Gold Update – The Reversal Is Still in PlayYesterday’s price action confirmed what we’ve been discussing in recent updates: the upside is vulnerable, and the real move could be lower.
Gold did push toward the 3400 zone, as expected — but that test was short-lived. Sellers stepped in aggressively, and price dropped back toward the 3350 support zone, closing the day with a bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart.
Will we have a new leg down?
That’s the big question now. While bulls are hoping for continuation, the current rebound is weak and seems to be shaping into a bear flag.
Why I Expect More Downside:
- Strong rejection from 3400 key level
- Daily chart printed a bearish engulfing
- Rebound structure looks corrective, not impulsive
Trading Plan:
I continue to look for selling opportunities on spikes, especially near resistance levels like 3375–3385.
If the 3340-3350 zone falls, I expect down acceleration and a drop even to 3200 zone.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
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Gold- Short-Term Bull, Medium-Term BearIn my previous analysis, I pointed out the possibility of Gold correcting back to retest the broken descending trendline.
That zone is now acting as a key confluence area, and as long as the price holds above it, bulls maintain the advantage.
However, beyond the technicals, I also shared my personal view: while we could see some upside in the short term (next few days), I believe that Gold is setting up for another leg down in the medium term.
From a strictly technical perspective, the current price action reinforces the likelihood of a short-term bounce. We're seeing a clean retest of previous resistance turned support, which often leads to continuation moves.
📉 But if you're aiming for 1,000+ pip swings (like me), it's wiser to wait for clear bearish confirmation. The real opportunity may come after this short-term rise, at least in my opinion.
In conclusion:
- Short term is bullish as long as it stays above 3340-3350 in terms of daily close
- In the medium term, my opinion is unchanged, drop to 3200
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
UsdJpy could break 142 and fall 500 pipsSince early May, I’ve been highlighting the 142 support zone on USDJPY as a potential reversal area — with a suggested upside target at 146.
The market respected this level twice, reversing from 142 and rallying past 146 both times.
However, last week’s move into 146 was sharply rejected, forming a strong daily Pin Bar exactly at resistance — a classic sign of exhaustion.
Now, price is rolling back toward support, and after multiple tests of the 142 zone, we may be very close to a downside break.
🧩 Add to this the fact that DXY also looks ready to break lower, and the probability of a USDJPY fall increases even more.
📉 Trading Plan:
Sell rallies, with invalidation above 146, and a target at 137, aiming for a 1:2 risk-reward setup.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD – After the Surge, Is the Down Correction Really Over?🟡 What Happened Yesterday
Gold surged strongly yesterday due to escalating geopolitical tensions and a new chapter in the global tariff saga. From top to bottom, the range counted over 1200 pips, marking one of the most volatile sessions in recent weeks.
❓ Is the Down Correction Finished or Will It Continue?
Technically, the chart looks bullish at this moment. The descending trendline has been broken, and the 3350 horizontal zone is now forming a confluence support area.
However, I remain cautious.
Despite the bullish signal, this yo-yo price action could continue. The idea that Gold has not yet finished correcting the broader uptrend still persists in my mind and the 3200 level remains a strong candidate for retesting in the appropriate future.
📊 Why I Expect Further Down Correction
The recent spike might be reactionary, not structural
3340–3350 could provide short-term support, but it may not hold long-term
The overall macro structure still leaves room for another leg down
📉 Trading Plan
While the market holds 3340–3350 support, we might see a bounce toward 3400.
But I prefer to stay out for now and I would buy in that zone only with low volume and clear confirmation
If the 3340 zone fails, I’ll start watching for a new drop to 3280 zone and eventually 3200.
🚀 Wait for Confirmation In both cases, bullish or bearish
The key right now is confirmation. Volatility is high, and the narrative shifts fast.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Will Gold drop to 3200 zone next week?🟡 1. What happened last week with Gold (XAUUSD)
Gold began last week by testing the 3350 resistance zone, hinting the end of the correction and the potential for an upside breakout.
However, in the following days, the market reversed aggressively, reaching as low as 3250 on Thursday — a drop of nearly 1000 pips from the local top and resistance zone.
After this sharp fall, Gold bounced back above 3300, retested the 3325–3330 area, but failed once again — closing the week below 3300.
❓ 2. Key question: Has the rebound ended or is it just a deeper trap?
The market has shown a fake-out followed by compression under resistance.
