Lingrid | BTCUSDT mid-term PRICE Action PerspectiveBINANCE:BTCUSDT continues to consolidate below the 100,000 level. Over the past couple of days, the market has been printing doji candles, indicating indecision. Following a false break of the resistance zone, the market is now moving sideways. When we take a step back, we can see that the price has not achieved a 1/3 correction of the bullish move that occurred from August 2024 to January 2025. I believe the market will likely continue this sideways movement and may retrace to the area below 90,000 before rising to higher levels. A deeper pullback would be beneficial for the market, as it would create an opportunity to move to those higher levels. My mid term goal is resistance zone around 107,000
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Signals
Tricks around 102.4K targetMorning folks,
So, our weekly bearish DRPO "Sell" pattern has been confirmed. It means that until market either complete its 81K target or remains under 102.5K its invalidation point - this pattern presents the risk for the bulls.
With all this stuff on the table we make two decisions. First is - we cut potential upside target down to 102.4K area by two reasons. First - this is 0.618 expansion and it agrees with major 5/8 resistance level. Second - this is invalidation point of weekly DRPO "Sell" pattern.
So, conclusion is follows. For long-term traders we suggest to not consider any new long positions until DRPO is valid. For short entry with DRPO - keep an eye on 102.5K area.
For intraday traders we suggest that long position is still acceptable but with the new 102.4K target and very tight stop - just under 94K lows. Market has to start upside action now. If it will not happen, then it will not happen at all and weekly DRPO will start working.
I mark this setup as "Bullish" because of 102.4 target. But, in general we have bearish view until DRPO stands in place.
Gold’s Next Big Move: Rally to $3K or a Sharp Pullback?The big question on everyone’s mind is whether FOREXCOM:XAUUSD will reach $3,000 in 2025. In my opinion, it probably will.
Looking at the weekly chart, gold has been trading in a well-defined ascending channel for exactly a year. Each time the price dips near the trendline support, buyers step in, keeping the uptrend intact. The last time this happened was at the start of the year, and since then, gold has climbed more than 2800 pips from its low to its Friday's ATH.
With this in mind, we can reasonably expect Gold to maintain its bullish trajectory— an assumption supported not only by technical analysis but also by fundamental factors.
________________________________________
📊 Shorter Time Frame: Signs of Exhaustion?
Although the long-term trend remains bullish, trends are not linear—they consist of ups and downs. If we refine our analysis to a shorter time frame, the situation looks a bit different.
• The 4-hour chart still reflects a strong uptrend that began earlier this year.
• However, last week, signs of exhaustion emerged:
- Tuesday’s all-time high of $2,880 was followed by a normal pullback to the $2,840 zone (which I highlighted in last week’s analysis).
- On Friday, a new ATH near $2,890 was reached, but the market saw a sharp reversal after the initial NFP-driven rally, with further weakness into the closing hours.
________________________________________
🔍 Key Levels to Watch:
• Support Levels:
- $2,840–$2,835 (previous support zone)
- $2,800 (psychological level)
- $2,775–$2,760 (deeper retracement area)
• Resistance Levels:
- $2,890 (recent ATH)
- $2,900 (psychological barrier)
- $2,980–$3,000 (major upside target)
________________________________________
🎯 Potential Trade Setups:
✅ Bullish Scenario:
• If Gold holds above $2,840 and rebounds, a breakout above $2,880–$2,890 could drive prices towards $2,900+, with the final target at $3,000.
🚨 Bearish Scenario:
• If gold fails to hold $2,840, a deeper pullback to $2,800–$2,775 is likely.
• A weekly close below $2,800 could trigger an extended correction toward $2,760.
________________________________________
📉 My Strategy for Next Week:
While the long-term uptrend remains intact, I anticipate a short-term correction.
• I will be looking to sell rallies, targeting a pullback toward $2,800 or slightly below.
• If Gold tests key support and shows strength, I’ll switch to a buy-the-dip approach for the next leg higher.
⚠️ Note: This is a high-risk strategy, as we are still in a strong bull market. Proper risk management is essential.
Regards!
Mihai Iacob
Key Levels for EURUSDOn Friday, EURUSD bounced off 1,0400 following the news.
If the price rises again, the levels from the news event will act as important resistance.
