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Lingrid | NOTUSDT potential REBOUND Amid Durov's SituationBINANCE:NOTUSDT is currently heading toward a support level following the breakout of a consolidation zone. The price experienced a significant sell-off after the arrest of Pavel Durov in France. In my view, the market is likely to break through this support and move lower toward the buying area situated between 0.00750 and 0.00650, where we could then anticipate a rebound. The price action appears to be setting up for a potential liquidity grab below the previous low, which could coincide with Durov's release from arrest—an event that would likely have a positive impact on the market sentiment. Additionally, on the weekly timeframe, the market is approaching a demand zone where we previously witnessed a substantial surge in price. This alignment of factors suggests that if the price does reach the 0.00750 to 0.00650 range, there may be a good opportunity for buyers to enter the market with potential for upward movement thereafter. It will be crucial to keep an eye on the key events surrounding Durov's situation as they could heavily influence market dynamics. My target is resistance zone around 0.01110 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
3
Lingrid | BITCOIN Leveraging the TRIANGLE PatternBINANCE:BTCUSDT has broken and closed above the triangle pattern, which is typically a trend continuation pattern. On the daily timeframe, nothing has fundamentally changed; the price simply bounced off the bottom of the consolidation zone. If you observe, there was accumulation around the 60,000 level, and the price may pull back toward this zone, bounce off then move up. I believe the market is in the process of creating the second extension leg of the triangle pattern. Additionally, on the weekly timeframe, the price has broken through the inside bar pattern, which is also a bullish sign. My target is resistance zone around 69,000 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
6
Identifying Market Correction EndpointsCorrection or trend? How deep is the correction if it exists? When can we expect a reversal? These are common questions among traders who utilize trend strategies. The foundation of trend trading systems rests on the understanding that a trend can become 'exhausted.' Prices cannot rise indefinitely nor plummet to zero. Unlike stocks, currency pairs operate within ranges established by central banks, leading to frequent reversals and corrections. Corrections differ from trends in both depth and duration. If the price retraces more than one-third of the previous trend's length after a reversal, it is often considered the beginning of a new trend rather than a mere correction, which is the basis for counter-trend strategies. However, local corrections can occur, enabling the trend to continue. Entering the market at the end of a correction allows traders to secure positions at optimal prices, which is the essence of swing trading. 📍 METHODS FOR DETERMINING THE END OF A CORRECTION 1. BY PATTERNS. This straightforward and logical approach relies on market psychology. As a trend ascends, more buyers enter the market. When news prompts some to sell, a correction occurs, causing temporary price declines. However, buyers often see this as a chance to purchase at lower prices. A key indicator of the end of this correction is a candle with a small body and a long downward wick, suggesting that selling pressure has subsided and buyers are stepping back in. 2. BY CANDLE BODY SIZE. The size of candle bodies reflects price movement. When candle bodies decrease in size during a correction, it indicates waning interest in the asset. In an upward trend that turns bearish, if the correction shows small candle bodies, it likely signals a recovery of the trend. Conversely, during a downtrend, large downward candlesticks signify strong selling, while small bodies during corrections suggest minimal price movement. 3. CHANGE IN TRADING VOLUMES. Similar to the analysis of candle bodies, observing changes in trading volumes can signal the end of a correction. A decline in volume may indicate that the correction is over. However, a limitation of this method in Forex trading is the absence of aggregated volume data, necessitating reliance on indicators that may show tick volumes or specific broker volumes. 4. FIBONACCI LEVELS. Based on mathematical concepts, Fibonacci levels help identify potential retracement points. The end of a correction is most likely to occur at the first or second Fibonacci level after a reversal. If the price retraces to the 50% level, it often indicates the potential continuation of the initial trend. 5. TECHNICAL INDICATORS. Technical indicators, particularly oscillators like the Stochastic and Relative Strength Index (RSI), can be valuable tools for identifying the end of a correction. When these oscillators reach overbought or oversold territories and subsequently reverse their direction, it often signals that the correction has concluded, indicating a potential resumption of the original trend. 6. FUNDAMENTAL FACTORS. Local reversals frequently occur in response to news events. For instance, a cryptocurrency might be on the rise, but negative news—such as a significant fund dumping its holdings or regulatory actions by the SEC—can lead to a temporary price pullback. However, if positive news later arises, it can trigger renewed buying interest, signaling the end of the correction and a potential return to upward momentum. 📍 CONCLUSION In trading, there are no infallible tools for pinpointing trends, corrections, or their respective beginnings and endings. A correction can seamlessly shift into a new trend, while a reversal following a correction may lead to a false breakout. Given these uncertainties, it is prudent to combine multiple analytical tools into a cohesive signal system. By doing so, we can enhance our decision-making process and improve ability to interpret market movements. Additionally, it is essential to test this system against historical price data to ensure its effectiveness and reliability in various market conditions. This comprehensive approach allows us to better navigate the complexities of the market and make more informed trading decisions. Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
