GOLD MARKET ANALYSIS AND COMMENTARY - [March 03 - March 07]OANDA:XAUUSD this week were under pressure to take profits. After opening this week at 2,934 USD/oz, gold prices rose to 2,956 USD/oz, but then continuously dropped to 2,832 USD/oz and closed the week at 2,858 USD/oz. Thus, gold prices this week dropped sharply after 8 consecutive weeks of increases.
The reason why gold prices dropped sharply this week is because the USD continued to increase strongly compared to many other major currencies. Market sentiment changed slightly after the US announced the Personal Consumption Expenditure Index (PCE) for January 2025. Accordingly, PCE increased by 2.5% over the same period last year, thus down from 2.6% in December 2024 and in line with market expectations. Meanwhile, core PCE, excluding fluctuating food and energy prices, also increased 2.6% year-on-year, but down from 2.9% in December 2024 and in line with forecasts.
Notably, in the recent meeting, US President Donald Trump and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had many disagreements and could not reach any agreement to contribute to an early end to the war between Russia and Ukraine. This is a factor that may increase gold's role as a haven, but it is unlikely to push gold prices up sharply next week, perhaps just a slight recovery before adjusting again.
There will be a lot of data released next week, but the US February non-farm payrolls (NFP) report will be of particular interest to investors. According to forecasts, NFP is expected to reach 156,000 jobs, compared to 143,000 jobs in January. If NFP reaches the forecast level, it will not affect the Fed's interest rate policy direction, unless NFP increases far beyond the threshold of 200,000 jobs. Therefore, NFP news is likely to have little impact on gold prices next week.
In addition, investors will also pay attention to the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision, which could have an impact on gold prices next week. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates again next week, which could partially support the USD, thereby negatively impacting gold prices next week.
🕹SOME DATA THAT MAY AFFECT GOLD PRICES NEXT WEEK:
Next week, the market will focus on jobs data, with the US February non-farm payrolls report released on Friday morning.
Other key economic events include the Eurozone FMCG and US ISM manufacturing PMI on Monday, the ADP jobs report and US ISM services PMI on Wednesday, and weekly unemployment data on Thursday.
The other big event of the week is the European Central Bank's (ECB) monetary policy decision on Thursday, with many experts expecting the ECB to make another interest rate cut.
📌Technically, gold prices next week may continue to adjust, with the level of 2,790 USD/oz being an important support level. If next week's gold price stays above this level, it will increase slightly to 2,900 USD/oz. On the contrary, if gold prices fall below 2,790 USD/oz next week, there is a risk of a deeper correction.
Notable technical levels are listed below.
Support: 2,814 – 2,835USD
Resistance: 2,900 – 2,868USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2951 - 2949⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2955
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2739 - 2741⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2735
Signals
DXY Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 107.566.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 108.420 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
USDCAD Will Fall! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 3h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.445.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.435 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURUSD Potential Short Setup - 1HR Swing TradeThis trading idea proposes a short position in EURUSD on the 1-hour timeframe, based on the expectation of a continued downward move. The entry point is strategically located at a resistance level, with a stop-loss order to manage risk and a take-profit target set at a potential support zone.
Disclaimer :
This analysis is based on the provided image and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risks, and it is essential to conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
#VRUSDT continues its uptrend📈 LONG BYBIT:VRUSDT.P from $0.011718
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.011470
⏱ 1H Timeframe
⚡ Action Plan:
✅ BYBIT:VRUSDT.P price broke the resistance level and is consolidating above it, confirming a bullish scenario.
✅ The asset is trading above the POC (Point of Control) at $0.00862, indicating buyer dominance.
✅ Increasing volume on the breakout confirms the strength of the upward movement.
🎯 Target TP Levels:
💎 TP 1: $0.012110
📢 A breakout above $0.011718 will confirm the continuation of the uptrend.
📢 POC $0.00862 remains a key support zone.
📢 Rising volume at the breakout suggests a high probability of reaching target levels.
