DXY could rise back to 106.50 resistanceThe beginning of May marked the start of a correction for the DXY, with the index dropping from 106.50 to the 104 support zone.
However, after finding support around 104 and undergoing a few days of consolidation, the much stronger-than-expected NFP data last Friday led to a reversal for the US Dollar, as evidenced by a significant bullish engulfing pattern on our daily chart.
Yesterday, the index also broke above horizontal resistance, and at the time of writing, the price is 105.18.
I expect the uptrend to continue, potentially leading to a new test of the recent high at 106.50.
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Lingrid | NZDUSD strong RESISTANCE rejectionThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It hit the target level. After an initial impulsive movement, FX:NZDUSD is now consolidating and gradually retracing back to the resistance zone. However, price action has failed to break and close above the key level of 0.62000, which suggests that a more substantial pullback is likely to occur. The weekly chart shows a strong rejection of the resistance level, as indicated by the formation of a long-tailed bar. Given this resistance, I anticipate a 50% retracement of the current price action, followed by a resumption of the trend towards the lower boundary of the upward channel. My goal is the support level at 0.60830
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XauUsd- Trend reversal? Will it drop under 2200?Last week was volatile and, most importantly, an interesting week for XAU/USD traders. In light of new developments in the market, a more in-depth analysis is needed to address the question of whether gold will drop to 2200.
Weekly Chart Analysis:
Initial Observations:
As we can see, 2024 started with consolidation and a slight correction of the initial leg up. Since mid-February, there has been a very strong bullish leg, approximately 5,000 pips. During this bull leg, there was only a brief consolidation and no significant correction.
Bearish Signals:
After reaching an all-time high, we witnessed a normal correction.
However, things have become very interesting.
The price resumed its upward movement and made a new all-time high, but the bulls were unable to keep the price above 2400.
The following week, we saw a very strong bearish engulfing pattern, a small pin bar after, followed by an extremely bearish candle last week.
This long-tailed bearish candle engulfed the previous pin bar, indicating a probable top formation.
The price stopped on Friday at a level of support and I believe that in the coming weeks, we will see a drop below this support, potentially leading to a significant drop to the level of consolidation.
Daily Chart Analysis:
Detailed Observations:
On the daily chart, the level of support is more evident.
We saw an initial drop and a new attempt to conquer 2400, followed by another drop and consolidation.
On Friday, we observed an extremely large bearish engulfing candle, with the price stopping at a level of support.
There is a potential head and shoulders pattern with the neckline around the current support level.
If we consider this head and shoulders pattern and take the measured target, it suggests a drop below 2200, around 2180 zone.
Current Expectations:
At this moment, we are at a very important level of support.
After this nearly 1,000 pip drop from the top, I expect a correction to test the resistance zone towards 2325, followed by a continuation to the downside and a break below support level (2285 zone).
Trading Strategy:
Aggressive and Conservative Approaches:
Aggressive traders might look to buy around the current support level but should be cautious due to the very aggressive nature of Friday's drop.
There are multiple resistance levels to consider as targets, starting at the psychological level of 2300 and finishing with 2325 important one.
However, in my opinion, a more conservative approach is better: selling rallies rather than buying at the support level.
Conclusion:
My outlook on gold is extremely bearish.
In the coming weeks, I expect a drop to 2200 and potentially below.
Alikze »» WAVES | Ready to retest the necklineIn the daily time, the long-term survey indicated that it is in wave 3 or C. that wave C had the ability to return to 100% of its previous wave, after which it entered the corrective phase.
💎But at the moment, due to the fact that it has faced demand in the green box in the 8H time, it will have the ability to retest up to the neck line area and supply.
💎 In the future, if it can break the supply area, the process will be reversed, and I will update it if the behavior and structure change.
💎 Alternative scenario: If the green box is broken, the correction can continue up to the $1.95 range.
