EUR/USD --> The Bears Are Applying Strong PressureFX:EURUSD in a strong downtrend, the market has just set a new local low with no signs of stopping. What lies ahead?
The Euro is under significant pressure against the strength of the US dollar, which has been bolstered by the aggressive economic policies from the Trump era. The rising greenback has not only diminished the Euro's appeal but has also added further turbulence to the forex market. Under current conditions, the 1.1000 level has emerged as a critical point, drawing significant attention from major institutional players in the market.
Resistance levels: 1.033, 1.0448
Support levels: 1.000
From both a technical and fundamental perspective, the outlook remains weak. As such, emphasis should be placed on strong resistance levels where the downtrend is likely to resume.
Signals
EXXON MOBIL Will it recover the devastating December?Exxon Mobil (XOM) gave us an excellent buy signal on our last idea (September 27 2024, see chart below) as it quickly hit our $120 Target:
Since the November 22 2024 (Lower) High though, it had an aggressive sell-of that stopped on the December 20 2024 Low. The price has stabilized for now but hasn't yet gained the necessary momentum to stage a rebound.
On the other hand, there are some very encouraging signals that justify going long as the Risk/ Reward Ratio has turned very favorable for buying. The price might not be exactly at the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up but the 1W RSI is on the 38.35 Support, which is the exact level where the it bottomed on January 19 2024, on the previous Higher Low.
At the same time, the 1D MACD has completed a Bullish Cross, which has always been a solid buy entry below the 0.0 level. As a result, even though the stock may deliver one last pull-back to test the bottom of the 14-month Channel Up, it is worth buying now as the upside is significantly higher. Our Target is the Resistance 2 level at $126.40.
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Alikze »» Near | Ascending channel - 1W🔍 Technical analysis: Ascending channel - 1W
📣 BINANCE:NEARUSDT currency is moving in an ascending channel on the weekly time frame.
🟢 After hitting the channel ceiling and the supply zone, it encountered selling pressure, which extended the correction to the middle of the channel. After that, it encountered demand again in the middle of the channel.
🟢 It is currently facing demand in the green box, which can grow to the channel ceiling in the first step and continue its growth again to the supply zone.
🟢 Considering that the supply zone and the channel ceiling have already been consumed, in case of high momentum, it will be able to break the supply zone
🟢 After that, it can grow to the next supply zone.
💎In the first step, then after breaking the ceiling of the first ascending channel, it can continue its growth to the middle of the second channel with a pullback to it and finally to the width of the first channel to a larger supply zone.
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SILVER BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅SILVER made a bullish
Rebound from the support
Level below at 28.77$ just
As I predicted in my previous
Analysis but the price has
Retested a horizontal
Resistance level of 29.90$
So we are locally bearish
Biased and we will be expecting
A local bearish correction
SHORT🔥
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Solana (SOL/USDT) Technical Analysis: Critical Levels and PotentIn this analysis of Solana (SOL/USDT), we dive into the key market structure and Fibonacci retracement levels that could guide the next price movements. The 4-hour timeframe reveals a corrective wave structure with crucial levels to watch, offering an excellent setup for both short-term and long-term traders.
Key Insights:
Retracement Zone Resistance (202.17–208.50 USDT):
The price is currently approaching a significant resistance zone between the 50% (202.17) and 61.8% (208.50) Fibonacci retracement levels of the previous wave.
This area could act as a reversal point, triggering either a continuation to the downside or a breakout to higher levels.
Bullish Scenario:
If the price breaks above the 208.50 USDT resistance, we could see a bullish continuation toward 230 USDT or higher. This move would indicate strong momentum and buyer dominance.
Bearish Scenario and Key Support Zone (160.00–165.30 USDT):
A rejection from the resistance zone could push the price downward toward the highlighted support zone around 160.00–165.30 USDT. This area aligns with key market structure and presents a potential accumulation zone for long positions.
Momentum Indicators:
The stochastic oscillator is currently in the overbought territory, suggesting that a correction or pullback could be imminent. However, confirmation from price action is essential.