📢 Partial take-profit at TP1 ($0.012110) helps minimize risks in case of a pullback.
🚀 BYBIT:VRUSDT.P continues its uptrend – watch for upward movement and secure profits at TP!
Lingrid | SUIUSDT continues to CONSOLIDATE after SELL OFFBINANCE:SUIUSDT is currently consolidating below the round number of 3.00, and it may continue to move sideways following the recent fake breakout of the support level. The price is still trading within the weekly range, indicating a lack of strong directional momentum. There is a possibility that the price may retest the 2.00 support area, which corresponds to the highs from October, especially since the market has broken below the 3.00 level. Given the sideways movement, I expect the market to retest the recent support level from the psychological level at 3.00 before potentially making further moves downward. My goal is support zone around 2.6630
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
USDT.D Macro Update ( Alt Season ? )everything on the charts
I'm still holding my alts
For traders, this is one of the best charts in town (to find local tops and bottoms for potential swing opportunities)
This tells the whole story
If Invalidation occurs, I'll reconsider all my traders.
(not in the mood of writing much, check out the previous posts for more explanation + everything's on the chart)
NZDUSD Will Go Up From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.559.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.566.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GBPUSD Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 1.257.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 1.235 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Solana’s 60% Correction: Time to Buy the Dip?After reaching an all-time high around the $300 zone, Solana experienced a sharp decline of approximately 60%, dropping to a key support level above $120.
This pullback could present a strong buying opportunity for speculators anticipating a reversal toward $200.
Conclusion:
✅ Dips below $140 should be considered potential entry points.
✅ The setup becomes invalid if the price closes below $120 on a daily basis.
✅ A move toward $200 remains a reasonable and achievable target.
EUR/USD: Is History Repeating? Key Levels to Watch NowHey Realistic Traders, Will FX:EURUSD Repeat its Bearish Cycle? Let’s dive into the analysis...
On the H4 chart, EUR/USD is trading below the 200-day EMA once again, signaling that the bearish trend is still in play. This downward movement has been reinforced by a rising wedge breakout, a common pattern that often leads to further declines.
Just a few days ago, we spotted a similar bearish breakout in FX:EURUSD , which resulted in a continued drop. As traders, we follow the Dow Theory principle: "History Repeats Itself ." Based on this idea, we expect the price to follow the same pattern, keeping the bearish momentum intact.
Looking ahead, EUR/USD could move lower toward the first target at 1.02861 and, if selling pressure continues, potentially reach the second target at 1.02205. These targets are based on previous price movements and key historical support levels.
However, this bearish scenario depends on the price staying below the critical stop-loss level at Stop Loss 1.05039
Support the channel by engaging with the content, using the rocket button, and sharing your opinions in the comments below.
Disclaimer: “Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on FX:EURUSD ”.
Ethereum’s Dip: A Golden Buying Opportunity?Ethereum has been a disappointment for traders.
Many were expecting a new all-time high, but so far, Ethereum has failed to deliver.
However, for speculators like me, this type of market movement presents an ideal trading opportunity.
Recently, ETH reached a key confluence support zone around the psychologically significant $2,000 level, reinforced by multiple technical factors. This setup suggests a strong potential for a reversal.
What’s Next?
✅ The $2,000 support zone remains critical, and I expect it to hold, leading to an upside move.
✅ While not aiming for extreme highs, I’m looking to buy dips near $2,200 with a target around $2,800.
ICP Trading Plan: Buying Dips with a 1:3 Risk-Reward RatioLike most altcoins, ICP has been declining since December. At the beginning of February, it reached a key support level around $6. After this drop, the coin began to consolidate, but recent price action suggests a potential reversal to the upside.
A confirmed breakout above $7 would strengthen this outlook, potentially leading to a test of the psychologically significant $10 level.
I’m looking to buy dips in anticipation of this scenario, aiming for a minimum risk-to-reward ratio of 1:3.