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Gold’s Unsustainable Rally: A Strong Correction Ahead? In my analysis yesterday, I explained that XAU/USD is significantly deviated from the mean, with its 20-period moving average nearly 1,500 pips below the current price. This level of divergence is unsustainable. As always, trading against the trend is risky—especially when there’s no clear guide, such as a resistance level, to structure the trade. Although my sell trade from yesterday hit its stop loss this morning, my outlook remains the same: a strong correction is likely. Looking at a smaller time frame, we can see that Gold has risen sharply since last week, gaining 1,000 pips. The 3,125–3,130 zone is acting as a key short-term confluence support. At the time of writing, the price is hovering just above this level with significant volatility. Typically, strong volatility signals potential reversals, and considering all factors, a downward move is highly probable. In conclusion, I maintain my expectation of a strong downside reversal. A break below the confluence support would confirm this move, and I anticipate at least a 500+ pip drop in the coming days. With that in mind, I will be looking to re-enter short. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
11
Gold- Way, way too deviated from the MEAN!!!As I’ve mentioned many times in my analyses, my trading approach focuses on identifying the next big move (500 to 1,000 pips) rather than chasing small gains of 30-50 pips, which often feels more like staying busy than truly making money. In this post, I’ll explain why I believe the next major move in Gold is downward rather than upward. I’ll take a slightly different approach than usual, focusing on the bigger picture and using a simple 20-period moving average (MA) to smooth price action. Looking at the posted chart, since the beginning of the recent bull market—highlighted in the chart at the 1,600 zone back in November 2022—Gold has been in a strong uptrend. A key observation is that the 20-period moving average has been forming higher lows. After the second higher low in October 2023, the trend became even more aggressive, with only two notable higher lows since (looking on MA)—one in July 2024 and another in January 2025. However, even during these sharp bullish legs, the market has consistently reversed to the mean—with the mean being the 20-period moving average. At the time of writing, Gold is trading around 3,110, which is significantly deviated from the mean, currently around 2,990. Conclusion: Based on this pattern, we could expect either a deep retracement or at least a period of consolidation to allow the moving average time to catch up with the price. Of course, shorting into such a strong bull run carries high risk, especially without a clear stop-loss level. However, even if Gold spikes to 3,150 or even 3,170, I strongly believe that the price will eventually drop and touch the 20-period moving average. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
3
EurUsd could continue to the downsideTwo weeks ago, I mentioned that while a new high was possible, the bigger move in EUR/USD should be to the downside. Indeed, the pair dropped from above 1.0900 and recently found support around the 1.0730 zone. The recent recovery appears corrective, unfolding in a flag pattern, and I expect another leg down toward 1.0600. Bearish confirmation comes with a daily close below 1.0750, and my preferred strategy is to sell rallies. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
Bitcoin- Short term recovery?As you know, I am bearish on Bitcoin in the long term. However, in the short term, the cryptocurrency could see a recovery. Yesterday, the price tested the 81,000 support zone once again and rebounded from that level. Now, Bitcoin is pushing against the 83,500 resistance, and I believe a breakout is likely. If that happens, we could see further gains, with 86,500 as the next key target for the bulls. In conclusion, I’m bullish on BTC in the coming days and will be looking to buy dips.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
EUR/USD: Range-Bound with Bearish Potential Below ResistanceThe EUR/USD market recently completed an ABC pullback, briefly testing above Friday’s high, but price action remains contained within last week’s range, signaling a lack of clear trend direction. If the price rejects the current resistance zone, a move lower is likely, possibly forming another ABC structure toward the 1.06000 support level. With the zone below 1.07700 already cleared—despite a prior false breakout—a retest of that area is possible. Unless the price manages a close above 1.08500, the pair is expected to drift toward last week’s low, with the next target at the support zone around 1.07610
Short
by RTED_Investing
1