A breakout above these levels would confirm further upside movement.
This week, the key news event is on Wednesday, when U.S. inflation data will be released.
There aren't any good trading opportunities at current price levels.
Silver Struggles at Resistance – Bearish Setup in Play?Since reaching the 32.30 resistance zone last Wednesday, OANDA:XAGUSD has been trading in a range-bound consolidation phase.
On Friday’s NFP release, the price spiked back into this resistance area but quickly reversed, closing the day near the 31.70 support level.
Currently, Silver is rebounding once again from this support, which could present a good shorting opportunity for sellers.
My bias is bearish as long as 32.50 resistance holds, and I expect a potential decline toward 31.00 in the near term.
The Fed's fight against inflation is not over yet➡️ Both analysts and investors expect gold prices to continue to increase in the coming days, as they are being supported by many factors, especially related to US President Donald Trump's tax policy with many trade partners.
➡️ In the latest development, Mr. Trump announced that he would impose a 25% tax on all aluminum and steel imports into the country.
➡️ This information has caused investors to continue to seek gold as a safe haven against fluctuations in the international trade situation.
“The global upward momentum started in October 2023 after the US Federal Reserve (FED) signaled to loosen monetary policy and reduce the pace of interest rate increases. From October to November 2024, after increasing 55% to 2,790 USD/ounce, gold experienced a strong profit-taking phase, pulling the price down to 2,550 USD/ounce, corresponding to a 76.4% correction compared to the previous increase.
After several weeks of struggle between buyers and sellers, stable buying momentum returned at the end of December. The fact that gold exceeded 2,800 USD/ounce at the end of January 2025 opened up expectations for a new wave of growth. If this trend continues, gold prices could reach $3,400/ounce from August to October this year.”
EUR/USD Range-Bound but Ready to Break Higher? Since the beginning of the year, EUR/USD has been trading within a range, fluctuating between 1.0200 and 1.0440, aside from a few temporary spikes in both directions.
While the overall trend remains bearish, I anticipate a relief rally in the near future, which could push the price toward the 1.0650–1.0700 zone in the medium term.
In the short term, the market remains stable, with a strong support base forming around 1.0200. Given this setup, my bias is bullish, and I’m looking to buy dips, targeting 1.0500 as the first key resistance level.
EURAUD: Important Breakout 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
EURAUD successfully violated a support line of a wide horizontal
range on a daily time frame.
We see a positive bearish reaction to that after the market opening today.
With a high probability, the market is going to drop at least to 1.64 support.
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USD/JPY: What's Changing at Year-End?Hello, dear friends!
As the year comes to a close, USD/JPY has shown significant movement, reversing course and dropping below the 157.00 mark. This late-year shift comes as market participants prepare for midweek closures and reduced activity around the New Year holiday. Despite lighter trading volumes, price action remains dynamic, signaling potential shifts in the trend.
Technically, USD/JPY has failed to maintain its position within the parallel ascending channel, suggesting the emergence of a new trend. A key level to watch now is the immediate support at 156.03. The critical question is whether this support will hold and for how long. Looking at the bigger picture, sustained consolidation below the broken channel could lead to a move toward lower targets, as indicated on the 4-hour chart.
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USDJPY: Correction before dropping to 153.00-152.00Hello everyone, Ben here!
USDJPY has yet to resume its upward trend. Rumors about potential actions from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) are beginning to surface. Meanwhile, the US dollar continues to gain strength.
The 158.46 level represents a strong resistance zone established by the sellers. Strong expectations for an additional interest rate hike by the BoJ this week are also lending support to the JPY. Overall, this influence appears relatively weak but could still provide significant backing for this currency pair.
In theory, any upward movement of this major pair might be limited due to trade policy risks from the soon-to-be-inaugurated US President Donald Trump, which have constrained any significant bullish moves for the safe-haven JPY.
The focus this week will be on Trump’s inauguration speech on Monday and the highly anticipated two-day BoJ policy meeting beginning on Thursday.
