GBP/JPY: Persistent Bearish Pressure Amid Recovery AttemptsThe GBP/JPY pair has shown recent volatility, attempting a rebound to 188.00 on February 10, breaking a three-day losing streak after hitting the weekly low at 187.00. The Bank of England’s dovish monetary policy, including the recent rate cut, has worsened the bearish sentiment on the pound, while downward revisions in the UK's growth forecasts have further weakened the GBP. Despite recovery attempts above 190.00, economic uncertainty and the central bank's negative outlook keep the risk of further declines high. The price is near a daily FVG, with potential liquidity grabs within and around the 0.62% Fibonacci level before resuming its downward movement.
Signals
XAG/USD: Silver Uptrend with Short-Term ConsolidationAs of February 11, 2025, the XAG/USD (Silver Spot/US Dollar) exchange rate exhibits a positive medium-term trend despite a recent short-term slowdown. Currently, the price is around $32.83 per ounce at the time of writing. The first resistance level is identified at $32.24, followed by a second resistance at $32.96. The first support level is at $31.52, with an additional support at $31.21. In the short term, a weakening of the bullish trendline is observed, with the price testing the high at $32.24. Technically, a potential decline towards the $31.21 support level remains possible. Recent political decisions, such as the announcement of a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports to the United States, have impacted financial markets, leading to an appreciation of the US dollar and a decline in stocks. These developments could affect the precious metals market, including silver. Despite the positive medium-term trend, silver is currently undergoing a consolidation phase in the short term.
USD/JPY Approaches 152.00 Amid Yen Weakness and Trade War FearsThe USD/JPY exchange rate is recovering from recent lows, reaching 151.90 on February 10, 2025, compared to the previous close of 151.30. After a significant drop in early February, the trend shows a gradual rebound, supported by the Japanese Yen’s weakness due to disappointing macroeconomic data, particularly the sharp decline in Japan’s current account balance to 1,077.3 billion Yen from November’s 3,352.5 billion Yen. The strength of the US Dollar is also fueled by concerns over new 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum announced by President Trump, driving investors toward safe-haven assets like the Greenback.
From a technical perspective, USD/JPY is nearing the psychological level of 152.00, with key resistance between 152.40 and 152.90. A breakout above this range could signal further gains, while a rejection may trigger a corrective phase. Volatility is heightened by uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s monetary policy, as it may maintain a cautious stance on rates to counter inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, speculation about a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could reduce the interest rate differential between the US and Japan.
The Dollar Index (DXY) stands at 108.20, slightly up by 0.1% but down from the intraday high of 108.50, indicating a cautious market sentiment ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. Traders will closely watch his statements for any hints of a policy shift.
EUR/AUD: Weekly Engulfing Bar Pullback!The recent performance of the EUR/AUD exchange rate shows a fluctuating trend, with a slight recovery, closing at approximately 1.6450 in the first week of February. In the preceding days, the rate experienced several declines, with a significant drop. These fluctuations reflect the economic dynamics of both the Eurozone and Australia. In the Eurozone, inflation unexpectedly rose to 2.5% in January, exceeding the European Central Bank’s 2% target for the third consecutive month. Despite this, the ECB plans to continue cutting interest rates, expecting inflation to reach its 2% target over the year. Meanwhile, the Eurozone economy showed no growth in the last quarter of 2024, with contractions in Germany and France and stagnation in Italy. In Australia, the leading economic indicators index increased by 0.2% in October 2024, suggesting a slight economic recovery. However, Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers confirmed a worsening fiscal deficit, projected to rise by AUD 21.8 billion over the next four years, mainly due to unavoidable expenditures. These economic developments impact the EUR/AUD exchange rate, with the Euro benefiting from a more accommodative monetary policy while Australia faces fiscal challenges. Despite the recent upward movement, the negative trends from previous sessions and technical analysis suggest caution is warranted when assessing the short-term trajectory of the EUR/AUD exchange rate.
