Signals
Gold trading strategy 500 pips !Brian, hello everyone!
Gold prices today reached a new record high as multiple factors continue to drive safe-haven demand. The Fed's dovish expectations have put USD bulls on the defensive and continue to strengthen XAU/USD. Mild overbought conditions and positive risk sentiment serve as headwinds for the precious metal.
From a technical perspective, gold prices will remain unchanged in the near term as the bullish trend remains intact, with the 34.89 EMA acting as key support. However, the possibility of a short-term pullback cannot be ruled out as the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) is oscillating in the overbought territory, near 74, at the time of writing. During a downward correction, gold prices could test the previous day's low of $3,023, below which gold could decline to the previous peak of $3,005. On the other hand, if gold maintains these levels, prices could retest the record high of $3,056 if buyers regain composure. Further ahead, the measured triangle target at $3,080 will be tested.
BTCUSDT: Breaking the downtrend. Up!Bitcoin (BTC) has just made a remarkable development when it officially broke the long-term downtrend, opening the door for a new bullish phase. Currently, BTC is trading around $85,944, down slightly by 1.05% on the day, indicating a technical correction after the recent strong rally.
In terms of outlook: breaking the long-term downtrend is a positive signal, indicating that the bulls have regained control.
In the short term, BTC is retesting the new support zone around $84,500 - $85,000, which is the old resistance zone that was just broken. If Bitcoin can maintain above this zone, the uptrend will continue, with the nearest target at $92,000, further towards $95,000 - $100,000.
USD_JPY WILL KEEP FALLING|SHORT|
✅USD_JPY is trading along the falling resistance
And as the pair will hit it soon
I am expecting the price to go down
To retest the demand levels below at 147.500
SHORT🔥
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CAD-CHF Risky Short From Resistance! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
CAD-CHF made a nice
Move up but has hit a
Horizontal supply level
Around 0.6170 area
And we are already seeing
A local bearish reaction
So a further bearish move
Down is to be expected
Sell!
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Secure profits of LONGBTCUSD Chart Analysis (Daily Timeframe)
1. Securing the Last LONG Position
The last LONG position should be secured in profit because:
Price failed to sustain higher levels and is now rejecting resistance.
If the price drops further, it could trigger a deeper correction.
The risk-to-reward ratio shifts once key support levels start failing, making holding a long position less favorable.
Locking in profits prevents giving back gains if price reverses.
2. Why This Is the MAX Risk Point for a New Short
🚨 A new SHORT signal has NOT yet been given, but if it prints, we must wait for the daily close to confirm it.
Key reasons why this is the max risk point:
✅ Price is still within a key decision zone (near support and trendline levels).
✅ If price bounces and holds above current levels, shorts would be trapped.
✅ Shorting prematurely without a confirmed close could result in a fakeout.
✅ Stochastic Indicator is still crossing up, meaning a bounce could occur before confirmation.
3. Short Confirmation & Timing Considerations
📌 If a SHORT signal appears, DO NOT enter immediately. Instead:
Wait for the daily close → Confirms that price sustains bearish momentum.
Watch for key breakdown levels → If price stays below support zones at ~80,000 - 86,000, bearish continuation is likely.
Check volume confirmation → A high-volume breakdown strengthens the short thesis.
Conclusion
⚠️ Right now, we are at a decision point:
If the price holds above current support, another move up is possible.
If a SHORT signal is printed, we still wait for the daily close to confirm.
Max risk for a new short is NOW, because shorting too early without confirmation could lead to a reversal.
💡 Patience is key—wait for the right signal before entering! 🚀
Current Price Context
BTCUSD is trading at ~$84,380, showing a -2.81% daily decline.
Price recently failed to break above key resistance (~86,000–88,000 zone).
Volume is slightly increasing on the downside, indicating some seller momentum.
The Stochastic RSI is still crossing up, meaning there is a chance for a bounce, but it is approaching a critical zone.
Most Probable Next Scenario (Scale of 1-10)
🔴 Bearish Breakdown: 7.5/10
🟢 Bullish Bounce: 2.5/10
**Bearish Breakdown (Most Likely) – 7.5/10
If price closes below ~$84,000, this will confirm a breakdown of key intraday support.
Next major support zones:
$80,000 (psychological and technical support)
$73,000 – $72,000 (strong demand & historical support)
$65,400 (worst-case bearish scenario in the near term)
Key Reasons for Bearish Bias:
✅ Failure to hold higher levels → Bears are in control.
✅ Trendline resistance rejection → Price rejected a major downtrend.
✅ Bearish order flow on volume → Sellers are stepping in.
✅ No new long confirmations → Momentum fading.
✅ Potential lower high structure forming → Could lead to further downside.
📌 If the daily closes red and under support (~84,000), a move towards 80,000 is highly probable.
**Bullish Bounce (Less Likely) – 2.5/10
If BTCUSD manages to reclaim ~$86,000 and sustain, bulls could attempt another push.
