GOLD: Strong Bearish Bias! Sell!
Welcome to our daily GOLD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 2,640.136$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
Signals
World gold prices tend to increaseWith RSI (14) additionally breaking the downtrend, it appears that evidently the relatively pessimistic photo of the beyond month is turning into brighter for buyers, giving investors a caution of a retest of document highs. transaction. MACD has now no longer but showed the signal, even though it is displaying symptoms and symptoms of bottoming.
We noticed a small pullback all through early Monday buying and selling in Asia, as fees retested the small uptrend from mid-September, which had furnished guide till broken. broke early closing week.
If the charge holds above this level, keep in mind shopping for above with a good forestall underneath to defend the goal push to a document excessive of $2,685.7. If it breaks, investors can search for a push to $2700.
Bannockburn Global the Forex market CEO Marc Chandler predicts gold fees will fall this week. Although gold jumped to 2,650 USD/ounce after PPI data, he stated that this valuable steel can also additionally retest the extent of 2,six hundred USD/ounce, or maybe 2,580 USD/ounce this week. Haven call for because of fears of tensions withinside the Middle East is helping gold, however better yields and a sturdy greenback should placed strain at the valuable steel, Chandler explained.
NASDAQ Channel Up with more room to rise.Nasdaq (NDX) eventually held the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and no significant correction took place, a development that should extend the uptrend within the 2-month Channel Up. Technically we are still on its Bullish Leg.
We have had two rallies so far within this structure the most recent +11.00% and the one before +15.50%. Assuming there is a declining rate on those by -4.50%, we can assume that the current one will peak at +6.50% from the October 01 Low, which is ideal as it gives a 20900 short-term Target exactly at the top of the Channel Up.
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EURUSD Bearish trend intact.The sell signal after the Double Top (September 23, see chart below) and the RSI Lower Highs rejection turned out to be a very accurate one and the price has already covered 75% of the distance to hitting our 1.08350 Target:
Given that there shouldn't be much divergence until then, we want to focus today on the 1W time-frame. As you can see, based on the ranged (Rectangle) pattern of the past 2 years, the price is at the top of the neutral zone, not even having broken the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line).
The 1.08350 is located on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) and that is the minimum downside we expect, as the 1W MA100 provided the Lows of June 24 and April 15 2024. The long-term Support Zone is located considerably lower than that (1.04500 - 1.05250) and that is technically the downside potential of the pair.
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XAUUSD Bullish Leg just started. Low risk buy.Gold (XAUUSD) gave us the short-term signal we wanted last week (October 07, see chart below) and after hitting our 2625 Target, it rebounded:
This rebound is technically the start of the new Bullish Leg of the 2-month Channel Up. If it repeats the previous Leg, then one last test of the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) is possible before further upside, which is also illustrated by the 4H RSI fractals between the Accumulation sequences that preceded the rallies.
Based on the last two Bullish Legs, we should reach at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level before the next 4H MA50 correction. As a result our new medium-term Target is 2750.
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70.3K is a nearest targetMorning folks,
So, BTC nows shows good bullish context. Downside action was limited with our AB=CD. Due to couple of bullish grabbers on weekly chart we consider 70.3K Top as the nearest target.
On intraday charts we consider 62-63.5 and 61.15K Fib levels as potentially interesting for entry.
It is just unclear in what manner the pullback happens. Big reverse H&S pattern is more in favor of 61.15K area, while gradual minor retracement could point on 62-63K... Overall context bullish and we do not consider any bearish positions by far.
NAS100 Will Go Lower! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NAS100.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 20,310.2.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 19,716.0 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GOLD Will Go Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GOLD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2,659.646.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2,674.265 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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USDCAD Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 1.378.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 1.374 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AUDNZD Is Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDNZD.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.105.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.107 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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DXY Rebounding on the 1M MA50. But for how long?The U.S. Dollar index (DXY) is on a strong green 1M candle, already halfway through the month of October, as it is rebounding after making an exact test of the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line), the long-term Support.
On this chart we can see the DXY's multi-year price action. Even though it was on a heavy downtrend since the February 1985 High, it managed to break above it in January 2015 and sustain a strong Channel Up, coming off the March 2008 bottom of the disastrous Housing Crisis.
Within this strong Channel Up, we see a repeated pattern as long as Bullish and Bearish Legs are concerned. As you can see, the bottoms have been formed significantly below the 1M MA50, so this indicates that it is not time to buy yet.
If anything, a controlled short is justified and as we get closer to the bottom of the Channel Up, start buying on a multi-year basis (as long as the 1M MA200 (orang trend-line) holds). Based on the 1M RSI, where the similarities with the previous Leg are more obvious, we should be around levels similar to October 2017, so starting next month or December, we should start resuming the downtrend and a 'modest' level to target is 97.000.
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Lingrid | EURUSD buying OPPORTUNITY at Potential CONFLUENCE zoneFX:EURUSD decelerated after breaking out of the consolidation zone, taking the entire week to retest the support level at 1.09000. A divergence has formed on the 4H chart at this support level. Typically, the market tends to move sideways following a strong momentum, and we may see this pattern this week. Currently, the price action has created an inside bar pattern, indicating that the market is trading within Thursday's range. We are at a level where the market has surged previously. I believe that if the price rejects the support level and the downward trendline, the market may move higher, especially considering that the TVC:DXY is also at a resistance zone where it has previously tanked. My goal is resistance zone around 1.10050
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GBPNZD Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPNZD.
