EUR/USD Direction 1.10 - Technical and Fundamental Analysis📊 Market Context
As of March 18, 2025, EUR/USD is in a strong bullish expansion phase, with the price testing significant resistance levels. The US dollar remains solid, but market attention is focused on the Federal Reserve and the ECB, with expectations of more accommodative monetary policies in the coming months.
🔍 Technical Analysis
The chart analysis reveals a bullish trend with the following key points:
Main Resistance: 1.0912 - 1.10 area (potential reversal zone highlighted in red on the chart).
Key Supports: 1.0822 (former resistance now acting as support), 1.0360, and 1.0283 (deeper support levels highlighted in yellow).
Market Structure: The price has tested the monthly resistance around 1.0912 and entered a potential reversal zone where significant price reactions are expected.
Bullish Momentum: The trend shows strong bullish candles, indicating a possible continuation toward 1.10.
📌 Possible Scenario: If EUR/USD decisively breaks 1.0912 and closes above 1.10, there could be room for a further rally toward 1.12.
📌 Alternative Scenario: A rejection at resistance and a close below 1.0822 could trigger a bearish correction toward 1.0360.
🌍 Fundamental Analysis
US Data: Consumer confidence in the United States has dropped to its lowest level since November 2022, increasing the likelihood of a Fed rate cut by June.
Monetary Policy: The ECB is maintaining a more neutral stance, while the Fed may be forced to cut rates faster to support the economy.
Capital Flow: The market is anticipating US dollar weakness due to the outlook for rate cuts, supporting a possible euro appreciation.
🎯 Conclusion
Main Bias: Bullish above 1.0822, targeting 1.10 and beyond.
Trend Invalidation: Below 1.0360, the bullish trend would weaken.
EUR/USD could consolidate in this area before breaking above 1.10. The future direction will depend on upcoming central bank statements and macroeconomic data.
Signals
Alts- Will they drop further? (+name your alt)In my early February analysis on altcoins , I noted that while a bounce was likely after the sharp drop triggered by Trump’s initial tax remarks, the $1.3T level would act as strong resistance.
I expected another decline once this resistance was confirmed— which is exactly what happened, as the market reached that level and began to drop again.
After multiple tests of the rising trendline that began in October 2023, last week saw a breakdown, with price finding support just above $900B (an important level as we can see from the posted chart).
But was that the full extent of the drop?
In my view, we are far from being in the clear, and further declines seem likely. Technically, the rising trendline has been broken, and the recent rebound appears to be corrective rather than the start of a sustained recovery.
As long as the price remains below the $1.15T–$1.2T zone, I see a high probability of the market
breaking under 900B zone support and reaching $700B in the coming months.
USD/JPY Eyes 151 Resistance After Bullish BreakoutLast week, USD/JPY reached my target at the 146 zone. After testing this support level, the pair began to reverse upward and broke above the falling wedge pattern, signaling a potential trend change.
On Friday, the pair formed a higher low, followed by another one today.
As of now, USD/JPY is trading at 147.75, just below a key horizontal resistance level. A breakout above this level could lead to further upside, with the next target around the 151 resistance zone.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
Resistance at 1.3T: Is a Deeper Crypto Correction Coming?The long-awaited Trump inauguration, which was expected to trigger an altcoin season, had the exact opposite effect. This once again proves that when the majority of market participants expect one outcome, the market often does the opposite.
After several days of testing support, the "tax policy" announcement triggered a breakdown below the 1.3T level, causing Total 3 to drop around 30% to 1T.
The market is now experiencing a normal rebound, but I am not very optimistic in the medium term.
Technically, 1.3T has now turned into strong resistance. In my opinion, after this rebound, a new leg down is likely.
I expect a drop below 1T, potentially reaching around 900B in the near future.
NZD/JPY struggles to reverse the downtrendNZD/JPY is attempting to break free from its downward trajectory by pushing through channel resistance. With the U.S. dollar showing localized strength, this pair is in a prime position for a potential bullish breakout.
Buyers are gaining momentum, gradually supporting the market as higher local lows emerge. This buildup of strength is setting the stage for a decisive break above channel resistance. In this scenario, the key trigger lies at 85.240, a crucial level that divides the market into two distinct zones.
If the bulls successfully establish control above 85.240, an upward impulse toward 86.13 is likely, with the potential to extend further to 86.88 in the short term.
Support: 84.500, 84.00
Resistance: 85.240, 86.13
The initial breakout test may face a brief pullback as liquidity accumulates above. This retracement could revisit the previously broken channel resistance before resuming its climb. However, the primary focus remains on price stability above 85.240, as this will be a pivotal factor in determining whether buyers can sustain control and drive the next bullish wave.
Nasdaq 100 (NQ1!) - Key Levels and Market Outlook 📌 Market Structure
🔹 Key Support Zone (~19,170 USD)
The price recently bounced off this level, which has acted as a significant support area.
