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Historic Milestone for Gold: My Outlook and Key Support LevelsLast Friday, for the first time in history, Gold printed a "3" handle, and since the beginning of the year, it has already climbed an impressive 4,000 pips. However, what matters most now is what Gold will do next. As we can see on the chart, after reaching a new all-time high (ATH) at 3005, Gold has started to pull back slightly and has recently formed a support level around 2980. As I also mentioned in my Friday analysis, although I expect a correction, I don’t see Gold dropping all the way back to test the previous ATH zone at 2950 , which should now act as a strong support. Instead, even if Gold breaks below the newly formed 2980 support, I will be watching for reversal signs between 2965 and 2970, and from there, I expect a new bullish wave and a fresh all-time high. In conclusion, my strategy remains unchanged: buy the dips. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Alts- Will they drop further? (+name your alt)In my early February analysis on altcoins , I noted that while a bounce was likely after the sharp drop triggered by Trump’s initial tax remarks, the $1.3T level would act as strong resistance. I expected another decline once this resistance was confirmed— which is exactly what happened, as the market reached that level and began to drop again. After multiple tests of the rising trendline that began in October 2023, last week saw a breakdown, with price finding support just above $900B (an important level as we can see from the posted chart). But was that the full extent of the drop? In my view, we are far from being in the clear, and further declines seem likely. Technically, the rising trendline has been broken, and the recent rebound appears to be corrective rather than the start of a sustained recovery. As long as the price remains below the $1.15T–$1.2T zone, I see a high probability of the market breaking under 900B zone support and reaching $700B in the coming months.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Short
by Mihai_Iacob
28
Resistance at 1.3T: Is a Deeper Crypto Correction Coming?The long-awaited Trump inauguration, which was expected to trigger an altcoin season, had the exact opposite effect. This once again proves that when the majority of market participants expect one outcome, the market often does the opposite. After several days of testing support, the "tax policy" announcement triggered a breakdown below the 1.3T level, causing Total 3 to drop around 30% to 1T. The market is now experiencing a normal rebound, but I am not very optimistic in the medium term. Technically, 1.3T has now turned into strong resistance. In my opinion, after this rebound, a new leg down is likely. I expect a drop below 1T, potentially reaching around 900B in the near future.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2Short
by Mihai_Iacob
3
EUR/JPY Trade Setup: Buying the Dip Toward 160 for a 1:2.5 R/RSince reaching a low around 155 at the beginning of August, EUR/JPY has been trading within a defined range. Earlier this March, the pair once again tested the lower boundary of this range and, as before, rebounded strongly. A higher low was established at the start of this week, suggesting that 159 may now serve as a new base of support. In my view, EUR/JPY is likely to continue its upward trajectory, and a move toward 165 could materialize in the near future. Conclusion: Pullbacks toward the 160 area should be considered potential buying opportunities. With a stop-loss set around 158 and a target at 165, this setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:2.5. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
EURUSD Further Upside potentialThe EUR/USD pair continues to consolidate after experiencing strong bullish momentum. Since Tuesday, the price has primarily been moving sideways, remaining within a defined range. The market is currently positioned at a key resistance zone, yet no significant pullback was observed last week. At this stage, the price appears likely to continue ranging before making a decisive move. An ABC pullback is in formation, and once completed, there is a strong potential for the trend to resume. A dip below last week's low is anticipated, followed by a rebound from the support level near 1.07800 and the upward trendline. The next potential target is the resistance zone around 1.10000
Long
by RTED_Investing
Bitcoin under 40k? Possible, but is this also probable?In life, anything is possible , and when it comes to crypto, everything is possible . But, as I mentioned in my educational post yesterday, there’s a big difference between what is possible and what is probable. In this article, I want to analyze the possibility of Bitcoin dropping below $40,000 and more importantly, what would need to happen for this scenario to shift from just possible to truly probable. ________________________________________ BTC — From All-Time High to Distribution? If we look at the Bitcoin chart, we notice that after the first all-time high very close to $100,000 at the end of November, the market began a consolidation phase. Although we saw two more all-time highs — one around $108,000 in mid-December and another near $110,000 in January — the entire structure from late November to late February appears to be a distribution pattern rather than a healthy continuation. Once Bitcoin broke below $90,000, we can consider this distribution phase complete, with a target for short positions around $75,000 — a level I’ve highlighted in my previous posts. ________________________________________ Long-Term Logarithmic Chart — Diminishing Returns and the Bigger Picture Looking at the long-term logarithmic chart, we can see a clear pattern of diminishing returns: • The first major leg up, starting in late 2011, was approximately 