GBPJPY Heading to the Channel's Top. Sell alert.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 05 bottom. The price is above both the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and has already made a Higher High on September 27, which was immediately sold by the market.
Based on the previous peak formation of the Channel Up though, we could see a Double Top Higher High rejection in the coming days like the one on September 02. The 1D RSI made a Higher High also before the start of the September Bearish Leg, and right now it hasn't done so.
As a result, we will wait for a short opportunity a little higher and then target the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level (like the September 11 Low) at 188.800.
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Signals
GOLD recovers moderately after sharp declineOANDA:XAUUSD maintained a moderate intraday recovery after yesterday's sharp decline. Gold price is currently trading around 2,611 USD/ounce.
Minutes of the Federal Reserve's September meeting showed that the vast majority of Fed officials favored a significant 50 basis point interest rate cut. Traders' focus now turns to the US CPI data released today.
Today the US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the September Consumer Price Index (CPI) report. Investors will focus on this report for more data to evaluate on the US interest rate outlook.
The market expects US annual CPI growth in September to decrease from 2.5% to 2.3%. CPI in September is expected to increase by 0.1% over the previous month, lower than the previous increase of 0.2%.
The annual US core CPI growth rate in September is expected to remain at 3.2%; Core CPI growth rate compared to the previous month in September is expected to decrease from 0.3% to 0.2%.
The market estimates inflation will continue to decline, data equal to or lower than expected would be a very positive signal for gold prices. However, if inflation is higher than the previous period, it will open the door for expectations that the Fed will pause the monetary policy easing cycle and this is not beneficial for gold, boosting the US Dollar.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold is trying to hold above key technical levels above the $2,600 full price and above the 0.236% Fibonacci retracement level.
Temporarily, the recovery momentum is quite weak, hindered by the EMA21 level. However, conditions still allow gold prices to rise technically with the trend channel not broken below, on the other hand, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) approaching the 50 level, showing some signs of being broken. bend and if RSI points up it will be a positive signal for gold prices.
As long as gold remains within the price channel, it still has conditions to increase in price. In case gold is sold below the level of 2,600 USD, confirmed by the price penetrating the level of 2,594 USD, it will tend to decrease further with the target level being able to reach 2,560 USD, the price point of the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement.
During the day, gold still has a technical outlook that leans heavily towards price increases with notable levels listed below.
Support: 2,608 – 2,600 – 2,594USD
Resistance: 2,618 – 2,634 – 2,660USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2636 - 2634⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2640
→Take Profit 1 2629
↨
→Take Profit 2 2624
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2589 - 2591⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2585
→Take Profit 1 2596
↨
→Take Profit 2 2601
World gold price continued to decreaseWorld gold fee endured to decrease, right all the way down to 2,609 USD/ounce, thirteen USD decrease than yesterday. This is the sixth consecutive decrease, bringing gold costs to the bottom withinside the beyond month. The predominant thing inflicting gold to move down is stated to be the upward thrust of the USD as traders now no longer count on a good deal that the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) will considerably lessen hobby quotes on the November meeting.
The Fed has simply launched the mins of its September 17-18 meeting, which stated that the tempo of destiny discounts will now no longer be decided through the preliminary reduction (the Fed simply decreased hobby quotes through 0.5% closing month). . Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan stated she needs smaller cuts ahead, given lingering inflation dangers and substantial uncertainties approximately the financial outlook.
💎 TVC:GOLD Buy limit 2604 - 2607💎
✔️TP1: 2617
✔️TP2: 2627
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2595
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎 TVC:GOLD Sell limit 2637 - 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2627
✔️TP2: 2617
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2653
Gold prices plummet after CPI newsGold is currently trading around $2,608 an ounce, down 1.7% this week. This is largely due to rising US Treasury yields, which have dampened expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates by another 50 basis points.
Minutes of the Fed's recent meeting showed that Chairman Jerome Powell faced some opposition to the rate cut in September. Some officials expressed that the rate cut should be smaller than the 50 basis points. Separately, Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said on Wednesday that monetary policy easing should be done at a slower pace after last month's cut.
Markets are awaiting CPI data due later Thursday. If inflation continues to decline, this will support the possibility of the Fed cutting interest rates in the near future.
XAU plummetsGold prices also fell due to profit-taking pressure after the precious metal surged and set a record high at the end of last month. The price drop is inevitable, even if gold is in a long-term uptrend.
Previously, gold was forecast to increase in price until at least mid-2025 following the US Federal Reserve's interest rate cut trend. The Fed began its interest rate cut cycle in mid-September and signaled that it would cut interest rates until 2026. This also means that pressure will be placed on the USD. Gold will benefit.
However, the USD has recently turned around after a sharp decline. Investors are worried that the Fed will not continue to cut interest rates by 0.5 percentage points at its November meeting, but may only cut by 0.25 points when the US economy is still quite strong.
XAUUSD: Continues to fall furtherHello dear friends, nice to meet you in today's gold price race!
Today, gold has not changed much, mainly fluctuating around the $2600 mark, and the downtrend is still dominant.
The metal is under pressure as the USD starts to regain strength. On the analytical chart, the price has dropped below the support level of $2625. The 4-hour chart shows the possibility of this downtrend continuing soon. With the acceptance of the falling wedge resistance and the reaction at the EMA 34 confirmed, we may not see any significant support until $2575.
How do you think gold will perform in the coming time?
(CPI) in September 2024 expected to increase 2.3%The median estimate (yr-over-yr, now no longer seasonally adjusted) for the client rate index (CPI) for the month of September 2024 is 2.3%.
