascinated by day trading - not because of the lure of quick money. But I think it is extremely hard for me. At least it is hard for my personality. It is always said there are two kind of traders
1. Traders who can think very fast
2. Traders who can think very deep
I always see myself comfortable in category two - deep thinker. But to put myself out of my own opinion's prison - I day trade.
Though day trading is hard, it teaches many things to me as a trader.
1. Emotional Control and Money Management - I don't have time to adjust , reflect back and somehow prove to myself that I am on the right side. I better quickly exit of my positions with great emotional control.
2. Relentless Planning - Since I don't have lot of time, I have to plan insanely - thinking of all possibilities and my actions.
3. NO to laziness - I cant afford to relax during the day session. I need to have extreme clarity of thought throughout the trading session.
Now, one may think that all these learning can be from any time frame trading. That's true. But when you have a ticking clock next to you and market presenting you 1 of n possibilities every single candle, that changes you for good. It makes you fast. Then you can adjust to larger trading styles easily.
Below is my example live thought log for the day. I escaped the day with approx Rs 34 / lot profit. Not a bad hunt after crazy price movement!
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NIFTY chart is extremely positive. Market looks prime for 11000, but global clues soft. Typically, such setups if bullish do not give chance to enter, starts with gap up. If there is no gap up it may be contra indication for sideways movement for the day. Since it is Wednesday , 1 day prior to weekly expiry, it is better to sell options and scalp premium.
Risk : large volatile movement. Stop Loss, opening ranges of 1 st hr. Close positions starting from 1:30 PM.
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1. Expectation was rally. But flat opening. Global markets are soft. Hence I sold 9300 CALL. Idea is to cash in Theta loss for the day in case of sideways movement. It is a risky trade.
2. Candle at 9.30 starts confirming this movement. Let this movement complete.
3. Any close below Previous day High, position can be added to.
4. As yesterdays high shows support around 10800, 10700 PUT is sold as well. Again Idea is to get benefitted by sideways movement and theta decay.
5. Overall position entry is now 33+30.30 = 63.30 Rs.
6. Since breakout failed, now NIFTY likely to stay in the range. So 10800 CALL sold 68.05 Rs.
7. So far trade is going ok. definitely signs of consolidation. BANK NIFTY broken out, NIFTY lagging.
8. Position 10700/10900 Strangle : 66 Rs (3Rs loss)
Position 10800 Call : 74 Rs (6 Rs loss)
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9 Rs Loss
9. Position 10700/10900 Strangle : 65 Rs (2Rs loss)
Position 10800 Call : 56 Rs (12 Rs Profit)
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10 Rs Profit
Going as expected. On breakout of the opening range Another short added 10800 CALL 56
10. Opening range breakout failed. 10750 PUT sold, Now look for opportunity to reduce position on 10800 CALL as breakout failed.
11. Usually NIFTY may jump around after 1.30. VIX did not decrease so far. So NIFTY players sense uncertainity at these levels.
Closed 10800 1/2 position.
Position 10700/10900 Strangle : 56 Rs (10Rs Profit)
Position 10800 Call *: 62 (6 Rs Loss)
Position 10750 Put : 46 (3 Rs Profit)
* Position 10800 CALL : (68-61) (7 Rs Profit)
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7 Rs Profit / 7 Rs Booked Profit = 14 Rs
12. The price range is getting tighter. NIFTY advance decline is 25 to 24 Neutral.
13. As Expected move started. How strong the move to be seen. 10800 PUT sold as initial direction of the move crossing the range. VIX started cooling off
14. Break above range is not showing strong follow through so expansion attempt is not rapid. That is a good sign for my trades.
Position 10700/10900 Strangle : 50 Rs (13Rs Profit)
Position 10800 Call : 74 (18 Rs Loss)
Position 10750 Put : 31 (18 Rs Profit)
Position 10800 Put : 50 (4 Rs Profit)
* Position 10800 CALL : (68-61) (7 Rs Profit)
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17 Rs Profit / 7 Rs Booked Profit = 24 Rs
15. NIFTY is showing many indecisive moves. It is above previous day high. Essentially, the morning down move can be negated and fresh up move possible tomorrow.
It is 2.20 PM so 1 hr to go in trading. Priority will be to close short positions first. Then Long ones.
Closed 10800 Put : It was latest and more prone to loss.
* Position 10800 Put : 49 (5 Rs Profit)
16. NIFTY dipped below Previous day Low. Now NIFTY can again go to 10800
17. Actually large moevement at 2.30 PM. Closed the positions. Final tally is
Position 10700/10900 Strangle : (63 - 45)(18 Rs Profit)
Position 10800 CALL : (68-61) ( 7 Rs Profit)
Position 10800 CALL : (56-55) ( 1 Rs Profit)
Position 10750 PUT : (49-46) ( 3 Rs Profit)
Position 10800 PUT : (54-49) ( 5 Rs Profit)
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34 Rs Profit
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Retrospection :
-ve's
1. Position of 10800 PUT sell was not a good position to take, it was more like a balancing previous position.
Better option would be to just square off 10800 CALL position for loss.
