Gold – Bullish Structure Still Intact, but Bears are Knocking📉 What happened yesterday?
As expected, XAUUSD made another leg down, breaking even below my buy zone (3330–3335) and hitting a low at 3320. From there, we’re now seeing a modest rebound, with gold trading around 3333 at the time of writing.
📌 Current position:
I'm currently holding a long position. It hovers around break-even – fluctuating between small gains and small losses. Nothing solid yet.
❓ Key question:
Was this just a deep pullback within a bullish structure… or the beginning of a deeper trend reversal?
🔍 Why bulls still have a case:
• Price prints higher lows – bullish structure technically remains intact
• A clean break above 3350 would show short-term strength
• A confirmed break above 3375 would activate a bullish ascending triangle → targeting the 3450 zone
⚠️ But here's the concern:
• Yesterday’s dip to 3330 happened during the New York session (strong volume)
• The bounce from 3320 has been weak, with no follow-through
• Daily candle closed near the lows, showing a long upper wick → a classic bearish signal
• The confluence support now lies at 3310–3320. A red daily candle closing in this area could mean the medium-term trend is flipping
🎯 My trading plan:
Although I'm still holding my buy, if bulls don’t recover 3350 quickly, I will consider closing early. The break of 3310 would shift my bias bearish.
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📌 Conclusion:
We’re in a critical zone. The bullish structure isn’t broken yet, but yesterday’s action was not encouraging. If buyers fail to reclaim control soon, the market may be preparing for a deeper correction. Stay sharp. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
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Gold Pullback in Play – Still Aiming for 3450 📌 In yesterday’s analysis, I argued that bulls likely won the battle and that a new leg up toward 3450 could be next from a swing trade perspective. I also mentioned that buying dips remains the preferred strategy.
And indeed – we got that dip.
📉 Price pulled back to 3340 and bounced,
but it hasn’t yet touched my key area of interest: 3330–3335.
What now?
My view stays the same –I still expect a move toward the 3450 zone,but I also believe a deeper dip toward support is still on the table – likely a liquidity grab before the next leg up.
Trading Plan:
✅ Buying dips remains the core strategy
🚫 Invalidation only comes on a break below 3305–3310
🎯 Upside target remains well above 3400, aiming for 1000+ pips
Let’s stay focused and let price come to us.
🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Waiting for the Break: 3375 or 3320 Will Decide the Next 1k Pips📉 Quick recap:
As you know, I've been bullish on Gold. However, as explained in yesterday’s analysis, I started to approach this view with more caution. Unfortunately, I closed my long position at break even… before the rally to the 3375 resistance. That’s trading.
📌 What now?
Despite missing that move, the market is beginning to offer more clarity. There are now two key levels that will likely define the next major swing:
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🔹 1. Resistance at 3375 – Top of the Range / Triangle Breakout Zone
• This level marks the upper boundary of the recent range
• It’s also the resistance of a developing ascending triangle
• A clean breakout above 3375 would confirm the pattern and could trigger a strong upside acceleration
• Target: 3450 zone, with potential for more if momentum kicks in (approx. 1000 pips higher)
➡️ This is the obvious bullish scenario – in line with the broader trend and classical technical setup.
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🔻 2. Support at 3320 – The Less Obvious, but Classic Gold
• 3320 is now a confluence support area
• Technically, a break below here is less probable – but Gold has a habit of doing the unexpected
• If 3320 breaks, bears could look for a first leg to 3280 (approx. 400 pips), and very probably 3250 (around 700 pips drop)
➡️ This bearish scenario is not the base case, but it must not be ignored. Sometimes the trap is in the obvious.
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🧭 Trading Plan:
For now, I’m out of the market, patiently waiting for confirmation. I’ll trade the breakout – whichever side gives the signal first.
