EURUSD: Short to medium term perspectiveHello everyone!
EUR/USD extends its gains for the third consecutive day, trading around 1.0430 during the Asian session on Monday, showing no signs of slowing down. The pair's upward momentum is likely driven by comments from European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council member Robert Holzmann.
The next resistance levels to watch are 1.0445, followed by 1.0500 and 1.0530.
Signals
GOLD NEXT MOVE (expecting a bearish move) (30-12-2024)Go through the analysis carefully and do trade accordingly.
XAU/USD Analysis - December 30, 2024
Current Price: $2626
"If the price remains below $2642, the next targets are $2612, $2589, and there is a possibility of staying above $2550."
- POSSIBILITY 1:
Wait (as geopolitical tensions are worsening)
- POSSIBILITY 2:
Wait (as geopolitical tensions are worsening)
Best of Luck!
Always remember: Never risk more than 1% of your capital on any trade.
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Lingrid | Gold Weekly Market Outlook: Ongoing ConsolidationOANDA:XAUUSD market spent another week in the consolidation zone, oscillating between key levels before bouncing off 2630 and pulling back. During the holiday-shortened week, trading volume was naturally reduced, and the market is now testing a crucial support level. The current market structure suggests a slightly bearish sentiment, particularly after breaking and closing below the previous higher low at 2605 last week.
On the weekly timeframe, price action formed another doji candle, suggesting a potential breakout from either its high or low next week. Price continues to trade within the previous week's range between 2585 and 2665. The final monthly candle of 2024 may close as a bearish candle with a long tail, indicating the possibility of a deeper pullback.
With relatively few high-impact news next week, the market is likely to continue moving sideways for the next couple of weeks. We can expect increased market noise until we see a clear trend. However, if price breaks below the previous support at 2585, the price may drop to 2500. While the long-term uptrend remains intact, the market appears poised for a continued pullback in the short term.
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DOGEUSD Don't let this consolidation discourage you.Dogecoin (DOGEUSD) has been trading sideways for the past 10 days, ever since the December 20 Low, following the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) bearish break-out from the December 08 High. That was a -45% decline and naturally the current inability to reclaim those levels has many investors worried.
Technically however, this is nothing more than a standard Accumulation Phase, where investors tend to take their time and buy DOGE below the 1D MA50 following a rally's correction. During this Bull Cycle, we have already seen two such phases and the one most common to the current one is the one exactly one year ago following the December 10 2023 High.
As you can see both of those Highs were formed after a 1D Golden Cross. The January - February 2024 Accumulation Phase took place also after the 1D RSI bottomed on the 34.00 level. After this 2-month consolidation, the price started the Parabolic Rally sequence that peaked on the 3.0 Fibonacci extension.
If the pattern continues to be repeated, we are looking at a $1.500 Target at least by March - April 2025.
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Retracement will be deeper but what pattern will trigger it?Greetings everybody,
So, our H&S behaves well by far, but now the degree of uncertainty is raising. As you could see on the chart downside action is slowing. What is it? Thin Xmas market or the bearish pressure is becoming weaker?
Long-term charts - monthly, weekly show that deeper retracement has high chances to happen in nearest 1-2 months. The problem is, it is difficult to estimate what particular pattern will trigger it. If market will keep going lower - it could be our H&S.
But what if we will get the different one instead? Something like this on daily:
That's why, if you have shorts - you could keep it, just manage your stops. But for now we take the pause with the new shorts. We do not consider longs as well, because the major context is down. Hopefully after NY we will get more clarity on this subject.
Lingrid | BITCOIN complex PULLBACK in the MARKETBINANCE:BTCUSDT is forming a complex ABCD pullback. The price continues to stay below the key level of $100,000, and it has created a range zone with equal lows. Notably, there is a structure shelf around $91,000, where the price has consistently bounced back. On the weekly timeframe, we've seen a bearish long-tailed bar, suggesting that the price may retest $85,000. At the start of 2025, we might experience some market shakeouts, so I expect a deeper pullback before rebounding off the support level, potentially taking liquidity below the structure support. My goal is resistance zone around 98,000
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Gold Price Consolidates Near $2,620The gold price (XAU/USD) is in a consolidation phase around $2,620.00, showing a recovery session from previous declines, although trading volumes remain light due to the upcoming New Year holiday.