Resistance levels to watch:
$86,000 → Short-term reclaim level.
$88,000 - $92,000 → Key breakout zone.
$99,800 - $107,000 → Longer-term bullish targets.
What Would Change the Bias to Bullish?
❌ Price MUST reclaim $86,000+ with high volume.
❌ A strong daily close above $88,000 would confirm bullish continuation.
❌ Short squeeze event leading to a big move up.
📌 Until these conditions are met, the bullish scenario remains unlikely.
Final Thoughts
Bearish breakdown is more likely (7.5/10 probability).
If BTC closes today under $84,000, expect a move to $80,000-$73,000.
A bullish reversal is unlikely unless BTC reclaims $86,000+ convincingly.
No new SHORT signal has printed yet, but if it does, wait for the daily close to confirm.
📢 Trading Plan:
1️⃣ If price breaks down below $84,000 and closes red, SHORT confirmations are strong.
2️⃣ If BTCUSD holds $84,000 and reclaims $86,000, potential bounce.
3️⃣ Wait for daily close confirmation before making high-risk trades.
🚀 Most probable next move: More downside towards $80,000 unless bulls reclaim key resistance.
Key Factors That Could Trigger a Drop Below $70K
🔴 1. Major Support Breakdown ($80K → $72K → FWB:65K )
If $80,000 fails, BTC is likely to retest $72K– FWB:73K , a historically strong support level.
If $72K fails, the next major demand zone is $65,400.
Below $65,000, panic could set in, leading to a cascade of liquidations.
📉 Critical Breakdown Levels Below $70K:
$72,000–$73,000 (historical demand, strong support)
$65,400 (deep correction support)
$55,000–$58,000 (absolute worst-case scenario in a full-blown market panic)
🔴 2. Leverage Wipeout & Liquidation Cascade
BTC is heavily leveraged. A sharp drop below $80K–$72K could trigger mass liquidations, accelerating the decline.
Whales may intentionally push price below key liquidation levels to wipe out overleveraged longs before rebuying lower.
🔴 3. Macro & Sentiment Shifts
If stocks crash, inflation fears rise, or interest rates stay high, BTC could suffer from risk-off sentiment.
If major institutions or miners start selling, BTC could dip below $70K temporarily before stabilizing.
Probability of a Drop Below $70K?
Short-term (1-2 weeks): 3.5/10 (Unlikely but possible if BTC fails $72K).
Medium-term (1-2 months): 5.5/10 (More likely if macro conditions worsen).
Black Swan Event: 8/10 (If panic liquidations hit, BTC could momentarily dip to FWB:65K or even $58K).
Bottom Line:
⚠️ BTC remains at risk for deeper corrections.
✅ Below $80K, expect increased volatility & potential $72K retest.
✅ If BTC loses $72K, sub-$70K becomes a real possibility.
✅ Only a major liquidation cascade would push BTC towards FWB:65K –$58K.
🚨 If price action weakens, be prepared for rapid downside acceleration!
US100 BEARISH FLAG|SHORT|
✅US100 is trading in a
Strong downtrend and
The price has formed a
Bearish flag pattern so
And on top of that the
Horizontal resistance
Of 20,000 is ahead so
We are super bearish
Biased and IF we see a
Bearish breakout we
Will be expecting
A further move down
SHORT🔥
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SILVER LONG SIGNAL|
✅SILVER has retested a key
Support level of 33.39$
After a bearish correction
While trading in an uptrend
So we can enter a long trade
With the Take Profit of 33.89$
And the Stop Loss of 33.08$
LONG🚀
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EURJPY: Potential downward move towards 161.00?OANDA:EURJPY is currently approaching a significant resistance zone, an area that has been a key point of interest where sellers have regained control, leading to notable reversals in the past. Given this, there is potential for a bearish reaction if price action confirms rejection, such as a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or increased selling volume.
If the resistance level holds, I anticipate a downward move toward 161.00, a target that seems at least achievable. This would more likely be a call on a bearish outlook, as sellers may step in to push the price lower from this key level. However, if the price breaks this zone and sustains the up move, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, and we could potentially see a larger upside move.
Given the potential volatility around this zone, it’s crucial to monitor candlestick patterns and volume closely to identify strong selling opportunities. Proper risk management is essential to handle any potential volatility and protect your capital if the price breaks out.
AUD-CAD Local Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-CAD went down sharply
And the pair has hit a horizontal
Support of 0.9011 from
Where we are already seeing
A bullish reaction so we
Are locally bullish biased
And we think that the price
Will go up in a bullish correction
Buy!