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📌 Conclusion:
Gold is coiling for a larger move. The levels are clear: 3375 and 3320 are the doors. One of them will open. Until then, we wait and prepare. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
EURAUD Flag Forming Below 1.80 – Time to Sell the Rally?📈 The Big Picture
In mid-February, EURAUD exploded to the upside, gaining over 2000 pips in just two weeks. After peaking near 1.85, the pair corrected sharply, returning to more balanced levels around 1.72.
🕰️ What’s happened since?
The market has resumed its climb and just recently made a new local high at 1.81. On the surface, it looks like bulls are still in control – but a closer look reveals warning signs.
🔍 Key structure observations:
• The current rally appears to be a measured move, topping out near the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the previous drop
• Price structure is overlapping, suggesting weak momentum
• A large flag pattern is developing – typically bearish in this context
• The pair still trades above the ascending trendline, but a breakdown is looming
📍 Current price: 1.7805
🎯 Swing Trade Plan
From a swing trading perspective, I’m looking to sell rallies near the 1.80 zone, with:
• Negation: if the price breaks clearly above the recent high
• Target: the recent low around 1.7250 – where the last correction ended
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📌 Conclusion:
EURAUD may have exhausted its bullish energy. The technical picture suggests we are in the late stage of the rally, with bearish patterns stacking up. Unless bulls manage a clean breakout above 1.80, this looks like a great place to position for a medium-term reversal. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Silver Update (XAGUSD): Eyeing the Next Move After the $39 SurgeAs mentioned in my Friday analysis, Silver ( TRADENATION:EURUSD XAGUSD) was preparing for an important breakout — and indeed, the market delivered. The clean break through resistance triggered a strong acceleration, pushing the metal up to $39, pretty close to the psychological $40 level.
Now, we’re seeing a healthy correction after this steep rise, and this could turn into a buying opportunity for the bulls.
📌 Key support zone:
The ideal area to watch is between $37.20 and $37.50 — this is the sweet spot where bulls might step back in.
But be aware:
👉 After strong breakouts, the broken resistance doesn’t always get retested — sometimes the price rebounds from higher levels.
🎯 Plan of Action:
• Monitor price action under $38
• Watch for reaction patterns and structure shifts
• Don’t force entries — let the market confirm
Silver remains strong as long as the structure holds, and this pullback might just be the market catching its breath before another leg up. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Bulls Are Back – Eyes on 3450 GOLD – Bulls Regain Control After Defending 3280
🟡 Last week was a dynamic one for Gold traders.
The week began with signs of an upside reversal, followed by a drop to test the 3280 support. That dip held—and from there, we saw a strong push higher, ending the week right at the top of the range.
📌 Friday’s close left behind a continuation Pin Bar on the weekly chart – a strong signal in favor of the bulls.
- This week started with a new local high at 3375,but we’re now seeing a pullback in the 3355 area at the time of writing.
What’s next?
Given last week’s price action, bulls seem to have won the battle and appear ready to challenge the 3400 level.
My plan for this week:
I’m looking to buy dips, and as long as nothing changes, my target is the 3450 zone.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
EUR/USD –Bullish Flag After Long Term Trend Shift: Is 1.20 Next?📌 In my previous EUR/USD analysis, I mentioned that the long-term trend likely reversed, and we could see a move toward the 1.23 zone in the medium to longer term.
That view is playing out.
Recently, the pair printed a new local high above 1.18, confirming the trend change.
📉 After this rise, EUR/USD pulled back –but the structure is clearly corrective: overlapping and a classic bullish flag formation.
What's next?
This correction looks close to completion, and bulls may soon return to push toward the key 1.20 level.
Trading Plan:
The 1.1620–1.1650 area stands out as a strong confluence zone – ideal for looking for buying opportunities.
The trend has changed. The setup is forming. Now it’s about timing.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Silver Analysis – Strong Bulls and a Clean Setup AheadLast month, Silver printed a new multi-decade high, a major technical milestone.
