GOLD recovered after adjusting from the target levelOANDA:XAUUSD recovered after a correction since reaching the reader attention target increase in previous issues at 2,741 USD.
Gold soared to a new all-time high on Monday hitting $2,740.60 an ounce. Uncertainty over the US presidential election and war in the Middle East have contributed to gold's rally, which has been fueled by expectations of lower Fed interest rates.
Gold prices have risen this year and have consistently hit record highs, a recovery that has accelerated over the past few months as the Federal Reserve moved to cut interest rates. Worsening tensions in the Middle East and upcoming US elections are also increasing demand for gold as a safe-haven asset.
Citi Research raised its three-month gold price forecast in a report on Monday, citing a possible continued slowdown in the US labor market, interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve and increased gold purchases. physical and ETF funds.
The bank raised its 3-month gold price forecast to $2,800 from $2,700 previously and said its 6- to 12-month gold price forecast is $3,000.
Specifically, the report said: “We note that despite weak retail physical demand in China and rising US interest rates, gold and silver have performed very well since the Fed cut interest rates by 50 points. basis last month and nonfarm payrolls exceeded expectations.”
According to the latest Washington Post poll, Republican candidate Trump and Democratic candidate Harris are still tied in 7 important states.
However, on core issues such as the economy, inflation and immigration, Trump's approval rating is higher than Harris's. A Trump victory would mean a completely different story, with more taxes and restrictions likely to negatively impact inflation, forcing the Fed to abandon its current loose monetary policy, meaning If Trump wins the election, it is likely that the USD will strengthen again and gold will come under significant pressure.
Regarding the situation in the Middle East, according to local authorities, Israel conducted air strikes across Lebanon at night, targeting Hezbollah's financial activities. "We will continue to fight Iran's proxies until the country collapses," said Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, after adjusting from the target increase of 2,741 USD, gold recovered when approaching the nearest support level at the Fibonacci extension level of 0.786% price point of 2,711 USD.
The current recovery is significant and is once again close to the key technical level at $2,741, the $2,741 level being the confluence of resistance of the upper channel edge and the 1% Fibonacci extension.
If gold breaks above $2,741 it will be primed for a new bull run ahead, and indeed the target after gold breaks $2,741 is not to be found beyond round price points like 2,750 – 2,800 USD.
During the day, structurally and the short-term trend remains unchanged to the upside with upward momentum remaining very strong as the Relative Strength Index points steeply upward without any signs of a bend or heading down from the overbought area, although the room for price increases is no longer large, there will still be enough motivation for shock increases (short and strong) before adjusting downward.
The upward trend in gold prices on the daily chart will be noted by the following technical points.
Support: 2,711 – 2,700USD
Resistance: 2,741 – 2,750USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2762 - 2760⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2766
→Take Profit 1 2755
↨
→Take Profit 2 2750
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2694 - 2696⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2690
→Take Profit 1 2701
↨
→Take Profit 2 2706
Signals
EUR/USD: Watch for the Rebound!EUR/USD began the week on a bearish note, hitting 12-week lows near 1.0800 as the US dollar remains strong, supported by solid economic fundamentals and rising US yields. Key support levels are at 1.0811 and 1.0775, while major resistance is seen at 1.0930 and 1.1040. The macroeconomic backdrop favors the dollar, with the Fed remaining cautious on rate cuts, and the ECB, despite a recent rate cut, facing weak growth and declining inflation. A drop below 1.0800 could accelerate losses, while a recovery above 1.0875 would be the first positive signal.
Expectations for Further Gains Amid Lower Interest RatesGold prices are currently in an uptrend and have broken through the $2,730 resistance level, heading higher. The technical chart shows that the price is continuing to maintain its upward momentum within the price channel, with the 34-day EMA and 89-day EMA supporting below. However, after hitting $2,740/ounce, the price has corrected to $2,720 due to a stronger USD and profit-taking.