BTC/USDT: Range-Bound Movement with Rebound Potential from Key SThe BTC/USDT market recently tested last week’s high but pulled back after encountering resistance near the 89,000 level. On the daily timeframe, the latest candle formed a doji, signaling weakening selling pressure. The price has reached the two-week low, where underlying liquidity may trigger a bounce—especially around the psychological 80,000 level. With the market consolidating after recent sell-offs, a move toward the 85,000 area is possible. A monthly doji close is also anticipated, reflecting the broader indecision. The next upside target is the resistance zone around 84,000
Long
by RTED_Investing
1
Gold Recovers After Dip – Is a New ATH Next?After reaching its recent all-time high exactly one week ago, Gold began a correction, dropping to $3,000, where buyers stepped in. This led to a recovery, pushing the price above a key resistance zone at $3,025–$3,030. At the time of writing, the price is sitting at the upper boundary of this support zone. If it stabilizes above this level, a new ATH could be on the horizon. I remain bullish as long as the daily close stays above this zone. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
14
LINK/USDT: Strong Momentum Points to Higher TargetsThe LINK/USDT pair has shown strong bullish momentum on the 1-hour timeframe, breaking above both the 15.00 level and a downward trendline. On the daily chart, four consecutive bullish candles reflect persistent buying pressure. Recent movements suggest an ABC pattern is unfolding, hinting at a potential push toward the 17.00 resistance level. With momentum building, the market may soon test this zone, barring any negative news that could prompt a sell-off. A pullback may occur short term, but the overall outlook remains bullish, with a mid-term target at the resistance zone around 16.45
Long
by RTED_Investing
TRX/USDT: Consolidation Holds with Upside PotentialThe TRX/USDT market recently saw a false breakout below a key support level, followed by a rebound toward the upper boundary of the channel. On the broader timeframe, the price has been in a two-month consolidation, forming a range near the 0.2200 support, which has held firm through multiple tests. This consistent rebound highlights the significance of the 0.2200 level, suggesting it may continue to act as a launch point for upward movement. A retest of the trendline is possible, with potential for the price to approach the channel's upper boundary. The next target is the resistance zone at 0.2370
Long
by RTED_Investing
GBP/JPY: Bullish Momentum Builds Near Key ResistanceThe GBP/JPY market is currently developing an ABC pattern, with point C forming near the 196.000 level. Recently, the price broke above both a downward trendline and the 194.000 support, signaling a potential shift in momentum. At present, the pair is testing last week’s high, which aligns with the 195.000 psychological level. A strong bullish candle has emerged on the daily chart, indicating growing bullish pressure. The market may enter a consolidation phase around this level before attempting a breakout above the previous week’s high. The next target is the resistance zone at 195.750
Long
by RTED_Investing
XAU/USD: Bullish Momentum Holds with Breakout PotentialXAU/USD closed its third straight bullish week, with price testing Tuesday’s low before rebounding and closing near the 50% mark of the weekly range. Despite a brief dip, the candle closed above last week’s high, showing continued strength. A breakout above the 3,000 level raises the potential for further gains, especially if the market opens with a gap up. On the daily timeframe, Friday's candle recovered after early weakness, resembling a previous pullback seen earlier this month. With a 1.90% retracement, the structure suggests possible upward continuation. The market is currently moving sideways within Friday’s range, hovering around the 3,030 key level. While high-impact news could cause volatility, any pullback toward the 3,000 support zone—aligned with the trendline and previous week’s high—may offer buying opportunities. A breakout from the inside bar pattern forming on the daily chart could target the 3075 resistance zone
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
EUR/USD: Sideways Movement Persists Below Key LevelThe EUR/USD market remains in a consolidation phase just below the November 2024 low. Recently, the price experienced false breakouts beneath both a key support level and last week's low, followed by a strong bullish rebound. This pattern suggests a likelihood of continued sideways movement in the near term. At present, the price is testing the previous day’s high. If upcoming news does not negatively affect sentiment, the market may attempt a move higher, especially after multiple failed breakdowns of support. However, until a decisive break occurs beyond last week’s range, price action is expected to remain range-bound. The next target lies at the resistance zone around 1.08820