Since then, price has entered a sideways consolidation, forming a rectangle — but what stands out is this:
👉 Silver bulls have absorbed every dip, even when Gold dropped.
That’s strength. And strength usually precedes breakout.
🔍 Current Situation
At the time of writing, price is trading around 37.20,
and from the current structure, it looks like nothing is standing in the way of an upside break.
We don’t predict — we prepare...
And this chart looks ready.
🎯 Next Target: 40.00 USD?
A push to 40.00 looks like the next “normal” target.
But don’t forget: that’s a 3,000 pip move.
This type of move will require patience
Plan your trade.
Respect your risk.
Let the bulls work. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D14 W29 Y25USDCAD LONG DAILY FORECAST Q3 D14 W29 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Daily Order block identified
✅4H Order Block identified
✅1H Order Block identified
📈 Risk Management Principles
🔑 Core Execution Rules
Max 1% risk per trade — protect your capital, preserve your edge
Set alerts — let price come to your levels, not the other way around
Minimum 1:2 RR — if the reward doesn’t justify the risk, it’s not worth it
Focus on process, not outcomes — the outcome is random, your process is not
🧠 Remember: The edge lies in execution, not prediction. Your strategy is only as good as your discipline to follow it.
🧠 FRGNT Insight of the Day
"The market rewards structure and patience — not emotion or urgency."
Execute like a robot. Manage risk like a pro. Let the chart do the talking.
🏁 Final Words from FRGNT
📌 USDCAD is offering textbook alignment — structure, order flow, and confirmation are all in place.
📌 The opportunity is there — now it’s about how you show up to execute.
🎯 Trade with clarity. Act with conviction. Manage with precision.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDJPY LONG & SHORT – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W29 | Y25💼 AUDJPY LONG & SHORT – WEEKLY FORECAST
Q3 | W29 | Y25
📊 MARKET STRUCTURE SNAPSHOT
AUD JPY is currently reaching for a key higher time frame supply zone, looking for price action to show weakness at premium levels. Structure and momentum are now aligning for a short opportunity backed by multi-timeframe confluence.
🔍 Confluences to Watch 📝
✅ Daily Order Block (OB)
Looking for Strong reaction and early signs of distribution.
✅ 4H Order Block
Break of internal structure (iBoS) confirms a short-term bearish transition.
✅ 1H Order Block
📈 Risk Management Protocols
🔑 Core principles:
Max 1% risk per trade
Only execute at pre-identified levels
Use alerts, not emotion
Stick to your RR plan — minimum 1:2
🧠 You’re not paid for how many trades you take, you’re paid for how well you manage risk.
🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight
"Trade what the market gives, not what your ego wants."
Stay mechanical. Stay focused. Let the probabilities work.
🏁 Final Thoughts from FRGNT
📌 The structure is clear.
The confluences are stacked.
Let execution follow discipline, not emotion.
No Bullish Confirmation – Targeting 3250 on XAU/USDIn yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that due to Monday’s daily Pin Bar, I closed my short trade on Gold around break-even and decided to wait for more confirmation.
Unfortunately, that wasn't the best decision. The price failed to break above resistance for a bullish continuation and instead dropped sharply, closing the day exactly at the 3300 figure. At the time of writing, Gold is trading even lower at 3293, after briefly rebounding from the 3285 support zone—a level I’ve highlighted in the past.
Moving forward, after the failed bullish continuation and yesterday’s bearish move, it’s clear that bears are back in control. A drop toward the 3250 zone is now on the table.
Conclusion: I’m looking to sell rallies, with my invalidation zone set above 3340, aiming for a good risk-to-reward setup.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Reverses with a Pin Bar – Is the Drop Over?📈 What happened yesterday on Gold (XAU/USD)?
Gold had a tricky session – during the early hours it dipped just below 3300, testing support. But by the New York session, bulls stepped in strongly, pushing price back up and closing near the daily highs. The result? A strong daily Pin Bar with a long tail, signaling possible bullish reversal.
