JPY at Key Zone – EURJPY & GBPJPY Could Drop 1k+ PipsExactly one year ago, the JPY Currency Index broke above the falling trendline of a falling wedge, signaling the end of a bearish cycle that had lasted nearly five years.
As is typical after long-term reversals, the reaction was sharp and fast, and the price quickly reached the first resistance target of the pattern.
Since then, the index entered a lateral phase, with clear support forming around the 730 zone.
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🔍 Current Price Action
Recently, the price pulled back to test that same support, and at the time of writing it sits at 737, forming a tight consolidation.
This suggests we’re again at an inflection point.
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📊 Trade Outlook
From a medium-term perspective, I believe the index is preparing for another leg higher, potentially toward resistance at 780.
➡️ That would mean a 7% rise on the JPY Index – and this move could translate into more than 1,000 pips of downside for pairs like EURJPY and GBPJPY.
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🔄 What’s Next?
In the coming sessions, I’ll focus on these two pairs as they offer the clearest setups and have the strongest volatility.
Stay tuned — follow for the next updates. 🚀
Signals
XAUUSD – Weak Rebound, Bearish Bias RemainsYesterday was a quiet and choppy day for Gold.
Although price managed to recover a small portion of last week’s 1400 pip drop, the rebound remains anemic — price barely reached the 23% Fibonacci retracement.
To make things worse for the bulls, the recovery from around $3300 is starting to take the shape of a bearish flag, a continuation pattern that typically signals further downside ahead.
📌 Resistance Zones to Watch:
- Initial resistance: $3345–3350
- Stronger resistance: $3370, a level already proven and well-defined
As long as the price is under those levels, I remain firmly bearish.
📈 Trading Plan:
I already have a short position open, and I'm still waiting to add more, preferably on a push into higher resistance, ideally above $3345.
No need to force entries — I’d rather scale in on strength, not weakness.
Once the correction is complete, I’m targeting:
- $3280 as the first support
- $3250 as a realistic downside objective
Conclusion:
The rebound lacks power. The structure favors the bears.
Still watching for better entries to add short, with eyes on 3280 and 3250 as likely targets.
Let’s stay patient and let the setup come to us. 🎯
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CAD-CHF Local Short! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF went up and
Made a retest of the
Horizontal resistance
Around 0.5870 and we
Are already seeing a bearish
Pullback so we will be
Expecting a further
Bearish correction
Sell!
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GBP-JPY Rising Support! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
GBP-JPY is trading in an
Uptrend and the pair made
A retest of the rising support
And we are seeing a local
Bullish rebound and we will
Be expecting a further
Local move up
Buy!
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USD-CAD Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
USD-CAD went up and
Retested a horizontal
Resistance of 1.3800
From where we are
Already seeing a local
Bearish pullback and
As we are locally bearish
Biased so we will be
Expecting a local move down
Sell!
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EUR_USD BEARISH BREAKOUT|SHORT|
✅EUR_USD broke the key
Structure level of 1.1580
While trading in an local downtrend
Which makes me bearish
And I think that after the retest of
The broken level is complete
A bearish continuation will follow
SHORT🔥
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EUR_NZD REBOUND AHEAD|LONG|
✅EUR_NZD fell again to retest the support of 1.9380
But it is a strong key level
So I think that there is a high chance
That we will see a bullish rebound and a move up
LONG🚀
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SILVER Is About to Collapse? Watch This Critical Supply Zone!Price recently tapped a high near 39.20 before sharply rejecting from the 38.80–39.20 supply zone, confirming strong selling pressure. The current structure shows:
- Supply zone tested and rejected
- Likely return to the previous demand zone (36.50–36.00)
- RSI is turning down, confirming loss of momentum
A pullback toward 38.30–38.50, followed by a bearish continuation toward the 36.50 area, which acts as a key structural and institutional support.
🗓️ Seasonality
Historically, July is bullish for silver:
Last 5Y average: +0.89%
Last 2Y average: +2.18%
However, August–September are bearish months:
August: mildly positive, but weak
September: consistently negative across all time frames (-0.86% to -1.10%)
This increases the probability of a downward move starting in early August, in line with current price action rejection.
