Gold prices continue to search for new peaks?Conan, hello everyone!
Today, the price of gold continues to break records by maintaining a new peak around $2700, and the growth trend seems to show no signs of slowing down this year.
Notably, this week, the European Central Bank held a meeting and officially decided to cut interest rates for the third time this year, with a reduction of 0.25 percentage points. At the same time, gold has attracted more attention from investors after the LBMA poll released earlier this week. These developments have made the gold market hotter than ever. It is expected that this price increase will reach $2760. What are your thoughts on this issue? Do you agree with me?
Signals
Lingrid | GOLD continues to SURGE. Long from the SUPPORT zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target zone. OANDA:XAUUSD surged upward, reaching new all-time high levels. At this point, it's prudent to wait for a pullback from the resistance zone before considering a long position. The recent break and close above the previous day's high is a bullish signal, suggesting that the market may continue upward toward the next resistance level at 2800. However, we need to be cautious, especially with today's high-impact news. If the news negatively impacts gold, it could trigger a decline to the 2700 level. I expect the market reject the support level and donward trendline and moving higher levels. My goal is resistance zone around 2760.
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GBP/JPY Consolidation Tightens: Bulls Eyeing a Break Above 195.7After a strong correction and finding a bottom at 180 in early August, OANDA:GBPJPY began to recover, initially rising to the 193 zone.
Another leg down followed, but this time, bulls regained control at the 183.90 level, forming a higher low supported by a double bottom pattern.
The next upward move stalled at the 195 resistance, and the pair has since entered a consolidation phase.
However, the recent consolidation range is tightening, and it appears that the price is gearing up for an upward breakout.
I am slightly bullish on this pair, and a break with a daily close above the 195.70 resistance level would confirm this outlook, potentially leading to further gains toward the key 200 zone.
In the short term, interim resistance around 198 could also serve as a target for bullish traders.
GENERAL MOTORS rally expected ahead of major 1W Golden CrossGeneral Motors (GM) is close to a Golden Cross on the 1W time-frame, which is a major bullish development as since its first trading days in November 2010, it has only been formed twice.
The first one was on the week of June 19 2017 and second on March 29 2021. In both cases, the price rallied aggressively and reached the 2.0 Fibonacci extension of the pull-back that took place before. On top of that, its last two lows and the August 05 in particular, tested and successfully held both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
As a result, we expect the price to extend the rally and target at least $65.00.
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STXUSD is about to turn parabolic to $10.Stacks (STXUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the December 26 2022 bottom. It is currently consolidating around the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), coming off a Higher Low rebound at the bottom of the pattern and on the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line).
This current sideways trading is highly symmetric with the start of the previous Bullish Leg, as it is trading just below the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level. At the same time, the 1W MACD has been on a Bullish Cross for a month now and the last time it formed a Bullish Cross (October 16 2023), was right after the previous Higher Low and before the 0.5 Fib consolidation.
Once the 0.5 Fib broke, the price aggressively rose on the Bullish Leg and formed a Higher High at the top of the Channel Up, right below the 2.0 Fib extension. As a result, we expect STX to reach at least $10.00 by the end of Q1 2025.
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EURUSD: Selling strategy is preferred!EUR/USD continued to slide below 1.0800 during the European session on Wednesday. The major currency pair remained under pressure as the outlook for the Euro (EUR) deteriorated due to faster-than-expected inflation declines and rising risks of a Eurozone recession, fueling speculation of more rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB).
EUR/USD was also pressured by a rally in the USD. The US dollar gained amid political uncertainty ahead of the US presidential election and strong expectations that the Federal Reserve (Fed) policy easing cycle will be more gradual than previously expected.
Trend-wise, the bearish bias remains dominant across most timeframes and the short strategy remains the dominant style.
Happy trading and good profits!
US30USD Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for US30USD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 42,851.2.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 43,893.3 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Lingrid | EURUSD making LOWER Lows. Potential PULLBACK tradeThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target level. FX:EURUSD is trending downward, consistently making lower lows, and is currently testing the August low after breaking and closing below the psychological level at 1.08000. Given the bearish momentum that the market has gained, I anticipate a continuation of the downward trend. I expect the price to pull back toward the swap zone and then continue making lower lows, If it gives a sell signal during that pullback. My goal is support zone around 1.07550
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GBPJPY Is Going Up! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 197.654.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 203.292 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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PALLADIUM Bullish Cross on MACD sets the tone.Palladium (XPDUSD) has been rising since the 1D Golden Cross (October 07) and on top of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since September 09. We view this as the emergence of a Channel Up, currently on its 2nd Bullish Leg, aiming for the next Higher High.