News from China about the PBoC cutting interest rates is an important factor driving the gold market. Meanwhile, the Fed is expected to cut interest rates in November, creating expectations that gold prices will continue to rise in the long term, although there may still be short-term corrections when major central banks cut interest rates.
PayPal (PYPL): Elliott Wave update - final target in sightSince our entry in PayPal, the stock has performed exceptionally well, respecting the Elliott wave structure and currently providing us with a return of over 35%. This price action demonstrates how effectively PayPal follows the Elliott wave count, reinforcing our bullish outlook.
We have now set our stop loss at break even, allowing us to safeguard our gains while continuing to benefit from potential upward movement. During the recent wave (4), we chose not to enter, but it's important to note that the price respected the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level precisely, indicating a strong likelihood that similar levels will be respected in future corrections.
PayPal is currently advancing through wave (5), and we anticipate this wave to conclude soon. Our target for the larger wave (iii) stands at $81, with wave (5) potentially reaching up to $84. However, there is a possibility that wave (5) may conclude before reaching the wave (iii) target. Therefore, we will closely monitor the situation, keeping our alerts ready to react as needed.
Once PayPal moves into the $81 target area, we will look to secure additional profits. Should the price action align with our projections, we will consider re-entering at wave (iv) for further opportunities. Until then, we let our position continue running.
TRIANGLE PATTERNS 101The triangle pattern is one of the most common yet least reliable formations in trading. It occurs during periods of price consolidation or reversals, representing a narrowing trading range defined by two converging trend lines. For a trendline to be established, at least two touches are required.
Consequently, a complete triangle typically consists of a minimum of four touches—two for each trendline. However, in practice, triangles tend to be more reliable when there are three or more touches on each line. In essence, the greater the number of touches, the stronger the lines become. The more frequently the price interacts with these lines, the higher the likelihood that they will serve as significant support and resistance zones, thereby resulting in a more powerful breakout.
There are two main types of triangles: symmetrical and ascending/descending. Let's explore both of these patterns in more detail.
📍 Symmetrical Triangles
A symmetrical triangle is formed by two or more trends combined with price movements, characterized by each successive high being lower and each low being higher than the previous ones. Unlike an extension, where trend lines diverge, the lines connecting the peaks and troughs in a symmetrical triangle converge.
These triangular patterns are often referred to as “springs” because, as they develop, price fluctuations tend to calm down and trading volumes decrease. When the triangle is finally broken, the price can shoot out sharply—much like a tightly compressed spring releasing its tension. This breakdown occurs as the price breaks through the triangle with increased momentum.
The essence of the symmetrical triangle lies in its ability to balance the interests of buyers and sellers during its formation. When a breakout occurs, trading volume typically surges, signaling that one side has gained the upper hand in terms of price direction.
While most patterns provide fairly clear indicators of potential breakout directions, the symmetrical triangle encourages a bit of speculation. The prevailing trend remains dominant until it is definitively proven otherwise, leading to the assumption that the breakout will likely align with the main trend.
Hints of a reversal — a breakout in the opposite direction might emerge if the price moves too far in either direction. Additionally, it's prudent to observe other assets; if they are breaking in a new direction, it could signal a potential shift. Generally, a reversal is more probable if the symmetrical triangle forms after a strong trend and remains intact for an extended period. However, in the absence of these signs, the default assumption should be that the primary trend will continue.
📍 The Psychology Behind Triangles in Trading
A triangle formation in trading represents an escalating battle between buyers and sellers. It begins with a strong price movement on the left side of the pattern, reflecting volatility and uncertainty in both camps. As the price climbs to the apex of the triangle, buyers initially lose their enthusiasm while sellers start to take action. Subsequently, the price retracts, attracting those who missed out on the earlier surge and are determined to capitalize on this opportunity.
At this juncture, sellers grow weary, and the price begins to rise again, though not as dramatically. This moderate increase confuses buyers once more. Potential sellers, who may have regretted their missed opportunity to sell at higher prices, begin to set aside their greed and are willing to sell at lower levels. Ultimately, the price falls once again, bringing in new buyers.