600x and lasted about two years, followed by a correction. • The next leg was 100x, spanning four years, followed by another correction. • Then, a 20x rally, which lasted just over a year. • Finally, the most recent leg up has been around 7x. What’s crucial here is that returns are decreasing and, even more importantly, the last leg up looks more like an ascending channel than a parabolic move like in previous cycles. ________________________________________ The Significance of the Ascending Channel This ascending channel is not unusual — the market has matured, and big players are now involved, reducing volatility. However, ascending channels on the long-term often signal potential reversals, rather than continuation. ________________________________________ What Would Make $40,000 Probable? Now, let’s address the real question: What would need to happen for Bitcoin to drop to $40,000? Zooming in on the logarithmic chart, it becomes evident that the $72,000 - $75,000 zone is a major support confluence. If this area is broken — meaning a weekly candle closes below this level — the scenario of BTC dropping toward $40,000 becomes probable. The target zone I’m watching in this case is $32,000 - $36,000, a strong historical support that is clearly visible on higher timeframes. ________________________________________ Conclusion — Watch the Key Levels, Not What you Hope To conclude: • Bitcoin dropping to those extreme levels is possible, but not yet probable. • Probabilities will shift only if key support levels are broken — specifically $72k-$75k. • The market has matured, cycles are changing, and returns are diminishing, so expecting a repeat of past parabolic runs may not be realistic. • As traders and investors, we must focus on the charts and key levels, not on hopium and hype.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
13
Gold Eyes $3,000 Breakout: Buy the Dip Strategy Remains in PlayYesterday, as expected, Gold reached a new all-time high, coming very close to the key $3,000 psychological level. Currently, the price is undergoing a minor correction, consolidating the strong gains from yesterday — which may present traders with a fresh opportunity to join the prevailing bullish trend. The $2,955 level, representing the previous ATH, now acts as a key support. However, in my view, Gold is unlikely to revisit this level, as it would be too obvious and heavily watched by the market. Instead, I expect a shallow pullback followed by a new impulsive leg higher, likely pushing the price above the $3,000 mark. Conclusion: The strategy remains unchanged — buy dips in anticipation of a breakout to new all-time highs beyond $3,000. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
5
Gold Breaks Out: Is a New All-Time High on the Horizon?Finally, after a week of range-bound trading and a false downside breakout, Gold has found direction and surged to the upside. As expected, the inflation data served as the catalyst. With the reported figure coming in lower than anticipated, traders are now pricing in potential rate cuts. Technically, as mentioned, the price broke above the 2930 resistance level and reached a high at 2947 just shy of the all-time high. Currently, Gold is undergoing a normal correction, which should present traders with an opportunity to buy at lower levels. The ideal buy zone is between 2920 and 2930, with the bullish outlook negated if the price falls back into the previous range. In terms of targets, the old ATH acts as resistance, but I wouldn’t be surprised if Gold pushes higher and sets a new record above the 2960 zone. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
1
Gold’s False Breakout: A Bullish Shift in MomentumIn my analysis yesterday, I argued that once the price broke below the 2900 support zone, further downside movement was likely. However, the price quickly recovered above this key level, prompting me to close my short trade with a minimal profit of 70 pips. More importantly, after reclaiming 2900, Gold continued its upward movement and once again tested the 2920 resistance zone. Even more significant is the fact that the breakdown below 2900 can now be considered a false break, which could ultimately lead to a breakout above resistance. Today, we also have U.S. inflation data, which could serve as a catalyst for such a breakout. In conclusion, my outlook has now turned bullish, and I will look to buy on dips. A bearish scenario would only be confirmed by another break below 2900. As for the upside target, if 2920 is breached, we could see strong momentum this time—potentially even a new all-time high above 2955. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
3
Short-Term Opportunity in NAS100: Rebound in Play?Since reaching its all-time high (ATH) three weeks ago, NAS100 has dropped approximately 3,000 pips, hitting a low near the 19,000 zone yesterday. Currently, the CFD price is rebounding, and this recovery could extend into the New York trading session. Although my overall correction target remains around 18,000, I anticipate a short-term relief rally at this stage. From a short-term trading perspective, the 19,000 level could present a good entry opportunity. With a tight stop and a target slightly above 20,000, this setup offers a favorable risk-reward ratio.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Mihai_Iacob
5
Choppy Gold Price Action: Bearish Bias, But With CautionIn my post yesterday, I mentioned that Gold would likely break below the 2900 support zone. Indeed, after multiple tests and annoying price action, the price finally dropped below this level, reaching an intraday low of 2880. However, it quickly reversed and is now trading back around the same level. To be honest, while my outlook remains slightly bearish, this kind of choppy movement is not ideal. In conclusion, my strategy remains to sell on rallies—but with caution and lower volumes. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