On the support side, key levels are found at the exponential moving averages ($2,625 and $2,630), with a risk of further bearish pressure if these levels are breached, potentially driving the price toward the monthly low of $2,580. Uncertainties tied to the economic policies of the incoming Trump administration and the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance on rate cuts for 2025 represent a mix of potential bullish and bearish catalysts. The precious metal could benefit from safe-haven demand in the context of escalating geopolitical tensions, such as the Russia-Ukraine conflict and ongoing unrest in the Middle East, which continue to fuel risk aversion sentiment.
Gold closed 2024 with a 27% gain, driven by central bank purchases, geopolitical tensions, and accommodative monetary policies. However, the strengthening dollar and higher U.S. Treasury yields have capped further advances. The Dollar Index (DXY) remains near its highs, but the decline in 2- and 10-year Treasury yields could support the metal despite the outlook for more limited rate cuts in the coming year.
Gold → A Buying Opportunity or a Market Trap?OANDA:XAUUSD continuing to bring hope for buyers, trading inside the local upward channel resembles a flag on the backdrop of a local downtrend.
In the medium term, the dollar needs to be reassessed in the context of the Fed remaining supportive. This raises the question: What will happen to interest rates? Hold steady or increase? It must be understood that as Donald Trump prepares to return to the White House in January, the market will closely monitor U.S. economic data to forecast how the Federal Reserve will respond to anticipated inflationary pressures from administration policies, including tariffs, deregulation, and tax reform.
The focus remains on U.S. jobless claims data. Economists polled by Reuters forecast around 224,000 claims for the week ending December 21, up from 220,000 claims in the week ending December 14. If jobless claims figures rise significantly, this will put pressure on the USD, and the gold market may start trading with a slightly positive trend. And vice versa. However, Ben does not talk about growth based on these numbers. Theoretically, as prices approach strong resistance levels, selling pressure seems stronger. Be careful!
From a technical perspective, the price has the potential to rebound from any nearby strong level, which could lead to a subsequent decline. A key level to watch is 2620. If the bears manage to break this level and maintain their position below it, the overall selling pressure may intensify, likely resulting in a further price drop. The anticipated decline is expected to reach the range of 2,605–2,600 before setting up for any additional downward moves.
Best regards,Bentradegold!
Wishing everyone a joyful holiday season and a productive New Year 2025!
AUD-USD Risky Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-USD is trading in a
A strong downtrend but
The pair will soon hit a
Horizontal support level
Of 0.6166 so despite
Our bearish bias we will
Be expecting a local
Bullish rebound
Buy!
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TRADING WISDOM: 10 KEYS TO SUCCESS IN 2025As we approach 2025, we find ourselves in a dynamic trading landscape, shaped by shifting geopolitical and economic forces. To thrive in this rapidly evolving environment, we need more than just a solid grasp of technical analysis; we must cultivate our mental toughness, sharpen our strategic acumen, and remain adaptable. Whether you’re a beginner or a breakeven trader still searching for consistency, the lessons ahead will empower you to overcome obstacles. Let’s not repeat the mistakes of 2024; instead, let’s embrace new approaches and seize the opportunities that 2025 has to offer. Transform challenges into triumphs and pave the way for a successful trading journey!
📍 1. Let Go of Loyalty
In personal relationships, loyalty is a virtue, but in the realm of trading, it can be a double-edged sword. The ability to make unbiased decisions is paramount. Holding onto losing positions out of a sense of loyalty only amplifies your losses and bogs you down in missed opportunities. Cultivate the discipline to exit underperforming trades swiftly and without hesitation. Instead of clinging to past mistakes, turn your energy toward identifying and seizing new trading opportunities. Remember, every moment spent nurturing a losing trade is a moment lost to potential wins.
📍 2. Avoid Absolute Predictions
Be cautious with absolute statements regarding market trends, such as “I am certain the BINANCE:BTCUSDT will hit 100,000 next week.” Such declarations not only set you up for disappointment but can also trap you into thinking in rigid terms. Markets are influenced by myriad factors, and expecting them to adhere to a specific trajectory can blind you to changing conditions. Instead, focus on probabilities and possibilities—use terms like "it’s likely" or "there's a possibility" to frame your analysis. This flexible mindset allows you to remain adaptable in the face of uncertainty.
📍 3. Look for Psychological Triggers
While technical indicators provide valuable insights, they should not be the sole basis for your trading decisions. Seek out additional psychological triggers that can offer deeper market context. A breakout from a significant resistance level, a sudden price spike, or the emergence of a recognizable pattern can all serve as pivotal signals. Understanding the collective psychology of market participants will enhance your ability to make informed decisions, as similar actions by the majority often reinforce market moves.
