EurUsd- The "big" move is down, not upLast week, TRADENATION:EURUSD reached a high of around 1.09 and has been consolidating ever since, now for the fifth consecutive trading day. Despite some weak upward spikes, the pair remains in a range-bound phase.
From a technical perspective, multiple resistance levels lie ahead, with the psychological 1.10 mark acting as a key barrier. Given the current price action, I believe this consolidation is more likely to result in a downside breakout rather than a continuation of the uptrend.
There is a strong possibility that EUR/USD will correct the impressive rally that began in early March.
With this outlook in mind, I see more downside potential than upside and I am considering selling into rallies, targeting a move toward 1.07.
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Signals
Lingrid | GOLD Continues to CONSOLIDATE above the 3000 level Yesterday, OANDA:XAUUSD price moved higher, briefly taking liquidity above the previous day's high at 3035 before pulling back to consolidate. This resembles the price action we observed at the beginning of the month when the price consolidated around the 2900 level, tested the bottom of the consolidation, made a false break, and then moved to higher levels. Given that the price has tested the bottom of the current consolidation zone twice, I anticipate a similar scenario may unfold, where the price could retest the area below the psychological level once more before climbing higher, particularly if a false break occurs. My goal is the resistance zone around 3060
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Nasdaq100 Update: Another Leg Down Likely After Recent Reversal?For quite some time, I have been highlighting the possibility of a strong correction in the Nasdaq 100 ( TRADENATION:USTEC ), with the 17,500 level remaining a realistic downside target.
In my more recent analyses, I argued that while a reversal from the 19,100 support zone was likely, it was merely a dead cat bounce , and the index could decline further from the 20,300-20,500 resistance zone. The lower boundary of this range was tested, and as expected, the index has started to fall again.
Although a temporary rally above 20,000 cannot be ruled out, my overall outlook remains unchanged—I still anticipate another leg down.
In conclusion, selling into rallies continues to be my preferred strategy, with 17,500 as the medium-term target.
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Gold update 4H 28.03.2025Technical Overview
Gold has broken out of a bullish pennant, confirming the continuation of the uptrend. XAU/USD is currently testing resistance around $3,087. A successful breakout could push prices toward $3,108–$3,138 (0.618 and 0.786 Fibonacci levels).
Key Levels:
Support: $3,066 | $3,040
Resistance: $3,087 | $3,108 | $3,138
Indicators:
The oscillator shows overbought conditions, suggesting a possible short-term pullback.
A retest of $3,066 could provide a support zone for continuation.
Fundamental Factors
Fed interest rate decisions and inflation data will impact gold.
Market uncertainty continues to drive demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Potential Scenarios
Bullish: A strong breakout above $3,087 could lead to a rally toward $3,108 and $3,138.
Bearish: Failure to hold above $3,087 may trigger a pullback toward $3,066 and $3,040.
A breakout above $3,087 could open the path toward $3,108–$3,138.
Gold Recovers After Dip – Is a New ATH Next?After reaching its recent all-time high exactly one week ago, Gold began a correction, dropping to $3,000, where buyers stepped in. This led to a recovery, pushing the price above a key resistance zone at $3,025–$3,030.
At the time of writing, the price is sitting at the upper boundary of this support zone. If it stabilizes above this level, a new ATH could be on the horizon.
I remain bullish as long as the daily close stays above this zone.
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GOLD breaks and refreshes All-Time High, on PCE Data dayOn Friday (March 28) in the Asian trading session, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD unexpectedly accelerated and the gold price surpassed the level of 3,077 USD / ounce, up more than 20 USD on the day.
The threat of additional tariffs by US President Trump has affected the USD. Gold still maintains a positive growth momentum and is expected to reach a new record high.
The spot OANDA:XAUUSD closed up 37.50 USD on Thursday as new auto tariffs announced by President Donald Trump have increased trade tensions around the world and sent stock markets plunging, sending investors fleeing for safe-haven assets.
Gold traders will focus on U.S. PCE inflation data on Friday to gauge the Federal Reserve's rate-cutting path.
Markets will now focus on upcoming U.S. economic data. On Friday, the U.S. will release data on the personal consumption expenditure (PCE) price index for February, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation gauge.
The U.S. core PCE price index is expected to have risen 2.7% year-on-year in February, up slightly from 2.6% in January.