🪙 Commitment of Traders (COT) – July 22
Non-Commercials (speculators):
Longs: +656
Shorts: -516
Commercials (hedging):
Longs: +1,337
Shorts: +916
➡️ Commercials are increasing both long and short exposure, while non-commercials remain net long — a sign of moderate optimism.
However, long positioning is slowing down compared to previous weeks. A potential exhaustion in bullish momentum is forming.
📉 Sentiment
52% short vs 48% long
Volume: more lots on the short side (492 vs 454)
Sentiment remains neutral to slightly contrarian bullish, but not extreme. This may allow for a fake breakout before a deeper move down.
🧩 Operational Summary
Main bias: Bearish short to mid-term (starting August), supported by:
- Technical rejection at supply
- Negative seasonal tendencies ahead
- RSI showing momentum loss
- COT showing stabilization, not accumulation
EURNZD Update: This short trigger could spark a waterfall dropYo traders, Skeptic from Skeptic Lab! 🩵 EURNZD just broke its daily upward trendline, setting up a sharp drop. Weekly shows a fading uptrend. Daily’s got a strong bearish candle, full body, no buyer fight. 4H trendline broke and... more on this video:)
👀Beware of fakeouts this week—volatility’s high! Trade smart, keep risk tight, and don’t FOMO. Share your thoughts in the comments, boost if it helps <3
XAUUSD – Bears in Control, but Watch for a Rebound FirstYesterday, after a small bounce from the ascending trendline, Gold broke down and printed an intraday low around $3300.
Right now, the market appears bear-dominated, and further downside continuation is likely in the coming days.
________________________________________
📉 But there’s a catch:
From last week's top, Gold has dropped over 1400 pips without any meaningful correction.
That opens the door for a possible short-term rebound, which could be just a setup for new short entries.
________________________________________
📌 Key levels to watch:
• First resistance: $3350
• Major resistance: $3375 – Only a daily close above this level would shift control back to the bulls
🎯 Until then, any bounce is an opportunity to sell into strength.
A break below $3300 opens the path to $3280, with a likely extension toward $3250.
________________________________________
Conclusion:
The trend is bearish, but don’t chase.
Wait for a corrective rally, then look to sell the rip—unless bulls reclaim $3375, it’s still a bear market.
Let’s see if Gold gives us the setup. 🎯
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Lingrid | HYPEUSDT Potential Continuation After PullbackKUCOIN:HYPEUSDT is bouncing from a higher low near the 42.070 zone after breaking a descending flag pattern. Price action remains above the ascending support trendline while pressing into a key structure retest. As long as GETTEX:HYPE stays above 42, a bullish leg toward the 49.700 resistance remains likely. Structure suggests a resumption of the impulse phase within the broader uptrend.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Clean breakout above 45.00
Buy zone: 41.5 – 43.0 (support + flag bottom)
Target: 49.700
Invalidation: Close below 40.00
💡 Risks
Breakdown below the ascending support would weaken the bullish setup
Failure to reclaim mid-flag resistance may lead to deeper consolidation
Broader market weakness in altcoins could delay breakout momentum
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
GOLD trades in narrow range after 4 sessions of sharp declineOn Tuesday (July 29), in the Asian market, the spot OANDA:XAUUSD traded in a narrow range after yesterday's sharp decline, and the current gold price is around 3,315 USD/ounce.
The OANDA:XAUUSD fell to its lowest level in nearly 3 weeks on Monday, mainly due to the trade agreement reached between the United States and the European Union over the weekend, which boosted the Dollar and risk sentiment.
The previous report released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that the number of US JOLTS jobs unexpectedly increased in May, reaching the highest level since November last year.
The number of JOLTS job vacancies in the US in May was 7.769 million, far exceeding the forecast of all economists surveyed.
Looking back at the data in April, the number of JOLTS job vacancies also showed an unexpected increase.
The JOLTS jobs report is a closely watched labor market data by the Federal Reserve.
In addition, the Conference Board of America's Consumer Confidence Index for July is scheduled to be released on the same day and is expected to be 95.8, compared to the previous value of 93.0.