Strategy Suggestions for Traders:
Aggressive Traders: Watch for rejection signals in the 202.17–208.50 USDT resistance zone to initiate short positions, targeting the 160.00–165.30 USDT support area.
Conservative Traders: Wait for a clear breakout above 208.50 USDT or a bounce from the 160.00–165.30 USDT support zone to enter long positions with reduced risk.
Analysis of EUR/USD: A Strategic Insight for TradersThe EUR/USD currency pair has extended its rally for the third consecutive day, trading near the 1.0430 level during Monday’s Asian session. This uptick is primarily driven by remarks from members of the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council and expectations of delayed interest rate cuts in the Eurozone. However, the hawkish tone of the Federal Reserve (Fed) and a stronger U.S. Dollar (USD) could cap the Euro’s gains in the short term.
Fundamental Factors Influencing EUR/USD
European Central Bank (ECB)
Robert Holzmann, a member of the ECB Governing Council, stated that further rate cuts might be delayed. He highlighted recent inflation spikes and emphasized the inflationary pressures stemming from the Trump administration’s tariff policies, which may slow economic growth but increase inflation.
Delayed Rate Cut Expectations: Markets anticipate the ECB to slow down rate cuts due to rising inflation and the need for economic stabilization.
U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed)
The Fed reduced rates by 25 basis points during the December meeting, but the dot plot indicates only two rate cuts anticipated for 2025.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell: He reiterated that the central bank would approach further rate cuts cautiously.
Impact on USD: The Fed's hawkish messaging has bolstered the USD, acting as a counterweight to the EUR/USD rally.
Economic Policies under the Trump Administration
Tariffs and Tax Cuts: The administration’s policies are expected to intensify inflationary pressures, potentially altering the Fed’s monetary policy outlook in favor of the USD.
Short-to-Medium Term Outlook for EUR/USD
Bullish Scenario : Signals of delayed ECB rate cuts and improved Eurozone economic data could sustain support for the Euro.
Bearish Scenario : Continued hawkish Fed messaging, coupled with strong U.S. economic data, could exert downward pressure on EUR/USD..
Technical Analysis: Pivotal Levels in Play
Weekly Momentum: Momentum indicators on the weekly timeframe highlight persistent selling pressure, aligning with the prior bearish analysis.
Key Support Levels: The price is trading near the confluence of the lower boundary of a neutral channel and the median line of the Andrews Pitchfork, intensifying the sensitivity of this zone.
Potential Breakdown: The momentum suggests a higher likelihood of breaking below this support unless weekly price action signals a reversal by surging and breaking above the 1.0534 resistance level.
Conclusion and Call to Action
This analysis outlines critical fundamental and technical elements shaping the EUR/USD’s trajectory. With key macroeconomic events and technical levels at play, traders should stay vigilant for decisive moves.
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SUIUSD Still holding the 1D MA50 after 4 months! Bullish to $10.Sui (SUIUSD) has been trading within a Channel Up since the August 05 2024 market bottom. The last 10 days of December are seeing a vicious test of the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is so far holding as Support.
In fact the last time we had a 1D candle close below it, was 4 months ago (September 05 2024). With the 1D RSI making a bullish reversal and breaking above its MA (yellow trend-line) while the 1D MACD is about to make a Bullish Cross, both indicators in similar fashion as the bottoms of October and September 2024, we treat the current consolidation above the 1D MA50 as the strongest buy signal of the past 2 months.
The previous two Bullish Legs both rose by exactly +219.25%, so our Target is currently a little below that margin at $10.000.
