Gold before NFP: A general outlookYesterday, OANDA:XAUUSD pulled back to an intraday low of 2835, but buyers quickly stepped in, driving the price back above 2860—a key confluence resistance level.
This strong rebound suggests that the correction may be over, with bulls regaining control.
📌 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: 2835 (recent low), 2800 (psychological level), 2785 (next key demand zone)
Resistance: 2880 (recent high), 2900 (round number), 2925 (potential breakout target)
📈 What’s Next?
With NFP data on the horizon, volatility is expected. The market's reaction will depend on how the data impacts rate cut expectations. If the report is strong but inflation concerns persist, Gold could rally toward a new all-time high, targeting 2900+.
On the other hand, a weak NFP could either lead to a pullback or further upside, depending on how traders interpret the Fed’s potential response. Key support remains at 2835–2800 for buy-the-dip opportunities.
⚡ Trade Setups to Consider:
✅ Bullish Scenario: A confirmed breakout above 2880 could open the door for a rally towards 2900–2925.
🚨 Bearish Scenario: A weekly close below 2835 could indicate a deeper correction, with downside targets near 2800 and 2785.
📊 Final Outlook:
As long as gold holds above 2835, the bullish structure remains intact. A break and weekly close below this level would be the first sign of a deeper pullback. For now, dips remain buying opportunities unless price action suggests otherwise.
Signals
EURGBP Channel Down sell signalThe EURGBP pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the November 16 2023 High. The recent Lower High rejection just above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) resembles both in terms of 1D RSI and price action the August 08 2024 Lower High.
Since that posted an initial correction of -3.62%, we expect an equivalent Bearish Leg to target 0.81750.
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AUDUSD Has it found Support?The AUDUSD pair gave us an excellent sell signal on our September 18 2024 bearish call (see chart below), which went straight to the 0.63750 Target within the time-frame we expected:
This time we are looking at a potential Support rebound as the price appears to have made a bottom on the 2-year Channel Down Lower Lows trend-line. Based on the upcoming 1W MACD Bullish Cross and the 1D RSI symmetrical positioning, we might be starting a rally similar to October 31 2023 during the last Lower Low.
This rose by +3.82% before pulling back to the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again, so our short-term Target is 0.63500. Beyond that, we need to observe whether the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line holds or not, in order to engage in buying break-outs.
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PRE-NFP LONG EURUSD TRADING IDEAI'm positioning a long trade on EURUSD in anticipation of the upcoming NFP event, with the following setup:
Entry: 1.03840
Stop Loss (SL): 1.03660
Take Profit (TP): 1.04418
Trade Rationale:
With the NFP report on the horizon, volatility in the USD is expected to increase. This setup is based on the technical analysis that shows a bullish structure on EURUSD. By going long, the strategy aims to benefit from a potential shift in market sentiment where a weaker USD could push the pair higher. The entry is timed at a key level that has historically acted as a support, while the stop loss is positioned just below to mitigate risk.
Strategy Considerations:
Risk Management: A tight stop loss is placed to limit exposure if the market moves against the position.
Market Monitoring: Given the high impact of the NFP report, it's crucial to keep an eye on the news and adjust the trade if necessary.
Risk-to-Reward: The setup offers a favorable risk-to-reward ratio, with the take profit level providing a substantial target relative to the defined risk.
This trade is designed to capture the momentum shift expected from the NFP data, with a well-defined entry, stop loss, and take profit structure. Happy trading!
DXY Will Go Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for DXY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 107.703.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 106.459.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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BITCOIN Will Go Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 97,355.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 102,137 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USDCAD Is Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.431.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.413 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Lingrid | GOLD Pre-NFP analysis of PRICE and Market SentimentOANDA:XAUUSD price perfectly rebounded off the support area, after briefly dipping below the previous day's low that I highlighted yesterday. This bounce has been followed by the formation of a bullish flag pattern, a trend continuation pattern, suggesting that the upward momentum may persist. On the 4H timeframe, a long-tailed bar has formed, indicating that the price could potentially reach the 2885 level. However, given the release of the Unemployment Rate and NFP data today, there's a possibility that the price may experience a pullback towards the previous day's low due to market volatility. Considering that today marks the weekly candle closure, it's plausible that the weekly candle may close with wicks, similar to what was observed in the previous week. Despite these potential fluctuations, my overall expectation remains that the price will move higher recent HH level, and potentially retesting the 2900 level. My goal is resistance zone around 2898
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
EURUSD Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.041.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.038 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Lingrid | EURJPY Long from the Potential DEMAND zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the target. FX:EURJPY broke below the January and December lows, testing the psychological level at 157,000. It reached the demand zone around 156,000 - 157,000. Based on this, I expect the market to move higher, potentially reaching the January low. On the daily timeframe, it becomes apparent that the overall price is trading within a consolidation zone, with the current price having reached the bottom of it. Consequently, I anticipate a rebound from the bottom of the zone and downward trendline, indicating a potential upwards momentum. My goal is resistance zone around 159.700
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
Lingrid | TONUSDT mid-term PRICE Action OutlookThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target. OKX:TONUSDT broke and closed below the key level around 4.50 and the prolonged consolidation zone. The market is revisiting an area that was tested approximately a year ago. Following this bearish impulse leg, I think the price is likely to consolidate around these levels. Notably, the market bounced off the 3.00 level, leading me to anticipate an accumulation phase above this point. I expect the price to move sideways for more than three weeks before gradually rising to higher levels. My mid-term goal is resistance zone around 4.50
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
USDJPY - BoJ Interest Rate Decision?!Here is our in-depth view and update on USDJPY . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels.
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at USDJPY from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame .
USDJPY is currently trading at around 155.800 . Our scenarios are in play after the BoJ (Bank of Japan) Interest Rate Decision is out. Let’s take another look at them with more in-depth outcomes. These scenarios are written from just a TA (Technical Analysis) point of view.
Scenario 1: BUYS
-We broke above 156.700 .
With the break of 156.700 we can expect a possible move up to 158.748. With a a further break of this KL (Key Level) we can expect more upside on the pair potentially reaching top of the long-term range sitting at 161.820.
Scenario 2: SELLS
-We broke below 154.881 .
If we break bellow 154.881 we can expect more downside on the pair even up to 152.000. With breaks of this level we could see even lower levels sitting at around 149.394 or “bottom of the long-term range”.
IMPORTANT KEY LEVELS:
- 161.820; top of the long-term range
- 158.748; breaks above would result in more upside
- 154.881; breaks below would result in sells
- 152.817; breaks below confirming lower levels
- 152.030; breaks below confirming lower levels
- 149.394; bottom of the long-term range
Personal opinion:
It’s not advised to enter into sells or buys before we have a clear break or the BoJ Interest Rate Decision data out. For now we are patiently waiting on either breaks to the upside or breaks to the downside. More volatility on the pair is expected tomorrow so be careful.
KEY NOTES
- USDJPY breaking above 156.700 would confirm buys.
- USDJPY breaking below 154.881 would confirm sells.
- BoJ Interest Rate Decision is tomorrow.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
AUD_CHF RESISTANCE AHEAD|SHORT|
✅AUD_CHF is approaching a supply level of 0.5727
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bearish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
SHORT🔥
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USD-CHF Bullish Bias! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair just
Made a rebound from the
Round horizontal support
Level of 0.9000 so we are
Bullish biased and we will
Be expecting some
Further growth
Buy!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
Silver Market Update: Consolidation at Key ResistanceAs I mentioned before, I was bullish on OANDA:XAGUSD , expecting the price to reach the 32.30 resistance zone. The price has indeed reached this level and is now consolidating.
With NFP data approaching, we can expect increased volatility, which could determine silver’s next move.
A clear breakout and close above 32.30-32.40 zone would open the door for a rally towards 33.50.
