SILVER: Local Correction Ahead! Buy!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 32.05657$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Signals
GOLD: Strong Bearish Bias! Sell!
Welcome to our daily GOLD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 2,661.469$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
GOLD reaches price increase target, outlook remains positiveUS inflation data reinforces the prospect of an interest rate cut next month. Gold prices rose more than 1% in the weekend's trading session, while safe-haven demand triggered by rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
The U.S. Department of Labor reported Friday that the Producer Price Index (PPI), a measure of wholesale prices, was unchanged in September, suggesting the inflation outlook remains favorable and supporting the view that the U.S. Department of Labor The Federal Reserve will cut interest rates again next month.
The report showed that US PPI increased 0% month-on-month in September, lower than the expected 0.1%, the previous value was a 0.20% increase.
Commerzbank reported that gold ETF holdings increased by nearly 95 tons in the third quarter, meaning ETFs once again contributed positively to gold demand for the first time in 10 quarters.
This week, the market will focus on US retail sales data to determine whether consumer spending will continue to be strong.
In addition, the European Central Bank's monetary policy decisions are also the focus of market attention. Traders will need to keep an eye on (Empire State Manufacturing Survey; US Weekly Jobless Claims and Philly Fed Manufacturing Survey, as well as data on building permits and construction starts US housing on Friday.)
In summary, although the gold market may experience volatility in the short term, in the long term, the safe haven asset gold is still the main factor supporting price increases.
Including the recent reduction of interest rates by the Federal Reserve, attracting investors to choose gold as a haven, combined with the widespread war in the Middle East, has further boosted gold prices, because gold is considered an investment channel. safety, especially during difficult times. geopolitical conflict.
Going back a bit in history, in 1979, during the Soviet conflict in Afghanistan, the value of gold more than doubled during that period.
If Israel carries out retaliatory attacks against Iran, the gold price has absolutely enough basis to continue to surge even stronger. Previously, on October 1, Tehran fired about 180 missiles at Israel in retaliation for Israel's killing of Hamas and Hezbollah leaders.
Economic data to watch next week
Tuesday: Empire State Manufacturing Survey
Thursday: European Central Bank monetary policy decision, US retail sales, US weekly jobless claims: Philly Fed manufacturing survey.
Friday: Housing construction starts and construction permits in the United States
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
During the weekend trading session, gold achieved the target increase in the weekly issue sent to readers last week and the upward momentum was temporarily limited by the technical level of 2,660 USD.
If gold breaks above 2,660 USD, it will be eligible to continue to increase in price with the next target level after that at about 2,672 USD, more than 2,685 USD. Breaking the $2,660 level means that the price channel is also broken, while the Relative Strength Index pointing up with a significant slope reinforces the expectation of strong price increases in the near future.
As long as gold remains within the price channel and above the EMA21, the bullish outlook and the technical structure for the uptrend are unchanged, pullbacks should still only be considered short-term technical corrections.
In the coming time, the main prospective trend of gold is price increase and notable levels will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,634 – 2,630USD
Resistance: 2,660 – 2,672 – 2,685USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2690
→Take Profit 1 2679
↨
→Take Profit 2 2674
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2627 - 2629⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2623
→Take Profit 1 2634
↨
→Take Profit 2 2639
News that the Middle East cools down brings GOLDOANDA:XAUUSD adjusted downward again in the short term after recovering and achieving the upside price target around the technical point of 2,660USD on yesterday's trading day.
The Washington Post reported on Monday that Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told the Biden administration that he is ready to attack Iran's military facilities, but not its oil or nuclear facilities.
This can be seen as a sign of Israel's restraint in retaliating against Iran's missile attacks.
According to a report by "Jerusalem Post", sources revealed that Iran has contacted Israel through secret channels, saying that as long as Israel's response is limited, Iran will consider this round of conflict to have ended. .
These two pieces of news eased external concerns about the situation in the Middle East, thereby reducing the appeal of the safe-haven asset gold and causing the upward momentum to slow down, creating downward corrections in the future. short term.
Next, traders will need to monitor comments from Federal Reserve officials this week for further hints of an impending rate cut, as well as U.S. retail sales data.
The market still sees an 88.1% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points at its November meeting. Since gold does not earn interest, lower interest rates could reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold .
However, gold will react more strongly to "future" orientations. Therefore, it is possible that even if the Fed cuts another 25bps, it will not react strongly but will be influenced by Fed officials' comments on future direction, especially Jerome Powell.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold's recovery was limited after hitting target gains at $2,660. The area around the technical point of 2,660 USD has created pressure causing gold to correct downwards but it is also receiving support from the 2,634 – 2,630 USD area. Note to readers in the previous issue. Along with that, gold is also receiving support from the position of the EMA21.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, the main uptrend remains unchanged and the EMA21 level will still serve as the closest support for the uptrend.
Once gold breaks above $2,660 it will tend to continue rising with a subsequent target of around $2,672. The $2,660 – $2,672 levels form an area of resistance in the short term.
During the day, the technical outlook for gold remains bullish and notable levels are listed below.