The 1D MACD is on a Bullish Cross, and that's all we need to confirm the continuation of the rise. Our first Target is near the top (Higher Highs trend-line) at 1200. After that and if a potential subsequent pull-back holds the green zone, we will turn bullish again towards 1270.
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Gold's Reversal Signals: Why I'm Watching for a Drop Below 2700?Yesterday, I mentioned that a correction in OANDA:XAUUSD seemed imminent, even though we didn’t yet have confirmation at that moment, and I emphasized that buying no longer appeared attractive at these levels.
Indeed, after reaching another all-time high of 2740 during the day, a strong sell-off followed, pushing the price down to the 2715 zone.
Currently, the bulls are back in control, but in my view, this looks more like a natural rebound aligned with the broader trend, rather than a renewed surge in buying interest.
The 2740 level now serves as significant resistance, and a fresh reversal from this zone could very well occur.
For the bulls, the key support level lies in the 2725-2730 range. A drop below this zone would signal the beginning of a potential new downward move.
From my perspective, I'm focused on selling opportunities.
A break below 2700, with a move toward the 2685-2690 support range, is what I’m closely watching for.
Gold continues to conquer new heightsHello everyone! What is the current price of gold? Let's analyze with Victor!
The world gold price today set a new record of 2,747 USD/ounce, up 27 USD compared to the same period yesterday at 2,720 USD/ounce. The world gold price skyrocketed to an all-time high as investors increased their demand for safe capital due to uncertainties surrounding the US presidential election and ongoing military conflicts in the Middle East. In addition, gold is considered a hedge against geopolitical and economic instability and has increased by more than 32% since the beginning of 2024. Lower interest rates also increase the attractiveness of holding gold.
As can be seen on the 2-hour chart, gold is showing an extremely positive technical outlook. With moving averages sloping up and technical indicators supporting the bullish trend, gold is ready to conquer new highs. The $2,733 support level acted as a solid cushion in line with the 34 EMA and the rising channel limit, allowing gold to easily clear the $2,747 resistance and move strongly towards the $2,770 target.
So, what do you all think about gold prices today? Will the bullish momentum continue?
S&P500 Has it topped?The S&P500 index (SPX) is ahead of critical crossroads for the short-term as the Bullish Megaphone pattern that is in effect since April 01, is showing strong signs of topping.
Even though the price isn't on the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Megaphone, the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross today and practically is repeating the sequence of the index' previous Leg from April 19 to July 17, which ended also on a MACD Bearish Cross.
As you can see besides the Bearish Cross, even the price action between the two fractals has gone through very similar phases. The current Bullish Leg is in the form of a Rising Wedge.
Despite the Bearish Cross, the trend remains bullish within this pattern until the Wedge's bottom breaks. As a result, it is more likely to see at least 6000 next. If however the price breaks below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we will have a confirmed sell signal at hand, based on which we will short and target 5600.
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Bitcoin- Chronicle of a Break ForetoldA couple of weeks ago, I raised the question: What if Bitcoin were to remain stuck in a range between 70K and 50K for an extended period?
Although this idea seems unimaginable to the bulls—who get frustrated by any statement that isn’t "Bitcoin to the moon"—this scenario is more than just a remote possibility.
Recently, Bitcoin hit the 70K zone once again, and from a technical standpoint, it broke out of the flag it had been trading in for over six months.
However, to me, this breakout feels more like the "chronicle of a break foretold"—the one we’ve all been expecting, where everyone’s buying, everyone’s making money.
Yet, from a fundamental perspective, things aren’t looking as rosy as one might think.
Technically, it seems like the price will come back to confirm the breakout. But again, from my point of view, things just seem a bit too simple .
So, what if Bitcoin slips back under 65K and continues downward towards the bottom of the range at 50K?
Asking for a friend. :)
GOLD Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GOLD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 2,726.00.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 2,742.59 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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USDCHF: Growth Continues 🇺🇸🇨🇭
Earlier, I have already predicted a bullish movement on USDCHF.
I see one more bullish confirmation this morning.
The price successfully violated a resistance line of
a horizontal parallel channel on a 4H time frame.
The next goal for buyers - 0.87 psychological resistance.