The highlighted gray-blue zone represents a demand area where buyers stepped in.
🔹 Intermediate Resistance (~19,800 - 20,200 USD)
The price is currently testing this zone, which was previously a key breakdown area.
A strong rejection here could push the index back towards the 19,170 USD support.
🔹 Major Supply Zone (~21,500 - 22,400 USD)
The previous peak around 22,400 USD saw strong selling pressure, leading to a sharp drop.
The red-shaded area represents a heavy supply zone where sellers were dominant.
📉 Bearish Scenario
A rejection at 19,800 - 20,200 USD could lead to another retest of 19,170 USD.
A break below 19,170 USD would expose the index to further downside, possibly towards 18,500 - 18,200 USD.
📈 Bullish Scenario
A break and close above 19,800 - 20,200 USD could trigger a move towards 21,000 - 21,500 USD.
A sustained breakout above 22,400 USD would invalidate the bearish structure and signal a continuation of the uptrend.
🔎 Conclusion:
The Nasdaq is at a pivotal moment, hovering around key resistance at 19,800 - 20,200 USD.
A breakout or rejection from this zone will determine the short-term direction.
Key factors to watch include economic data, Fed policy, and overall market sentiment.
AUD-NZD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-NZD has been falling
Recently and the pair is locally
Oversold so after it hits the
Horizontal support level
Of 1.0956 a long trade
Can be entered with the
TP of 1.0990 and SL of 1.0937
Buy!
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GBP_AUD LONG SIGNAL|
✅GBP_AUD is moving down
Down now to retest a horizotnal
Support level of 2.0327 from
Where we can enter a long
Trade with the Take Profit
Of 2.0413 and SL of 2.0270
LONG🚀
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EUR-CHF Bearish Wedge Pattern! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
EUR-CHF was trading in an
Uptrend but the pair has formed
A bearish wedge pattern so
IF we see a bearish breakout
From the wedge we will be
Expecting a bearish move down
Sell!
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EURUSD at Key Resistance Level – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURUSD has reached a key resistance level, marked by prior price rejections, suggesting strong selling interest. This area has previously acted as a key supply zone, increasing the likelihood of a bearish reversal if sellers step in.
If bearish signals emerge, such as rejection wicks, bearish candlestick patterns, or signs of weakening bullish pressure, I anticipate a move toward the 1.07400 level. However, a clear breakout above this resistance could challenge the bearish outlook and open the door for further upside. It's a pivotal area where price action will likely provide clearer clues on the next direction.
Just my take on support and resistance zones, not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with a proper risk management.
USOIL Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 67.592.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 71.123.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURUSD Will Go Up From Support! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 1.091.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 1.094 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURCAD Will Go Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for EURCAD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.562.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.534 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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AUDJPY Will Go Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 94.552.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 94.086 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USD-CAD Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CAD kept bouncing
Off of the horizontal support
Of 1.4355 but then it was
Finally broken and the breakout
Is Confirmed so we are locally
Bearish biased and we will be
Expecting the pair to go
Further down
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
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XAU/USD: Another ATH (All Time High) Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the gold chart in the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that the price has finally made its big move, just as we predicted! After a correction to $2905, demand increased, pushing the price up by over 400 pips to $2949.
Currently, gold is trading around $2940, and there are two key scenarios:
1️⃣ Holding support at $2940, leading to a rise above $2950 as the first target.
2️⃣ Breaking below $2940 and stabilizing under it, which could trigger a further correction to $2923.
This analysis will be more complete with your support, and more details will be added soon!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
NASDAQ Most critical 4H MA50 test in 7 months!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 11 2024 High. The price action since the February 18 2025 High was been the patterns Bearish Leg and like the August 05 2024 bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line, it was done on an oversold (<30.00) 1D RSI.
Now that the price has Double Bottomed and bounced, it came across today with a 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) test. 7 months ago it was that test and eventual break-out that initiated Nasdaq's 4-month non-stop rise. Initially once broken, the first target was just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level.
As a result, you can get a confirmed buy signal once the index closes above the 4H MA50 and target 21450 (just below the 0.786 Fib).
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EUR/JPY Trade Setup: Buying the Dip Toward 160 for a 1:2.5 R/RSince reaching a low around 155 at the beginning of August, EUR/JPY has been trading within a defined range.
Earlier this March, the pair once again tested the lower boundary of this range and, as before, rebounded strongly. A higher low was established at the start of this week, suggesting that 159 may now serve as a new base of support.
In my view, EUR/JPY is likely to continue its upward trajectory, and a move toward 165 could materialize in the near future.
Conclusion:
Pullbacks toward the 160 area should be considered potential buying opportunities. With a stop-loss set around 158 and a target at 165, this setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio of approximately 1:2.5.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.