Support: 2,634 – 2,630USD
Resistance: 2,660 – 2,672 – 2,685USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2690
→Take Profit 1 2679
↨
→Take Profit 2 2674
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2627 - 2629⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2623
→Take Profit 1 2634
↨
→Take Profit 2 2639
GOLD hits upside targets, temporarily capped by $2,672OANDA:XAUUSD continues to get stronger, reaching the short-term target level at 2,660USD and aiming for the next target levels at 2,672 - 2,685USD. Boosted by falling US Treasury yields, investors cautiously await more data that could provide a fresh assessment of the Federal Reserve's monetary easing cycle.
According to CME Group's FedWatch tool, traders now see about a 95.5% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in November.
Market attention will be focused on US retail sales data, industrial production data and weekly jobless claims data due out later this week.
Gold prices have risen more than 29% year-to-date, with optimism about interest rate cuts fueling recent gains. Gold prices are also supported by strong purchasing power from central banks and safe-haven demand amid ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and the Middle East.
The latest news from Israel, two Israeli officials said on October 15 local time that although Israel's attack on Iran is not expected to target nuclear facilities and oil facilities, it could including missile and drone launchers, Iranian warehouses and factories, military bases, government buildings and other targets.
Iran on October 1 launched a large number of ballistic missiles into Israel, attacking Israeli military and security targets in response to a series of previous Israeli attacks and assassinations.
In security consultations involving Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu, Defense Minister Galante and other ministers, a comprehensive agreement was reached on the course of action against Iran, timing and intensity a response is possible, but the details still require final Cabinet approval before the action can be taken.
Gold itself does not generate interest, but it has the potential to increase in price during times of geopolitical and economic instability.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has recovered and increased to achieve most short-term targets from 2,660 USD to close to the 2,672 USD area.
Temporarily, technically, the gold price is still limited by the level of 2,672 USD. However, maintaining above 2,660 USD will be a positive condition in the short term for the possibility of a technical price increase in the near future.
Once gold breaks $2,672 it will be on track to continue rising more with a target then around $2,685 or so making new all-time highs.
The relative strength index (RSI) is pointing up from 50 and is still far from the overbought level, showing that there is still room for price growth in terms of momentum.
As long as gold remains within the channel and above the EMA21, it still has a bullish technical outlook, and notable intraday levels are listed below.
Support: 2,660 – 2,643USD
Resistance: 2,672 – 2,685USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2686 - 2684⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2690
→Take Profit 1 2679
↨
→Take Profit 2 2674
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2642 - 2644⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2638
→Take Profit 1 2649
↨
→Take Profit 2 2654
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
GBPJPY Potential Trend ContinuationThe market is currently testing a key psychological support level at 193.000 after a period of consolidation following recent bullish momentum. If GBPJPY closes above the 194.000 level, it could indicate continued upward movement, setting the stage for a retest of the resistance zone above this level. Given the recent bullish sentiment, a clear break and close above 194.000 would likely signal further bullish moves, potentially pushing the price toward higher levels within the resistance zone. The target is the resistance at 194.500
XAUUSD Potential Up Trend ContinuationWith no high-impact news today, the market is likely to stay in sideways movement until tomorrow. However, sudden developments from the Middle East could introduce volatility, especially for gold. Currently, the market appears choppy, forming a triangle pattern. If the price moves below Friday's low, the triangle may evolve into a bullish flag pattern. Despite the sideways action, the market continues to show bullish signals from both technical and fundamental perspectives. The mid-term target is the resistance zone around 2685
EURUSD Possible further Drop after a small up correctionThe market broke through the 1.1000 round number following the negative NFP data for EURUSD, pushing the price below the September low. There's a strong possibility it could retest the next round number at 1.0900. The weekly candle reflects growing bearish momentum, and zooming out reveals that this level has historically acted as a key support multiple times. If the price is rejected at this resistance zone again, it could signal further bearish movement. The overall outlook remains bearish as long as the price stays below 1.1000. The target is the support level at 1.09050
BTCUSDT Potential Up trend continuationLast week, BTCUSDT bounced off resistance and dipped to retest the psychological support level at 60,000. After the retest, the price rebounded and broke above the 62,500 level, which had been tested and respected five times in the past. The recent bullish candle further underscores the strength of this level, breaking through it with momentum. On the daily timeframe, the formation of higher lows and higher closes indicates a bullish sentiment. If the support holds, there is a strong chance the price may retest the recent resistance zone. The target is the resistance zone around 65,500
NAS100USD Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for NAS100USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 20,224.4.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 19,881.5 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GOLD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2,679.580.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2,648.659.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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CHFJPY Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for CHFJPY.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 172.971.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 173.863 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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S&P500 If it holds this level, it can rise up to 6050.The S&P500 index (SPX) had a strong short-term pull-back yesterday, which is so far contained within the tight levels of a Channel Up pattern. The price is right at the bottom of it and if it holds, we can expect a strong rally continuation for the next 2 weeks, going into the U.S. elections.
This sequence is so far similar to the previous Channel Up patterns that emerged after the price broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). Once broken, it held right until their tops, which were after a +6.50% rise.