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XAU/USD : More Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the #Gold chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after revisiting the supply zone of $2,633 to $2,652, the price faced selling pressure and corrected over 140 pips to $2,624. Currently, gold is trading around $2,626. If the price manages to hold below the $2,633 level, we can anticipate further declines. This analysis will be updated.z
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
USDCHF PredictionUSD/CHF current price stands at 0.90960, meaning 1 US Dollar equals 0.90960 Swiss Francs. The target price is set at 0.95000, indicating an expectation that the price will rise towards this level. The potential gain in pips is over 500 pips, with each pip representing a 0.0001 change in the exchange rate. The strategy is based on the support and resistance pattern, where price movements are analyzed at key levels of support (price floors) and resistance (price ceilings). Before reaching the target of 0.95000, the price is expected to retest the 0.89000 level, which could act as a support zone. This retesting implies that the price may temporarily drop to 0.89000 before continuing its upward trend. If the support at 0.89000 holds, the price is expected to bounce back and resume the move towards the target. The current price of 0.90960 offers an entry point for traders looking to buy, with the anticipation of the price rising to the target. The overall strategy suggests a short-term dip before a longer-term upward movement, providing a favorable risk-to-reward scenario for traders.
XAUUSD - what will happen before the Holiday season?Here is our view and update on XAUUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for before the Holiday season starts.
Let’s take a step back and take a look at XAUUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we are attaching the long-term overview on the pair.
We are still following the sell bias we have published.
XAUUSD is currently trading at around 2625 with lower volume than usual.
Scenario 1: SELLS from 2620
That would confirm our pullback to the upside and breaking below 2620 would give us an opportunity to drop back down to 2604 or 2600 flat. Next we would be targeting a very important KL (Key Level) 2590.
Scenario 2: BUYS from 2638
We broke above 2638 and are trading above it. We should see more upside potentially reaching new highs at around 2666 which was also an important KL (Key Level) before.
Personal opinion:
The direction for now is unclear until we break our mentioned key levels. A safe sell trade could be taken at 2620 or a safe buy at the breaks of 2638. Be patient and stay tuned for updates on this pair. For now we are sticking to the sell bias from the long-term overview.
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD breaking below 2620 would confirm sells down to 2604 - 2600.
- XAUUSD breaking above 2638 would confirm further buys up to 2666.
- Volume is lower as the business year is coming to an end and Holiday season is about to start.
Thank you everyone for your amazing support lately. We will continue to provide value to you. Happy Holidays!
Happy trading!
FxPocket
US30 Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for US30.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 42,499.9.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 40,967.2 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USOIL Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USOIL.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 72.837.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 68.454.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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NZDUSD Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.560.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.555 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPJPY Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 194.994.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 192.442 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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Lingrid | GOLD short-term RETRACEMENT from the RESISTANCE zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target. OANDA:XAUUSD has moved higher, breaking above the triangle pattern. The price is currently testing the weekly high at 2665, which I mentioned yesterday. It has bounced off this level and may be forming a double top in this area. I believe the market could form a small ascending channel with bearish divergence. Previously, the price has consistently respected the resistance zone at 2670, which aligns nicely with the 61.8% fibonacci golden level. I expect the price to move lower after taking liquidity above the weekly high if we see strong rejection. My goal is support zone around 2640
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
AUDNZD Channel Up charging for the new Bullish Leg.The AUDNZD pair has been trading within a Channel Up for the past 10 months. Right now it is on an uptrend as the most recent low was made on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) on December 09 2024.
Having also recently turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support, we expect the Bullish Leg to set course towards the top (Higher Highs) of the pattern. Our Target is marginally below that at 1.12500.
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FTSE 100 bottom formed. Target for Summer 2025 set.FTSE 100 (UK100) is currently on a strong rebound after a mid-December hit-and-hold on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). That was a Double Bottom along with the November 11 2024 1W candle Low. At the same time, this rebound is taking place after a test of the 13-month Higher Lows Zone.
In fact, that Zone started during the previous bottom formation on October 23 2023, shortly after the 1W RSI formed a Higher Lows Bullish Divergence. This time the 1W RSI is on Lower Lows but since the 2024 and 2023 fractals are very similar and the 1W MA50 is holding, we expect the bottom to be already priced in.
As you can see, both previous macro Bullish Legs of FTSE's 2-year Channel Up, targeted the 1.382 Fibonacci extension once the previous High (Resistance Zone) broke. As a result, we are now setting 8650 as a Q2 2025 Target.
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