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UsdJpy could drop 1000 pipsIn my previous post about USD/JPY, I highlighted the potential for JPY strengthening due to repatriation, referencing similar trends observed last year and usually in December After reaching a high near 157, USD/JPY began to decline and is now testing the critical 150 level. At this point, a technical rebound is possible, but I view it as a selling opportunity. My belief is that repatriation is still in its early stages, and JPY has significant potential for further appreciation. The 153-154 zone appears to be an ideal area to look for selling opportunities. With a stop placed above the recent high and a target near the 141 support level, a 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio could potentially be achieved.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
6
Traps Of Technical Analysis: Navigating The Pitfalls For SuccessTechnical and fundamental analyses are cornerstones for understanding how financial markets operate. While technical analysis focuses heavily on graphical representations and past price data, it can lead to significant pitfalls—especially when employed thoughtlessly. This post explores common traps that novice traders often fall into. 1. Indicator Overload One of the most prevalent mistakes among beginning traders is the overwhelming reliance on too many indicators. The assumption that a greater number of indicators equates to improved accuracy is misguided. In fact, indicators can produce conflicting signals, creating confusion rather than clarity. Many indicators are designed to promote services or websites rather than provide genuine analytical insights. While a handful of fundamental tools can effectively cover most statistical needs, attempting to integrate 20 different indicators into a single chart is unnecessary and counterproductive. Instead, combining a varied set—such as moving averages, oscillators, support and resistance levels, and chart patterns—can yield more meaningful results. 2. Overlooking Fundamental Analysis Ignoring fundamental analysis can skew a trader's understanding of market dynamics. Historical signals based on technical indicators may have been influenced by news events, leading to potentially misleading conclusions. To establish a clear picture, traders should focus on less turbulent timeframes, like the H1, and select periods of low market activity to minimize external influences. Understanding the impact of macroeconomic factors and market makers can significantly enhance the reliability of technical analysis. 3. Misinterpreting Historical Data Traders often rely on backtesting strategies against historical data, but this approach can be risky. Past performance does not guarantee future results, especially in real trading environments. While testing strategies is essential, time-consuming optimization can be a poor use of resources. Due to varying quote suppliers among brokers, discrepancies of just a few points can drastically alter outcomes. Many experts suggest improving trader’s instincts by practicing on demo accounts as a more productive alternative to exhaustive backtesting. 4. False Breakouts False breakouts frequently occur in strategies that depend on channel trading or trend line breakouts. These incidences often arise when market participants react counter to the prevailing trend. For instance, a price surge that surpasses a resistance level may provoke profit-taking from certain traders, potentially reversing the trend. A nuanced understanding of the market's fundamental basis—such as in crypto markets, where large fund involvement can bolster price movements—can help traders evade premature entries. It’s advisable to remain cautious and wait for confirmation through additional price action before acting on a breakout signal. 5. Ignoring Instrument-Specific Characteristics Each trading instrument has unique characteristics that influence its behavior, such as volatility and trading volume. Conducting analyses without accounting for these differences can lead to misguided strategies. For example, cryptocurrencies often exhibit daily fluctuations of 10%, while indices may show changes closer to 2%. Hence, applying identical settings across diverse assets is inappropriate. Understanding the contextual drivers—for example, industry legislation or technological advancements—can illuminate the vulnerabilities of trading strategies. 6. Psychological Traps The mental aspect of trading is often underestimated, with traders falling prey to cognitive biases such as wishful thinking. A signal may appear strong due to emotional fatigue or the desire to recoup losses, yet that doesn’t validate its authenticity. Traders must strive to remain objective and grounded, conducting thorough analyses and verifying signals against fundamental factors rather than succumbing to emotional impulses. 7. Neglecting Timeframe Analysis Focusing solely on a single timeframe, such as H1, can result in missed opportunities and significant oversights. Many traders disregard other timeframes, such as daily and weekly charts, which can provide crucial context to ongoing trends. An upward trend on the daily chart should ideally reflect in multiple candlesticks on the smaller H4 timeframe. A comprehensive analysis of various timeframes can offer a more rounded view and aid in making informed trading decisions. 📍 Conclusion Despite meticulous efforts to master technical analysis, errors and pitfalls are inevitable. Acknowledging these traps and actively mitigating their impact is critical in successful trading. Furthermore, incorporating robust risk management techniques and fostering emotional resilience will enhance a trader's journey. Each mistake serves as a valuable learning opportunity, paving the way for continuous growth and adaptation in trading financial markets. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
3
The focus of the gold market recentlyThe focus of the gold market recently has been developments in the United States after Donald Trump won the 2024 presidential election. In a short period of time, the future cabinet list was announced with all candidates. is considered to have impressive achievements. In addition, Mr. Donald Trump pledged to sharply increase taxes on America's three largest trading partners, including Canada, Mexico and China. Economists say Mr. Trump's overall tariff plans could be the most damaging economic policy, causing inflation and reorganizing global supply chains. According to experts, the short-term gold market is difficult to predict. However, fluctuations in gold prices create buying opportunities for investors. Regarding the medium-term trend, Colin Cieszynski, expert at SIA Wealth Management, believes that the support price of 2,600 USD/ounce of gold will still be maintained and will tend to increase from there. Gold's resistance level is 2,690-2,720 USD/ounce. The gold market is unlikely to have a strong breakthrough in the near future. 🔥 GOLD BUY 2627 - 2625🔥 💵 TP1: 2640 💵 TP2: 2650 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2618
TVC:GOLDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
