Lingrid | GOLD possible OPTIMAL Zone to SHORT the MARKETThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit TP level. OANDA:XAUUSD is currently pulling back to the resistance zone at 2650 and the downward trendline. The price broke and closed above the 2600 level, suggesting that bears may not be interested in shorting at these levels. There is a possibility that the market could rally above to retest the previous week's low. I expect the price might remain within the range of the previous week, forming an inside bar pattern. This consolidation could lead to indecision among market participants as they await the impact of the upcoming news. My goal on is support zone around 2585
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Signals
XAU/USD : More Fall Ahead ? (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we notice that today’s market opened with a positive price gap between $2563 and $2566 . These types of gaps often act as magnets for price action, as markets tend to fill such gaps over time. Based on the current bullish momentum, I expect a price correction in the near future to fill this gap.
Looking deeper into the structure, we can see that gold’s recent rally has managed to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the previous bearish move to a significant extent. However, it still has room to climb and fully fill the gap at $2606. This level could serve as a critical zone where we might observe a strong price reaction . Keep this level on your radar—it could either confirm a continuation of the bullish trend or trigger a reversal.
From a broader perspective, the ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the Ukraine-Russia conflict continue to provide a safe-haven bid for gold. These factors have been instrumental in driving demand, even as the US dollar shows signs of consolidation after its recent strength.
On the macroeconomic front, recent data showed strong US retail sales for October , indicating resilience in the economy. However, there’s growing uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's policy direction. Markets currently price in a 65% probability of a 25bps rate cut in December, which could weigh on the dollar further and provide support for gold in the medium term.
From a technical standpoint:
1. Gold remains in a bullish structure, but short-term corrections are expected due to overbought conditions and the need to fill the gap at $2563-$2566.
2. The $2606 level acts as a magnet for price, as it marks the full closure of the previous FVG. Monitor this level closely for signs of rejection or continuation.
3. In case of a rejection at $2606, a retest of support levels near $2545-$2550 could be on the cards, aligning with the gap fill.
Key Levels to Watch :
- Support: $2563 (gap low), $2545
- Resistance: $2606 (FVG top), $2620
To summarize, while gold’s rally has been impressive, the presence of both the unfilled gap below and the remaining FVG above suggests that the market could be at a pivotal point. Watch these levels carefully, as they are likely to guide gold’s next move.
Previous Analysis :
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Lingrid | AUDJPY in CONSOLIDATION zone. Potential SHORT The price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It reached the target zone. FX:AUDJPY has broken and closed above the channel, but the overall market trend remains sideways. The price is approaching a level where it tanked from this resistance, indicating that bears may be active in this zone. If the price rejects the resistance and upward trendline, we can expect price to fall again. Given the current sideways movement, I expect the market to potentially bounce off the top of the range and subsequently move toward the channel border. My goal is support zone around 100.750
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Ukraine is dangerous, GOLD receives support from risksOn Wednesday (November 20) on the Asian market, spot gold continued to increase in the short term. Gold price has just retested the mark of 2,640 USD/ounce, increasing sharply to reach nearly 10 USD during the day.
Growing concerns about the Russia-Ukraine crisis have caused gold prices to rise further. It is worth noting that geopolitical tensions flared up again due to information that the Biden administration authorized Ukraine to use US-made weapons to attack Russian territory last weekend.
Geopolitical tensions, economic risks and a low interest rate environment have enhanced the appeal of gold.
Bloomberg of the US commented that as the conflict entered its 1,000th day, Ukraine used its newly acquired long-range missile capabilities to attack a military base on Russian territory.
Moscow has warned against such actions and stepped up threats of nuclear responses to conventional attacks.
Russia's war in Ukraine has entered a dangerous new chapter
On Tuesday local time, Ukrainian forces used the US Army Tactical Missile System (ATACMS) for the first time to attack a facility in Russia's Bryansk Oblast.
The Russian Ministry of Defense confirmed that Ukraine used missiles from the US military's Tactical Missile System to attack Russia and that Russia's anti-missile system shot down 5 out of 6 missiles.
On Tuesday local time, Russian President Vladimir Putin signed a decree approving a new version of Russia's basic national policy on nuclear deterrence, which took effect from the date of signing.
