DXY Is Going Up! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 106.958.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 109.013 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Signals
GOLD Will Grow! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for GOLD.
Time Frame: 45m
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 2,643.843.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 2,651.719.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Lingrid | BNBUSDT Contraction-Expansion Pattern. Potential Long The price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target. BINANCE:BNBUSDT is currently moving sideways following the surge at the beginning of December. The lower highs and higher lows indicates that the price action is narrowing, suggesting a potential triangle pattern. This pattern is typically viewed as a trend continuation signal. The market is likely to continue its sideways movement, generating liquidity above and below the triangle formation, which could lead to a contraction-expansion scenario. I expect the price to dip below the psychological level of 700 before potentially bouncing off the channel border if bullish momentum builds after testing this support level. My goal is resistance zone around 760
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩💻
EURJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 161.281.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 159.582 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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US30 Will Go Lower! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for US30.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 43,616.98.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 43,408.72 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
GOLD is neutral on the most important event day of the weekOANDA:XAUUSD Spot delivery decreased under pressure from the US Dollar and US Treasury bond interest rates increased sharply. Strong US retail sales data caused gold prices to plummet to a week low of 2,633 USD/ounce yesterday trading day. Today (Wednesday), markets will focus on the Federal Reserve's final policy meeting of the year.
About economic data
US retail sales rose more than expected in November, fueling rising inflation data in recent months and suggesting the Federal Reserve may pause interest rate cuts in January next year.
Data released by the U.S. Department of Commerce on Tuesday showed retail sales rose 0.7% month-on-month in November, the highest growth rate since September and above the 0.6% gain. expected.
Retail sales data for the first two months of the year was revised upward and October data was revised from a monthly increase of 0.4% to 0.5%.
The most important event this trading week
On Thursday, the US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will announce its interest rate resolution and summary of economic expectations. The market generally expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points.
Investors will need to pay close attention to the meeting statement and the press conference held by Federal Reserve Chairman Powell after the meeting to further assess future policy trends.
The Fed's updated economic forecasts and Dotplot charts are also the focus of market attention as they could reshape expectations about the trajectory of interest rates in 2025 and 2026.
On Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell will hold a press conference on monetary policy. What Powell "breathes" out will create big fluctuations in the market.
The Chicago Mercantile Exchange's "FedWatch Tool" shows traders see a 95.4% chance the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday. Additionally, investors are betting that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 100 basis points by 2025.
So the question is whether the Fed will be more hawkish or dovish than the market expects. Because of Trump's victory, the market will have to reassess the Fed's interest rate expectations, and may need to be more cautious about further interest rate cuts at this time.
Analysis of technical prospects for OANDA:XAUUSD
On the daily chart, gold attempted to recover after testing the 0.618% Fibonacci level, a position that readers noticed in the previous issue.
Temporarily, the trend of gold prices is noticed by the price channel, however the position is quite neutral with price activity around EMA21 and the Relative Strength Index also sticking around 50.
Perhaps, the technical chart needs a sudden impact to create a trend, and considering the current position, gold could increase in price if it breaks above the 0.50% Fibonacci retracement level then the target level is about 2,676USD In the short term, more than $2,693.
On the other hand, if gold is sold below the 0.618% Fibonacci retracement support level, it could open a new bearish cycle with price activity returning to the price channel and the target then being around 2,591USD in the medium term.
During the day, the technical trend is neutral and notable points will be listed as follows.
Support: 2,634 – 2,603 – 2,600USD
Resistance: 2,663 – 2,676 – 2,693USD
SELL XAUUSD PRICE 2680 - 2678⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2684
→Take Profit 1 2673
↨
→Take Profit 2 2668
BUY XAUUSD PRICE 2621 - 2623⚡️
↠↠ Stoploss 2617
→Take Profit 1 2628
↨
→Take Profit 2 2633
GBPUSD: Breaking the trend line!GBPUSD is currently trading around 1.2705 and has not changed much since the start of the trading session.
Early Tuesday morning, data released by the UK Office for National Statistics (ONS) showed that the ILO Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 4.3% in the three months to October, as expected. During the period, Employment Change increased by 173,000, while annual wage inflation, measured by Average Earnings excluding bonuses, increased to 5.2% from 4.9%.
