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DXY- Two important levels to watchIn last week's analysis of the DXY, I noted that the index had reversed back above support, potentially indicating a false break. Additionally, the smaller time frame charts are showing an inverted head and shoulders pattern. This idea remains valid, though with some reservations, as the right shoulder is taking too long to complete. This extended formation period is not ideal when trading a head and shoulders pattern. The key level I'm watching is 104.50. If there is a clear break above this level, I will look for opportunities to sell USD pairs, with a focus on GBP/USD. Conversely, if the index breaks below 104, I will look to buy USD pairs, concentrating on AUD and NZD. For now, it's best to wait and see where the break occurs. After such a long consolidation, the resulting move is likely to be strong.
TVC:DXY
by Mihai_Iacob
7
GbpUsd at critical supportAs expected, GBP/USD broke above the 1.2850 resistance level and surpassed 1.3. A correction followed, and now the pair is back at support, possibly retesting this level. However, the inability to stabilize above 1.3 and the fact that the DXY (US Dollar Index) experienced a false breakdown is not very reassuring for bulls. A break below this support would indicate a false breakout and potentially lead to further losses. Currently, I have a bearish bias for cable and am waiting for confirmation to open short trades.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
5
Ethereum back to 4k zone?Unlike Bitcoin, the recent correction in the crypto market hasn't led to a break of support in COINBASE:ETHUSD case. Instead, bulls held the 2900 technical support level very well. Although the recent ETF approval led to some profit-taking, bulls returned to the market around 3100, establishing a higher low. With new optimism back in the crypto market, I don't see ETH being left behind, and I expect a continuation toward the 4000 resistance level. Technically, as I mentioned, we have a higher low relative to the 2900 support, and once 3400 is cleared, we could expect acceleration. This outlook is negated if the recent low does not hold.
COINBASE:ETHUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Solana- Ready for new ATHAfter reaching the 200 milestone back in March, Solana experienced a correction, which was expected. However, unlike other altcoins, bulls managed to maintain the price well above the 2023 lows, where the bull run started. They acted "technically", preventing the price from falling below 125, a former resistance level that has now become support. The past three weeks have been strongly bullish, with the current week showing a continuation Pin Bar. The price is now positioned just below resistance. I anticipate a break above this resistance, and if that happens, SolUsdt will likely reach a new all-time high. In my opinion, 300 is a reasonable target for Solana.
COINBASE:SOLUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
XauUsd- Best place to sell for 1:3 R:RYesterday, XAU/USD continued its descent and dropped to the 2350-2355 support zone without retesting the 2390 broken support, indicating selling pressure. At this moment, the market is correcting to the upside, which should offer bears better entry prices. The best zone to sell remains 2390-2400; however, if this zone is not tested, traders should look for lower entry levels in anticipation of a 2350 break. In the case of a break below 2350, the most obvious level for bears is 2320. On both weekly and daily charts, the situation looks gloomy, with a strong Pin Bar on the weekly and a Fakey pattern that marks the retest of the broken ascending trendline on the daily.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
9
Gold- at important junctureYesterday, after the second test, XAU/USD reversed from 2390 and reached the 2420 resistance zone. However, last week's drop was impulsive and might only be the first leg of an overall correction within the long-term bull trend. The rise to just under 2400 appears corrective so far, suggesting we might see another drop below 2400 and eventually a drop below the 2390 support level. In my opinion, short trades are favored, and the 2420 zone is crucial for traders to watch. However, if the price breaks above this zone, it would indicate a false down break and give an advantage to the bulls, with a new all-time high in sight.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
7
SPX broke the trend line with a gap. Time to sell rallies?Since April, the SPX has risen around 15%, and since November's low, it has increased by almost 40%. This is quite significant for such an index, making us wonder if this rise is fundamentally justified (in my opinion, it is not). But, as they say, "trade what you see, not what you think". What we saw was a strong upward move. However, keeping this expression in mind, we also observed a breakdown with a gap yesterday, which was not filled during the day, indicating a "gap and run." My preferred strategy for the index is to sell on eventual rallies above 5500, with a target at 5250. This strategy would be negated by a new all-time high (ATH).
SP:SPXShort
by Mihai_Iacob
8
EurAud- Important break could lead to 1k pips riseAfter a recent dip to the 1.6 zone and a period of consolidation, the EUR/AUD has reversed strongly over the past two weeks, leading to a significant breakout. As shown in the chart, following an initial upward movement lasting about a year, the pair corrected and consolidated within a falling wedge pattern for another year. Currently, we see a clear breakout above the falling wedge's resistance, which could lead to a rise of approximately 1,000 pips in the medium to long term. Swing and positional traders might consider buying on any dips around 1.64, aiming for a target of 1.75, while keeping the interim resistance and falling wadge's target at 1.7 in mind.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob