EUR/USD: Extending the declineHello dear friends.
Overall, EURUSD has made a significant recovery from last week with a price increase beyond 1.0800 after data from the US showed that Durable Goods Orders fell 0.8% in September. However, unfortunately, the pair quickly fell back and closed the fourth consecutive week in negative territory, weakening EURUSD significantly.
In addition, from the 1-hour chart, the pair has broken the rising trend line and the price wedge has been broken, suggesting that the bears are likely to continue to gain the upper hand without any significant reversal, as shown by the flat 34.89 EMA.
Signals
EUR/USD: hits new 16-week lowEUR/USD is trading around 1.078 and the technical picture remains heavily bearish after failing to break above the 1.0800 resistance level. The decline comes as Fibre falls sharply ahead of Thursday’s new round of Purchasing Managers’ Index data. ECB officials have played down economic concerns, reiterating the need for caution when considering future rate cuts.
As seen on the 1-hour chart, it can be seen that the price remains below the 34, 89 EMAs and the price wedge has not been broken, suggesting that the downtrend is not over yet. This usually allows sellers to still gain the advantage of a more bearish reversal in the near term, potentially reaching lower levels around 1.0740.
Happy trading.
XAUUSD Faces Downside Risk as Head and Shoulders Pattern BeginsIn my view, a head and shoulders pattern may be forming on the chart with:
The left shoulder is at the top near $2,755, reflecting initial buying pressure.
The head peak is prominent at $2,740, indicating strong but waning buying pressure.
The right shoulder is forming with a peak close to the right shoulder at $2,755.
If the price breaks below the neckline around $2,721, the pattern will be complete. This could lead to a deeper decline, signaling an approaching downtrend. I will monitor further for confirmation.
AUD-USD Will Keep Falling! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD is trading in a
Downtrend and the pair
Broke the key horizontal
Level of 0.6638 which is
Now a resistance and
As the breakout is confirmed
We will be expecting a
Further move down
Sell!
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
SPX500USD Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 5,836.4.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 5,891.1 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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BITCOIN Is Very Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 68,141.23.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 5,698.66 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPUSD Will Grow! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.298.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.306 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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DXY: Strong Bearish Bias! Sell!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 103.908
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
SILVER: Market Is Looking Down! Sell!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 32,80376$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
GOLD: Move Up Expected! Buy!
Welcome to our daily GOLD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 2,734.023$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
EURUSD: Local Correction Ahead! Buy!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 1.08467
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Lingrid | GOLD slows DOWN: Identifying OPPORTUNITY to Buy OANDA:XAUUSD formed a deeper pullback following the news release yesterday and has since bounced off a support level, which may indicate a potential entry into a consolidation phase. With another packed schedule of news events today, we could see volatile moves and spikes in the market. I anticipate that the market may pull back to take liquidity below the previous day's low and potentially retest the psychological level at 2700 before moving upward. My goal is resisatnce zone around 2770
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
CHEVRON Ideal sell at the top of the 2-year Channel Down.Chevron (CVX) has been trading within a long-term Channel Down since the November 14 2022 High (almost 2 years). The price is currently on a 4 week rejection streak on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but despite the selling pressure, it closes every 1W candle flat, refusing to decline.
This is most likely the same accumulation/ pull-back phase that the previous two Bullish Legs went through upon testing the 1W MA50. They both eventually broke it and peaked at the top of the Channel Down.
We expect a similar peak within the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and the 1W MA50. Once the 1W RSI also peaks and starts reversing (red arc), we will sell and target 132.00 (just above the 1.236 Fibonacci extension).
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World gold price todayWorld gold costs increased, with spot gold growing through 20.five USD to 2,736.three USD/ounce. Gold futures closing traded at 2,748.four USD/ounce, up 19.four USD as compared to the day gone by morning.
Prices for the yellow steel rose 1% on Thursday and remained close to document highs hit in advance withinside the week, boosted through growing safe-haven call for because of fears of geopolitical tensions.
According to marketplace analyst Carlo Alberto De Casa of Kinesis Money, gold`s restoration from the day gone by's low is a high quality sign confirming the extremely good hobby of buyers in bullion. This professional believes that, withinside the context of a complex political situation, buyers will pour into gold to guard their assets. He brought that robust call for from principal banks is likewise supplying a lift to the treasured steel's rally.
🔴Mid-term: Gold price is still in an uptrend, but the upward momentum shows signs of slowing down due to risk factors.
🔴Short-term: Price forms a sideway zone, suitable for trading strategies based on support and resistance zones.
➡️Buying range: 2712,000 - 2715,000
➡️Selling range: 2740,000 - 2743,000
NIFTY Buy opportunity on solid cyclical patterns.We last looked into the Nifty 50 Index (NIFTY) on September 05 (see chart below), when we got an excellent buy on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) that quickly hit our 25700 Target:
As you can see, our trading approach was based on the recurring technical patterns (Megaphones) since July 2023. Even though the current wide price action doesn't fit the former Megaphone patters, we can still call for a bottom soon as, not only is the price approaching the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), but also the 1D RSI is almost on the same oversold (below 30.00) level as 1 year ago (October 26 2023)!
In fact the pattern of September - October 2023 looks very similar to Sep - Oct 2024. The risk of buying here is low while the reward is high, making for a very appealing R/R ratio. As a result, we turn long again, targeting 27400 (+15.67% rise as the previous bullish break-out legs).
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USDRUB Massive bullish break-out delivering a strong rally.The USDRUB pair has made an aggressive bullish break-out since the week of September 16, as it broke above the 1-year Lower Highs trend-line (since October 09 2023). At the same time it broke above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), while sustaining a rebound off the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
As we can see on this chart, when the pair historically breaks above similar Lower Highs trend-lines, it rallies to at least the 1.382 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we expect to see at least 110.000 on the current rally.
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Lingrid | TONUSDT inverse HEAD and SHOULDERS patternBINANCE:TONUSDT is currently experiencing a prolonged sideways movement above the psychological level at 5.00, forming a range between 5.00 and 5.40. This indicates potential liquidity under this range, particularly at the round number of 5.00. It's likely that the market may continue to move sideways for a while before taking this liquidity. Additionally, the formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern suggests a possible reversal ahead. If this pattern completes successfully, it could indicate a bullish shift in momentum, potentially leading to a breakout above the range. My mid-term goal is resistance zone 6.00
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RENDERUSD Bottom accumulation almost over. Don't miss this buy.Render (RENDERUSD) has been consolidating within the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA100 (green trend-line) for 3 months (since the week of July 29). This is the technical accumulation pattern that the token has gone through on every market bottom (green arc) in the past two years.
The 1W RSI has broken and been trading above its MA trend-line for the past 6 weeks, which is the first bullish sign and an indication that the current accumulation is almost over (similar to previous two bottom formations).
As a result, we expect an aggressive bullish break-out soon, the 3rd major rally towards the 2-year Higher Highs trend-line. Our Target is at least $45.00 (+300% more than the previous one).
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GOLD decreased slightly from 2,741 USDFriday (October 25) in the Asian market, OANDA:XAUUSD suddenly decreased rapidly in the short term. Gold price is close to 2,725 USD/ounce, down more than 9 USD during the day as of the time this article was completed.
The latest news is that the United States and Israel plan to restart ceasefire negotiations in Gaza, which has affected gold prices in the short term.
The US and Israel plan to resume ceasefire negotiations in Gaza
U.S. officials said Thursday that U.S. and Israeli negotiators will gather in Doha in the coming days to try to restart talks to reach an agreement on a ceasefire and the release of hostages in Gaza. , Reuters reported today (Friday.)
Qatar and Egypt acted as intermediaries in the months-long negotiations between Israel and Hamas. Previously, negotiations broke down in August this year, making it impossible for the two sides to reach an agreement to end the conflict. The conflict began when Hamas launched an attack on southern Israel on October 7, 2023.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's office said David Barnea, the head of Israel's Mossad intelligence agency, would travel to Doha on Sunday, adding that CIA Commissioner William Burns would attend the talks.
US Secretary of State Antony Blinken traveled to the Middle East this week in hopes of restarting ceasefire talks in Gaza following the death of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar. Washington sees Shinwar as the main obstacle to a deal.
“Going back to the ceasefire negotiations and the hostage issue, one of the things we're doing is looking at whether there are different options that would allow us to get to an outcome,” Blinken said. ”.
In terms of economic data
The number of people filing for first-time unemployment benefits in the United States unexpectedly fell last week, but the number of people receiving benefits increased in mid-October, raising the risk of a rise in the unemployment rate this month. .
Initial jobless claims for the week ended October 19 fell from 15,000 to a seasonally adjusted 227,000, the U.S. Department of Labor said on Thursday. The decline in unemployment claims due to Hurricane Helen offset the spike in unemployment claims due to Hurricane Milton.
The market had forecast 242,000 applications for unemployment benefits in the latest week. Helen and Milton make it more difficult to keep your finger on the pulse of the labor market.
Unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in September from 4.2% in August. Unemployment rate increased to 4.3% in July from 3.4% in April 2023, this is which led to the Federal Reserve's unusually large 50 basis point interest rate cut last month. This is seen as beneficial for the USD and not supportive of gold.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold was once again under pressure and fell slightly after reaching the initial target level noticed by readers in yesterday's edition at 2,741 USD, the Fibonacci price point extended by 1%.
Overall, gold needs some time to adjust as it has had a long period of continuous price increases, indicators are at overbought levels as shown by the Relative Strength Index pointing down from the 75 and still far from the nearest support level at 50.
In the short term, gold will likely test the area of 2,711 - 2,700 USD, which is considered the closest support area currently.
In the event that the $2,700 raw price level is broken below gold, there will be room for a bit more downside with subsequent targets around $2,688 – $2,672 Fibonacci price points of 0.618% and 0.50%.
Although reductions and corrections may still occur, in general the trend of gold is still up, in fact the uptrend is still being maintained with the price channel currently trending in the short term.
As long as gold remains above EMA21, within the channel, its main trend is still bullish even if downward corrections occur, and short-term price points will be noticed again as follows.
Support: 2,711 – 2,700USD
Resistance: 2,741 – 2,748 – 2,758USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2766 - 2764⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2770
→Take Profit 1 2759
↨
→Take Profit 2 2754
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2680 - 2682⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2676
→Take Profit 1 2687
↨
→Take Profit 2 2692