Although the negative shift in risk sentiment has helped the US dollar gain ground in the European session, the GBP/USD pair remains flat but could fall as the bullish trendline and technical factors are broken.
EUR/USD: Poised for a Reversal?On November 23, FOREXCOM:EURUSD broke below the critical 1.05 support zone, reaching a low of 1.0336. However, the pair quickly reversed course and has since been trading in a range between 1.0450 and 1.06.
A closer look at the price action suggests the pair has established a strong floor and is awaiting a catalyst for an upward reversal.
That catalyst could very well come today, with the anticipated Federal Reserve rate cut and subsequent press conference. Given the accumulated market tension, an accelerated move to the upside seems likely.
Key Levels to Watch :
Support: Any dips below 1.05 should be viewed as buying opportunities, with the potential for a rebound.
Resistance: A target around 1.0750 appears realistic in the current context.
Invalidation Level: If the price falls back below 1.04, this bullish scenario would be negated.
EurNzd could rise to 1.85On October 1st, EUR/NZD reached a local low at the psychological level of 1.75, followed by a reversal that lasted until November 1st, gaining nearly 1300 pips.
A normal correction then occurred, and from mid-November, the pair started consolidating between the 1.78 and 1.80 levels.
December brought a breakout above the key 1.80 level, and since then, EUR/NZD has been in a nice uptrend.
As of now, the price is 1.8230, and it looks like a breakout above resistance is imminent.
In this scenario, the next target for the bulls is the 1.85 level.
World gold price todayGold prices continued to weaken today due to stronger-than-expected important US economic news. The US retail sales report for November showed an increase of 0.7%, 0.2 percentage points higher than the forecast increase of 0.5%.
This information made some gold investors worry that the FED may postpone the 0.25 percentage point interest rate cut after the end of the monetary policy meeting in the early morning of December 19. Since then, many people have temporarily stopped trading gold.
On the other hand, gold is also likely to have limited purchasing power due to some forecasts of rising inflation in the US, a slowing labor market..., prompting the FED to stop cutting interest rates early in 2025. At that time, the USD could increase in value very strongly, negatively affecting the world gold price trend.
The question now is whether the Fed will be more hawkish or dovish than the market has been expecting. Investors are now expecting the Fed to be more cautious in easing monetary policy, given the impact of Donald Trump’s agenda on inflation.
GOLD 1HR CHART frame Gold appears to have significant potential for upward movement in the near future, with a higher likelihood of prices increasing based on current trends and market conditions. However, as with any trading activity, it's essential to exercise caution, conduct your own research, and manage risks effectively before making any decisions. Always trade at your own discretion and be prepared for potential market fluctuations.
ETH. Ethereum’s Potential Surge to $7,000. 12/18/24BINANCE:ETHUSDT
The current price of Ethereum is nearing a level historically associated with resistance to further growth. Specifically, ETH is attempting to surpass the $4,095 mark, and it will be intriguing to see if it succeeds. Should the price break through this resistance, a powerful upward movement could follow.
I recommend using the current chart and the $4,095 price level as a reference point for analyzing other altcoins. If Ethereum manages to break this level, it may influence the performance of other cryptocurrencies as well.
The all-time high is $4,868, and if the current resistance level ($4,095) is breached, the next growth target will be this historical peak.
Locally, we might witness a correction to around $3,800, followed by a rebound and further breakout to $4,000. In the case of a more significant correction, I plan to add to my position at the $3,618 level.
My targets for Ethereum in Q1 2025: $6,000–$7,000. Keep this in mind. Ultimately, what you decide to do is entirely up to you.
DYOR.
NOT 1D. Why I Avoid High-Risk Altcoins: Lessons from NotcoinBINANCE:NOTUSDT
Before investing in altcoins, it's crucial to thoroughly analyze them and understand the associated risks.
In classical investment strategies, two key factors are always relevant: buying at a good price and selling at the right time. For example, with Notcoin, after 114 days, the token price returned to the $0.007076 support level and showed only minor growth. In the same timeframe, Bitcoin and many altcoins have already doubled in value since August 2024. Let that sink in.