From a technical standpoint, the price is attempting to break out of a major range and test key support levels. A false breakout around the 156.56 level could lead to the price targeting newly formed resistance zones. However, if the price settles below 156.56 or even drops under 155.95, it could trigger strong selling pressure sooner than expected.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
SUI’s Wild Ride – Finding the Next Long Trade SetupSUI had an incredible 2024, skyrocketing +1060% in just 154 days. The price peaked at the psychological $5 mark, where multiple rejections signaled a momentum shift. By the end of January 2025, the trend turned bearish, leading to a sharp correction.
Trend Shift & Momentum Analysis
I've been working on a new trend identifier indicator that helps spot trends, allowing traders to identify swing trade opportunities and manage their positions effectively. This indicator clearly highlighted the momentum shift, confirming the bearish turn and the sharp price drop that followed.
Key Support Zones & Confluences
Now that the bearish trend is in play, the focus is on identifying a solid long opportunity:
Point of Control (POC) from Previous Trading Range (~$2) – A major psychological level that many traders are watching
Trend-Based Fibonacci Extension (1:1) at $2.0373 – Adding confluence to this critical support area
Fib Speed Fan (0.75 Level) – Aligns with the $2 region, reinforcing support
Anchored VWAP (~$1.885) – From the 2023 lows, acting as an additional support zone
What’s Next for SUI?
The market is in search of a strong support level where bulls can regain control. Let’s see if we find support at the $3 mark. The $2 zone stands out as a prime area for a potential long entry, given the multiple technical confluences. If price reaches this level, we’ll be watching closely for confirmation of a bullish reversal.
Final Thoughts
SUI has had an extraordinary run, but corrections are natural in strong trends. The key now is to see where price stabilises and if the bulls can make a strong comeback. Time will tell how this plays out, but for now, $2 is a level to keep an eye on for a potential long setup.
BTW: I've just launched a FREE TradingView indicator – Multi Timeframe 8x MA Support & Resistance Zones. It helps visualise key support and resistance levels across different timeframes. Check it out and let me know your thoughts!
SILVER Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER is making a local
Bearish correction but
Silver Is trading in an uptrend
So after the retest of the
Horizontal support below
At 31.58$ a local bullish
Rebound is to be expected
Buy!
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Price Action: Traps of Market MakersHave you ever felt confident about a market trend, only to watch the price suddenly reverse direction? Or found yourself following what seemed like a clear price movement, only to realize it was a false signal?
Don't blame yourself or your trading strategy. What you're experiencing is likely the work of market makers who strategically create traps to trigger stop losses and pending orders. In this post, we'll dive into these market traps – learning how to identify them, understanding their different types, and most importantly, discovering how to turn them into profitable opportunities.
What are market maker traps? At their core, market traps are deceptive price movements designed to create an illusion of a genuine trend, convincing traders to take positions before the market reverses course.
📍 1. The False Double Pattern Trap
At its core, most market traps manifest as false breakouts of key levels. One of the most common examples is the deceptive Double Top/Double Bottom pattern. If you have traded these patterns, you have probably noticed something interesting: the second top is often slightly higher than the first, while the second bottom tends to be slightly lower than the previous one. This contradicts the traditional pattern theory, which suggests the second top should be lower, indicating market weakness.
What's really happening here? Large market players deliberately push prices beyond these levels to trigger the stop losses and pending orders of smaller traders. Once they've captured this liquidity, the market reverses, revealing the trap.
📍 2. The Trend Continuation Trap
This trap is perhaps the most devastating for traders. Traditional market wisdom tells us that a bearish trend consists of progressively lower highs and lower lows. When a previous high gets broken, conventional technical analysis suggests the bearish trend has possibly ended. However, reality often plays out differently. The price might briefly break above a local maximum, triggering stop orders and creating the illusion of a trend reversal. Instead of reversing, though, the price continues its original downward trajectory. This phenomenon is particularly visible on shorter timeframes like M30 or H1, where the fake breakout typically spans several candles.
When you spot a breakout against an established trend, approach with caution – it's more likely to be a false signal than a genuine reversal. In contrast, during sideways market conditions, focus on trading bounces from the channel's boundaries (upper and lower borders). This more conservative approach can help protect you from these common traps.
📍 3. The News-Driven Trap
One of the most common traps occurs during news events. You've probably experienced it: price suddenly surges in one direction, breaks through a significant level, only to reverse sharply. This classic "fake-out" catches many traders on the wrong side of the market.