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Lingrid | ADAUSDT byuing OPPORTUNUTY at LOWER pricesThe price perfectly fulfilled my previous idea. It bounced off the resistance zone. BINANCE:ADAUSDT plummeted downwards, shattering support levels in its wake. Failing to break and close below the crucial 0.50 level, was merely a precursor to a more significant correction, which has recently unfolded. I believe the market may now be poised to revisit its recent support levels and channel boundary, potentially offering a chance to re-enter the market at more attractive prices. On the daily timeframe, the market remains within a developing range zone, which is taking shape as a triangle pattern. In my opinion, this presents a compelling opportunity to capitalize on lower prices by buying into the market. My goal is the resistance zone 0.4700
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TRUUSDT(TrueFi) Daily tf Range Updated till 10-06-24TRUUSDT(TrueFi) Daily timeframe range. another alt doing pretty well while market is down. trying to break out of 0.24465 if volume can keep up its possible. if we get a valid close above 0.24465 than till 0.31015 is open. local support is at 0.18236.
Lingrid | EURUSD GAP down MONDAY openingIn the aftermath of high-impact news, FX:EURUSD has rebounded off the resistance level, triggering a significant impulsive move. On the weekly chart, a long-tailed bar suggests that price may be poised to break below the psychologically significant level of 1.07000. The morning's gap opening has led to anticipate a pullback to this gap, which will likely be followed by a further downward correction. As the market typically fills gaps, which serve as both support and resistance zones, I expect this gap to act as a key area of convergence. On the 4H timeframe, price action has broken and closed below the upward channel, signaling a potential bearish momentum shift. Based on this development, I expect this bearish momentum to continue. My goal is the support level at 1.07000
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PEOPLEUSDT(ConstitutionDAO) Daily tf Range Updated till 09-06-24PEOPLEUSDT(ConstitutionDAO) Daily timeframe range. while many things down this thing absolutely ruling. i had one position from 0.05401 bagging good profits their. now its trying to break 0.14054 if it does 0.18880 got chance to visit. recent retrace point is at 0.10456.
Lingrid | BNBUSDT in CORRECTION phaseThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. BINANCE:BNBUSDT has reached an all-time high, riding a wave of momentum as it continues to make higher highs on the daily chart. The recent breakout and close above the massive range zone has been a significant development. Meanwhile, on the 4H timeframe, the market is showing a typical pullback after an impulse move, which is a natural corrective process. It's essential to pay attention to the weekly candle's close, as this will provide valuable insights into the market's future direction. Based on the current trend, I expect the market to experience a squeeze before extending its upward trajectory, potentially forming another compression channel in the process. My goal is recent highs around 730.00
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Alikze »» MKR | Retest the bottom of the ascending channelIn the daily time, it is moving in an upward channel, which faced selling pressure after reacting to the supply zone and not being able to break the zone.
💎 Currently, according to the momentum and downward guard, after an attempt to the midline of the channel, it is continuing to correct to the bottom of the channel.
💎 According to the trading node and the previous major ceiling, this correction can continue until the green box area.
💎 Therefore, it is expected that after one attempt to the area, the correction will continue until the green box area.
💎 In addition, if it has the ability to break the supply area of the red box, it can retest the previous ceiling.
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Alikze »» CELR | Wave 3 or C ascending super cycle scenarioIn the weekly period, in its growth period, it went through a complete upward cycle up to the range of 0.19870, after which it entered a correction that occurred in the form of a three-wave in the weekly period of this correction. Currently, after exiting the density and a pullback to the bullish dynamic trigger, it has entered the continuation of the upward trend. In the short-term cycle, there was an upward wave, which can be called the current correction wave 2 out of 3 ascending wave, which can continue this correction in the range of the green box or trigger, and after that it enters wave 3 out of 3, which has the ability to grow up to the range of 1.618 will have But in the super cycle itself, the specified goals will be accessible with the invalidity limit of the analysis of the range of 0.1047
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Alikze »» IOTA |Pullback to dynamic trigger is brokenAccording to the previous analysis , he was able to touch the first supply area of the 0.43 range with the flag pattern.
💎 But now in the 4H time, after exiting the density and breaking the dynamic trigger, it can now touch the specified areas and also the first supply area with the support of the green box area.
💎 Alternative scenario: if the green box is broken, the correction can be extended up to the Fibo range of 1.272.
🟩Sup: 0.2075 ~ 0.2136
⛳️Tp 1:0.2320
⛳️ Tp2 : 0.2441
⛳️ Tp3 : Red Box
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Alikze »» SUI | Wave 3 or short-term bullish C scenario🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or short-term bullish C scenario
- It has a bullish guard in the 4H time frame.
- After an upswing to the 1.172 range, it has had a zigzag correction.