However, with each cycle, the number of participants dwindles, leading to increasingly subdued price reactions. The initial excitement fades, and market participants become more cautious, waiting for stability and a normal balance to be established. As the triangle progresses, the boundaries between buyers and sellers draw closer, as neither side can assert its dominance.
Typically, when the price stalls at the top of the triangle, even a slight imbalance in supply and demand can trigger a significant price movement. In summary:
The more touchpoints there are within a triangle, the more substantial the price movement is likely to be after a breakout.
A strong indicator of breakout strength is the contrast between decreased volume during the triangle's compression and a sudden surge in volume upon breakout. The greater this difference, the more decisive the outcome and the stronger the trading signal.
📍 Identify The Price Target For The Triangle Breakout
To identify where the price might move after a triangle breakout, there is a traditional method you can use. First, draw a line parallel to the upper trendline, starting from the base of the triangle. This reference line will help identify the target zone the price is expected to reach, providing insight into potential future movements.
When analyzing a symmetrical triangle, the same approach applies. You can also apply this method at the lower trend line of the formation. This technique is versatile and can be useful in various consolidation patterns as well.
In the second example, you would measure the distance between the peak of the triangle and the subsequent low. This distance can then be projected from the breakout point to estimate the price's likely direction and target. By using these methods, we can gain a clearer understanding of potential price movements following a triangle breakout.
📍 Turning a Symmetrical Triangle into a Head and Shoulders Pattern
Triangles, particularly symmetrical triangles, are often viewed as less reliable price patterns in technical analysis. This is primarily due to their tendency to evolve into different formations entirely, making them challenging to interpret. For instance, what starts as a symmetrical triangle can eventually transform into a head and shoulders pattern, which may lead to a misleading breakout that doesn’t accurately predict subsequent price movements.
In a scenario where a triangle breakout appears promising, the price may undergo another movement that creates the contours of a sloping head and shoulders pattern. This transformation represents a significant shift in market sentiment and can lead to false expectations regarding future price behavior. Therefore, traders must be cautious and aware of this possibility, as it highlights the unpredictable nature of triangle patterns.
To mitigate the risk of being caught off guard by such deceptive formations, it's beneficial to apply a filtering technique. Focus on patterns where the price has interacted with the trendlines—either support or resistance—two or more times. More touches or approaches reinforce the validity of the trendlines, lending them greater significance as points of support or resistance. Consequently, when a breakout occurs from a well-established triangle, it is more likely to be strong and reliable.
📍 Ascending and Descending Triangles
A symmetrical triangle alone does not indicate the direction of a potential breakout, whereas an ascending or descending triangle does, due to the presence of sloping support and resistance lines.
As is the case with most patterns, a breakout from a triangle is typically followed by a pullback. If you missed the initial breakout, this pullback often presents a second opportunity to enter the trade, usually under calmer market conditions. If a pullback trendline can be identified, it enhances the breakout line as a favorable entry zone, reinforcing the validity of the breakout that has already occurred.
📍 Transforming Ascending and Descending Triangles into Rectangles
One challenge with these patterns is that many rectangles can initially appear similar to ascending and descending triangles. Consequently, it's important to exercise caution when analyzing these formations.
📍 When Ascending and Descending Triangles Fail
We’ve already observed that ascending and descending triangles can sometimes evolve into rectangles. Typically, there are two scenarios where this failure can occur.
The first scenario arises when the price breaks above the horizontal trendline, only to subsequently return and fall back through it. In the case of a false upward breakout, a closely situated false peak forms, allowing us to place a tight stop just below the trendline.
The second situation occurs when a descending triangle fails due to the breaking of the rising or falling trendline before the horizontal trendline is broken.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Alikze »» BTC | Bullish angle pattern | bullish channel - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Bullish angle pattern in the bullish channel And the pullback is broken into the swing
- According to the movement scenario predicted in the previous analysis , by forming an ascending diamond pattern, it managed to break the dynamic trigger and move towards the supply areas.