On the other hand, if silver closes below 32, it would indicate that resistance has held, increasing the likelihood of a pullback toward 31.00.
Resistance at 1.3T: Is a Deeper Crypto Correction Coming?The long-awaited Trump inauguration, which was expected to trigger an altcoin season, had the exact opposite effect. This once again proves that when the majority of market participants expect one outcome, the market often does the opposite.
After several days of testing support, the "tax policy" announcement triggered a breakdown below the 1.3T level, causing Total 3 to drop around 30% to 1T.
The market is now experiencing a normal rebound, but I am not very optimistic in the medium term.
Technically, 1.3T has now turned into strong resistance. In my opinion, after this rebound, a new leg down is likely.
I expect a drop below 1T, potentially reaching around 900B in the near future.
GOLD → Testing Key Resistance with Potential to Reach 2726-2790OANDA:XAUUSD currently testing an important resistance level from which we can expect the price to continue rising to key levels such as 2726-2790. Technically, gold has entered the buying zone and the fundamental context supports it.
Gold is supported by weak US inflation data, moderate Fed expectations, hopes for Chinese stimulus measures, and fading concerns about President-elect Trump's disruptive trade tariffs which have supported the risk-on sentiment prevailing in markets, causing the US dollar to decline sharply.
Focus shifts to other economic data releases from the US, including December Retail Sales and Weekly Unemployment Claims, which will provide more clarity on the Fed's interest rate trajectory after January. Markets have fully priced in a rate pause at the Fed's policy meeting later this month. Gold prices will also remain dependent on any speculation surrounding Trump's tariff plans.
Technically, all eyes are now on the resistance zone at 2697-2700. If gold can consolidate above this area, buyers will quickly enter the medium and long-term playing field. But don't forget about the upcoming news releases.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
Strong correction, quick recovery, pay attention to NFP dataOANDA:XAUUSD Strong correction then quickly recovered and returned to close to $2,878, an important technical level for a new up cycle to open.
In economic data released Thursday, the U.S. Labor Department reported that initial jobless claims rose 11,000 to 219,000 last week, compared with an expected 213,000.
The data has weighed on the US Dollar Index (Dxy) for some time, which hit a two-year high of 110.17 on January 13 but has fallen 2% since then.
In the absence of tariff-related news, the market is focused on today's US nonfarm payrolls report, which will be the next big influence on the US monetary policy outlook.
In the latest news, the Federal Reserve announced on Thursday local time that Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will testify in the US Congress next week. This will be the first time he has answered questions from members of Congress since last July.
Powell will testify before the Senate Banking Committee next Tuesday and testified before the House Financial Services Committee the following day.
Before the end of last year, the Fed cut interest rates by 100 basis points in three meetings. In January, the Fed voted to leave interest rates unchanged between 4.25% and 4.5%. At the press conference following last month's interest rate decision, Powell said the Fed was in no hurry to cut interest rates further.
US President Trump has toned down his criticism of Powell and his colleagues, which may help Powell's appearance go more smoothly. On Sunday, Trump said the Fed "did the right thing" by pausing interest rates.
According to LSEG data, the market now expects the Fed to cut interest rates by 25 basis points in July and a total of 46 basis points in December.
Markets today belong to the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data, US nonfarm payrolls are expected to fall to 170,000 from 256,000 in January. The unemployment rate is expected to remain unchanged at 4.1%.
The strong labor market is boosting economic growth and prompting the Fed to pause interest rate cuts as it assesses the inflationary impact of Trump's fiscal, trade and immigration policies.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold decreased and corrected then recovered when it gained support from the upper edge of the price channel, the Fibonacci extension 0.618% and Fibonacci 0.50%. Now that the rapid recovery has brought it back close to the target level of $2,878, the Fibonacci extension position is 0.786% and if the gold price is trading above this key technical level it will have conditions for a new bullish cycle with a target of around $2,900 in the short term, more than $2,918.
The relative strength index (RSI) is operating in the overbought area, but does not show any signs of a possible correction; a correction signal will be identified when the RSI folds below the 80 level.