So the real question becomes: Will the 3280–3290 support finally give in, or will bulls defend it again?
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🔻 3. Why I expect a continuation to the downside
Here’s what the chart structure tells us:
• Clear lower highs and lower lows — the trend remains bearish
• 3330 has turned into major confluence resistance
• Every bounce is sold, showing fading bullish momentum
• The support at 3280–3290 is being squeezed repeatedly
If 3280 breaks cleanly, price action will likely accelerate downward.
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🧭 4. Trading Plan for Next Week
Focus remains on selling rallies, especially if price rises above 3300.
📉 Invalidation: any clean break and hold above 3330
🎯 Target Zones:
• 3250 = Soft target (first reaction zone)
• 3200 = Real target (bearish continuation zone if structure unfolds as expected)
Use structure, not emotion. Let the breakout confirm the plan.
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🚀 5. Final thoughts
The price action around 3280 will likely set the tone for next week.
A breakdown here confirms the bearish structure and opens the door to 3250, then 3200.
Until then: sell rallies, manage risk, and wait for the chart to validate your edge.
Stay sharp. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBPUSD Holds Above 1.34 – Is 1.35 the Launch Pad?In last week’s GBPUSD outlook, I pointed to the 1.34 zone as a potential buy area and likely end of the correction.
The market reacted as expected, reversing from 1.34 and rallying to 1.35. Toward the end of the week, a brief correction followed — but price held above 1.34 and has now returned to 1.35, printing a higher low in the process.
📌 From both a technical and psychological standpoint, 1.35 remains a key level. A confirmed break above could lead to a retest of the recent high — or even push for a new high.
✅ My bias stays bullish as long as 1.34 support remains intact.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
DXY Under Pressure: Breakdown Incoming Below 99.00?After testing the 102 resistance zone in mid-May, the TVC:DXY resumed its downward move, dropping back into the 98.50–99.00 support zone.
The brief spike above the psychological 100 was quickly rejected, and price has since rolled over — currently trading around 99.27 at the time of posting.
🔻 The downside pressure is strong, and a break below support looks imminent.
If that break occurs:
🎯 Short-term target: 98 (approx. 1% drop)
📉 Medium-term potential: A deeper decline toward 95
Gold Update – Has the Downside Ended or Just Taking a Break?📉 What happened yesterday on Gold (XAUUSD)
I started the day under a good omen – 🎯 my 3250 target being hit perfectly.
However, what initially looked like a standard correction turned into a stronger bounce.
Gold broke back above my re-selling zone and even pushed above 3310, triggering my stop loss, and worth nothing that we are now back under 3300- I take it like a man and move forward:).
❓ Has Gold finished with the downside, or is this just a pause before another drop?
🔍 Reasons to expect more downside:
- Although Gold reversed strongly from the 3250 support, the confluence resistance around 3330 capped the move, and sellers stepped in, dragging the price back under 3300.
- The fact that price returned to support so quickly signals weak bullish momentum – buyers couldn’t sustain the rally.
- Gold failed to stabilize above the 3330 zone, which would’ve been a key bullish sign – instead, it got rejected.
- And here’s the part that doesn’t sit right – Gold came back to the 3290 zone too easily, as if the market wanted to offer a second chance to buyers who missed the initial bounce. That usually doesn’t end well.
🧭 Trading Plan
I’m currently out of the market after the stop loss hit, but my bearish bias remains unchanged.
Watching the 3280–3290 area closely – if we drop back below, I’ll look to re-enter short trades.
🚀 Final thought
Yesterday’s move reminded me who’s boss – the market . But unless bulls break key resistance and hold above, the bearish case still has more to say.
Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
GBP/USD – Correction in Progress - Where to buy?A few days ago, I pointed out that GBP/USD broke above key resistance from above 1.34, and even cleared the psychological barrier at 1.35.
That breakout opened the door for a potential move toward 1.4000, and I suggested that traders should look for buying opportunities on pullbacks.
Well — we’re in that pullback now.
So, where do we buy?
📍 The most obvious area is the old resistance around 1.3430. But here’s the catch:
GBP/USD is notorious for fakeouts and spikes.
If price tests that level, it could easily dip under 1.34, take out stops, and only then reverse to the upside.
🛡️ Bottom line: If you’re buying the dip, set your stop-loss wisely
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
USDJPY Returns to Key Support – Another Bounce Ahead?At the end of April and beginning of May, I pointed out the importance of the 142 support zone and argued that USDJPY could reverse to the upside, targeting the 146 resistance.