- It is currently moving in an ascending channel in the 8H time frame.
- With the formation of an ascending corner pattern, it is undergoing a temporary correction to the green box.
- Therefore, it can encounter support after correction in the green box area and continue its growth up to the supply range.
💎 In addition, if the correction is sharp, there will be a possibility of breaking the green box, up to the range of 62500.
💎 So, in case of zigzag correction in the green box area, it can meet the demand and touch the target of the supply area.
⚠️ In addition, if below the area of 62500 candles, the bullish scenario will be invalidated and should be re-examined and updated.⚠️
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MEXC:BTCUSDT
USD-CHF Will Keep Growing! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CHF is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair
Is making a bullish rebound
From the horizontal support
Of 0.8620 so we are
Bullish biased and we
Will be expecting a
Further move up
Buy!
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ETHEREUM BEARISH BIAS|SHORT|
✅ETHEREUM has retested a resistance level of 2,900$
And we are seeing a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a confirmation
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
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Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
GBP-USD Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-USD broke the key
Horizontal level of 1.3067
Which is now a resistance
Then made a retest and a
Pullback and is going
Down again now so we
Are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further move down
Sell!
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$SPX Today's closing price is importantHey traders! As shown on the chart, we are inside of my TS Contraction Pattern, we also have my elliott wave count.
If we close below 1st Validation level today, I'm going short.
Closing my short if we close above the invalidation level today or later on, so consider that as a stoploss
Alikze »» GALA | Wave 3 or C scenario - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or 3 scenario in the ascending channel
- In the 8H frame, it is moving in an ascending channel.
- So far, a movement cycle AB=CD within the ascending channel has grown to the size of 0.78 fibo.
- After that, it had a corrective cycle up to the green box range, which has met with demand again.
- Currently, it is in the middle of the channel, which can continue its growth by breaking it up to the limit of the first supply area (the ceiling of the channel).
💎 After that, if it has a soft and zigzag correction, it can continue its growth with a bullback to the broken structure (minor ceiling) in the ascending channel until the second supply area as wide as the first channel.
⚠️Note: In addition, if the current price enters the corrective phase and touches the Invalidation LVL area, the bullish scenario is invalidated and must be reviewed and updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:GALAUSDT
After Record Highs, Is Gold Primed for a Short-Term Correction?Since Tuesday, after OANDA:XAUUSD completed a brief correction following the previous week’s rally, the price has surged approximately 1000 pips from its low to high.
During the Asian session last night, Gold hit yet another all-time high, though it’s now experiencing a minor pullback.
While the overall trend remains strongly bullish, a correction from this level is not out of the question.
The price could potentially retest the support zone formed by the previous all-time high around 2685-2690.
A confirmation of this correction would come if the price clears Friday’s close, and in that case, the recent ATH could act as short-term resistance.
Aggressive traders may look to take advantage of this correction, while swing traders might prefer to wait for the correction to complete and then rejoin the dominant uptrend at more favorable prices.
GOLD is fully supported with a low data trading weekDue to escalating tensions in the Middle East, uncertainty about the US election and expectations of looser monetary policy, OANDA:XAUUSD surged up and created new all-time record highs.
The market will still focus on increasing geopolitical tensions after Israel announced the killing of Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar. Sinwar was the mastermind of the Hamas attack on southern Israel that sparked the year-long Gaza war.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Israel will continue to fight until all hostages captured by Hamas last year are released, while US President Joe Biden said it is time for the war to end.
During times of geopolitical and economic instability, investors often turn to gold as a safe haven asset. Rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East have prompted investors to seek safe-haven assets such as gold, due to risk aversion and concerns about instability in global markets.