NZD-CAD Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CAD went up sharply
And hit a horizontal resistance
Level of 0.8147 so we are
Locally bearish biased
And as we are already
Seeing a bearish reaction
We will be expecting
A local bearish move down
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
SUSDT Key Resistance Broken – Bullish Momentum SUSDT has recently broken through a key resistance level, signaling a shift in market sentiment and the potential for a strong upward movement. Breaking past major resistance is a crucial technical event that often leads to a new phase of price action, and for sUSDT, this breakout has been accompanied by good volume, confirming the strength of the move. With strong investor interest and an expected gain of 25% to 30%+, traders are now watching closely to see how the price behaves as it continues to test new highs. The breakout above resistance sets the stage for further bullish movement, potentially attracting more buyers into the market.
The breakout from the main resistance level is a key indicator that the sellers' control has been broken, and buyers are now in charge. As the price holds above this key level, it’s likely that more traders will enter, pushing the price higher. The good volume supporting the breakout further validates that this move has solid momentum, and the chances of a sustained rally are increasing. If sUSDT continues its upward trajectory, it could reach the projected gain range of 25% to 30%+, with new resistance levels providing the next potential targets.
Investors are taking increasing interest in sUSDT as the price breaks above important technical levels. This shift in market sentiment is not only supported by the price action but also by the growing participation from investors who see potential for further gains. The volume confirms that this is not a false breakout, and as more traders recognize the bullish setup, the price could continue to rise steadily. With solid technical backing and a growing interest in the project, sUSDT is positioning itself as a strong candidate for higher returns in the near term.
Traders should monitor key support levels to ensure that the breakout holds. If sUSDT can maintain its position above the broken resistance level, it could continue to gain momentum, offering a potential 25% to 30%+ return. As always, staying updated on broader market conditions and volume trends will help confirm the strength of the breakout. Given the current setup, sUSDT presents an exciting opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on a potential upward trend in the near future.
EURUSD About to turn bearish again on Double StructureThe EURUSD pair has been on a Bullish Leg since the February 09 Low and is approaching the January 27 High, which is its technical Resistance level. Technically, every such test has been rejected down to at least the 0.786 Fibonacci level but since we might be within a Channel Up, it is possible to see one last push to complete a +2.68% rise from the February 09 Low.
The 0.786 Fib then will fall below the Channel Up so to account for that technical miss of support, our Target will be the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 1.03125.
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#ADAUSDT remains strong—expecting further upside!📈 LONG BYBIT:ADAUSDT.P from $0.8106
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.8066
⏱ 15M Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:ADAUSDT.P is trading in an accumulation zone, breaking the local resistance at $0.8106, which could act as a long entry point.
➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $0.7971 confirms strong buyer interest below the current levels.
➡️ The price maintains an upward structure, and a breakout above $0.8106 could lead to further upside.
➡️ Rising volumes confirm bullish activity and potential growth.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter long above $0.8106, confirming the breakout.
➡️ Risk management via Stop-Loss at $0.8066 to protect against false breakouts.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $0.8138
🔥 TP2: $0.8195
⚡ TP3: $0.8266
🚀 BYBIT:ADAUSDT.P remains strong—expecting further upside!
📢 BYBIT:ADAUSDT.P is showing a solid bullish impulse. A breakout above $0.8106 could lead to a test of $0.8138 – $0.8266.
📢 However, if the price drops below $0.8066, it may signal a return to the consolidation zone.
EURSEK at Key Support Zone: Bullish Rebound ExpectedOANDA:EURSEK has reached a significant support zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if buyers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support zone, there is a high likelihood of an upward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 11.33450 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
EURUSD - what to expect?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels .
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame and following our original analysis posted on February 4th (check image below).
Now after we broke to the upside we are waiting to make a pullback on the pair (based on the H4 time-frame). As of now we are sitting on our hands and patiently waiting on the pullback to happen or possible reverses and join the uptrend. TVC:EXY has seen some strength last week regardless of the positive data for the TVC:DXY which gave back gains after U.S. President Donald Trump said in a social media post that he had spoken with Russian President Vladamir Putin about starting negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. This still holds positive weight on the EUR overall. Considering this, we can pre-plan some possible outcomes including both fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
Scenario 1: BUYS at the break the highs (1.05140)
- We broke above 1.05140.