The fundamental pressure that gold is under
OANDA:XAUUSD came under pressure yesterday and fell to a near three-week low, mainly due to the trade deal between the United States and the European Union (EU) over the weekend, which boosted the Dollar and risk sentiment. Moreover, US President Trump announced “global tariffs” of 15% to 20% on most countries, a change from his previous statement last week.
The deal reached by U.S. President Donald Trump and the European Union late last week will impose a 15% tariff on EU goods, half the rate Trump had threatened, easing fears of a wider trade war.
The U.S. and Japan also reached a deal last week, and U.S. and Chinese officials resumed talks in Stockholm, Sweden, this week with the goal of extending the tariff deadline by 90 days.
Technical Outlook Analysis OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has been on a four-day losing streak, a decline that threatens bullish expectations as its current position gradually deprives it of any room for further upside.
Specifically, gold has recovered from the psychological level of $3,300 but the actual recovery is not significant, while it is under pressure from the EMA21 which is currently the closest resistance.
On the other hand, gold has fallen below both the long-term and short-term trend channels. If it continues to sell below the 0.382% Fibonacci retracement level, this will confirm a break below the psychological level of $3,300, then the downside target will be around $3,246 in the short term, rather than $3,228.
RSI is pointing down, below 50 and still far from the 20-0 area, also showing that in terms of momentum, gold is also under pressure and there is still a lot of room for decline ahead.
For gold to be eligible for an increase, it needs to at least bring price activity back above the EMA21, back inside the price channels. On the current daily chart, the technical conditions are more inclined towards the possibility of a decrease.
Notable positions will be listed as follows.
Support: 3,310 - 3,300 - 3,292 USD
Resistance: 3,340 - 3,350 - 3,371 USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 3355 - 3353⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3359
→Take Profit 1 3347
↨
→Take Profit 2 3341
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 3285 - 3287⚡️
↠↠ Stop Loss 3281
→Take Profit 1 3293
↨
→Take Profit 2 3299
DAX: Local Bearish Bias! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse DAX together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 24,252.78 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
GOLD: Strong Growth Ahead! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse GOLD together☺️
The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 3,321.22 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 3,329.97.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Lingrid | USDJPY Potential Channel Breakout. LongFX:USDJPY is retesting the breakout zone after reclaiming support from a prior swap area near 146.9. Price action has broken above a downward trendline and is forming a bullish retest structure. As long as USDJPY holds above 146.920 zone, the setup favors a continuation toward the resistance barrier. A breakout above the red descending trendline could accelerate upside momentum.
📉 Key Levels
Buy trigger: Break and hold above 147.500
Buy zone: 146.900 – 147.000
Target: 148.250
Invalidation: Break below 146.000
💡 Risks
Failure to break the descending red trendline may trigger renewed selling
Consolidation below resistance could signal buyer exhaustion
Break below 146.000 would invalidate bullish retest setup
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
Lingrid | BTCUSDT Range-Bound Market: Short-Term Bearish MoveBINANCE:BTCUSDT has failed to break through the descending resistance near 120,000 and is now forming a lower high within the broader resistance zone. The price action follows an impulsive leg up and is currently tracing a potential reversal pattern under key structural resistance. As long as the market remains capped below 120,000, continuation toward 117,500 is likely. The downward bias is supported by weakening momentum after the bull trap and resistance rejection.
📉 Key Levels
Sell trigger: Breakdown below 119,000
Sell zone: 119,400 – 120,000
Target: 117,500
Invalidation: Break and close above 120,500
💡 Risks
Sudden bounce from the 119,000 handle could trap late sellers
Breakout above 120,000 would shift structure to bullish
Support near 117,500 may slow or reverse bearish pressure
If this idea resonates with you or you have your own opinion, traders, hit the comments. I’m excited to read your thoughts!
EURUSD: Will Go Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse EURUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 1.15675 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 1.16318.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER: The Market Is Looking Down! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse SILVER together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break below the current local range around 38.167 will confirm the new direction downwards with the target being the next key level of 37.976 .and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
SILVER Will Grow! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,817.6.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,930.1 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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EURNZD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURNZD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 1.941.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 1.927 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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AUDJPY Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 96.734.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 96.102 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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