The pair did exactly that — not only hitting the 146 target, but also spiking as high as 148, reaching the next major resistance.
🔁 Now We're Back towards 142
Since mid-May, USDJPY has pulled back again and is now retesting the 142 area — the same zone that previously triggered a strong bounce.
📌 Outlook and Trading Plan
I still consider the 142 level a solid support, and this recent drop could offer a new buying opportunity.
Any dips under 142 that quickly reverse can be used to build long positions, with a target once more around 146.
That offers a clear trade setup with a good risk-to-reward ratio.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
XAUUSD – Medium-Term Outlook Still BearishAs I explained in yesterday’s analysis, my medium-term bias for Gold turned bearish, and I expect the 3250 support zone to be reached. My current strategy remains to sell rallies.
As shown in the chart, after reaching the 3285 support level — the same area where Gold reversed last week — price has once again reversed.
This recent reversal can be seen as a new shorting opportunity, anticipating a drop toward 3250.
📌 As detailed in this morning's " Minds " post:
• Sell zone: 3320–3330
• Invalidation: Above 3350
• Target: ~700+ pips potential depending on entry
• Risk-to-Reward: Strong 1:3 setup possible
Unless price breaks above 3350, selling rallies remains the plan.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Switched to Bearish Bias After Failed Breakout 🟡 What happened yesterday?
In my previous analysis, I mentioned that the drop from 3360 could be just a correction — and my strategy was to buy the dips.
That’s exactly what I did, buying from the zone I highlighted in yesterday's analysis.
❗ This morning I updated the situation on “minds”
I said we now have a clearer picture:
A break above 3350 would confirm bullish continuation toward the 3400 zone
But a break below yesterday’s low would shift the outlook to bearish and open the door for 3250
📉 What followed?
I closed my long with a small 80 pip profit. More important than the gain itself is this:
The picture is now clear — bears have taken control.
- The ascending trendline is broken.
- The recent touch of 3360 looks like a lower high in the bigger structure.
🧭 My strategy has now changed:
➡️ I'm shifting to selling the rallies
➡️ My target for this bearish leg: 3250
Let’s see if price confirms the scenario in the next sessions — but for now, the signal is clear. Bearish bias in play.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Pulls Back from 3360 – Is This Just a Correction?Last week, Gold closed right into the 3360 resistance zone — a level I’ve highlighted in multiple past analyses.
This week, price has started to pull back.
So far, the move looks like a normal correction, not a reversal.
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📊 Trend Intact – But Watch 3320 Closely
As shown in the chart, the uptrend from the 3120 zone remains intact, and Gold is still trading above the psychological 3300 level.
That means the bullish structure holds, and the strategy remains:
🟩 Buy the dips.
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⚠️ BUT — Key Support Must Hold
The 3300–3320 area is crucial.
Why?
• A break below would mean a trendline break
• It could mark a lower high (compared to 3430 and the ATH at 3500)
• It would shift momentum in favor of the bears
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📉 Trading Plan:
As long as 3360 is not clearly broken, I’ll keep buying dips, but with reduced position size and tight risk controls.
The market still needs to prove the bulls are in full control.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Copper Nears Breakout–Fundamentals and Technicals Both Say “Buy"Copper, often called “the metal with a PhD in economics”, is sending a clear message: we’re entering a new bullish era.
As of mid-May 2025, Copper is trading above $4.85 per pound, approaching the psychological $5.00 level — a key threshold that could trigger further upside momentum.
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🔎 Fundamentals: A Perfect Storm of Demand and Supply Pressure
Copper is no longer just about cyclical demand — it's about structural shifts:
• 🟩 Demand is exploding thanks to:
- Accelerated electrification (EVs use up to 4x more copper than traditional cars)
- Renewable energy infrastructure (cables, turbines, transformers)
- China’s infrastructure push and global energy transition
• 🟥 Supply remains constrained:
- Inventories at multi-year lows (LME + SHFE down over 40% YoY)
- Underinvestment in mining: new copper projects take 8–10 years to develop
- Smelting disruptions in Peru and DRC
- China controls ~70% of global refining capacity — a geopolitical risk amid trade tensions
📊 Big Banks Are Bullish:
• Goldman Sachs sees $10,700/ton within 12 months
• Morgan Stanley targets $9,500/ton by end of 2025
• J.P. Morgan: "Copper is at the heart of a multi-year base metals upcycle"
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📉 Technical Outlook: Higher Lows, Strong Rebounds, and a Breakout in Sight
From a charting perspective, Copper’s structure confirms what the fundamentals are screaming:
• After topping around $5.00 in March 2022, the price dropped sharply to just above $3.00 by mid-summer
• That area marked a strong support zone, coinciding with old resistance from 2017–2018
• A higher low at $3.50 was made in October 2023, setting the tone for a new bullish phase
• Since then, Copper has respected a clear ascending trendline
🚨 The drop in late March / early April (coinciding with the start of the Tariff Saga) brought high volatility, sending price briefly from above $5.00 to around $4.00 support. But bulls stepped in fast.
