Bitcoin’s Struggle Continues: Key Levels to WatchBitcoin’s price action over the past two months has been frustrating, with the price stuck in a range.
The brief drop to the 90K zone following Trump’s tax announcement was quickly reversed. However, after a spike above 100K, BTC has once again been consolidating below this key level for the past two weeks.
At the time of writing, BTC/USD is sitting on newly formed support at 95K. A break below this level could lead to another test of 90K.
If bulls fail to hold the 90K support, the price could extend its decline, potentially dropping to 85K in the first instance.
Signals
Is NASDAQ Losing Steam? A Reality Check for TradersHey Realistic Traders, Is CAPITALCOM:US100 Out of Steam? Let’s Dive Into the Analysis…
On the daily timeframe, the Nasdaq remains above the EMA-100, which has served as strong support through multiple successful rebounds. Simultaneously, the price has moved above the bullish trendline, reinforcing the ongoing uptrend.
Within wave 4, the price formed a falling wedge pattern, followed by a breakout. This signals the initiation of wave 5, which could potentially extend beyond the length of wave 1, given that wave 3 did not exceed the 1.618 Fibonacci ratio. Meanwhile, the MACD indicator has already formed a bullish crossover, adding further confirmation of a positive outlook for the Nasdaq.
Considering these strong technical signals, the price is likely to move upward toward the first target at 23,538 , or potentially the second target at 24,356.
However, this bullish scenario depends on the price staying above the critical stop-loss level at 20,833.
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Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Nasdaq."
EUR/USD Outlook: Bullish Trend Intact, Next Target 1.06?In my post last week about EUR/USD, I argued that the pair could rise to 1.05 and that dips around 1.03 should be seen as buying opportunities.
Indeed, after briefly dipping below 1.03, the pair reversed to the upside and reached my 1.05 target.
Currently, the pair is undergoing a small correction and is trading at 1.0460 at the time of writing. However, my bullish outlook remains unchanged. Dips around 1.04 should once again be considered buying opportunities.
The next target for bulls could be the 1.06 resistance zone.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
EURNZD: Key Resistance at 1.8430 and Rejection from HighsAs of February 14, 2025, the EURNZD pair is once again testing the key resistance zone around 1.8430 after showing a clear rejection in previous sessions. The price has reacted from the support zone at 1.8235, which continues to act as a strong defense level for buyers. However, the strong rejection from the weekly resistance area suggests a possible new phase of weakness.
Technical analysis indicates interaction with key moving averages, with the price rebounding from the mid-term moving average but struggling to break through the upper liquidity zone. If the market stays below 1.8435, it could trigger a decline towards 1.8235, and if broken, a further extension towards 1.8100. Conversely, a decisive close above 1.8435 could open the way for a breakout attempt towards 1.8500. The macroeconomic context remains a key factor to monitor, with the strength of the euro and the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s policy likely to influence the future direction of the pair.
Brent Declines Amid Rising Inventories and Peace HopesOn February 13, 2025, Brent crude fell by 0.9% to $74.50 per barrel, driven by expectations of a potential peace deal between Ukraine and Russia, which could ease supply disruptions caused by sanctions. Additionally, U.S. crude inventories increased for the third consecutive week by 4.1 million barrels, surpassing analysts' forecasts. These factors, combined with new U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum, have reinforced the bearish sentiment in the oil market.
GBP/JPY: Persistent Bearish Pressure Amid Recovery AttemptsThe GBP/JPY pair has shown recent volatility, attempting a rebound to 188.00 on February 10, breaking a three-day losing streak after hitting the weekly low at 187.00. The Bank of England’s dovish monetary policy, including the recent rate cut, has worsened the bearish sentiment on the pound, while downward revisions in the UK's growth forecasts have further weakened the GBP. Despite recovery attempts above 190.00, economic uncertainty and the central bank's negative outlook keep the risk of further declines high. The price is near a daily FVG, with potential liquidity grabs within and around the 0.62% Fibonacci level before resuming its downward movement.