This is why, if this holds once more, we expect to see 6050 (+6.50% from the bottom) by the end of the month.
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Lingrid | CADJPY bullish DIVERGENCE: Potential BUYFX:CADJPY made a fake breakout of the previous support level but then bounced off it, taking liquidity below the previous week's low. On the daily timeframe, a long-tailed bar has formed, indicating that bulls are attempting to push the price higher. Additionally, on the 4H timeframe, we see another long-tailed bar, which further signifies buying pressure. There is a bullish divergence present on the current timeframe, suggesting a potential trend continuation. I think IF the market breaks and closes above the 108.500 resistance level, there is a good chance that the price may test the level above the equal high on the left. This would be a strong confirmation of the bullish sentiment in the market. My goal is resistance zone around 109.15
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
WTI OIL Strong buy signal on the 0.618 FibWTI Oil (USOIL) gave us the best of sell signals on our last analysis (October 08, see chart below) as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) initiated a strong decline that hit our 72.50 Target:
The decline broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and even reached yesterday the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, which on the similar Channel Up fractal of early 2024 was the level where the Higher Low was priced, bottomed and started the next Bullish Leg.
The presence of the Lower Highs trend-line since the September 28 2023 High however, doesn't give us much upside room for a great rally, so we will turn bullish again but only for the short-term, targeting 78.50.
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BITCOIN One year later, the pattern is repeated and leads to 88kThis is not the first time we make a case for October being the start of an aggressive rally for Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and lately we have presented you the evidence on the long-term 1W time-frame.
This time we want to focus on the 1D chart, where a more detailed analysis can be made on the fractals that lead to this rally. It was the very same pattern that helped us catch last year the amazing October 2023 - March 2024 rally, as you can see on our September 28 2023 post (see chart below):
As you can see both fractals (2023 and 2024) traded initially within a Triangle pattern that bottomed on an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S). The bottom took place at the same time of the 1D Death Cross formation. Throughout the whole process, they were supported by the 1W MA50 (red trend-line).
Right now on the October 2024 fractal we are at the point where BTC just broke above the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Triangle. On the 2023 fractal that led to a brutal rise that only took a 'break' after reaching the 2.0 Fibonacci extension, right after forming a 1D Golden Cross.
As a result, it is possible to see $88000 (Fib 2.0 ext) in December, before the market 'cools' again. Much of course will depend upon how the markets will digest the November U.S. elections but as we've shown you in analytical charts here, the result of event tends to make little difference.
So what do you think? Can this break-out lead to 88k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Lingrid | ETHUSDT possible LONG opportunity from SUPPORT zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target level. The market has formed a double bottom and broke and closed above that pattern. Additionally, it also broke and closed above the previous resistance level at 2650, which had been respected before. Overall, this indicates that the market is making higher lows, reflecting increased buying pressure. I believe that the price may continue to move higher, IF it bounces off the support zone below by rejecting it and forming rejection candles. This would suggest strong buying interest and could further confirm an upward trend. My goal is resistance zone around 2750.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
EUR/USD Struggles to Recover - Bears Dominate!Today, EUR/USD pair continued to fluctuate in a narrow range below the 1.0900 mark during Thursday's trading session, holding on to recent heavy losses, after falling to a near two-month low the previous day.
Technically, the old support level has turned into a stiff resistance, making any recovery attempt difficult. Meanwhile, technical indicators and signals from EMA 34, 89 continue to favor the Bears, putting EUR/USD on the back foot against other rivals.
Good luck traders!
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Technical AnalysisOANDA:XAUUSD market pulled back and tested the psychological level of 2600, but it quickly bounced back, regaining strength and forming a long-tailed bar on the weekly chart. This suggests the potential for continued upward movement. The buying pressure demonstrates that gold remains attractive to bulls, supported by central bank and ongoing geopolitical concerns also pushes the market higher.
On the daily timeframe, the market formed a flag pattern that played out effectively, resulting in the creation of the long-tailed bar as it took liquidity below the previous week's low. Last weekly candle indicates that the price may rise toward the 2700 - 2720 range, representing a potential 2% increase, if it can break and close above the previous weekly high. Currently, the 2630 level holds significant importance, having been tested numerous times; it was broken by a huge bearish candle then by a bullish one.
Despite some fluctuations in the market, demand for gold remains solid. While there may be some sideways movement after 3 consecutive bullish months, there are no indications of a drop to lower levels. A significant trend reversal would likely require a drop below the 2550 level. Overall, I anticipate that the price to climb higher, at least towards the all-time high level.
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Lingrid | TONUSDT double BOTTOM at the SUPPORT levelBINANCE:TONUSDT bounced off the psychological level at 5.00, creating a double bottom formation. This level also coincided with the previous week's low. Additionally, several rejection candles formed at this support level on the 4H timeframe, indicating strong buying interest. The price broke above and closed above the trendline, which had served as significant support. A triangle pattern formed, and the market broke through it before pulling back, which can be seen as a liquidity grab. I anticipate that the market to continue to rise by breaking through the channel. My goal is resistance zone around 5.330
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