💎 Currently, according to the upward momentum, it can have a pullback to the broken structure (green box) to continue the upward trend.
- The 1.025 area can be used as a support to continue the path.
- This ascending wave can be in the form of ascending wave 3 or C in the short term. Therefore, 💎 the first target of that supply range is the 0.78 fibo range and after that the ceiling of the channel is the 1.29 range.
💎 If the upward trend continues, it can be considered as a support for the next supply area after the failure of the supply area.
💎 In addition, if the previous floor range is broken, it can invalidate the bullish scenario, in which case it should be updated.
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Gold's Inverted Head & Shoulders: Bullish Run to $2400?Hi Realistic Traders, let's delve into the technical analysis of OANDA:XAUUSD
Gold has rebounded around the EMA200 line more than three times, simultaneously forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern. Recently, it broke the neckline with a bullish marubozu candlestick, a strong indicator of potential bullish continuation. This breakout, coupled with the bullish candlestick, suggests a likely move to the designated first target area. Afterward, we anticipate a minor pullback before a continued rise to the second target at $2428.
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/support area is reached.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on GOLD."
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Gold- NFP could bring reversalIn my video yesterday, I mentioned a possible upward continuation for gold and identified 2355 as the buy zone.
Indeed, the price reversed upward precisely from that zone and reached a local high of around 2388.
However, the rise after breaking the resistance is overlapping, indicating selling at higher levels. Additionally, the recent upward movement is contained within a rising wedge, suggesting a potential reversal.
My strategy is to sell rallies around 2400, targeting a level near yesterday's low.
In the longer term, if the bulls are unable to maintain the 2350 zone, there is still the possibility of a drop below 2300.
Lingrid | BITCOIN range BREAKOUT Potentially Leading to $80KBINANCE:BTCUSDT is gradually gaining momentum, breaking through the range zone and breaking through the downward trendline - a significant bullish indication. Moreover, the market has closed above the crucial 70,000 level, as well. Notably, the price action is showing a consistent pattern of higher highs and higher lows, invalidating the previous two highs. I expect a short-term correction to retest the support level, followed by a subsequent upward movement from that support level to the recent all-time high and potentially beyond. My target is the key resistance zone at 73,700.
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Lingrid | LINKUSDT breakout of the CHHANEL and Bullish MOMENTUMFollowing a strong bullish impulse, BINANCE:LINKUSDT has rolled back towards the support level, which is a key area of interest. As we can see, the price is currently consolidating within a range zone, oscillating between the upper and lower boundaries. I believe the price may retest the local high and potentially break out of the channel, which would be a bullish signal. Notably, there is accumulation activity taking place in the 17.00-17.50 price zone, indicating that investors are building positions in this area. Given the bullish trend on the daily timeframe, I expect the price to continue its upward momentum from the support level and break out of the downward channel, providing further confirmation of the trend's strength. My goal is resistance zone 18.400
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Lingrid | GOLD correction and UPWARD CONTINUATIONThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target. OANDA:XAUUSD has made a pullback to the support level, currently testing the previous daily low and key level at 2350. I believe the market may consolidate within the 2400-2350 range, and potentially continuing the current trend as it has broken out of the range zone. The price is rolling back to retest the pattern, and I expect a retest of the recent resistance zone if the market bounces off the support level. If the market breaks and closes below the support level, it would likely be a return back into the range zone. My goal is the resistance zone around 2378.
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Lingrid | AUDCHF bearish MOMENTUM. ShortThe price perfectly fulfilled my last idea. It hit the target. FX:AUDCHF market has made a significant breakthrough, piercing through the previously established range zone and key level at 0.6000 after forming a double top at the resistance zone. This price action has sent the market towards the lower border of the upward channel. As a result, I anticipate a pullback to the resistance zone and the downward trendline before the trend continues in its new direction. I expect the price to absorb liquidity above the highs and then begin a downward movement, as the daily timeframe has shifted to a bearish trend. My goal is to support at 0.58800
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Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to resistance area 2404.446.Dear colleagues, the markup turned out to be rather unusual, but I still assume that the price is headed for a correction in wave “4” (2328.823). This may mean that the price will soon start an upward movement at least to the area of the nearest resistance at 2404.446.
After confirmation of this movement we will consider options for further upward movement.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!