The short-term gold market is difficult to predictLast week, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure was the newly announced personal consumption expenditure index (PCE). PCE increased 2.8% over the past 12 months, higher than expected. The US central bank indicated in its latest meeting minutes that higher-than-expected inflation could force it to adjust the pace of its easing cycle. The market still predicts the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December and will continue cutting until early 2025. In addition to Trump's social media posts, markets will focus on key economic data this week such as jobs data. If the employment situation is not as expected, gold prices may increase again. A stronger labor market could make an interest rate cut unlikely this month. Investors who record profits can rest assured. In the long term, market sentiment is quite optimistic. Many analysts believe that gold price will reach 3,000 USD/ounce next year. 🔥 XAUUSD BUY 2627 - 2625🔥 💵 TP1: 2640 💵 TP2: 2650 💵 TP3: OPEN 🚫 SL: 2618
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by FalCol_TradingMaster
Alikze »» ZK | Ascending Channel - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: The scenario of wave 3 or C super cycles in the ascending channel - 1D - It is moving in an ascending channel in the daily time frame. - According to the momentum and bullish guard, it is currently in the middle of the channel, which can continue its rise up to the range of the supply zone if the price breaks 0.1465. - In addition, if it faces a correction in the middle of the channel, it can face demand again in the golden zone if it returns and continue the upward trend up to the ceiling of the channel and the supply range. 💎 Alternative scenario : In addition, if it faces selling pressure in the area of ​​0.1465 and the correction occurs quickly, the golden area is probably broken and the correction can continue until the OB area. 💎 Possible scenario: Therefore, if the correction occurs in a zigzag fashion, it will have the ability to grow up to the specified areas and the bullish scenario can be more likely. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« BINANCE:ZKUSDT
Long
by alikze
MANTA 1D. Accumulation Ends. 12/02/24Previously, the price spent considerable time in an accumulation phase. After finding a bottom at $0.583, an upward trend began to form. Currently, the price is testing a resistance level, attempting to break through and consolidate, which could indicate a continuation of the uptrend. Although unsuccessful so far, it seems to be only a matter of time. In the short term, a slight pullback is expected, followed by, in my opinion, continued growth. Entry Plan (EP): $1.05 - $0.95 Take Profit (TP): $1.535 $1.869 $2.222 Stop Loss (SL): $0.747 For spot positions: no stop-loss recommended. DYOR.
Long
by trendbooster
Alikze »» XRP | Wave 3 or C bullish scenario - 1D🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C bullish scenario - 1D - Ripple is moving in an ascending channel in the weekly time frame. According to the current momentum, it can touch the range of 93 cents in the first step, which is an important supply area. - Before hitting the supply area, he can break the roof of the channel and after hitting the supply area, he can have a correction or pullback to the broken channel roof. - According to the previous structure that had a zigzag modification; It currently has a zigzag reversal to the upside, which could touch the targets indicated on the chart. ⚠️ In addition, according to the current structure, the price should not enter the Invalidation LVL range, in which case it should be reviewed and updated again.⚠️ »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support. Best Regards,❤️ Alikze. »»»«««»»»«««»»»««« OKX:XRPUSDT
Long
by alikze
4
#SOL 4H: EXPECTING A LOCAL CORRECTION. 12/01/24Currently, the price is moving sideways and remains under a descending trendline that acts as resistance. If this trend persists, I anticipate a slight breakout upward followed by a correction to the $222-$218 range. This area could be ideal for considering a futures position or cautious spot accumulation, with near-term targets of $260-$290. #SOL is definitely a must-have in your portfolio. My minimum expectations for #SOL are $300-$400. Everything is illustrated on the chart. DYOR.
Short
by trendbooster
DXY Is Bullish! Buy! Take a look at our analysis for DXY. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 105.777. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 108.336 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TVC:DXYLong
by SignalProvider
1
AUDNZD Is Very Bullish! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDNZD. Time Frame: 8h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.100. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.104 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [Dec 02 - Dec 06]This week, international OANDA:XAUUSD fell quite sharply from 2,721 USD/oz to 2,605 USD/oz, then increased slightly and closed the week at 2,650 USD/oz. The reason why gold prices dropped sharply in the early sessions of this week was because President-elect Donald Trump nominated Mr. Scott Bessent, a traditional Wall Street financier, to hold the position of the US Treasury. The market expects Mr. Bessent to contribute to stabilizing the US economy and increasing the strength of the USD. Besides, a ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon, announced earlier this week, also eased worries about geopolitical tensions, reducing the appeal of gold as a safe haven. In particular, Mr. Trump threatened to impose a 25% tax on Mexican and Canadian goods imported into the US and proposed imposing a 10% tax on all products from China, also increasing concerns about a tariff war. , causing the FED to delay reducing interest rates, or even increase interest rates again. In addition, the US Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) in November still increased by 2.8% over the same period last year, higher than forecast and much higher than the FED's target of 2%. This may make the FED more cautious in continuing to cut interest rates in the short term. Many people believe that the gold market will have some unpredictable fluctuations in the near future as it continuously reacts to Mr. Trump's comments before his inauguration. In the short term, gold prices next week will continue to be dominated by statements posted on social networks by Mr. Trump. In addition, the market will focus on important US economic data, such as manufacturing and service PMI index; Employment indexes: ADP, NFP, unemployment rate... If US employment figures, especially NFP, increase stronger than expected, it may cause the FED to delay cutting interest rates at the December meeting. coming, causing gold prices to come under pressure to adjust next week. On the contrary, if US employment figures continue to decline sharply, it will cause the FED to continue cutting interest rates, thereby positively supporting gold prices next week. 📌Technically, on the H4 chart, gold price may still fluctuate between 2,500 - 2,750 USD/oz. Notable technical levels are listed below. Support: 2,600 – 2,606 – 2,634USD Resistance: 2,693 – 2,663USD SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2751 - 2749⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2755 BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2539 - 2541⚡️ ↠↠ Stoploss 2535
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Xayah_trading