XAG/USD: Silver Uptrend with Short-Term ConsolidationAs of February 11, 2025, the XAG/USD (Silver Spot/US Dollar) exchange rate exhibits a positive medium-term trend despite a recent short-term slowdown. Currently, the price is around $32.83 per ounce at the time of writing. The first resistance level is identified at $32.24, followed by a second resistance at $32.96. The first support level is at $31.52, with an additional support at $31.21. In the short term, a weakening of the bullish trendline is observed, with the price testing the high at $32.24. Technically, a potential decline towards the $31.21 support level remains possible. Recent political decisions, such as the announcement of a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminum imports to the United States, have impacted financial markets, leading to an appreciation of the US dollar and a decline in stocks. These developments could affect the precious metals market, including silver. Despite the positive medium-term trend, silver is currently undergoing a consolidation phase in the short term.
USD/JPY Approaches 152.00 Amid Yen Weakness and Trade War FearsThe USD/JPY exchange rate is recovering from recent lows, reaching 151.90 on February 10, 2025, compared to the previous close of 151.30. After a significant drop in early February, the trend shows a gradual rebound, supported by the Japanese Yen’s weakness due to disappointing macroeconomic data, particularly the sharp decline in Japan’s current account balance to 1,077.3 billion Yen from November’s 3,352.5 billion Yen. The strength of the US Dollar is also fueled by concerns over new 25% tariffs on steel and aluminum announced by President Trump, driving investors toward safe-haven assets like the Greenback.
From a technical perspective, USD/JPY is nearing the psychological level of 152.00, with key resistance between 152.40 and 152.90. A breakout above this range could signal further gains, while a rejection may trigger a corrective phase. Volatility is heightened by uncertainty surrounding the Fed’s monetary policy, as it may maintain a cautious stance on rates to counter inflationary pressures. Meanwhile, speculation about a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan (BoJ) could reduce the interest rate differential between the US and Japan.
The Dollar Index (DXY) stands at 108.20, slightly up by 0.1% but down from the intraday high of 108.50, indicating a cautious market sentiment ahead of Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s testimony before Congress on Tuesday and Wednesday. Traders will closely watch his statements for any hints of a policy shift.
EUR/AUD: Weekly Engulfing Bar Pullback!The recent performance of the EUR/AUD exchange rate shows a fluctuating trend, with a slight recovery, closing at approximately 1.6450 in the first week of February. In the preceding days, the rate experienced several declines, with a significant drop. These fluctuations reflect the economic dynamics of both the Eurozone and Australia. In the Eurozone, inflation unexpectedly rose to 2.5% in January, exceeding the European Central Bank’s 2% target for the third consecutive month. Despite this, the ECB plans to continue cutting interest rates, expecting inflation to reach its 2% target over the year. Meanwhile, the Eurozone economy showed no growth in the last quarter of 2024, with contractions in Germany and France and stagnation in Italy. In Australia, the leading economic indicators index increased by 0.2% in October 2024, suggesting a slight economic recovery. However, Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers confirmed a worsening fiscal deficit, projected to rise by AUD 21.8 billion over the next four years, mainly due to unavoidable expenditures. These economic developments impact the EUR/AUD exchange rate, with the Euro benefiting from a more accommodative monetary policy while Australia faces fiscal challenges. Despite the recent upward movement, the negative trends from previous sessions and technical analysis suggest caution is warranted when assessing the short-term trajectory of the EUR/AUD exchange rate.
USD/JPY: Bearish Momentum and Key Support TestThe USD/JPY analysis as of February 18, 2025, shows a clear bearish structure, with the price breaking below key support levels, particularly around 152.70, which aligns with the 200-day moving average. The February 17 close at 151.456 confirms the downward trend after the recent high of 154.79 on February 12, highlighting the weakness of the US dollar against the strengthening Japanese yen. The yen’s appreciation was driven by Japan’s unexpectedly strong GDP data, which showed an annualized growth of 2.8%, far exceeding expectations and fueling speculation of a potential rate hike by the Bank of Japan. In contrast, the US dollar has been under pressure due to weak retail sales data and a general lack of bullish catalysts.
