BTCUSD: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 105,670.43 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 106,057.41 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
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Signals
ETHUSD: Next Move Is Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse ETHUSD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 2,545.9 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move down so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 2,529.4..Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
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AAOI Applied Optoelectronics potential rally by EOYApplied Optoelectronics AAOI is well-positioned for a strong rally toward $24 per share by the end of 2025, supported by multiple operational and strategic catalysts. A key recent development—the warrant agreement with Amazon—adds a powerful endorsement and financial backing that enhances the bullish case.
1. Amazon’s Strategic Warrant Agreement: A Major Vote of Confidence
On March 13, 2025, AAOI issued a warrant to Amazon.com NV Investment Holdings LLC, granting Amazon the right to purchase up to approximately 7.95 million shares at an exercise price of $23.70 per share.
About 1.3 million shares vested immediately, with the remainder vesting based on Amazon’s discretionary purchases, potentially up to $4 billion in total purchases over time.
This agreement signals Amazon’s strong confidence in AAOI’s technology and its critical role as a supplier of high-speed optical transceivers for Amazon Web Services and AI data center infrastructure.
The warrant price near $24 effectively sets a floor and a valuation benchmark, supporting the thesis that AAOI’s stock could reach or exceed this level by year-end.
2. Major Data Center Wins and Hyperscale Customer Re-Engagement
AAOI recently resumed shipments to a major hyperscale customer, with volume shipments of high-speed data center transceivers expected to ramp significantly in the second half of 2025.
This re-engagement with a key customer aligns with the surging demand for AI-driven data center infrastructure, providing a strong revenue growth catalyst.
3. Robust Revenue Growth and Margin Expansion
Q1 2025 revenue doubled year-over-year to nearly $100 million, with gross margins expanding to over 30%, reflecting operational efficiencies and favorable product mix.
The company expects to sustain strong quarterly revenue ($100–$110 million) and ramp production capacity to over 100,000 units of 800G transceivers per month by year-end, with 40% manufactured in the U.S.
4. Manufacturing Expansion and Supply Chain Resilience
AAOI is scaling manufacturing in the U.S. and Taiwan, enhancing supply chain robustness and positioning itself to benefit from potential government incentives for domestic production.
Its automated, largely in-house manufacturing capabilities provide a competitive edge in meeting hyperscale and AI data center demand.
In conclusion:
Amazon’s warrant agreement at a $23.70 strike price not only provides a direct valuation anchor near $24 but also serves as a powerful strategic endorsement of AAOI’s technology and growth prospects. Combined with robust revenue growth, expanding manufacturing capacity, and key customer re-engagement, AAOI has a compelling case to reach or exceed $24 per share by the end of 2025.
XAUUSD BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSISGold (XAUUSD) continues to maintain strong bullish momentum, with current price action sitting around 3,430. We have been holding a bullish outlook since the key accumulation zone between 3,150 and 3,200. Price has consistently formed higher highs and higher lows, and recent consolidation has broken out with conviction. Based on technical structure, my immediate upside target is 3,500, where I expect price to react before potentially extending even higher depending on upcoming macro drivers.
Fundamentally, gold is being fueled by a combination of sticky inflation data and a cautious Fed stance. Even though the FOMC held rates steady in June, market expectations are shifting towards policy easing later in the year due to softening labor data and a cooling economic outlook. Additionally, geopolitical uncertainties and continued central bank gold buying remain strong tailwinds for the metal. The U.S. dollar index has shown minor weakness post-CPI, offering further support to gold bulls.
Technically, the daily chart shows a clean bullish flag breakout that aligns with the trendline support and impulsive wave structure. Price broke above 3,400 with strong volume and minimal resistance, indicating clear bullish dominance. As long as price holds above the 3,380–3,400 zone, continuation toward 3,500 remains highly probable. There is also confluence from previous structure highs and minor Fibonacci extension levels around that mark.
Overall, I remain confidently long on XAUUSD. I’ve been tracking this bullish cycle since the 3,150–3,200 region and continue to favor upside moves backed by macroeconomic and technical alignment. I’ll be watching key reaction zones near 3,500 for potential profit-taking, while holding swing positions with dynamic risk management in place.
US500 Will Fall! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for US500.
Time Frame: 10h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 5,979.56.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 5,838.14 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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AUDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 30m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 93.507.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 93.232 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NATGAS Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NATGAS made a retest of
The horizontal support level
Of 3.450$ then established
A double bottom pattern
And a we are already
Seeing some rebound so
We are locally bullish biased
And we will be expecting a
Further bullish move up
On Monday
Buy!
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TESLA WILL GO DOWN|SHORT|
✅TESLA is going up now
But a strong resistance level is ahead at 336$
Thus I am expecting a pullback
And a move down towards the target of 320$
SHORT🔥
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CAD_CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅CAD_CHF has retested a key resistance level of 0.5990
And as the pair is already making a bearish pullback
A move down to retest the demand level below at 0.5960 is likely
SHORT🔥
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NZD-CAD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CAD is about to retest
A horizontal support level
Of 0.8161 from where we
Will be expecting a local
Bullish rebound so we can
Enter a long trade with the
Take Profit of 0.8191 and
The Stop Loss of 0.8153
Buy!
