Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Signals
DXY Will Go Up! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 7h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 106.564.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 107.267 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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BITCOIN Will Move Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 89,698.74.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 80,500.75 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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GBPUSD Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for GBPUSD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 1.264.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 1.276 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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EURAUD Is Very Bearish! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for EURAUD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.634.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.625 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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GBPUSD Sustained SellsGU unlike EU is actually a bearish market overall and this makes sells more readily available to me. TBH since shifting over to trading gold almost exclusively I can't stand how much slower forex pairs such as GU and EU move by comparison so it is unlikely that I would trade it even if I do end up seeing something but I will call it out if I feel like it needs to do so.
That being said, GU is currently in consolidation right now after just breaking out of a previous consolidation. When we look at what GU has been doing over the past few weeks it also shows heavy bearish momentum
If you even look at the peak one might even say that price stop hunted high to get rid of sellers who had stops higher, but I'm not quite sure so I won't use that as a confluence within this particular analysis.
This is what I see, price stumbling within the consolidation a bit more and then pushing up to about this level or so to get rid of sellers stops within both the consolidation areas and then drop after that.
My reason for using this particular path is simple. I think the dealer wants to get rid of sellers but he can't drive price so high such that he gives new sellers a better opportunity - if price goes any higher he may give sellers the signal they are looking for to get in which invalidates the dealer's move. If price gets up to the level highlighted by the blue marker sells are probably off the table temporarily.
EURUSD Macro Sells PossibleAlright so it's been a literal while since I've analyzed anything other than gold and or maybe BTC. But neither of them have any opportunity currently so I am taking a look at a few other assets to see if there is anything interesting.
On EURUSD, we can see here what appears to be price stumbling at a level in which price has bought multiple times in the past and what I find really interesting about this level is the fact that price is bullish.
EURUSD is an overall bullish market so the fact that it is selling suggests that price needs to grab liquidity from the downside. But why? What is down there that price needs so badly?
Well, Think about it. Buyers place stop losses where exactly? At the lows right?
Yeah when you look at it on the weekly timeframe in my opinion it becomes even more clear - price needs to go lower to clear out buyers stops.
BUT
This then means that price needs to sell right? And we can only truly sell when price is bearish enough to do so right?
Well here seems to be very bearish, but I'd admit that I feel like I am drawing at straws here in hopes that it breaks this time, I'd be honest I am not hopeful that it will lol
That being said, what I think is possible for EU is that it will continue to stumble about this level for a while, maybe even go higher, before truly attempting to drop.
As much as I wish to find something here, I don't think there is anything.
The most I can say is maybe more sustained sells (very short term) until price leaves this orange zone
I'd be careful with this one
TESLA Will it turn the former 2-year Resistance into Support?Tesla (TSLA) fulfilled our August 15 buy signal (see chart below) as after the minor pull-back we expected, it rose aggressively on its new Bullish Leg of the 2-year Channel Up and came close to a new Higher High:
The correction of the past 4 days may be one last great short-term buy opportunity as it hit yesterday the former Resistance Zone of July 2022. If it holds, it will turn into its new technical Support Zone, thus will be an additional buy for out $380.00 Target.
Beyond that we need to see the ATH break before formulating a new strategic plan on the pattern that will emerge.
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GOLD: Strong Bearish Bias! Sell!
Welcome to our daily GOLD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 2,553.620$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
EURUSD: Market Is Looking Down! Sell!
Welcome to our daily EURUSD prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 1.05491
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
DXY: Move Up Expected! Buy!
Welcome to our daily DXY prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 106.688$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
NZSDUSD Bottom of the 1-year Rectangle. Strong buy.The NZDUSD pair gave us a solid sell signal on our last idea (September 04, see chart below) as it respected the 1-year Rectangle pattern, stayed within its Resistance and Support levels and easily hit our 0.6000 Target:
The price hit yesterday the top of the 1-year Support Zone (0.58500) and is reacting today positively with the first green 1D candle in 6 days. The 1D RSI has double bottomed on the 30.00 oversold barrier as on April 14, so we have a strong case for going long with huge reward and limited risk. Notice how we are about to form a 1D Death Cross and the last two such patterns coincided with the bottoms on the Support Zone.
As a result, we are now long, targeting 0.6200, which is considerably below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement, the level that all previous Bullish Legs hit.
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SILVER: Local Correction Ahead! Buy!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 30.97257$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
GBPUSD Start thinking of buying. Will find support soon.The GBPUSD pair couldn't have given us a better sell signal last time we looked into it (October 09, see chart below) as it broke first below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) then the Bullish Megaphone and is very close to our 1.2550 Target:
We are approaching the stage where selling becomes far riskier than buying as the pair is approaching the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which on the September - October 2023 fractal (that has been the basis of our previous sell strategy), formed the bottom and initiated a Channel Up to the (orange) 0.618 Fib.
Even the 1D MACD indicates that we are probably a few days before this bottom is formed and will be confirmed with a Bullish Cross.
As a result, we are prepared to take this long and target 1.3100 (the 0.618 Fib).
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GBPUSD Analysis And Next MArket Move Pair Name = GBPUSD
Timeframe = 2H
Analysis = technical + fundamentals
Trend = Bullish
Details :-
GBPUSD is ready to bounce back after a good drop. Here expecting 200Pips+ gain after the breakout. GBP is getting stronger according fundamentals that's why we can see this move.
Bullish Target :-
1.28
1.29
BITCOIN Riding the 1DMA50 wave is the best strategy you can haveBitcoin (BTCUSD) has had an enormous bullish break-out to new All Time Highs (ATH) following last week's U.S. elections. The past 2 days have seen this massive rally turn sideways and as always a certain part of market participants have started calling for big corrections or even bear markets. Once again we will let simple charting show why this sideways price action is nothing but a short-term and mostly necessary consolidation.
** November 2020 vs November 2024 **
This analysis is a comparison of BTC's October 2020 - April 2021 rally with October 2024 - today. We've made idea regarding those time periods in the past but this time we bring a more aggressive picture on the 1D time-frame.
As you can see, on both fractals the 1D RSI started with a Channel Up while the price was still trading sideways/ consolidating within the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) and the Resistance level. That was the first sign of the upcoming Parabolic Rally, which was confirmed after the price broke above the Resistance.
BTC formed a Channel Up itself and right now we are on the November Bullish Leg and its consolidation phase (circle) that has been evident on both fractals. The 2020 - 2021 rally lasted for 164 days after November 01 and rose by +395%.
** The key role of the 1D MA50 **
Even if these time and price lengths aren't replicated, the key here for traders and investors alike is this: From October 09 2020 up until April 18 2021, BTC neve closed a 1D candle below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). It was the 1D MA50 that fully supported this 6-month rally, giving excellent buy entries for those seeking dip buying opportunities or those who simply wanted to hold onto their BTCs for as high as possible.
** Just ride the wave **
As a result, a viable and confirmed strategy at this stage of the Cycle (if you don't want to trade the volatility and buy low/ sell why) could be to just sell when finally a 1D candle closes below the 1D MA50. This is what we effectively call 'riding the 1D MA50 wave'.
So what do you think? Are you prepared to hold until the 1D MA50 breaks, are you willing to buy every time the price gets close to it, or simply have a different strategy at this starge? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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