The chart setup highlights a key demand zone between 150.50 and 151.00, where the price is showing an initial reaction, suggesting a possible technical rebound. However, the overall structure remains weak, and unless the price can stabilize above 152.50-153.00, the risk of further downside remains high. The next significant resistance lies between 154.50 and 156.00, an area with concentrated sell orders and a potential reversal point in case of recovery. Conversely, a break below 150.50 would open the way toward 148.00 and even lower levels, with a critical support zone around 146.00.
The short-term trading range could remain between 151.00 and 155.00, with strong dependence on upcoming macroeconomic developments, particularly statements from the Bank of Japan and economic updates from the United States.
EURUSD: Attempting to change the trendHello dear friends, Ben here!
Currently, EURUSD is attempting to capture recovery due to the dollar's adjustment. The price is forming a reaction from the resistance channel consolidation before breaking out and growing further.
Accordingly, after breaking through the trend channel resistance level, the price has moved into a consolidation phase around the range of 1.053 to 1.021. Within this, the price is testing the resistance level of 1.038. From this, we can argue that the market is still working to change its trend and become stronger against the dollar's adjustment.
Resistance levels: 1.038, 1.053
Support levels: 1.033, 1.021
Emphasizing the resistance level of 1.038, with confirmation of consolidation above this level, there will be nothing stopping EURUSD from further growth.
Best regards, Bentradegold!
NZD-CAD Will Go Down! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-CAD went up sharply
And hit a horizontal resistance
Level of 0.8147 so we are
Locally bearish biased
And as we are already
Seeing a bearish reaction
We will be expecting
A local bearish move down
Sell!
Comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
SUSDT Key Resistance Broken – Bullish Momentum SUSDT has recently broken through a key resistance level, signaling a shift in market sentiment and the potential for a strong upward movement. Breaking past major resistance is a crucial technical event that often leads to a new phase of price action, and for sUSDT, this breakout has been accompanied by good volume, confirming the strength of the move. With strong investor interest and an expected gain of 25% to 30%+, traders are now watching closely to see how the price behaves as it continues to test new highs. The breakout above resistance sets the stage for further bullish movement, potentially attracting more buyers into the market.
The breakout from the main resistance level is a key indicator that the sellers' control has been broken, and buyers are now in charge. As the price holds above this key level, it’s likely that more traders will enter, pushing the price higher. The good volume supporting the breakout further validates that this move has solid momentum, and the chances of a sustained rally are increasing. If sUSDT continues its upward trajectory, it could reach the projected gain range of 25% to 30%+, with new resistance levels providing the next potential targets.
Investors are taking increasing interest in sUSDT as the price breaks above important technical levels. This shift in market sentiment is not only supported by the price action but also by the growing participation from investors who see potential for further gains. The volume confirms that this is not a false breakout, and as more traders recognize the bullish setup, the price could continue to rise steadily. With solid technical backing and a growing interest in the project, sUSDT is positioning itself as a strong candidate for higher returns in the near term.
Traders should monitor key support levels to ensure that the breakout holds. If sUSDT can maintain its position above the broken resistance level, it could continue to gain momentum, offering a potential 25% to 30%+ return. As always, staying updated on broader market conditions and volume trends will help confirm the strength of the breakout. Given the current setup, sUSDT presents an exciting opportunity for traders looking to capitalize on a potential upward trend in the near future.
EURUSD About to turn bearish again on Double StructureThe EURUSD pair has been on a Bullish Leg since the February 09 Low and is approaching the January 27 High, which is its technical Resistance level. Technically, every such test has been rejected down to at least the 0.786 Fibonacci level but since we might be within a Channel Up, it is possible to see one last push to complete a +2.68% rise from the February 09 Low.
The 0.786 Fib then will fall below the Channel Up so to account for that technical miss of support, our Target will be the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 1.03125.
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#ADAUSDT remains strong—expecting further upside!📈 LONG BYBIT:ADAUSDT.P from $0.8106
🛡 Stop Loss: $0.8066
⏱ 15M Timeframe
✅ Overview:
➡️ BYBIT:ADAUSDT.P is trading in an accumulation zone, breaking the local resistance at $0.8106, which could act as a long entry point.