Now, price is back near $5.00, threatening a major breakout.
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🎯 What’s Next?
If Copper breaks above the $5.00 resistance zone, we could see acceleration toward the $7.00 level — a feasible medium-term target, supported by both supply/demand dynamics and price structure.
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📊 Trading Plan:
With fundamentals and technicals aligned, the strategy is straightforward:
Buy dips, especially toward $4.60–$4.70, and look for confirmation of breakout above $5.00 for medium-term positioning.
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📌 Big moves need big reasons — and Copper has plenty.
This may be just the beginning of a multi-year opportunity. 🚀
GBPUSD Breaks Out – Is 1.40 Next?In my previous analysis, I highlighted that GBPUSD was trading in a strong resistance zone and warned of a potential correction toward the sub-1.31 support area.
While we did see a brief correction, bears lacked follow-through, and the pair reversed from 1.3136, never quite reaching the expected support zone.
🚀 Break Confirmed – Bulls in Control
After bouncing from just above the support zone at 1.3136, GBPUSD began to consolidate and build pressure right under the key resistance area.
That build-up acted as a launchpad, and now we have a clean breakout, with price trading well above 1.35, currently around 1.3577.
This is a genuine breakout, following a textbook sequence: rejection above support, tight consolidation, and then a decisive push higher — all favoring continuation to the upside.
🎯 W hat’s Next?
The next obvious target is the psychological level at 1.40, which aligns with previous key levels and the overall momentum.
📊 Trading Plan:
The strategy remains simple: buying dips is preferred.
The 1.3450 area is an ideal zone to look for long opportunities, especially if the breakout is retested and confirmed as support.
📌 Don’t chase — let the market pull back, then follow the strength. Momentum is clearly with the bulls. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Silver Consolidates After Huge Drop – Breakout Ahead?At the beginning of April, XAGUSD experienced a dramatic decline, losing over 5,000 pips in just three trading days — a drop of more than 15% of its value.
However, after bottoming out on Monday, April 7, the price staged a sharp rebound and, within a week, was back around the 33.00 level.
📉➡️📈 From Panic to Pause – What’s Next?
For more than a month now, Silver has been trading in a tight range, between just under 32.00 and slightly above 33.00.
This consolidation forms a rectangle pattern, which is typically a continuation structure in technical analysis.
With this in mind, I expect further upside from Silver. A clean breakout above the current range could send the price toward the 35.00 zone — and possibly beyond this psychological level.
📊 Trading Plan:
As long as the 32.00 support holds, I remain bullish and will look to buy dips, aiming for a positive risk-reward setup, ideally around 1:2.
🧠 Consolidation breeds momentum — don’t sleep on Silver. If the genuine breakout comes, it could be explosive. 🚀
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Critical Resistance Ahead–Will Gold Confirm the Bullish Reversal🔶 What happened last week on Gold (XAUUSD)?
Last week was an excellent one for Gold bulls – the price surged by nearly 1500 pips, fully recovering the drop from the 12–16 May week.
Looking at the chart, the decline from the last ATH at 3500 appears clearly corrective, forming a classic ABC 3-wave pattern which now seems complete.
Gold is currently testing a major confluence resistance zone, aligned with:
• The 17 April ATH
• The end-of-April resistance
• And the early May support
Also worth noting: this week’s breakout above resistance followed the formation of an ascending triangle, which is typically bullish.
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❓ Key question – Will the bullish move continue, or will price reject from here?
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🔍 Why a bullish continuation is probable:
1. The ABC corrective structure seems to have ended.
2. Price broke out after an ascending triangle – a bullish signal.
3. The broader structure still leans bullish after the ATH at 3500.
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⚠️ But this resistance zone is critical:
• Without a clear breakout above 3360 zone, bulls don’t have full control.