📍 4. Focus on Experience, Not Money
It's common for novice traders to fixate on the question, “How much money can I make?” This dollar-centric mindset can cloud your judgment and lead to reckless trading. Rather than measuring success by monetary gains, prioritize the development of your trading skills and market understanding. With time and experience, profits will naturally follow. Aim to absorb and interpret the market's signals intuitively; the rewards will come as a byproduct of your enhanced capabilities.
📍 5. Quality Over Quantity
Adopt Pareto's principle: "20% of your efforts yield 80% of your results." In trading, this translates to recognizing that quality signals are often rare. Spending excessive time analyzing charts can lead to analysis paralysis and poor outcomes. Instead of chasing after every minor fluctuation, exercise patience. Focus on identifying high-probability setups that align with your trading strategy. It’s better to wait for a handful of quality trades than to engage in rash actions that dilute your effectiveness.
📍 6. Embrace Boredom
The cinematic portrayal of trading as a nonstop adrenaline rush often veils the reality: trading can be a rather tedious endeavor. Genuine trading strategies often yield signals only a few times a week or even monthly. Emotional trading born from boredom can lead to hasty decisions and losses. Develop a comfortable discipline that allows you to wait for clear signals without the urgency to act. This patience reflects a professional mindset, where the quality of trades trumps the quantity.
📍 7. Prioritize High-Quality Trades
While backtesting can highlight the frequency of profitable trades, it’s crucial to remember that your objective is to focus on high-quality trade setups rather than merely increasing the number of trades. It’s completely acceptable for a few trades to end in losses, provided that your profitable trades yield sufficient gains to cover these losses and then some. Concentrate on refining your strategy to ensure a favorable profit-to-loss ratio over the long term, which is far more important than achieving a high win rate.
📍 8. Maximize Your Profits
Your overarching aim is to extract maximum value from each trade. A common misconception among novice traders is that increasing the number of trades will lead to greater profits; however, this approach often results in chaos. Rather than getting swept up in the trading frenzy, focus on identifying strong trends backed by solid fundamentals. Utilize protective measures like trailing stops to safeguard your profits and avoid premature exits. By squeezing the most out of each trade, you ensure that your winning trades significantly outweigh your losses.
📍 9. Understand Risk Management Holistically
The saying "risk 2% per trade" can be misleading if taken literally. The real impact of risk varies greatly depending on your account balance and leverage. For instance, a 2% risk on a $1,000 account may seem trivial, but with leverage, that percentage could balloon into a sum that feels much more significant. As you formulate your risk management strategy, consider both the percentage and the actual dollar amount at stake. Understanding the emotional impact of potential losses is essential for maintaining composure during turbulent market conditions.
📍 10. Reject Hope as a Strategy
Hope should never be your trading strategy. Relying on the hope that a market reversal will occur or that your latest trade will succeed fosters a dangerous mindset. Effective trading requires strategic calculation, adherence to specific methodologies, and emotional detachment. Approach each trade with a clear plan and execute it consistently, leaving no room for wishful thinking.
📍 Conclusion
The foundation of successful trading lies in a blend of experience, knowledge, intuition, and swift decision-making. Profitability is a natural byproduct of mastering these elements, coupled with a healthy approach to risk management and emotional control. As you work to reinforce these principles, you will sharpen your trading acumen and position yourself for lasting success in the dynamic trading environment of 2025 and beyond. Embrace your potential, cultivate your skills, and watch as opportunities unfold before you.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
GBPCAD Will Grow! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPCAD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.811.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.834 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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CHF-JPY Will Fall! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CHF-JPY is already making
A local bearish pullback
From the horizontal resistance
Of 176.000 level so we are
Locally bearish biased and
We will be expecting
A local bearish correction
Sell!
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Lingrid | WIFUSDT a chance to BUY the Pullback The price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target zone. BINANCE:WIFUSDT has pulled back significantly from $4.00 level, showing a 65% correction. The price is currently testing the support zone below $2.00 and the boundary of the channel. Given this steep correction, I believe it may be a great opportunity to buy. I expect the market to rise after bouncing off the support level and channel boundary. My goal is resistance zone around $3.00
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ETHUSD Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for ETHUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 3,346.7.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 3,667.7 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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AUDJPY Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 98.074.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 96.232.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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