The new version of the policy expands the range of countries and military alliances with which Russia can exercise nuclear deterrence, and proposes to consider "aggression against Russia by any non-nuclear state with the participation or support of nuclear states" is a "joint attack". against Russia. (Directly aimed at America)
Bloomberg noted that two developments on Tuesday worried investors, causing investors to rush into safe-haven assets, especially gold.
On the daily chart, gold tested the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement level at $2,640, which is an important technical point for the downtrend that readers should pay attention to through the price channel.
Currently, gold still has conditions to decrease in price with the main trend from the price channel and the main pressure from EMA21 still maintained. On the other hand, the Relative Strength Index is also creating a curve as it approaches the 50 level, which shows that buying is slowing down.
Technically, gold still has a more bearish outlook. However, if it breaks the price channel and rises above the EMA21 level, a new uptrend could open.
During the day, the bearish technical outlook still prevails and the notable points are listed below.
Support: 2,605 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,640 – 2,668USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2653 - 2651⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2657
→Take Profit 1 2646
↨
→Take Profit 2 2641
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2589 - 2591⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2585
→Take Profit 1 2596
↨
→Take Profit 2 2601
DOW JONES bouncing on the 4H MA200 and 0.5 Fibonacci.Dow Jones (DJI) found Support yesterday exactly on its 4H MA200 (red trend-line), after just a brief break of the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. The dominant pattern has been a Channel Up since the August 05 Low and within it, every 0.5 Fib test from the previous Low, has been the most effective buy entry as it started the new Bullish Leg.
The technical symmetry within this pattern is astounding as every Bullish Leg hit its 1.236 Fibonacci extension, completing a +8.30% rise. The ROC Higher Lows indicates that a rebound should be expected right now.
We haven't had a 1.236 Fib extension since the elections Low, so naturally take this 4H MA200 / 0.5 Fib bounce to buy if you haven't and target 45000 (also +8.30% rise).
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BONKUSD going at least x10 from here!Bonk (BONKUSD) just formed a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame and having broken above its current ATH Resistance (March 04 High), it is expected to rise parabolically from here.
To back this up, that is exactly what took place after the previous 1D Golden Cross a year ago (November 08 2023), when again the price broke above Resistance 1 and turned parabolic to the 3.0 Fibonacci extension, completing a +20200% rise from its bottom.
If a new +20200% rise seems unrealistic to you (it would however form a perfect Higher High at the top of the long-term Channel Up), then you can target the 3.0 Fibonacci extension at $0.0006650, which represents a +1100% rise from the current levels. A x10 opportunity indeed.
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Gold --> Bear Market Heating Up? Resistance AheadOANDA:XAUUSD rising after a false breakout of 2547. Fundamentally, the situation is quite complicated as well as technically...
The metal price is positively affected by the escalating Russia-Ukraine war, making gold more attractive to investors as a safe-haven asset.
In addition, the appeal of gold is reinforced by geopolitical tensions, economic risks and a low interest rate environment. Fed officials are expected to speak this week, thereby providing more details on the US interest rate cut roadmap. Currently, according to traders' predictions, there is a 62% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December... Theoretically, it is still unclear whether gold can maintain its bullish momentum as prices are approaching strong resistance and traders are cautious as they wait for new signals on the Fed's interest rate outlook.
Technically, gold is in the range of 2643 - 2626. Since the opening of the session, the price has increased quite strongly, which increases the possibility of resistance to stop this increase. The situation is complicated by the mixed fundamental backdrop. A false break of 2647 and consolidation below this area will strengthen the selling pressure. But there is a possibility of a retest of 2686 (order block area) before the decline continues. The expected decline will reach the levels of 2547 - 2471 respectively.
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with.
BITCOIN Pi Cycle Theory aiming at $120k at least!Following Bitcoin's (BTCUSD) new All Time High in the aftermath of the U.S. elections, we've established on previous posts that we've entered the final year (12 months) of this Bull Cycle. This is clearly visible by the use of the Sine Waves as shown on this 1W chart.
** Pi Cycle **
The new aspect we're bringing to you today is the Pi Cycle indicator, which has proven to be as consistent as any other at projecting the long-term price action of Bitcoin. As you can see every Cycle Top has been considerably above the Top Pi Band (red trend-line) and we're currently trading $30k below where this level is now. This means that it is only a matter of time for BTC to 'attack' $120k and break it.