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GBPUSD WEEKLY HTF FORECAST Q2 W25 Y25GBPUSD WEEKLY HTF FORECAST Q2 W25 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
💭NOTE- If price closes above the key weekly/ daily order block with daily close- re evaluation will be required.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
They laughed at the name. I loaded the setupPrice action doesn’t care about branding — it cares about imbalance, volume, and delivery. And FARTCOIN just hit a prime liquidity pocket with mechanical precision.
The structure:
After a fast drop, price tagged the 0.618 fib at 1.1607, which also aligns with the high-volume node (visible range) — a zone where Smart Money absorbs without headlines.
Below that? Void. Above? Rebalancing targets:
1.1870 (0.5 fib)
1.2133 (0.382)
1.2458 (0.236)
Full recovery to 1.2960 if liquidity calls for it
Volume has thinned on the pullback — ideal. That’s not fear. That’s vacuum.
Expectation:
We chop sideways here before liftoff. I’m not chasing — I’m letting the structure compress and then watching for the breakout reclaim above 1.1635.
Execution:
Entry: 1.1500–1.1600
SL: 1.1220 (below .786 fib)
TP1: 1.1870
TP2: 1.2130
TP3: 1.2450
Final target: 1.2960 full draw
This chart may trigger jokes — the move it’s building won’t.
Final thought:
“I don’t care what they call it. I care where Smart Money enters.”
USOIL: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 73.387 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 72.481.and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
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NI225: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse NI225 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding above a key level of 37,817.93 So a bullish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next high. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
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USOIL Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 73.374.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 78.914 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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CHFJPY Will Go Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for CHFJPY.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 177.661.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 178.547 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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AUDCHF Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDCHF.
Time Frame: 15m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.526.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.524 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EUR/USD Bulls in Control... But the Trap Is Set at 1.1600? 🇺🇸 EUR/USD – Technical & Macro Outlook
EUR/USD has posted an impressive rally over the past few weeks, driven by a combination of technical and macro factors. It is currently trading around 1.1586, right at the edge of a major supply zone where previous sharp rejections and reversals have taken place.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Price action remains within a well-defined ascending channel that began in mid-April, fueling the bullish move from the 1.07 lows.
The current daily candle is showing signs of exhaustion within the 1.1550–1.1600 resistance zone, with upper wicks and declining volume.
RSI is in a high-neutral zone but not yet overbought, leaving room for more upside — but also increasing the probability of a technical pullback.
🔁 Key Levels:
Primary resistance: 1.1600 (multi-touch supply area)
Support 1: 1.1460–1.1430 (previous resistance, now potential support)
Support 2: 1.1300–1.1270 (demand zone + channel base)
📉 COT Report – June 3, 2025
Non-Commercials (speculators) remain net-long with over 200,000 contracts, though both long (-1,540) and short (-4,830) positions saw reductions. This suggests a bullish structure with early signs of profit-taking.
Commercials are heavily net-short, with 575,000 short contracts versus 437,000 long — a structurally bearish stance from physical market participants.
Open interest increased significantly by +20,813, pointing to renewed speculative participation and potential volatility.
🧭 Retail Sentiment
Retail traders are heavily short (80%) with an average entry around 1.1253.
This contrarian behavior is typically supportive of continued upside pressure — especially if price holds above key supports.
📅 Seasonality – June
Historical averages over 10, 15, and 20 years show a slightly bullish tendency in June.
The 2- and 5-year patterns suggest more neutral to mildly bearish behavior.
This supports a consolidation or corrective pullback, without ruling out higher moves during the summer rally.
🎯 Trading Conclusion
Current bias: Moderately bullish, with rising pullback risks near 1.1600
Possible setup: Tactical short between 1.1580–1.1610 if confirmed by bearish price action
Target: 1.1430–1.1300
Bullish scenario remains valid unless we break below 1.1270
📌 Summary
The bullish trend is strong but technically extended. Speculative positions remain net-long but are starting to unwind. The retail crowd is still betting against the move, which favors bulls. However, structural resistance calls for caution — a pullback could be imminent.
GBPJPY At the Top? Massive Liquidity Grab📈 1. Price Action & Key Technical Levels (Daily Chart)
Price reached a major supply zone between 196.0 and 197.0, showing clear rejection (weekly pin bar and a lower high structure relative to the previous peak).
The long-term descending trendline acted as resistance again.
A confirmed rising wedge pattern broke to the downside, with first target around 191.4, and extended target near 187.4 (key demand zone with historical confluence).
Weekly RSI shows a bearish divergence vs price highs – an additional signal of bullish exhaustion.
📊 2. COT Data (as of June 3, 2025)
GBP (British Pound)
Net long positions increased by +30,371 contracts (Commercial + Non-Commercial).