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❓ Is the drop over, or will the market fake out again?
That's the big question now. Yesterday’s close definitely leans bullish, but we need to see confirmation.
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📌 Why a continuation to the upside is possible:
• Price rejected sub-3300 levels pretty strongly.
• A daily Pin Bar formed, signaling buyer strength.
• A break above yesterday’s high would confirm bullish intent.
• 3390–3400 is the next key resistance zone on the radar.
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🧠 My trading plan:
I closed my short near break-even – no need to fight the price action. Now I'm patiently waiting for a clean break above yesterday’s high to enter long trades, aiming for the 3390–3400 resistance area.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD – Correction or Reversal? 1. What happened yesterday
As expected, Gold started to rise after finding support at 3250. The move up played out perfectly, reaching the resistance area highlighted in yesterday’s analysis — around 3320–3340.
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2. The key question today
Is this just a correction in a bearish trend, or the start of reversal?
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3. Why I remain bearish
• On the weekly chart, structure still leans bearish
• On lower time frames, the bounce looks corrective — not impulsive
• No breakout above 3360 yet, which would be needed to shift the bias
• A move back below 3320 would likely trigger renewed selling
• If that happens, 3250 could be tested again quickly
We need to respect the bounce — but not overreact to it.
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4. Trading plan
My bias remains bearish as long as price stays under 3360.
However, if we get a daily close above 3360, I’ll pause and re-evaluate the short bias. The market would then be signaling a potential trend shift.
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5. Final thoughts 🚀
This is a key moment for gold. We’re at resistance zone but not broken above yet.
Until proven otherwise, the trend remains down — and rallies into 3340 zone should be considered selling opportunities.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAGUSD – Bullish Setup for a Move Toward 40 1. What happened recently
After the massive selloff in early April, Silver (XAGUSD) reversed aggressively — gaining nearly 10,000 pips and breaking into multi-decade highs near 38. That kind of move is not noise. It’s power.
The month of June brought consolidation, with price slowly correcting and stabilizing. But this doesn’t look like distribution — it looks like new accumulation.
2. The key question
Is Silver building a base for the next breakout, or has the rally run out of steam?
3. Why I expect another leg up
- 35.00 is now acting as a solid support — tested, respected
- The correction has been shallow, typical for a bull rectangle structure
- Momentum remains on the buyers’ side — no major breakdown signs
- If buyers step in strongly, the next target is clearly the 40.00 psychological level
- This is a textbook bullish continuation setup.
4. Trading plan
Swing traders should watch the 35.00–35.20 zone for buying opportunities.
The risk/reward is attractive — with a potential for +5000 pips on a move toward 40, while keeping stops under the base.
Buy the dips — not the breakouts.
5. Final thoughts 🚀
Silver is shining again. The trend is up, the structure supports further gains, and the chart is offering a clean setup. Until 35 fails, the bias remains bullish.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Rebounds from 3250 – But Bears Still in Control1. What happened last week
As you know, I’ve been bearish on Gold all last week long. Even though the geopolitical situation in the Middle East escalated over the weekend, the fact that price couldn’t reclaim the 3400 resistance was a major red flag.
It showed us that the bullish sentiment was fragile, and that downside pressure is just around the corner.
And indeed — Gold sold off. The weekly close below the 3300 level confirmed the weakness.
2. The key question now
Has Gold found a bottom at 3250, or is this just a temporary rebound before another leg down?
3. Why I expect a continuation lower
- The weekly close was under 3300, breaking key support
- 3250 is being tested again — a level touched multiple times since the mid-April ATH
- The current rebound looks corrective, not impulsive
- Resistance levels at 3320 and 3340 are likely to hold as ceilings
- No major catalyst yet to justify a reversal
- This looks like a classic “sell the rally” setup in a weakening trend.
4. Trading plan
The idea is simple: sell the spikes.