“A mild PCE inflation reading could reinforce the Fed’s dovish stance and maintain support for gold”
Gold is traditionally seen as a safe haven from economic and political uncertainty and tends to perform well in low-interest-rate environments.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Continuing to rise, gold reached all the target levels sent to readers in the weekly publication and also broke these levels. With the current position, gold is expected to continue to rise with the next target at the 0.382% Fibonacci extension level.
The RSI is upright moving back to the 80 area, showing surprisingly strong buying momentum without any signs of weakening in the oversold area.
In the short term, the confluence of the upper edge of the price channel with the 0.50% Fibonacci extension will be the most important position to watch, as it acts as an expected resistance for a slight correction when the RSI enters the overbought zone. However, once gold continues to break $3,113, there will be nothing to stop gold from continuing to increase rapidly.
Overall, the overall bullish outlook for gold prices during the day will be focused on the following technical levels.
Support: $3,057 – $3,051
Resistance: $3,086 – $3,100 – $3,113
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3101 - 3099⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3105
→Take Profit 1 3093
↨
→Take Profit 2 3087
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3004 - 3006⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 3000
→Take Profit 1 3012
↨
→Take Profit 2 3018
CAD_CHF BEARISH WEDGE PATTERN|SHORT|
✅CAD_CHF made a retest of
The horizontal resistance
Of 0.6213 which makes us
Locally bearish biased and
On top that we are seeing a
Fully formed bearish wedge
Pattern so IF we see a bearish
Breakout from the wedge
Pattern we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
SHORT🔥
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GBP-NZD Potential Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-NZD is making a local
Bullish move upwards and the
Pair will soon hit a horizontal
Resistance of 2.2620 and after
The retest a local bearish
Correction is to be expected
Sell!
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BTC Bitcoin Price Target by Year EndSeveral factors support a bullish outlook for Bitcoin (BTC) to reach $97,500 by the end of the year:
Institutional Adoption and Treasury Investments: Companies like GameStop are incorporating Bitcoin into their treasury reserves, following the lead of firms such as MicroStrategy. GameStop plans to raise $1.3 billion for Bitcoin purchases, indicating growing corporate confidence in BTC as a store of value.
Supportive Regulatory Environment: The U.S. administration has pledged to make the country the "undisputed Bitcoin superpower and crypto capital of the world." Plans include introducing clear regulations for stablecoins and market structures, aiming to stimulate investment and innovation in the crypto sector.
Positive Price Forecasts: Analysts have set bullish targets for Bitcoin, with some predicting prices ranging from $120,000 to $150,000 by year-end. These projections are based on factors like supply shocks and increased institutional adoption.
Seasonal Trends and Market Liquidity: Historically, the second quarter has been favorable for Bitcoin, with increased market liquidity and investor interest. Currently, approximately $31.8 billion in "dry powder" is poised to enter the crypto markets, potentially driving prices higher.
Finite Supply and Growing Demand: Bitcoin's capped supply of 21 million coins, coupled with rising global demand, supports its long-term value appreciation. Its growing acceptance and technological advancements, despite evolving regulatory landscapes, bolster its investment appeal.
These factors collectively suggest a favorable environment for Bitcoin to approach or surpass the $97,500 mark by year-end.
NVDA NVIDIA Price Target by Year-EndNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) remains a dominant force in the AI and semiconductor markets, with its forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio currently at 19.37—a reasonable valuation considering its growth trajectory and market position.
NVIDIA’s leadership in the AI sector, particularly through its cutting-edge GPUs, has driven strong demand from data centers, cloud providers, and AI developers. The company’s recent product launches, including the Hopper and Blackwell architectures, have further solidified its competitive edge.
Despite recent market volatility, NVIDIA's consistent revenue growth and expanding profit margins support the bullish case. The current P/E of 19.37 reflects a balanced risk-reward profile, suggesting that the stock is not overvalued despite its impressive performance.
A price target of $145 by year-end reflects approximately 15% upside from current levels, driven by sustained AI demand and growing market penetration. Investors should watch for quarterly earnings reports and updates on AI chip demand, as these will likely act as key catalysts for upward momentum.
GOLD Free Signal! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an
Uptrend and my bullish
Bias is reinforced by the
Trade war and a possible
Recession fear which comes
As a reaction to the Trump's
Car tariffs. So as the price
Is trying to break the all-time-high
Level of 3058$ we can enter
A long trade with the Take
Profit of 3101$ and
Stop Loss of 3027$
Buy!