** 1W RSI kickstarting the aggression **
We are at a point where the new rally phase that started after the price tested, held and rebounded on the 1W MA50 back in early August, will start getting more and more aggressive. The final bullish signal was given last week after the 1W RSI closed above 70.00 (vertical orange dashed line). As you can see, during the previous two Cycles, every time Bitcoin closed the 1W RSI above 70.00, the Cycle peaked 54 weeks later (roughly 365 days). There is no reason to expect otherwise this time also, as this projected date (week of November 24 2025) falls exactly on the Sine Wave's Top.
Notice also that during the most aggressive part of the Parabolic Rally, the 1D MA100 (blue trend-line) tends to Support. And before that, when that crosses above the Bottom Pi band (green trend-line), the indicator gives a confirmed buy signal for the whole Cycle.
** Timing the market is everything **
The question now is how high can the price get? Well according to those estimates, a peak above the Top Pi Band can be anywhere within the $150k - $200k range, and that could be a conservative estimate. But lucky enough, with technical tools like the one we present to you today, we can time the market (thus our exits/ sells) almost perfectly and get out as high as possible, without having an absolute Target in mind.
But what do you think? Are you also expecting the rally to start getting even more aggressive and break above $120k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Lingrid | SHIBUSDT sideways TREND before Take-OffThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It reached the target zone. BINANCE:SHIBUSDT made a surge following the breakout from the consolidation zone, reaching the resistance area at 0.00003 before pulling back. The price is currently moving sideways, forming a range as it approaches the upward trendline. This narrowing price action may lead to a breakout and potentially another price surge. I anticipate that the market may dip and possibly go below the previous week's low to take liquidity before making a move higher. My goal is resistance zone around 0.00003
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SILVER Will Go Higher From Support! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 31.396.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 31.547 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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EURJPY bottomed on the 1D MA50. +5.40% upside potential.The EURJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the September 16 Low. Yesterday it made a Higher Low on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and rebounded. This is identical to the post December 07 2023 Channel Up, which was also supported by its 1D MA50 until its very top (July 11 2024).
The 1D RSI sequences between the two fractals are also similar and even more importantly the Channel Up patterns appear to have a high degree of symmetry. So far the two Bullish Legs have risen by +5.40%.
As a result, we are expecting another +5.40% from yesterday's bottom, so our Target is just below it at 170.000.
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WTI OIL 4H RSI Bullish Divergence sending a strong buy signal.WTI Oil (USOIL) stopped yesterday's rebound on the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and is now on a small pull-back. Technically that is the Resistance level it needs to break if it wants to break-out aggressively towards the long-term Resistance Zone.
There are high probabilities of doing so, as the 4H RSI formed Higher Lows, which is a Bullish Divergence against the Lower Lows of the price. In fact, it is the exact same formation as the October 01 Low that rebounded aggressively above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, we are bullish on this one, targeting $76.00 (the 0.786 Fib currently).
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Lingrid | AUDCAD short After REJECTION of the RESISTANCE zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target level. FX:AUDCAD is gradually pulling back toward the resistance zone and the upward trendline area. Overall, the market is making lower lows and lower closes on the 4H timeframe. After a significant bearish move, the price is currently positioned to retest the 50% retracement level of that decline. I anticipate that the market to reject the resistance zone and continue moving downward. My goal is support zone around 0.90700
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EURUSD Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.056.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.057 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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BTCUSDT: Bullish momentum continues to buildBINANCE:BTCUSDT continues to hold its ground, trading with an uptrend as buyers look to push the price above a key resistance level. Currently, BTC is consolidating near $91,824, showing signs of accumulation within an ascending triangle pattern. This pattern is often considered a bullish signal, indicating a strong breakout.
The current market sentiment remains bullish, supported by institutional interest and macroeconomic factors, such as a weaker dollar and growing demand for cryptocurrencies as a hedge. The chart shows that Bitcoin could gain momentum, especially if buyers manage to break above the key resistance level of $93,300.
Traders should keep a close eye on the $93,300 resistance level. A confirmed breakout with high volume could provide an entry point for long positions, while traders remain conservative. However, with the price reacting to strong resistance, I do not rule out the possibility that the price could wait for a pullback to the $90,000-91,000 zone, form a trend line and rise.
Solana: Cup and Handle PatternThe textbook Cup and Handle pattern (black) has formed on the chart.
The price has broken through the Handle, triggering a bullish signal
The target of this pattern is the depth of the "Cup" added to the breakout point.
Therefore, the SOL/USDT price is heading towards $412.