➡️ POC (Point of Control) at $0.7971 confirms strong buyer interest below the current levels.
➡️ The price maintains an upward structure, and a breakout above $0.8106 could lead to further upside.
➡️ Rising volumes confirm bullish activity and potential growth.
⚡ Plan:
➡️ Enter long above $0.8106, confirming the breakout.
➡️ Risk management via Stop-Loss at $0.8066 to protect against false breakouts.
🎯 TP Targets:
💎 TP1: $0.8138
🔥 TP2: $0.8195
⚡ TP3: $0.8266
🚀 BYBIT:ADAUSDT.P remains strong—expecting further upside!
📢 BYBIT:ADAUSDT.P is showing a solid bullish impulse. A breakout above $0.8106 could lead to a test of $0.8138 – $0.8266.
📢 However, if the price drops below $0.8066, it may signal a return to the consolidation zone.
EURSEK at Key Support Zone: Bullish Rebound ExpectedOANDA:EURSEK has reached a significant support zone, marked by prior price rejections and strong buying pressure. This area has historically acted as a key demand zone, indicating the potential for a pullback if buyers regain control.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms a rejection from this support zone, there is a high likelihood of an upward move. I anticipate that if rejection occurs, the market may head higher toward the 11.33450 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure.
This setup reflects the potential for a retracement after an impulsive move, supported by the confluence of previous price behavior and the current structure. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
EURUSD - what to expect?Here is our in-depth view and update on EURUSD . Potential opportunities and what to look out for. This is a long-term overview on the pair sharing possible entries and important Key Levels .
Alright first, let’s take a step back and take a look at EURUSD from a bigger perspective. For this we will be looking at the H4 time-frame and following our original analysis posted on February 4th (check image below).
Now after we broke to the upside we are waiting to make a pullback on the pair (based on the H4 time-frame). As of now we are sitting on our hands and patiently waiting on the pullback to happen or possible reverses and join the uptrend. TVC:EXY has seen some strength last week regardless of the positive data for the TVC:DXY which gave back gains after U.S. President Donald Trump said in a social media post that he had spoken with Russian President Vladamir Putin about starting negotiations to end the war in Ukraine. This still holds positive weight on the EUR overall. Considering this, we can pre-plan some possible outcomes including both fundamental analysis and technical analysis.
Scenario 1: BUYS at the break the highs (1.05140)
- We broke above 1.05140.
With the break of this level we can expect a possible move towards the upside without even creating a deeper pullback. The technical analysis and fundamentals would be on our side.
Scenario 2: BUYS at the pullback (1.04360)
- We came down to our PBA (Pullback Area) at around 1.04360.
With the pullback completed and the price respecting this area, we could potentially see more upside on this pair from this KL (Key Level). Long-term buys at this price would be valid. Again technical and fundamentals analysis would both be on our side.
KEY NOTES
- EXY (EUR) showing strength after last week’s positive “news”.
- Breaks to the upside would confirm higher highs.
- Respecting our PBA (Pullback Area - 1.04360 would give us a buy opportunity.
- Possible resolutions between Ukraine and Russia.
Happy trading!
FxPocket
NASDAQ The 3 Phase of its Bull Cycle.Nasdaq (NDX) had a strong closing last week, rallying aggressively after cementing the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. As the market will stay closed today on Washington's Holiday, it is a good opportunity to take the time and look at the bigger picture.
Nasdaq's whole Bull Cycle so far since the late 2022 market bottom, can be categorized into 3 separate Phases of Growth. Right now we are naturally on the 3rd and as you see, compared to the previous Phases, we are on the 2nd accumulation of the Phase. This has led on a strong rally of at least +22% that completed each Phase.
Each Phase has two such accumulations and the 2nd is what makes the Channel Up peak and then correct back to the 1D MA200 (red trend-line). Since the final accumulation rally of Phase 1 has been +25.78% and the one of Phase 2 +22.13%, we may have a -3.50% decrease rate between each Phase rally. Assuming this to be the case this time around too, we may be looking for a +18.60% rally at 24000 to complete Phase 3.
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