If price bounces into 3320–3340, I will look to short again, anticipating a renewed test of the 3250 support zone.
If 3250 breaks — we could see acceleration toward 3200 or lower.
5. Final thoughts 🚀
No need to complicate things. Gold remains vulnerable unless it clears 3340. Until then, the trend is your friend — and that trend points down.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Geopolitical Spike Fades Fast – Gold Eyes 3300As highlighted in Friday’s analysis, the daily and short-term charts remain messy, but the weekly chart is leaning clearly bearish – with a potential Dark Cloud Cover candlestick formation now confirmed.
🌍 Geopolitical Gap Up... and Quick Rejection
Monday’s Asian open brought a gap up, triggered by renewed tensions in the Middle East. But price failed to break above 3400 and quickly reversed – a textbook sign of weakness, not strength.
🧭 Technical View:
- The weekly candle closed as a Dark Cloud Cover, a strong bearish reversal signal
- The lack of follow-through after the gap up further confirms sellers are still in control
- Price remains below the key 3400 level, showing no bullish momentum behind recent spikes
📌 Trading Plan:
I continue to sell rallies, with an initial target near 3300. If bearish momentum builds, lower levels are in play.
Let the chart lead – don’t get distracted by the noise.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Choppy Gold Action Hides a Bigger Drop on Weekly Chart?After Monday’s correction, Gold continued lower – but the drop has been extremely choppy, making swing trading nearly impossible in this environment.
🔄 Short-term vs. Weekly Picture
On the 1H chart, price action is messy and directionless. However, the weekly chart tells a clearer story – which is not bullish at this moment.
❗ Let’s not rush into the “new ATH” narrative
Last week, I pointed out around the 3360 zone that we may get a rise above 3400. That move happened – but it seems more driven by Middle East tensions than by any structural strength in Gold itself.
📉 Why I’m leaning bearish on higher timeframes at this moment:
• This week’s price action almost fully negates last week’s strong green candle
• A close near the bottom of the range could form a Dark Cloud Cover pattern – a strong bearish signal
• Unless we see a reversal above 3400, downside remains the higher probability
📌 Next Target?
If the weekly close confirms this bearish setup, a drop to 3150 is not only possible – it’s becoming likely.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Fakeout or Takeoff? Gold Retakes 3350 Before NY Close1. Recap of Yesterday's Move
Yesterday was a volatile day for Gold. Price initially broke above the key 3340–3350 resistance zone, only to drop back below it—but intriguingly, it closed above it on the New York session. That close is the detail that changes everything.
2. Key Question: Will Gold Stay Above 3400 and Push Toward New ATHs?
Let’s split this into two scenarios:
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🟢 Bullish Scenario – Buy the Dip?
• The short-term structure is undeniably bullish.
• The reclaim of 3340–3350 is not a fakeout, but a clean signal of strength.
• If momentum holds, we can expect price to push toward 3405 and then 3435.
• As such, the strategy remains: buy dips, targeting those key levels.
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🟡 Long-Term Breakout? Not So Fast
• Yes, the higher lows at 3120, 3250, and 3295 suggest that the correction from 3500 may be over.
• A clean breakout and stabilization above 3400, ideally near 3430, could signal a path toward a new all-time high.
• ❗ However, volatility remains wild, and if geopolitical tensions de-escalate or trade tariffs get resolved, Gold could see a sharp drop of 1500–2000 pips, as part of a broader risk-off unwind. Peace and stability could hurt safe-haven demand.
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📌 Trading Plan
• Short-term: Buy dips while above 3340-3350 (ideally on a re-test), aiming for 3405 and 3435.
• Long-term: Stay flexible. Wait for confirmation above 3430 before going for the ATH narrative.
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💡 Conclusion
Technically, Gold is bullish in both the short and long term. But with global uncertainty in play, don't ignore the fundamentals. Trade the chart, but respect the world around it. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.