If 2.3% is the real yr-over-yr growth withinside the CPI, it'll mark the smallest growth withinside the quantity because February 2021 (1.7%).
The August 2024 client rate index expanded through 2.five% (yr-over-yr, now no longer seasonally adjusted), in comparison to the median estimate of 2.6%. Over the beyond 12 months, the growth withinside the CPI has passed the median estimate in five months, matched the median estimate in 2 months, and fallen quick of the median estimate in five months. It is thrilling to notice that real CPI quantity has been under the estimate over the last 4 months (May 2024 via August 2024). Over the beyond five years (60 months), the growth withinside the CPI has passed the median estimate 52% of the time, matched the median estimate 15% of the time, and fallen quick of the median estimate 33% of the time.
The median estimate of 2.3% is primarily based totally on 17 estimates gathered through FactSet. These CPI estimates variety from a low of 2.20% to a excessive of 2.40%, for a variety of 20 bps. This unfold is smaller than the trailing 12-month common unfold among the low and excessive estimate of 27 bps and smaller than the five-yr (60 month) common unfold among the low and excessive estimate forty nine bps.
The median estimate (yr-over-yr, now no longer seasonally adjusted) for the client rate index apart from food & energy (Core CPI) is 3.2%.
Tomorrow (October 10) the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will launch the CPI and Core CPI numbers for September.
💎 XAUUSD Buy limit 2604 - 2607💎
✔️TP1: 2617
✔️TP2: 2627
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2595
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎XAUUSD Sell limit 2637 - 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2627
✔️TP2: 2617
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2653
Gold price today: expected to continue the decline!Hi everyone!
The global gold price continues its downward spiral today, extending its decline from the peak of $2,670 per ounce and at times dropping close to the $2,600 mark. This marks the sixth consecutive day of losses for the yellow metal, with the primary reason being the strong rally of the US dollar. The US Dollar Index has now hit its highest point in nearly two months, making gold more "expensive" for those trading in other currencies.
Adding to the pressure, the market is also grappling with expectations around the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) potential interest rate cut in the upcoming November meeting. According to the latest Fed policy meeting minutes, some officials are leaning toward a more significant rate cut, while others favor a more conservative 25 basis point cut, arguing that a 50-point cut might be too risky.
GBP_CAD WILL KEEP GROWING|LONG|
✅GBP_CAD is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made a
Bullish breakout of the key
Horizontal level of 1.7860
Which is now a support and
From where we are already
Seeing a bullish reaction so
We will be expecting a
Further bullish continuation
LONG🚀
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SILVER: Local Correction Ahead! Buy!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 30.71992$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
DXY: Strong Bullish Bias! Buy!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 102.930
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
GOLD: Market Is Looking Down! Sell!
Welcome to our daily GOLD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 2,598.369$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
EURUSD: Move Down Expected! Sell!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 1.09433
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
APLD Applied Digital Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip on APLD:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of APLD Applied Digital Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 9usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-15,
for a premium of approximately $1.10.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
XAUUSDHere is our overall on XAUUSD . Potential short opportunity.
As of now, XAUUSD is struggling to break 2624 . If we break above this level we could see higher highs and we will continue to the upside.
However,
If we break below 2604 , we could see a downside move to our PBA (Pullback Area) sitting at around 2590 . Breaks below our PBA could also result in lower prices. Considering the fact we made an ATH it would not be out of the ordinary for gold to do a massive pullback .
KEY NOTES
- XAUUSD is struggling to break 2624.
- Break below 2604 would confirm sells.
- A pullback from ATH is not out of the ordinary.
- Break above 2624 could result in higher highs.
- Break below PBA would result in deeper pullbacks.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
GOLD Long From Rising Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GOLD is trading in an
Uptrend along the rising
Support so we are bullish
Biased and after the price
Hits the rising support we
Will be expecting a further
Bullish continuation
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
XAUUSD: Should I buy or sell!Hello everyone!
Today, gold is showing a clear downtrend. Especially after breaking through the key support level at $2630, the downward trend has become even more pronounced. This decline is further confirmed as gold continues to trade below the EMA 34-89 moving averages and remains confined within a parallel descending channel (2625 - 2645), signaling that buying momentum in the market is gradually weakening.
Additionally, investor sentiment has been dampened as expectations of the Fed maintaining its loose monetary policy have significantly diminished. This has given the USD more strength, further pressuring gold, a non-yielding asset.
With these clear signs of weakness, according to Conan's analysis, it's highly likely that gold will continue to drop in the short term, potentially falling below the $2600 mark as long as the descending channel remains intact.
DOGEUSD Are you people ready??We have recently viewed Dogecoin's (DOGEUSD) Cycles and mentioned why we expect it to start rising parabolically soon. What we haven't done but it's what we bring you today is those Cycles compared to the Cycles of the flagship of the crypto world, Bitcoin (BTCUSD).
We will keep it simple, because that's what the chart is, no need to complicate what's obvious with added terms and info.
As you can see, every time Bitcoin broke above its All Time High (ATH), Dogecoin was on a medium-term correction (though well within its Bull Cycle) under Lower Highs and marginally above the 0.236 Fibonacci retracement level. Once Bitcoin broke out, Doge did also only though much more aggressively and within a few weeks it reached its previous ATH.
Needless to say, it didn't stop there but went on to peak much higher. Once more, the market finds itself in the exact same position as before in history. Are you ready??
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