Non-Commercials: 103,672 long vs 68,457 short → net long +35,215 but the increase is relatively modest.
Commercials are increasing both long and short positions, but the net delta supports medium-term GBP resilience.
JPY (Japanese Yen)
Net short worsened by -13,566 contracts.
Non-Commercials are cutting longs and adding shorts → aggressive yen selling.
Commercials remain heavily short (275,659 vs 100,151 long).
➡️ COT Conclusion: GBP remains structurally strong, but the JPY is now extremely oversold, increasing the likelihood of a technical correction in favor of JPY (GBPJPY pullback).
📉 3. Retail Sentiment
72% of retail traders are short GBPJPY, with an average entry at 191.2.
Current price is above 195.8 → a liquidity sweep above retail shorts may have already occurred.
The order book shows a heavy sell cluster between 195.0–195.9 → potential zone of manipulation/liquidation.
➡️ Contrarian view: After sweeping liquidity above retail highs, we may now see downside pressure to clean out breakout longs.
📅 4. Seasonality
June tends to be neutral to bearish:
5-year average: +0.45% (weak gain)
10- and 15-year averages: -1.24% and -1.30%
Historically, the first 10 days of June often mark a local top, followed by a decline – consistent with the current price structure.
🧠 5. Macro-Technical Confluence
The broader setup points to a distribution phase between 195.5–196.5, with high probability of a technical pullback toward 193.5–191.4 in the short-to-medium term.
The yen's oversold conditions may ease temporarily, supporting a corrective GBPJPY retracement.
Break below 193.5 would confirm the move toward 191.4 and eventually 187.4 – an area of institutional interest.
🔍 Trade Setup Summary (Bias: Bearish)
Technical context: Short setup confirmed by structure break, divergence, and supply rejection.
Macro/sentiment context: Supports a corrective pullback on the pair.
Strategy: Look for intraday weakness below 195.0–194.5 → targeting 193.5, then 191.4.
Invalidation: Daily/weekly close above 197.0.
NQ100 → Entering the Danger Zone?📈 1. Technical Context (Price Action & Structure)
The daily chart shows a strong bullish continuation from the 17,350 area, with price now extending toward the 22,000 USD zone.
We are currently within a weekly/monthly supply, with:
Mild RSI divergence in overbought conditions
Temporary rejection at 22,050–22,200
A potential liquidity sweep above highs before distribution or pullback
The monthly structure shows a strong swing low that may serve as anchor for a future reversal
🧠 2. COT Report – Commitment of Traders (as of June 3)
Commercials (Smart Money):
+4,041 long | +3,320 short → Net +1,455 → hedging phase, not trend expansion
Non-Commercials (Speculators):
–2,237 long | +125 short → net exposure reduction
Open Interest increasing → new positions building, but no extreme imbalance
📌 Conclusion: Tactical neutrality, slight bullish lean from commercials.
📆 3. Seasonality
June has been historically bullish, especially in the past 2 years (+700 pts avg)
10Y average still leans bullish
⚠️ September is a clear seasonal reversal month across all timeframes
📌 Conclusion: Seasonal tailwind through end of June; cyclic reversal risk into Q3.
📰 4. Macro Calendar
High-impact USD week:
CPI – Wed, June 11
PPI – Thu, June 12
These will be critical to:
Validate the disinflation narrative
Set expectations for a Fed cut by Sep/Nov
📌 Conclusion: Expect explosive mid-week volatility — watch for liquidity spikes above 22,000 if CPI surprises.
⚙️ Operational Outlook
✅ Primary scenario (bullish continuation):
🎯 Target: 22,260 → fib extension + structure
❌ Invalid below 21,350
🔄 Alternative scenario (mean reversion):
🔻 Short from 22,050–22,200
🎯 Target: 20,950 → liquidity + FVG zone
🔁 Trigger: weekly engulf or hotter-than-expected CPI
Lingrid | HYPEUSDT bullish Momentum Continuation LikelyKUCOIN:HYPEUSDT is consolidating after a breakout and forming a flag pattern, riding an established upward channel. Price has consistently respected the dynamic support from the trendline and the key horizontal level near 40.00. The recent higher low suggests momentum is intact for a bullish continuation toward the 49–50 target zone.
📈 Key Levels
Buy zone: 39.3–40.0
Sell trigger: breakdown below 39.0
Target: 50.0
Buy trigger: breakout above 43.0 with volume
💡 Risks
Failure to hold above 39.3 could invalidate bullish setup
Divergence signs may emerge on lower timeframes
Overall market sentiment could disrupt the clean trend formation
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
AUD_CHF LOCAL SHORT|
✅AUD_CHF has retested a resistance level of 0.5290
And we are seeing a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a confirmation
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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CHF_JPY BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅CHF_JPY is going up
Now and the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 177.000 and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are bullish
Biased and we will be expecting
A further bullish move up
On Monday
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.