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USD-JPY Resistance Ahead! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-JPY keeps growing
But will soon hit a horizontal
Resistance of 151.466
So after the retest we will
Be expecting a local
Bearish correction
Sell!
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AMD Advanced Micro Devices Price TargetAdvanced Micro Devices (AMD) has positioned itself as a major player in the semiconductor industry, capitalizing on growing demand for high-performance computing, artificial intelligence (AI), and data center solutions. As of now, AMD’s forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio stands at 17.12, indicating that the stock is trading at a reasonable valuation compared to its growth potential.
AMD has benefited from the increasing adoption of AI-driven solutions, particularly through its MI300 series of AI accelerators, which have gained traction among major cloud service providers. The company’s expansion into the data center market has also been a key growth driver, with strong sales in EPYC processors contributing to revenue growth.
Furthermore, AMD's strategic acquisition of Xilinx has strengthened its position in the FPGA (Field-Programmable Gate Array) market, enhancing its ability to offer diversified and high-margin products. This, combined with improving margins and consistent product innovation, positions AMD for steady financial performance in the coming quarters.
Given AMD’s solid fundamentals, growing market share in AI and data centers, and attractive valuation at a 17.12 forward P/E, a price target of $125 by the end of the year appears achievable. This would represent approximately 15% upside from current levels, driven by continued revenue growth and expanding profit margins.
S&P500 Do you really want to bet against the market??We have done a number of multi-decade analyses on both S&P500 (SPX) and Dow Jones over the years. Especially in times of high volatility, such as the current ones amidst the tariff wars, the long-term macro-economic analysis always helps to keep the most objective perspective.
And as you see in the wide picture of SPX's 35-year Cycles, the current 3-month correction is nothing but a technical pull-back that justifies the rule. The 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) tends to be the main Support during the Bull Phase and then it breaks, the Bear Cycle starts that drops even below the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line).
Right now, assuming the current Cycle that started after the early 2009 Housing Crisis bottom, will be as long as the previous one at least, we are headed for the 0.5 Time Fibonacci level (blue) and are marginally above the 0.382 Horizontal Fibonacci level (black). This is the exact kind of behavior we had on the previous Cycle with the 1990 pull-back, which as expected approached the 1M MA50 and rebounded. In 1954, the index was again headed for the 0.5 Time Fib and was on the 0.382 Horizontal Fib.
It is obvious that the degree of symmetry among the Cycles is remarkable and as long as the 1M MA50 holds, any pull-back should historically be bought. As we head towards the 0.786 Time Fib though, the danger of staying in the market gets extremely high but as mentioned, a break below the 1M MA50 is the confirmed sell signal.
This shows that despite the recent volatility, buying is still heavily favored. Are you willing to bet against the market at this stage?
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FFAI Faraday Future Options Ahead of EarningsAnalyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of FFAI Faraday Future Intelligent Electric prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 1.50usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-4-17,
for a premium of approximately $0.20.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
FXAN & Heikin Ashi Trade IdeaOANDA:GBPCAD
In this video, I’ll be sharing my analysis of GBPCAD, using FXAN's proprietary algo indicators with my unique Heikin Ashi strategy. I’ll walk you through the reasoning behind my trade setup and highlight key areas where I’m anticipating potential opportunities.
I’m always happy to receive any feedback.
Like, share and comment! ❤️
Thank you for watching my videos! 🙏
BITCOIN Say goodbye to low prices if this level breaks. Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has turned sideways the past couple of days following the strong bullish reaction on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). The reason it that it is about to face the most common Resistance of this Cycle, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
Within the current (2023 - 2025) Bull Cycle, BTC always started its new rally near or on the 1W MA50 but the most important development to confirm that was a break above the 1D MA50. On both previous correction/ accumulation phases, the 1D MA50 break coincided with a 0.618 Fibonacci retracement break.
The bottom of each phase is formed when the 1W MA50 gets tested on a Double Bottom, which we've had on March 11 2025, September 06 2024 and September 11 2023. Among those fractals, their 1D RSI patterns post identical sequences.
As a result, once the price breaks above the 1D MA50, we can claim that the most optimal buy opportunity of the past 6 months will cease to exist and then you'll have to chase a rally all the way to at least a +97% rise (late 2023 rally, the late 2024 was even stronger at +106%). That gives us a minimum target estimate of $150000.
Do you think that would be the case? Break above the 1D MA50 and off to the races with no looking back? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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DXY Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 104.402.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 105.208 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDCHF Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.883.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.865.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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