Long
by RTED_Investing
Lingrid | GOLD trend CONTINUATION After a Pullback. LongOANDA:XAUUSD market is continuing to push higher, reaching a potential key level at 3050. Prior to this bullish movement, the price formed a consolidation zone near the previous day low. Today's economic calendar is filled with high-impact news, which may introduce some turbulence in the markets. If the market dips lower, the optimal entry zone could be around the previous day's low, as there is resting liquidity below the consolidation zone and at that level. I expect a pullback toward the support level before the market resumes its bullish trajectory. My goal is resistance zone around 3060 Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
16
Gold- I'm looking to sell for 500+ pips targetAs I explained before, when I trade TRADENATION:XAUUSD , I aim for targets of 400-500 pips , sometimes even more. That’s why I always try to determine where "the BIG move" is. In Gold’s current situation, I believe this move is down, not up (though, of course, I don’t have a crystal ball). Let me explain... Since the beginning of March, Gold has surged by more than 2000 pips. While we need to adjust our pip calculations given Gold’s current price levels , this is still an enormous rise. More importantly, out of these 2000 pips, 1700 were gained just since last Wednesday. This makes a correction highly likely, especially considering that if we look at the chart, we see almost no pullbacks in the past week—only a consolidation in a rectangle. From a technical standpoint, the trend is undoubtedly up. However, even if Gold drops to 2990, the overall uptrend would still remain intact. Additionally, looking at the chart, we can spot a rising wedge—typically a reversal pattern. My Take: Currently, I’m out of the market, but I expect a strong correction of 500+ pips. I’m looking to sell if there’s an upward spike followed by signs of exhaustion. Conclusion: In my opinion, "the big move" is down, not up. I expect Gold to drop below 3000 and at least test the 2990 zone. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
9
XRP’s Bullish Setup: Why I’m Targeting $3 with a 1:4 Risk-RewardAfter its recent impressive rally to $3, XRP has shown remarkable resilience during the correction, establishing a strong support level around the $2 mark. Despite the broader downturn in the crypto market, XRP has held up well, demonstrating significant strength. Last week, XRP tested this $2 support level once again and rebounded, reinforcing its stability. The current price action is shaping a bullish flag pattern, which suggests that a new upward move could be on the horizon. With this in mind, I am looking to buy XRP, anticipating a potential breakout. Given my target of around $3, I am aiming for a 1:4 risk-reward ratio for this trade
BITSTAMP:XRPUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
14
After an 80% Drop, Is FET Finally Ready to Reverse?Exactly one year ago, FET reached its all-time high of $3.5, but since then, it has experienced a steep decline of over 80%. However, the coin has recently found strong technical support around the $0.45 zone, which, in my view, signals a potential rebound on the horizon. Currently, FET is trading near $0.52, and from a psychological standpoint, being around a key round number and its Binance listing price, we could see a bounce from these levels. With this in mind, I anticipate a trend reversal, with an initial target of $1 in the near future. Additionally, $0.80 stands as a significant resistance level and could serve as an interim target before further upside movement. From a risk-reward perspective, this setup offers an attractive 1:5 ratio
BINANCE:FETUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
6
Gold’s Meteoric Rise: What’s Next After Breaking $3,000?Yesterday, TRADENATION:XAUUSD broke the $3,000 mark, a significant achievement from multiple perspectives. As I mentioned yesterday, I didn’t expect the price to revisit the $2,950 support level, as it seemed too obvious. Unfortunately, my pending order at $2,970 wasn't triggered either, as the bulls were too strong, quickly forming a new support at $2,980. This forced me to trade the breakout of the rectangle pattern, something I typically avoid —trading breakouts. Now that we’ve reviewed the situation, let’s take a closer look at what we might expect in the near future. Current Trend: Strong Upward Momentum As is evident to everyone, gold is in a powerful uptrend, and trying to sell is risky. The key strategy here is to focus on buying on dips, rather than trying to catch a top. The first level to keep an eye on for potential buy opportunities is the $3,000 mark, followed by the support formed yesterday at $2,980. Both of these levels are crucial