On the monetary policy front, the European Central Bank could cut interest rates again in December. According to CME Group's FedWatch Tool, traders also see a 90.4% chance of a Fed rate cut. interest rate in November. Since gold does not yield interest, a rate cut could reduce the opportunity cost of investing in gold and increase its appeal.
This week, the People's Bank of China will announce its decision on interest rates. In September this year, the People's Bank of China kept the one-year prime lending rate (LPR) and five-year LPR unchanged at 3.35% and 3.85%, respectively. The larger LPR cut should be seen as an impetus to push gold prices even higher early next week.
S&P Global will release the preliminary value of the US Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October next Thursday. If the PMI unexpectedly falls below 50, indicating a contraction in private sector business activity, the short-term reaction could pressure the dollar and push up gold prices. On the other hand, a positive surprise could support the dollar.
The market reaction to the PMI data was not large enough to have a lasting impact on gold prices.
In general, this week will be a week with quite a bit of economic data, but with the current basic picture, gold will still be focused on due to escalating geopolitical developments. Readers also need to pay attention. add other threats of conflict from China - Taiwan, North Korea - South Korea,... in addition to the Middle East region, which already has too many potential risks.
Economic data to watch out for this week
Monday: IMF meeting begins
Tuesday: BRICS summit begins in Russia
Wednesday: Bank of Canada monetary policy meeting, US existing home sales
Thursday: Weekly unemployment claims; S&P Global Manufacturing and Services PMI Survey; US new home sales
Friday: US durable goods orders
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
As we have sent to readers throughout the publications, the gold price still has an overall bullish technical structure on the daily chart. Currently, gold closed above the 0.786% Fibonacci extension level and this is necessary for it to continue towards the next target of about 2,741 USD price point of the 1% Fibonacci level.
With the trend from the price channel in the short, medium and long term, gold is in an upward trend, combined with a strong upward momentum when the Relative Strength Index (RSI) points up with a significant slope. There is no sign of a break from the overbought level, a signal that the bullish momentum continues ahead.
However, the level of 2,741USD is also the closest current resistance for expectations of a short-term correction because it is also the confluence position of the edge on the price channel with the 1% Fibonacci extension level, correction price drops. Corrections are not considered trends, they only have a short-term impact.
Finally, the main technical outlook for gold prices is bullish, the notable points will be listed again as follows.
Support: 2,711 – 2,700 – 2,688USD
Resistance: 2,741USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2741 - 2739⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2745
→Take Profit 1 2634
↨
→Take Profit 2 2629
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2699 - 2701⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2695
→Take Profit 1 2706
↨
→Take Profit 2 2711
NVDA 4 HR Update Breaking $141-$145 in Sight, Momentum for $155Good morning, trading fam! Just a quick NVDA update for you:
We’re breaking through that $141 resistance. If we get past $145, it could be a good spot to lock in some profits. Might see a pullback around $147-$149, but if the momentum stays strong, $155 could be on deck. Let’s see how it plays out!
Trade what you see
Mindbloome Trading
Kris
NASDAQ can explode to 25000 if the 1D MA50 keeps supporting.Nasdaq (NDX) appears to be coming off yet another short-term consolidation (ellipse pattern), the kind of accumulation it is accustomed to while trading within its 2-year Channel Up.
As we have established in previous analyses, the index is on its 3rd Bullish Leg of this pattern following the August 05 bottom (Higher Low) on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). When the same consolidation took place in the previous two Bullish Legs, the index remained supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and went off to complete a rise of +49.50% and +47.80% respectively. The 1D RSI fractals of all those sequences, also display amazing symmetry.
If the rallies are on a decelerating rate, we can expect the next one to hit at least 25000 (+45.50% from the Aug bottom). As you can see, the Higher Highs of the Channel Up tend to form after the Sine Wave tops, while the bottoms are exactly on point.
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GOLD: Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Welcome to our daily GOLD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 2,750.273$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
SILVER: Market Is Looking Down! Sell!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 33.37762$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
DXY: Move Down Expected! Sell!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 103.586
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!