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Lingrid | AVAXUSDT in CONSOLIDATION: Opportunity to BUYBINANCE:AVAXUSDT is currently forming a triangle pattern, creating lower highs and higher lows. Overall, it is in a consolidation phase, which provides an opportunity to buy at the bottom of the range. The price is approaching last week's low, and I anticipate that the market may dip below this level before moving toward the upper boundary of the range. If the market rejects the support zone around 26.00, we can expect a bullish move to emerge from that support. My goal is resistance around 29.00
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Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Price ACTION AnalysisOANDA:XAUUSD reached another all-time high this week, closing above 2700 and continuing an upward trajectory, as I mentioned in my last post. The weekly candle closed strongly following a long-tailed bar, indicating that the market has gained bullish momentum. Any pullback at this point could present an opportunity to go long, especially since, at this rate, a surge to the 3000 level by the end of the year seems plausible.
On the daily timeframe, the market is forming an AB=CD pattern, and once this pattern completes around 2745, there is a chance the market may pull back from that resistance area. However, on the weekly timeframe, we can observe a wick pointing downwards, suggesting a potential retest of about 50% of the previous week's range.
Overall, I anticipate that the market to continue to move higher, and I plan to go long during any pullbacks as we aim for the next target of 2770, which is likely to be reached sooner than expected. It’s worth noting that geopolitical concerns remain significant, prompting traders to seek safety in gold. Additionally, global central banks support, driven by consistent demand and worldwide interest rate cuts, is making gold increasingly attractive.
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Lingrid | GBPJPY range BREAKOUT. Long from SUPPORT zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It reached target level. Overall, FX:GBPJPY is forming a bullish trend, characterized by higher highs and higher lows on the 1H timeframe. Recently, it broke and closed above the resistance zone around 195.600, a level that had been tested multiple times. Following this breakout, I anticipate that the market may surge upwards toward the upper boundary of the channel. It's important to note that the market has been choppy since the beginning of October, suggesting that the breakout could be substantial. My goal is resistance zone around 196.900
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Aussie Yen on the Rise: Could It Hit 103.000 Soon?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:AUDJPY !
On the H4 timeframe, Aussie Yen is holding strong above the EMA90, signaling a solid bullish trend. We’ve also seen a breakout from the symmetrical triangle pattern, which typically points to a continuation of the current uptrend. The MACD indicator shows a hidden bullish divergence, where the price makes higher lows while the indicator makes lower lows. This often suggests underlying strength and the potential for the uptrend to continue, reinforcing the bullish momentum.
With these key technical factors in alignment, we could witness an exciting push towards Target Area 1 at 103.000, or even up to Target Area 2 at 103.972. However, traders should keep a close eye on the stop-loss level at 99.946 to manage risk effectively.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Gold. "
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Gold prices continue to rise at the end of the week!Hello everyone, what do you think about the gold price?
Today, the gold price is on an upward trend, after the buyers previously completed conquering the highs at 2661 -2700 - 2720 respectively, the price has started to increase and is currently trading at a new high of 2721 dollars. This increase is due to the fact that the two largest and second largest economies in the world, the US and China, have both announced negative economic data, which has boosted the demand for gold reserves. In addition to the reason for the poor economic information, investors expect the US Federal Reserve to cut the USD interest rate in early November, the market also expects the upcoming US election in November.
As seen on the 4-hour chart, the gold price has been continuously pushed up since the price broke out of the downtrend and in addition, the new peak is still unclear before the weekend close, showing that the upward trend will continue. Using the Fibonacci extension, I expect and forecast that the gold price will likely move in the Elliott wave (1,2,3,4,5) and target higher levels at around 1.618 i.e. (2739) and if 1.272 (2717) holds, the price will increase higher to level 2 (2762) to continue to set as the final target.
At this time, the realization phase is forming, Conan is waiting for confirmation with the aim of further strengthening in the coming time. What do you think about this view?
GBP/USD: Is the Dollar Weakness Back?After a brief two-day recovery, GBP/USD reversed course on Monday, losing 0.5% and continuing to show signs of weakness on Tuesday morning, trading slightly below the 1.3000 level. Market sentiment was cautious at the beginning of the week due to escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, which bolstered demand for the US Dollar as a safe haven. The US economic calendar features the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index for October, though it is not expected to significantly impact the market. Additionally, Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey will deliver a speech at the Bloomberg Global Regulatory Forum in New York, but without expected comments on monetary policy, the event could have a minimal effect on the pound.
The next important data releases for GBP/USD will be on Thursday, with the preliminary PMI Manufacturing and Services Index data for the UK and the US, which could provide further direction for the pair. It is also worth noting that on Tuesday, the market closed the day with a doji candle, opening up a potential bullish opportunity. We will see if today, during the London session, the market provides a clear confirmation to go long.
Happy trading, and have a great day!