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Lingrid | BTCUSDT price Compression FIRST, Expansion NEXTThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea . It hit the target level. BINANCE:BTCUSDT market is consolidating above the 80,000 level after breaking below the February low. Recently, a large weekly doji candle has formed, indicating a sideways movement. Currently, the price is trading within this week's range. Looking at the broader picture, we can see that the price action is narrow, and the market is creating a falling wedge pattern. Since the market is consolidating below the downward trendline, I anticipate a breakout above it, which would likely lead to further extension. If the price closes above the last week's high, we could see the formation of a solid inverse head and shoulders pattern in the market. My goal is resistance zone around 88,000
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This RUT/NDX ratio may convince you to buy NASDAQ aggressively.Nasdaq (NDX) has been under heavy selling pressure in the past 30 days. This short-term pull-back however is nothing but a buy opportunity on the long-term, and this study shows you why.
The answer lies on the RUT/NDX ratio which shows that this may be the time to get heavier on tech. The use of the Russell 2000 index (RUT) is due to the fact it represents a wider array of companies. Naturally over the years (this 1M chart shows data since 2006), the ratio declines within a Channel Down as historically the riskier tech sector attracts more capital and grows more.
However there are instances where Russell gains more against Nasdaq. We are currently though at a time where this isn't the case as the ratio seems to be ready for decline following the completion of a consolidation that on previous fractals (March 2015, September 2008) was bearish, thus positive for Nasdaq.
As you can see, this movements can be grasped by the Sine Waves, though not perfectly, but still good enough to understand the cyclical pattern we're in, also with the help of the 1M RSI Triangles.
Nasdaq (which is represented by the blue trend-line) has started massive expansion Channel Up patterns following this unique signal given by the RUT/NDX ratio. The first was right after the 2009 Housing Crisis bottom and the second during the 2015/ 2016 E.U., VW and Oil crisis.
The key here is on the 1M RSI. The Triangle is about to beak to the upside and every time this happened in the last 20 years, it coincided with a pull-back on Nasdaq (blue circle) similar to the current one. What followed was massive rallies each time.
As a result, this could be an indication that even though the tariffs have rattles investor confidence lately, this is an opportunity for a strong buy position for at least the rest of the year.
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GBPJPY 1D MA200 rejection. Channel Down sell signal.The GBPJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern and the recent Bullish Leg got rejected yesterday on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). If the 1D RSI closes below its MA trend-line, we will have the ideal sell confirmation signal.
Our Target is the top of the 4-month Support Zone at 188.550.
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COINBASE This is the time to buy and target $400Coinbase Global (COIN) has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the March 25 2024 High, so effectively a whole year. In the past 10 days it has been consolidating on top of the 1W MA100 (red trend-line), which is the natural long-term Support of the market.
During the same time it entered the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB) Buy Zone, consisting of the 3 SD (green trend-line) and 2 SD (blue trend-line) below levels, which has given the ultimate buy signals since the January 2023 market bottom. Practically, the stock is consolidating within the 2 SD below and 1W MA100, a tight buy range.
Given the symmetry of the Channel Down Bearish Legs (both -48.39%), we expect a similar symmetry on its Bullish Legs too. Since the previous one reached the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, we are confidently targeting $400 before this Cycle tops. That would also make a perfect entry within the MMB Sell Zone that consists of the Mean MM (black trend-line) and 1 SD above (grey trend-line).
Notice also how the 1W RSI touched the Support of the September 06 2024 Low.
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US500 Is Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for US500.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,657.57.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 5,809.58.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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SILVER Is Very Bullish! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 3,339.6.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 3,470.7 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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USDCAD Is Going Up! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for USDCAD.
Time Frame: 10h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is on a crucial zone of demand 1.437.
The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 1.446 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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GBPAUD Will Fall! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for GBPAUD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 2.060.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 2.029 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Gold weakens on news, could be squeezed.OANDA:XAUUSD continuing the upward price trend, but locally, the movement is within a very narrow channel (wedge pattern). To build potential for the next move, prices may form a prolonged consolidation before or at the time of news releases...
Fundamentally, gold remains an appreciating asset due to Fed rate cut forecasts and economic risks related to Trump's tariff policies. Gold reached new highs on Wednesday after the Fed reiterated plans for two rate cuts this year, raised inflation forecasts and worsened growth and employment estimates. Prices received additional support from escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with Israel announcing the resumption of ground operations in Gaza. Gold is forming a bullish market. Before further growth (ahead of news), prices may enter the liquidity zone (fvg, 3028, 3024), followed by continued increases. The dollar is in a local correction ahead of news, putting pressure on gold.
Resistance levels: 3046, 3051, 3056
Support levels: 3038, 3030, 3024
Price is forming a retest of the wedge support level, increasing the likelihood of a breakout. If support doesn't hold, price could decline to the above support levels before rising further. However! If gold bounces from 3038 and consolidates above 3044, the upward momentum will continue without a deep retreat.
90-91K seems interesting for short sellingMorning folks,
So, our worryings were not in vain - we've got action to 88-89K area. Now our 4H "222" Sell is completed.
At the same time, now we have the bigger one on a daily chart. Since 90-91K is a rather strong resistance area, we suggest that attempt to sell there should be relatively safe, once the upside AB=CD target around 90.5K will be completed.
So, I mark this idea as "bearish" although price could raise a bit more.