in maintaining the bullish structure of the market. If the price dips to these levels and holds, they could provide excellent entry points for long positions. Target Zones: Understanding Potential Resistance Levels While targets in a ATHs defined market are arbitrary, historical price movements in gold suggest that certain price levels tend to act as either support or resistance. Specifically, levels in at $20, $40, $60, and $80 ranges have historically been key turning points. Given this, if gold continues its ascent, targets at $3,020 and $3,040 could be reasonable. These levels align with the typical points that gold has faced during strong movements. Looking Ahead: Volatility and Potential for Extreme Moves Expect extreme volatility as gold continues to push higher. The bullish sentiment is strong, but with high volatility comes both risk and opportunity. Keeping a watchful eye on key levels, such as the $3,000 and $2,980 support zones, will be crucial for gauging potential retracements and entry points. In conclusion, the strategy moving forward should focus on buying on dips, with an eye on $3,020 and $3,040 as logical targets for the next phase of gold's rally. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
1
ETH/USDT: Testing Key Support with Potential for ReboundThe ETH/USDT pair continues to decline, approaching a key support level last tested in October 2023. Historically, similar price movements were observed in 2021, when the price dropped from the 4,300 level before rebounding from the 1,700 support zone, ultimately leading to new all-time highs. Currently, the price has broken above a downward trendline that had served as a resistance throughout the month. Looking ahead, the market may remain in a sideways phase over the coming weeks, with a potential upward push if buying pressure emerges from the support level. The next key target is the resistance zone around 2,190
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by RTED_Investing
Historic Milestone for Gold: My Outlook and Key Support LevelsLast Friday, for the first time in history, Gold printed a "3" handle, and since the beginning of the year, it has already climbed an impressive 4,000 pips. However, what matters most now is what Gold will do next. As we can see on the chart, after reaching a new all-time high (ATH) at 3005, Gold has started to pull back slightly and has recently formed a support level around 2980. As I also mentioned in my Friday analysis, although I expect a correction, I don’t see Gold dropping all the way back to test the previous ATH zone at 2950 , which should now act as a strong support. Instead, even if Gold breaks below the newly formed 2980 support, I will be watching for reversal signs between 2965 and 2970, and from there, I expect a new bullish wave and a fresh all-time high. In conclusion, my strategy remains unchanged: buy the dips. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Alts- Will they drop further? (+name your alt)In my early February analysis on altcoins , I noted that while a bounce was likely after the sharp drop triggered by Trump’s initial tax remarks, the $1.3T level would act as strong resistance. I expected another decline once this resistance was confirmed— which is exactly what happened, as the market reached that level and began to drop again. After multiple tests of the rising trendline that began in October 2023, last week saw a breakdown, with price finding support just above $900B (an important level as we can see from the posted chart). But was that the full extent of the drop? In my view, we are far from being in the clear, and further declines seem likely. Technically, the rising trendline has been broken, and the recent rebound appears to be corrective rather than the start of a sustained recovery. As long as the price remains below the $1.15T–$1.2T zone, I see a high probability of the market breaking under 900B zone support and reaching $700B in the coming months.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Short
by Mihai_Iacob
28
Resistance at 1.3T: Is a Deeper Crypto Correction Coming?The long-awaited Trump inauguration, which was expected to trigger an altcoin season, had the exact opposite effect. This once again proves that when the majority of market participants expect one outcome, the market often does the opposite. After several days of testing support, the "tax policy" announcement triggered a breakdown below the 1.3T level, causing Total 3 to drop around 30% to 1T. The market is now experiencing a normal rebound, but I am not very optimistic in the medium term. Technically, 1.3T has now turned into strong resistance. In my opinion, after this rebound, a new leg down is likely. I expect a drop below 1T, potentially reaching around 900B in the near future.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Short
by Mihai_Iacob
3