A key strategy for identifying these traps is to analyze multiple timeframes. Generally, you'll want to examine both higher and lower timeframes than your primary trading window. Remember: the higher the timeframe, the fewer traps you'll typically encounter, making your analysis more reliable.
📍 4. Session Opening Traps
Trading session transitions, particularly around the London open, often create another type of trap. You might notice one price direction before London opens, followed by a different movement at the session's start, which then reverses later. These movements typically trigger stop losses at key levels before reversing.
For detailed analysis of session traps, dropping down to smaller timeframes (15M) can reveal the true price action. For instance, you might spot a clear price rise followed by a decisive bounce off a significant level like 189.500.
When you see a breakout of any significant level – whether it's a round number or a local high/low during a trend correction – approach it with skepticism. Until price firmly establishes itself in the new zone with clear confirmation, consider the possibility that you're witnessing a trap designed to collect stop losses. Remember this fundamental truth: price is more likely to bounce from a level than break through it.
📍 Practical Tips on Trading Traps
◾️ Multi-Timeframe Analysis. The key to successfully trading traps begins with analyzing multiple timeframes. When you spot a breakout of an obvious level, switch to the timeframe where the movement appears most convincing. This helps you better understand the trap's structure and potential reversal points.
◾️ Entry and Risk Management. Timing your entry is crucial. Look for the first signals of price reversal, but remember - proper position sizing is essential. Keep your stop losses tight, as the market may still produce additional spikes that could prematurely end your trade. While this approach might take practice to master, the reward potential is significant - you can set take-profit targets up to 10 times larger than your stop loss.
◾️ Position Management. Once in the trade, actively manage your position. Move your stop loss to breakeven at the first appropriate opportunity to protect your capital.
📍 Conclusion
Trading traps effectively requires patience and practice. While this strategy can be challenging to master, the ability to recognize and capitalize on these traps gives you a significant edge in the market. Many traders fall victim to these traps; learning to spot them transforms you from potential prey into a skilled hunter. Take time to practice identifying these patterns before committing real capital, and start with smaller position sizes as you develop your skills.
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GBP-NZD Will Grow! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD is trading in a
Strong uptrend but is
Making a bearish correction
However, a strong long-term
Rising support is ahead
From where we will be
Expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
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Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Price Action AnalysisOANDA:XAUUSD market shows strong bullish momentum, with a streak of 6 consecutive weekly bullish closes and a +4% gain this week. The price is pushing higher, but has yet to reach the 2900 level, which may lead to a period of consolidation below this level or deep pullback. Markets often consolidate below or above strong levels before breaking through them.
On the daily timeframe, a pinbar has formed, indicating potential level rejection and a possible correction. The double top pattern suggests a pause in the bullish momentum, and the fake breakout of the previous resistance zone further supports this view. Given these signs of a pullback, it's likely that the market will form a trend continuation pattern, such as a triangle.
If a pullback occurs, the support area between the January high and last year's high would be a great spot to consider a long trade. This area provides a strong foundation for a potential bounce, making it an attractive entry point for a long position. Overall, I expect the market to pull back before potentially continuing its upward movement, as long as the price action supports this scenario.
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EURUSDEURUSD is still in a downtrend. The price has a chance to test the support zone 1.02454-1.01986. If the price cannot break through the 1.01986 level, it is expected that the price will have a chance to rebound. Consider buying the red zone.
🔥Trading futures, forex, CFDs and stocks carries a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully whether such trading is suitable for you.
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XAUUSD Analysis Retest, and Target of 3000XAUUSD, which represents the price of gold (XAU) against the US dollar (USD), is currently trading at 2860. The target price is set at 3000, indicating a bullish outlook. The market is following the support and resistance pattern, a common technical analysis method. Currently, a small retesting phase is occurring, where the price is momentarily pulling back before resuming its upward trend. This retest is a natural market movement that helps confirm the breakout strength. If the support holds, buyers will likely push the price toward the 3000 level. The psychological resistance at 3000 might cause some fluctuations. However, if momentum remains strong, the price could surpass this level. Traders should monitor volume and market sentiment for further confirmation. Proper risk management is crucial, as unexpected reversals can occur.
US100 Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for US100.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 21,473.9.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 21,049.7 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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