Education
by Lingrid
14
GOLD Analysis | Mines & World Events | OfficialKieranTrewick | Gold In Depth Weekly Analysis Gold Mine Productions : XAUUSD Surged last week reaching 2 new all time highs of $2,500 and $2,530 amidst ongoing tensions in the middle east, BTC reaching over 90% mined whilst Gold mine productions are struggling to reach the last few years production ratio as they declare it is getting harder to find the precious metal, although the first quarter of 2024 we saw production increase by 4% essentially we have not seen any growth since 2016/2018 with the annual production rate staying around 3,000 tons. New deposits are becoming increasingly harder to find although we have seen some over the recent years such as the current most productive mine based in Uzbekistan and China still leading the race with Australia following closely behind but one thing they have in common is reports of increasingly difficult new metal deposits found. Aside from the discovery process, government permits getting harder to secure and requiring more time to come through have made mining more difficult. Securing licenses and permits needed before mining companies can start operations can take several years. USD News Correlations : Moving onto recent USD events where we saw that the asian markets have remained cautious this Friday as investors closely watch for US Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's speech at Jackson Hole, seeking new insights into the future direction of interest rates. Traders are anticipating significant rate cuts from the Fed due to indications of a weakening labor market. This risk-averse sentiment has driven increased demand for safe-haven assets like US government bonds, leading to lower Treasury yields and a decline in the US Dollar. The Dollar's weakness is also compounded by a fresh round of selling against the Japanese Yen, following hawkish comments from Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda, who spoke to the parliament on Friday. Governor Ueda reiterated his readiness to hike interest rates if inflation appears set to consistently reach the 2.0% target, though he expressed caution about potential instability in financial markets. Gold, despite a recent recovery, seems poised for its second consecutive weekly decline, with a Fed rate cut in September widely expected. However, Powell's upcoming remarks will be key in determining the extent of future easing measures. On Thursday, gold prices fell by about 1% as the US Dollar bounced back strongly from over a one-year low against other major currencies, amid deteriorating risk sentiment spurred by disappointing US S&P Global business PMI and Jobless Claims data. Additionally, traders have been adjusting their positions ahead of Powell's anticipated speech at Jackson Hole on Friday. Gold prices rebounded on Friday after two days of losses, rising as the dollar and Treasury yields fell sharply. This came after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell confirmed expectations for upcoming interest rate cuts. At the Jackson Hole conference, Powell stated that the Fed is prepared to lower interest rates from their current peak as the labor market shows signs of slowing. He emphasized that future rate cuts would depend on economic data and risks. Following Powell's remarks, the dollar index dropped 0.83 points to 100.67, and Treasury yields also declined, with the two-year note at 3.926% and the ten-year note at 3.817%. JPY News Correlation : According to Market Analyst Konstantin Oldenburger from CMC Markets, the relationship between the Japanese Yen and gold prices has strengthened once again, and a stronger Yen could be a positive sign for gold. Oldenburger noted that the Bank of Japan might have stepped in to stabilize the weakened Yen last Thursday. He suggested that such interventions could become more feasible if the Federal Reserve shifts its monetary policy stance. He further explained that U.S. stocks generally perform well when interest rates are high because liquidity flows back into the USD. However, when rates decrease, this liquidity tends to exit the dollar and seek alternative investments globally. "The Yen could gain from this reallocation," he remarked. After the U.S. released its June CPI data last Thursday, the USD/JPY pair dropped over 2%, sparking speculation that Japan’s Ministry of Finance had intervened. It is noted that hedge funds currently have limited long positions in the Yen and mainly hold short positions, which could need to be covered if a short squeeze occurs. If the Yen continues to strengthen, hedge funds may be under more pressure to reduce these short positions. Historically, a stronger Yen has been positively correlated with gold prices, suggesting that gold could also see gains. Gold prices continued to climb on Tuesday due to increased safe-haven demand from China. The People’s Bank of China (PBoC) issued new import quotas for gold to banks, sparking speculation about a surge in demand, according to broker SP Angel. The demand for gold as a safe haven in China rose after Chinese 10-year government bond yields hit record lows last week, leading Chinese investors to look for alternative safe-haven assets, with gold being a prime choice and as we know the chinese yuan is heavily correlated with the japanese yen. Conclusion With gold currently priced at $2,511.36, the outlook remains bullish in the short to medium term, especially if current economic uncertainties persist or worsen. Monitoring central bank policies, inflation data, and geopolitical events will be crucial for assessing how high gold prices could go from here. The potential for reaching $2,600 or even higher is present, particularly if market conditions align favorably for gold. What are your thoughts on Gold and its future outlook, let me know in the comments below!