• A drop below 3300 would shift momentum back to the bears, with 3360 becoming a potential lower high.
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🧭 My Trading Plan:
✅ I favor a bullish scenario, aiming for:
• 3430
• 3500 (ATH retest)
❌ This outlook gets invalidated if price falls below 3300 – in that case, I’ll reassess for more downside.
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🚀 The market must confirm the direction. We’re just here to read the map.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Bounces Back – Is the Road to a New ATH Open Again?📈 Gold Back Above 3300 – Is the Correction Over?
In yesterday’s analysis, I mentioned that Gold could start a correction from the strong confluence resistance zone and drop toward the 3260 area.
While price briefly dipped below 3300, it quickly reversed above that level, showing that bulls remain in control. At the time of writing, Gold is trading at 3306, and the ascending trendline from 3120 is still intact.
📌 Key Zone Holding – Bullish Structure Intact
The 3270–3280 area is now acting as a strong support, and yesterday’s price action could signal that the correction is already complete.
If Gold breaks above the 3350–3360 resistance, it would not only confirm a short-term continuation, but could also mean that the entire one-month correction from 3500 is over — opening the door for a new all-time high in the medium term.
📊 Trading Plan:
As long as 3260 holds, the bias remains bullish both in the short and medium term.
Buying dips below 3300 could be a viable strategy while targeting a break above resistance.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Big Picture Shift: EURUSD Bulls Eye 1.23–1.25 Zone📊 EURUSD – Has the Long-Term Trend Finally Reversed?
Since the 2008 all-time high at 1.60, EURUSD has been in a persistent downtrend, dropping all the way below parity in September 2022.
Following the recovery back above parity, the pair has been range-bound in a 700-pip channel for nearly two years. And while early 2025 brought a sharp decline toward the 1.02 zone, this move was quickly reversed, forming what now looks like a higher low relative to the sub-parity bottom.
❓ The big question: Is the long-term trend now bullish?
There are several signs supporting this idea:
✅ From 2008 to 2014, the pair formed a massive descending triangle, which eventually broke to the downside.
✅ The area around 1.05 held as a long-term support, and price began trading in a broader range with 1.22–1.23 resistance.
✅ The break below parity could now be interpreted as a false breakdown, with the strong reversal from 1.02 this year confirming the historical support zones from 2015 and 2017.
✅ Most importantly, the recent push to 1.1550 could be the first higher high on the long-term chart — a potential signal that the downtrend of nearly two decades is ending.
🎯 Conclusion and Long-Term Target
In my view, the long-term trend has shifted. The structure now favors bullish continuation, and my primary target on the long term is the 1.23–1.25 zone.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Hits 3360 Resistance After Breakout – Reversal Ahead?📈 Gold Breaks Out – Now Approaching Key Resistance
Two days ago, I highlighted the ascending triangle forming on Gold and warned that a breakout could lead to strong acceleration in the direction of the move.
As expected, price broke to the upside and rallied 1,000 pips, confirming the bullish breakout.
🧱 B ut now, Gold faces a major test...
Price is now approaching a critical confluence resistance zone around 3360, where I expect a possible reversal.
Given the recent pattern of strong two-way volatility, a pullback from here could send Gold back down to retest the broken 3250 zone — now acting as support.
📊 Trading Plan:
I’m watching closely for signs of weakness near 3360 to open short trades. This level is key for both bulls and bears, and price action here could define the next move.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Gold Stuck Between 3250 and 3200 – Watch the Breakout!After another week filled with violent price swings, Gold started this week on a much calmer note. Yesterday, after filling the Asia open gap, price pushed up to test the 3250 resistance, only to reverse and fall back toward the 3210 support zone.
🔺 A triangle is forming… but which way will it break?
Since last Thursday, price action has been forming an ascending triangle — a pattern that typically favors upside breakouts.
But for this to play out, we need a clean break above 3250. If that happens, we could see a fresh 1,000 pips move up in the short term.
📉 What if 3200 fails again?
A break back below 3200 would cancel the bullish structure and likely send price toward the 3160 support, or even further down to the 3100 zone.
📊 Trading Plan:
For now, I remain on the sidelines, waiting for a clear breakout in either direction. No need to rush — the breakout should bring strong momentum either way.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.