4
Gold Outlook Unchanged: Waiting for a Break Below SupportFriday's NFP turned out to be a non-event, with gold prices remaining stuck in their familiar range between 2,895 and 2,930. Following the announcement, prices initially spiked to resistance but quickly retreated to the middle of the range by the weekly close. Looking ahead, my outlook remains unchanged—I expect a break below the 2,895 support level. If this happens, we could see accelerated downside momentum, potentially testing recent lows in the 2,830–2,840 zone. My strategy also remains the same: selling rallies against the range’s resistance. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
Fatigue in EUR/USD: Time to Sell the Rallies?Last week, EUR/USD saw an explosive rise, breaking above my 1.06 target and even surpassing the next resistance at 1.08. However, signs of fatigue are emerging, and there appears to be significant selling liquidity around the 1.09 level. With the DXY currently in a support zone and potentially set for an upward reversal, I expect EUR/USD to decline and correct its 500-pip rally. A break back below 1.08 would confirm this scenario, potentially leading to a test of the 1.06 zone. Selling rallies near 1.09 could offer a favorable risk-reward opportunity. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
6
Bearish Outlook for US500: Watching 5,200 SupportAfter testing support at the end of February, the US500 fell below this key level at the start of March, signaling the potential for a deeper correction. In my view, this scenario is likely, and any rebound this week could present a good selling opportunity for speculators. My target for this correction is the 5,200 support zone. A stabilization above 6,000 would invalidate this outlook. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:US500Short
by Mihai_Iacob
Why I shorted BTC?In last weekend’s crypto analyses, I mentioned that many altcoins were in a support zone, with a strong chance of a reversal from that level. Shortly after I published my analyses, the announcement regarding the federal crypto reserve was released, triggering a massive pump. However, this surge was short-lived, and prices quickly retraced back to their initial levels. For me, this is not a good sign—when major positive news fails to sustain gains, it often signals weakness in the market. Now, regarding Bitcoin: although its price remains above the announcement level, it has struggled to hold gains above the 91K support level and continues to break below it. I don’t believe prices are dropping just to set up a massive bull run for everyone to buy in—this looks like a bearish signal to me. As a result, I have shorted BTC and expect a decline to 75K. That said, with my stop-loss placed above the initial pump’s high, I’m currently running a 1:3 risk-reward ratio, which—regardless of the outcome—is ideal in my book.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
3
Will the NFP report act as a catalyst for a downside breakout?In my post yesterday, I argued that multiple resistance levels exist above 2925, which could lead to a market decline. Indeed, throughout the day, gold dipped below 2900 once again, but support held, keeping the price stuck in a range. Looking ahead, today’s NFP data could act as a catalyst for a breakout from this range. My bias remains bearish, and I expect a break of the support level, followed by a continuation downward toward last week's lows. However, a breakout and sustained buying above 2925 would shift my outlook. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
1
Gold Price Action: Why I Took Profits EarlyYesterday, gold initially dropped below 2900, briefly testing the 2895 zone as support before reversing sharply to the upside. Although I had a sniper entry with a 500-pip profit target, I chose to close my trade with a 250-pip profit instead. The reason for this decision is the strong resistance between 2920 and 2930, along with multiple barriers extending toward 2940. Looking ahead, a breakdown below 2910 would confirm my slightly bearish bias and could trigger a new leg downward. For now, I’m staying out of the market, waiting for confirmation of my bearish outlook before initiating sell positions. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:XAUUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
EUR/USD Surges, but Is a Reversal Coming?After retesting the 1.0360 support during Monday’s Asian session open, EUR/USD reversed to the upside, reaching the 1.05 resistance zone. The pair then broke above this level, surging higher and reaching the 1.08 zone, surpassing the 1.0780 resistance. Currently, the pair is consolidating above this level. However, since the DXY is sitting on strong support with a high chance of reversal, this breakout could turn out to be a false one. If the price drops back below the 1.0780 zone, it would confirm a false breakout, potentially leading to a decline toward the 1.06 support level. In conclusion, I’m waiting for confirmation to enter short positions. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
by Mihai_Iacob
XAUUSD FLYYY ( WILL IT JUST HIT ATH OR MAKE NEW ATH?📈 Market Analysis and Trade Setup 📊 The market is currently consolidating within a defined support and resistance range of 2903 to 2905. Within this zone, a "W" pattern is emerging, along with a double bottom rejection at the support level. These technical signals suggest a potential 📈 buying opportunity for a long position. 💡 Trade Setup: 📍 Entry: 2913 🎯 Target 1: 2924 (110 pips) 🎯 Target 2: 2942 (290 pips) 🎯 Target 3: 2956 (330 pips) 🛑 Stop Loss: 2897 This setup presents a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. Remember to practice 📉 proper risk management!
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by BB_UNITED
2