BLACKBULL:XAUUSDLong
by OfficialKieranTrewick
Lingrid | BITCOIN Compression Before ExtensionBINANCE:BTCUSDT market has made a strong bounce off a key support level, successfully taking liquidity at the previous month's low. On the daily chart, the market showed choppy price action over the past week, leading to a consolidation phase within a narrow range. Notably, the weekly timeframe has formed an inside bar pattern, indicating potential indecision among traders. If the price breaks and closes above 63,000, this would provide a strong bullish signal that could propel the market towards the next resistance level at 73,000. I believe that the market is likely to continue the upward momentum, particularly if it rejects the previous week's low. On the 1H timeframe, we are observing a classic triangle pattern, suggesting that the price may continue to oscillate within this formation before making a decisive move. My goal is resistance zone at 63,400 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
7
Lingrid | AVAXUSDT shows BULLISH sign. POTENTIAL LongBINANCE:AVAXUSDT has finally broken out of the consolidation zone that has been forming since the beginning of August. On the weekly timeframe, the market displayed an inside bar formation, and the price has now surged above it, which is a bullish sign. Like many altcoins, the market has tested historical lows, and in this case, the price revisited levels from November 2023, where we previously saw a significant price surge from this area. On the 4H timeframe, the price action has also broken through a triangle pattern, signaling the end of an accumulation phase around 20.00 and potential bullish move. I expect the market retest the channel border and upward trendline. My target is resistance zone around 27.50 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
2
Lingrid | EURJPY consolidating MARKET. LongFX:EURJPY has formed a large triangle pattern and has broken through the upward trendline that had been respected multiple times before. On the daily timeframe, we can see that the price was consolidating following a significant sell-off. It is now approaching the support level where a bullish impulse occurred previously. I believe the market will bounce off the bottom of the consolidation zone as well as psychological level at 161.000 and retest the middle of the triangle pattern. My goal is resistance zone around 162.290 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
7
Lingrid | GOLD price ACTION Ahead of POWELL's "Reality CHECK"OANDA:XAUUSD is eagerly awaiting the upcoming speech from Powell, which is sure to have a significant impact on the markets. Overall, the price has bounced back from the area I highlighted in my weekly forecast. Currently, it is trading around the psychological level of 2500, and there is potential for it to push upward toward the next resistance level at 2600. With that said, I anticipate volatility in the market, which could lead to breakouts from the previous day's highs or lows. If Powell hints at a future rate cut, I believe we could easily reach 2550. My target is resistance zone around 2545.000 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
4
Lingrid | EURCAD broke KEY Trendline SUPPORTFX:EURCAD has established a divergence and formed a double top at the resistance zone. It recently broke through a trendline that had been supporting the price for an extended period. This break and subsequent close below the trendline signal a bearish outlook. Additionally, the price bounced off the resistance area, leading to a bearish impulse leg. I anticipate the market will move downward towards the support level, retracing from resistance to test the channel boundary. My goal is to support level at 1.50650 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Short
by Lingrid
6
Lingrid | TONUSDT remains Stagnant in SIDEWAYS MovementOKX:TONUSDT continues to move sideways on the daily timeframe, with the price consolidating above 6.00 and below 7.00. This suggests that the market is in an accumulation phase. On the weekly timeframe, the price remains within the range established in the previous week. It's important to note that the price has broken and closed above the 6.00 level, which has historically acted as a strong support level. Given these conditions, it appears that the market will likely stay within this consolidation zone until August. My target is resistance zone around 7.660 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
3
Gold Trading Strategy: Resistance at 2520 Reinforces Bearish OutIn my analysis yesterday, I mentioned that Gold could start correcting, and that rallies should be sold. This prediction played out as expected: after attempting to rise above the 2520 mark, the price began to decline, reaching an intraday low just below the critical 2500 level. Although the bulls tried to regain control, they faltered again around the 2520 level, indicating a strong resistance at this point. This suggests that a solid ceiling has formed at 2520, and further declines in Gold's price are likely. As of now, the price is hovering just above 2500, and my strategy remains unchanged: sell during rallies. The first target for the bears could be the support zone around 2485. However, in my opinion, if the price decisively breaks below 2500, a more appropriate target would be 2460. This bearish outlook would be negated by a daily close above 2520.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by Mihai_Iacob