In my opinion, buying altcoins like Notcoin may not be advisable, as their growth is often less significant compared to Bitcoin and other major altcoins. This makes such investments risky, at least in my subjective view.
If you hold tokens obtained from airdrops, it’s essential to sell them when prices hit their peak (ideally at swing highs), as these tokens are likely to see a sharp decline after reaching their maximum value during overhyped periods.
Specific Outlook for #NOT:
I expect a correction to the $0.007076 support level, followed by a rebound to the $0.017544 resistance level. At that point, I plan to withdraw my initial investment and might even lock in some profits from my main position.
Overall, I urge you again to avoid taking excessive risks with altcoins. Diversify your portfolio and aim to sell these types of assets at their peak.
DYOR.
SOL 1D. Solana Ready for New Highs. 12/18/24Currently, the price has formed a "descending parallel channel" and is moving within its boundaries.
I expect Solana’s price to revisit the $200 level, which serves as a key support zone. After this return, I anticipate continued growth and a move toward a new all-time high.
Trade Plan:
EP (Entry Point): $202 - $196
TP (Take Profit): $240 - $260
SL (Stop Loss): $184 - $182
Personal Approach:
I plan to buy Solana on spot in the $186 - $156 range since I’m targeting $300 - $400 levels in the mid-term (expecting another correction as well). If my futures position hits stop-loss, I won’t be upset at all because my spot position will cover any losses — I’m confident in this!
What you should do is entirely up to you.
DYOR.
Oil Market Analysis - 17/12/2024The oil market is currently under pressure, with WTI down to $69.30 and Brent at $72.66. The main causes are:
Pemex Production Recovery: Oil platforms in the Gulf of Mexico have returned to full capacity after improved weather conditions and the end of the hurricane season. This has increased available supply, partially offsetting the decline in Russian production.
Decline in Russian Crude: Russian maritime oil exports have fallen by 11% since October due to maintenance at a key terminal. This has temporarily limited flows but has not significantly supported prices due to increased production from other sources like Pemex.
Strengthening US Dollar: The Dollar Index (DXY) is around 107.00, gaining strength thanks to preliminary US PMI data for December, which signals the fastest economic growth in 33 months, driven by the services sector. A strong dollar negatively impacts oil, making it more expensive for buyers using other currencies.
API Expectations: Crude inventory data from the API, scheduled for 21:30 GMT, could add volatility. Last week, there was a build of 0.499 million barrels.
EU Sanctions: The EU has imposed sanctions on a Dutch trader involved in trading Russian oil above the price cap. The impact on volumes remains limited for now.
Oil Technical Analysis
Price Range: Oil is trading within a range between $67.00 (support) and $71.50 (upper resistance), with this band likely extending into January 2025.
Resistance: The key resistance is located at $71.03 (100-day SMA) and $71.46, where prices encountered selling pressure last week.
A breakout above $71.03 could push prices toward $75.27, but caution is needed for quick profit-taking as the year-end approaches.
Support: The first solid support is at $67.12, a level that held prices in May-June 2023. A break below could see crude testing the 2024 yearly low at $64.75 and then $64.38, the 2023 low.
BTC IS BACK!!!hello friends
According to the registration of the new ceiling of Bitcoin, if the areas shown in the picture return, they can be good points for trading.
We have specified its targets for you in order.
This analysis is only checked from a technical point of view, so be sure to follow the capital management.
Support us if you like.
Be successful and profitable.
Alikze »» TONCOIN | Corrective scenario of ending wave 3💎 In the daily and weekly time, it is moving in an ascending channel, and currently the current wave of the 3rd ascending wave has started from the bottom of the channel.
💎 Scenario 1: Currently, it is placed in an important resistance, which according to the shaded area in the confirmation of its correction process, we can wait for the candle to confirm that this correction can continue until the green box area, which is also in the midline of the channel.
💎 Therefore, it is not recommended to buy at the moment and you should wait for the range break to continue the process.
🔔 Scenario 2: otherwise, correction should be seen up to the green box area. In case of a break, this upward trend can continue up to the channel ceiling.
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