With the break of this level we can expect a possible move towards the upside without even creating a deeper pullback. The technical analysis and fundamentals would be on our side.
Scenario 2: BUYS at the pullback (1.04360)
- We came down to our PBA (Pullback Area) at around 1.04360.
With the pullback completed and the price respecting this area, we could potentially see more upside on this pair from this KL (Key Level). Long-term buys at this price would be valid. Again technical and fundamentals analysis would both be on our side.
KEY NOTES
- EXY (EUR) showing strength after last week’s positive “news”.
- Breaks to the upside would confirm higher highs.
- Respecting our PBA (Pullback Area - 1.04360 would give us a buy opportunity.
- Possible resolutions between Ukraine and Russia.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
NASDAQ The 3 Phase of its Bull Cycle.Nasdaq (NDX) had a strong closing last week, rallying aggressively after cementing the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. As the market will stay closed today on Washington's Holiday, it is a good opportunity to take the time and look at the bigger picture.
Nasdaq's whole Bull Cycle so far since the late 2022 market bottom, can be categorized into 3 separate Phases of Growth. Right now we are naturally on the 3rd and as you see, compared to the previous Phases, we are on the 2nd accumulation of the Phase. This has led on a strong rally of at least +22% that completed each Phase.
Each Phase has two such accumulations and the 2nd is what makes the Channel Up peak and then correct back to the 1D MA200 (red trend-line). Since the final accumulation rally of Phase 1 has been +25.78% and the one of Phase 2 +22.13%, we may have a -3.50% decrease rate between each Phase rally. Assuming this to be the case this time around too, we may be looking for a +18.60% rally at 24000 to complete Phase 3.
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DXY Is Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 106.448.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 105.539 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SILVER Is Very Bearish! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 32.444.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 30.847 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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EURUSD Is Going Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for EURUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.047.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.040 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURGBP Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURGBP.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.831.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.826.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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Lingrid | GOLD Weekly Outlook: Anticipating Short-Term PullbackOANDA:XAUUSD market dropped from the resistance zone, forming a double top. The PCE inflation data triggered a pullback, leading to a 2% decline from the highs—similar to the decline we saw around two months ago. On the weekly timeframe, the price formed a long-tailed bar, signaling a rejection candle, and ultimately closed below the previous weekly high.
Additionally, the price broke and closed below the upward trendline that had supported the market since the beginning of February. This breakout suggests a pause in the bullish momentum. On the daily timeframe, the market formed an engulfing candle at the resistance zone, indicating that the price may retrace toward the 2820 and 2830 levels.
We’ve seen seven consecutive bullish weeks. Typically, after such strong momentum, the market either moves sideways or experiences a quick pullback. Given that there are few USD-related news events next week, I expect the market to potentially push lower. However, due to concerns about tariffs, there is also a chance the price could consolidate around the current zone before pushing higher. In any case, we must remain responsive to price action as it unfolds.
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
GBPUSD Will Go Up! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 1.244.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 1.261 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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BITCOIN Decoding the current consolidation. $112k to print soon.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating within roughly a 5000 range (100k - 94.1k) for the past 12 days. During all this time, it's been testing but never closed above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). There hasn't been a tighter consolidation of this duration in the past year and there is a technical explanation behind it.
The 3-month pattern has been a Channel Up and the last sub-1D MA50 consolidation before the current one, has been its previous bottom formation on its Higher Lows trend-line. The 1D RSI sequences between the two bottom fractals are so far identical and it appears that we are now on the way to complete Leg (f), which is the final step before a Double Bottom is formed. A new 1D MACD Bullish Cross may come as confirmation of the new Bullish Leg.
As a result, the market is close to its most optimal buy opportunity. Given that a 1.5 Fibonacci extension Target has been a fair expectation within this Channel Up, our medium-term Target on BTC after the new Bullish Cross would be $112000, which is still below the 1.5 Fib ext and very close to the top of the Channel Up.
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