9
BankNifty Prediction for Tomorrow : 23 August 2024BankNifty Prediction for Tomorrow: 23 August 2024 The market was pretty much sideways today. According to the Risological swing trader: The Trailing stop loss is at 50,675 If the event of a gap down tomorrow morning, and closes below 50,675 in 15m candle close, I will be looking at buying PE side positions. If it continues the upside movement, the upper targets are as follows. These are also the resistance zones. Resistance: 51,430 - 52,108 - 52, 527 Trailing stop loss - 50,675
NSE:BANKNIFTYLong
by ProfitsNinja
Lingrid | GOLD Weekly PRICE ACTION OutlookOANDA:XAUUSD surged to a new all-time high on Friday, breaking through previous resistance zones. The price reached 2,508 and closed with a huge bullish candle, signaling the continuation of the upward trend. This strong momentum suggests that further gains are likely for the upcoming week. On the two-week timeframe, there's a clear break and close above the July high, suggesting further extension toward the 2,550 resistance level, particularly since the inside bar pattern has been activated. On the daily timeframe, the market has also broken and closed above the triangle pattern, which is a classic trend continuation setup. The price action appears to be forming an AB = CD movement, with the D point projected around the 2,550 level. Several factors suggest that the gold market could continue to rise up to 3000. Central banks around the world are increasing their gold purchases, and with interest rates beginning to decline, gold is becoming more attractive to investors. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions and economic uncertainties further support this bullish outlook. Therefore, any short-term pullbacks present attractive buying opportunities for traders. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by Lingrid
38
Lingrid | AUDNZD potential LONG from the SUPPORT zoneThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. FX:AUDNZD has recently pulled back to the support area following a strong bullish impulse move. Although the price broke and closed below the previous range zone, a bullish divergence is emerging as the price approaches the support level. This price action is creating a complex pullback, suggesting that the bearish momentum may be losing strength. I believe that the market will likely consolidate in this area before potentially bouncing off the support level, as it appears to be oscillating around a key psychological level. I anticipate a move toward this level. My goal is resistance zone around 1.1000 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
5
Lingrid | TRXUSDT continues TRENDING. Pullback tradeThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. BINANCE:TRXUSDT has pulled back after a recent surge. The market recently broke and closed above the flag pattern, and the price has retraced approximately 38.2% of the preceding bullish move. It has now reached a resistance zone that was last tested in 2021. The price also managed to pull back to the previous higher high zone, from which it has already begun to bounce. If we examine the weekly timeframe, we can observe that the market has broken through a giant triangle pattern, indicating a potential continuation of the trend. My target is resistance zone around 0.1670 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
Long
by Lingrid
1
Bitcoin- back to channels resistance?Since March, Bitcoin has been trading within a clear downward channel, making lower highs and lower lows. While this suggests a downtrend, it should be viewed as a correction within the broader uptrend that began in early 2023. From a long-term perspective, Bitcoin needs to clear the 68k level to aim for new all-time highs. In the short term, the sharp reversal from just below 50k has been significant, and it’s possible that a higher low has formed around 56k. However, for the next upward move to gain traction, bulls must break through the local resistance at 61.5k. If this resistance is cleared, the price could once again test the falling trend line, which currently lies around 68k.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Mihai_Iacob
1
Lingrid | MATICUSDT tested June 2022 HISTORICAL Support LEVELBINANCE:MATICUSDT has reached the demand zone that was last tested in June 2022. The market formed a long-tailed bar on the weekly timeframe, indicating level rejection and a potential bullish move. Additionally, it broke and closed above the accumulation zone, which is another positive sign. I believe the market may rise to retest the resistance if the price remains above the 0.400 level. I expect it to break through the channel and continue its bullish trajectory. Keep an eye on the closure for August, as the price action on the monthly chart is creating another significant long-tailed bar. My goal is the resistance at 0.500 Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 👩‍💻
MLong
by Lingrid
2