Time Frame: 30m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 2.138.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 2.142 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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BITCOIN Channel Up starting the new Bullish Leg!Four months ago (June 07, see chart below) we published a post on Bitcoin (BTCUSD) calling it an 'Unpopular opinion' as despite a on ongoing rebound in May, we signaled a correction as, based on the long-term Channel Up since November 2022, it was technically possible to see a pull-back below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and then extended consolidation until a potential bottom on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line):
Even though the Channel Up had to be readjusted, the price action delivered the exact pattern of the previous 6-month (April 11 - October 16 2023) consolidation and almost tested the 1D MA100, forming a bottom on August 04 2024.
The similarities between those two fractals are more evident on their 1D RSI sequences. This shows that right now we could be before a break-out similar on the October 16 2023 candle. Regardless of that, it appears that the new Bullish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up is accelerating and a new High above 66500 would confirm it.
We have had 3 major Bullish Legs so far, more or less around the same levels (+92.27% to +101.57%). So a bad case scenario would be to see a +92.27% rally from the August 04 Low, which would still give us a $94500 Target.
So what do you think? Is the Channel Up just heating up and can the new Bullish Leg reach 94.5k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Lingrid | BITCOIN bullish MOMENTUM: Potential BreakoutBINANCE:BTCUSDT made a false breakout below last week’s low by taking liquidity below that level. Afterward, it rebounded off a key support level and reached the upper boundary of the downward channel. The current movement shows strong bullish momentum, suggesting that an upside breakout is quite possible. If you examine the weekly chart, you'll notice that the weekly candles for the past couple of weeks have consistently closed above 62,500, highlighting the significance of this level. I anticipate that the market to break through of the channel and retest last month’s high. My goal is resistance zone around 65,900
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USDJPY has bullish technical conditionsThe latest economic data suggests the Federal Reserve could cut interest rates again next month, but a larger cut is being underestimated.
Therefore, US bond yields remain stable and the wide spread between Japanese government bond yields and US bond yields continues to support the US Dollar.
On the daily chart, OANDA:USDJPY The uptrend is noticed by the price channel and the nearest support level at 148.113 of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
Temporarily, USD/JPY's upside momentum is limited by the upper channel edge, once USD/JPY breaks above the channel it will continue to trend upward towards the 150.739 levels in the short term, more than 151,866.
Even if the 0.382% Fibonacci level is not enough to support USD/JPY in the short term, it still has other support slightly lower at 147.113 – 146.424.
As long as USD/JPY remains above EMA21 and within price channel, it still has a bullish technical outlook with notable technical points listed below.
Support: 148.113 – 147.112 – 146.424
Resistance: 149,364 – 150,739 – 151,866
Hellena | EUR/USD (4H): Long to the resistance area at 1.11551.Colleagues, price made a strong downward move and I redrew the waves. At this point, I believe price has just now completed wave “4” and I believe price will start an upward movement. First of all I don't want to set the target too high.
The 1st target is the resistance area at 1.11551. This is the area where volume accumulations have been taking place. In any case, I do not recommend entering short positions now.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
WTI affects the Middle East and storms in the USOil prices were volatile but posted a second straight weekly gain last week as investors weighed potential supply disruptions in the Middle East and the impact of Hurricane Milton on fuel demand in Florida.
The price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil for November delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange decreased to 75.56 USD/barrel.
Although US President Joe Biden has advised against attacking energy facilities in OPEC's third largest producer, the possibility of prolonging the conflict in the Middle East and there are increasing signs of this spreading will make the market nervous.
Unrest in the Middle East has increased price volatility and prompted hedge funds to increase their net long positions.
At the same time, a statement from the US Treasury Department said that in response to Iran launching ballistic missiles towards Israel on October 1, the US is expanding sanctions on the oil and chemical industry. Iranian oil.
Hurricane Milton swept through Florida and into the Atlantic last Thursday, killing at least 10 people and leaving millions without power, putting pressure on prices.
Nearly a quarter of Florida's 7,912 gas stations were without fuel as of last Wednesday morning, as drivers stocked up on gas earlier this past week ahead of the storm.
Florida is the third largest gasoline consuming state in the US, but the state has no refineries and therefore must rely on imports.
On the daily chart, TVC:USOIL slight correction after recovery and limited by the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level.
Up to now, WTI crude oil still has technical price increasing conditions with the main trend from the price channel, main support from EMA21. The confluence of the lower edge of the price channel and the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level is the closest current support for WTI crude oil on the daily chart.
If WTI crude oil breaks above the 0.50% Fibonacci level, it will have conditions to continue rising with the target level then being around 79.03USD.
As long as WTI crude oil remains above the EMA21, it remains technically bullish in the short term, and the highlights are listed below.
Support: 73.77 – 72.39USD
Resistance: 76.40 – 76.84USD
GBP/USD steadies above 1.3050Hello dear friends!
As we predicted, GBP/USD fluctuated and fell sharply until 1.302 and completed the sell target as mentioned earlier.
However, the price quickly reversed and stabilized around 1.306. The upside momentum of GBP/USD may be limited by the sustained strength of the US dollar, due to the geopolitical risks looming around the world and concerns about China's economy, keeping the pair within a familiar range.
In conclusion, GBP/USD is still in a downtrend, but the selling pressure has gradually decreased and the possibility of a move to the upside is due to the convergence signs from the trend line and RSI indicator. The support level around 1.302 - 1.300 has not been broken yet and remains a bright spot for GBP/USD to recover.
Gold- New all time high this week?Last week, OANDA:XAUUSD fell below the key support level of 2625-2630, briefly testing the area just above the important psychological support at 2600, which also aligns with the ascending trendline.
However, the bulls held strong, and after two failed attempts to push below this level, we saw a sharp reversal on Thursday, marked by a bullish engulfing pattern and a strong close on Friday. This erased the earlier losses from the start of the week.
These are clear bullish signals, suggesting we may see further upside movement and potentially a new all-time high this week.
My strategy is to buy on dips.