During the day, the uptrend still dominates the technical chart, so the current pullbacks should only be considered a short-term correction without changing the trend. Along with that, notable locations will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,846 – 2,834 – 2,824USD
Resistance: 2,878 – 2,900 – 2,918USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2878 - 2876⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2882
→Take Profit 1 2871
↨
→Take Profit 2 2866
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2839 - 2841⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2835
→Take Profit 1 2846
↨
→Take Profit 2 2851
GOLD → False or true resistance breakout?OANDA:XAUUSD is trying to consolidate above the previously broken boundary of the ascending channel. The struggle that has not ended creates risks for both buyers and sellers.
The weakening USD, coupled with the lack of clarity surrounding President Donald Trump's policy plans and ongoing trade wars, continues to provide support for gold.
Inflation expectations are rising amid a period of economic and geopolitical uncertainty, forcing the Federal Reserve (Fed) to maintain high interest rates for an extended period to control increasing price pressures. Since taking office, President Trump has provided little detail on his proposed tariffs, raising questions about the seriousness of these measures and their potential impact.
In the coming days and weeks, the precious metals market will be influenced by constantly shifting news from Washington.
Resistance levels: 2758, 2770
Support levels: 2750, 2745, 2730
Currently, prices are consolidating above previously broken resistance levels. If there is no bullish momentum and the price breaks through a false resistance channel, gold may decline toward 2745 - 2730.
However, a breakout above the local resistance level could trigger buying and push the price to the target: 2770.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
GBP/JPY: Finally, the Rate Cut Has Arrived!GBP/JPY is facing significant bearish pressure, with the price dropping to around 188.40 in the recent sessions on February 6, 2025. The main catalyst behind this trend has been the Bank of England’s interest rate cut of 25 basis points, bringing it down to 4.5%. This decision has intensified the weakness of the British pound, prompting investors to liquidate long positions and fueling the strong decline in the pair. The market is now pricing in the possibility of further rate cuts in the coming months, which keeps sentiment firmly bearish.
From a technical perspective, the breakdown below the key level of 190.50 has confirmed the loss of bullish momentum. Even the recovery attempts seen in previous days, such as the rebound to 193.00 on February 4, have proven weak and incapable of reversing the primary trend. The current phase of weakness could lead the pair to test further lower support levels, with 187.50 and then 185.80 as possible bearish targets unless there is a positive reaction from the pound.
On the macroeconomic front, the divergence between the BoE and the Bank of Japan could theoretically provide some medium-term support for the pound, given that the BoJ continues to maintain an ultra-loose monetary policy. However, the market currently seems more focused on the deteriorating economic outlook for the UK and the increasing likelihood that the BoE will continue cutting rates, enhancing the yen’s appeal as a defensive asset. If risk-off sentiment intensifies, we could see an acceleration of the bearish trend in GBP/JPY, especially if the global market enters a more pronounced risk-averse phase.
GBPUSD at Key Resistance: Will Sellers Push Toward 1.24280?OANDA:GBPUSD has reached a significant resistance zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong selling pressure. This level has historically acted as a key supply area, increasing the likelihood of a bearish bounce if sellers regain control.
With the price now testing this resistance, I anticipate a potential downward move toward the 1.24280 level, aligning with the broader bearish market structure. This setup suggests the possibility of a retracement after the recent upward movement.
Traders should watch for confirmation signals, such as bearish engulfing candles or rejection wicks, to validate the potential for a reversal.
USOIL Breaks Key Support: Targeting 70.50TVC:USOIL has broken a key support zone and retested it, confirming strong bearish momentum with clear rejection candles. The previous support has now flipped to resistance, further reinforcing the likelihood of continued downside movement.
With this rejection confirmed, I anticipate a move downward toward the 70.50 level, aligning with the prevailing bearish trend. This setup suggests a high probability of bearish continuation in the near term.
If you have anything to add or a different perspective, I’d love to hear from you in the comments!