2. Entry for 2nd position on 10800 CALL could have been better. Also it was not correct with original sideways assumption.
+ve's
1. Traded as per the plan.
2. I was able to close everything fast enough before the volatile move.
Reference
Monthly Analysis
Weekly Analysis
July 7 Log
Consolidation period is over for KMDHello, traders.
KMD/BTC seems to finish the consolidation period. This movement is a sideways trend on the daily chart. Between these two important support and resistance points, it is a no trend zone, but after yesterday's movement, we believe the price is heading up to test the next important resistance level on the uptrend direction.
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Potential breakout and breakout and re-test tradesWatching for Breakout
AUDCAD has made a huge rebound higher before making a sideways move in more recent times.
As the daily chart shows ; in recent sessions price has consolidated and moved into a box pattern.
If we can see this box breakout inline with the previous momentum higher it could see the next leg higher continue.
This could also pave the way for potential breakout and breakout and re-test trades.
TRX sideways or bullish? What is your opnion? Hello, Traders,
TRX/BTC is inside accumulation box on the daily chart, but the important support levels it seemed that it held the price very well above this level and, now the bulls are trying to take control of this asset, what we can expect for this asset?
Will the price continue in a sideways trend or will it revert to an upward trend? I think it's too early for us to know
To state more accurately the price would have to break the region of 200 satoshis and make a Pull back on the support, in that case, the upward trend would be quite clear in my opinion.
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I am just waiting for the bearsAgainst 108.20 the USDJPY should fall in the next movement of wave (iii). The momentum should come and the target could be 106 or more.
There are two strategies, before the break(aggressive style) and after the break(conservative style). At the moment I can say that the price must not go above 108.20!
Important
Always use stop order, cutting losses, this is one of the essential elements of your risk management and if you would like to be an independent investor then you must be the master of risk management.
Disclaimer
Reserved the right to make changes the content on this analysis at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Sideways in actionNext wave down should come in the process of wave B after moving sideways. I am waiting for a false break upward from the narrow sideways then after the target is at 1.2350.
There are two strategies, before the break(aggressive style) and after the break(conservative style). At the moment I can say that the price must not go above 1.2530!
Important
Always use stop order, cutting losses, this is one of the essential elements of your risk management and if you would like to be an independent investor then you must be the master of risk management.
Disclaimer
Reserved the right to make changes the content on this analysis at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Stay out of chats like this!Hello, traders.
See how many times the price has made traps for the buyers, this happens in assets with low liquidity, and a big player sell order can bring down the price considerably.
I recommend everyone stay out of assets with charts like these.
Dive in the deep
After a long rising in a five wave structure and run into the wall of 0.7070(as I was expected this in the related idea) it seems the price should fall into the deep by a corrective wave.
Not to mention that the rising trendline is about to break down. So I'm waiting for the breakdown and an accelerating decline.
There are two strategies, before the break(aggressive style) and after the break(conservative style). At the moment I can say that the price must not go above 0.7070 adding it that there is not to much space for further rising.
Important
Always use stop order, cutting losses, this is one of the essential elements of your risk management and if you would like to be an independent investor then you must be the master of risk management.
Disclaimer
Reserved the right to make changes the content on this analysis at any time without notice and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
Sideways moviment on RVN/BTCHello, traders!
RVN is inside a big accumulation pattern after the price brokes down an important support level, this could be a bearish accumulation pattern or a sideways movement, and in a moment like these, we don't try to guess where the price is gonna go but react of it, so we will wait for a better confirmation, besides that we are in the middle of the pattern.
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EURUSD: New safe haven against major pairs?This morning, I saw an educational video from transparent-fx and showed that the EURUSD is shaping an inverse H&S in D chart and indeed it is. Besides, in the H4 chart it comes from shaping a non-inverse H&S what makes you realise that the pair is experiencing a sideways movement since June 8. If the figure is finished, by June 30 EURUSD could reach 1.14. In addition, fundamental readings have been quite strong, coronavirus is contained in most of the european countries and even though Germany has seen a surge in covid19 cases, Merkel is still the Chancellor so she knows how to deal with this. On the other side of the Atlantic, US and Latin America are not improving which is why investors are running away from america (which has recently seen a spike in bankruptcies filing in the past week, 13-20 June) and embracing euro as the only safe currency since Japanese yen lost that condition when covid19 outbreak sparked the markets around Feb 24. So EURUSD might be the safest currency (inveur, investing.com's euro index is staying around 101, highs not seen since 2014) for this summer-autumn only, until everything drops down again.
Trading Idea on DASH/BTCHello Traders,
For DASH, we are below the long term resistance line, so the scenario is bearish for this asset in the long term until we are below that line.
In the short term, we felt the support level at the blue line.
This can give the bulls a try to take the price to the resistance line, but the movement is weak
I bet that we can stay inside a sideways movement for a little longer
above 0.0080 will start to look bullish once again
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