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USD Index at 104 Resistance: Strategies for the Next MoveIn early October, I wrote that the multiple attempts to break below the support level given by the beginning of the year price were likely false breaks.
I suggested that the DXY (U.S. Dollar Index) was primed for a reversal to the upside, which could potentially push the price toward the 104 resistance level.
As anticipated, the USD Index reversed and touched this key resistance.
Looking ahead, a correction from this point seems probable, with the 102.50 zone being a possible target in the coming days.
My strategy is to look for buying opportunities in EUR/USD and AUD/USD.
Dollar Index Consolidation: Will NFP Trigger an Upside Breakout?Since its recent touch on the support zone back in August, the U.S. Dollar Index ( TVC:DXY ) has entered a period of consolidation, characterized by multiple attempts to break through this critical support level.
Despite several instances where the price briefly dipped below the technical support zone, each time, the market witnessed a strong reversal, with bulls stepping in to defend the level successfully.
From my perspective, we are nearing a potential upside reversal, and the upcoming Non-Farm Payroll report on Friday could serve as the catalyst for this move.
Currently, 102 is the key level to watch for confirmation of an upward breakout. Should the DXY break above this threshold, the next reasonable target would be around 104, marking a significant bullish shift in momentum.
Trading minute impulseOn the minute timeframe of XAUUSD at the moment we have the completion of the impulse formation. If the price continues to move in the direction of the impulse and the support zones do not allow it to overcome the base of the impulse, it may reach the targets 1 and 2. If the price fails to advance in the direction of the momentum and overcomes the support zone at the base of the momentum, it is very likely that the price will move sideways or against the direction of the momentum.
Alikze »» GALA | Wave 3 or C scenario - 8H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or 3 scenario in the ascending channel
- In the 8H frame, it is moving in an ascending channel.
- So far, a movement cycle AB=CD within the ascending channel has grown to the size of 0.78 fibo.
- After that, it had a corrective cycle up to the green box range, which has met with demand again.
- Currently, it is in the middle of the channel, which can continue its growth by breaking it up to the limit of the first supply area (the ceiling of the channel).
💎 After that, if it has a soft and zigzag correction, it can continue its growth with a bullback to the broken structure (minor ceiling) in the ascending channel until the second supply area as wide as the first channel.
⚠️Note: In addition, if the current price enters the corrective phase and touches the Invalidation LVL area, the bullish scenario is invalidated and must be reviewed and updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:GALAUSDT
After Record Highs, Is Gold Primed for a Short-Term Correction?Since Tuesday, after OANDA:XAUUSD completed a brief correction following the previous week’s rally, the price has surged approximately 1000 pips from its low to high.
During the Asian session last night, Gold hit yet another all-time high, though it’s now experiencing a minor pullback.
While the overall trend remains strongly bullish, a correction from this level is not out of the question.
The price could potentially retest the support zone formed by the previous all-time high around 2685-2690.
A confirmation of this correction would come if the price clears Friday’s close, and in that case, the recent ATH could act as short-term resistance.
Aggressive traders may look to take advantage of this correction, while swing traders might prefer to wait for the correction to complete and then rejoin the dominant uptrend at more favorable prices.
Alikze »» ADA | Upward wave 3 scenario - 12H🔍 Technical analysis: Upward wave 3 scenario - 12H
- In the analysis presented earlier in the weekly time frame, after the correction in the green box, it is currently in the range of the green box, which can continue its upward trend if it stabilizes above the green box.
- In the 12-hour time frame, it is moving in an ascending channel, so far it has reacted positively to the dynamic trigger of the bottom of the channel several times.
- Currently, a motivational wave has been created in the area of the bottom of the channel, which can continue its advance until the middle of the channel and the supply area.
💎 According to the previous zigzag movements, the recent correction in the bottom of the channel has been a response to the AB=CD movement cycle.
⚠️In addition, if the Invalidation LVL area is touched, the ascending scenario is invalidated and must be updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:ADAUSDT
Hellena | GOLD (4H): Long to 2712 (Where is the end of wave 3? )Friends, I am wary of giving any long-term forecasts, because an interesting situation has developed at the moment.
I believe that the big wave “3” is coming to an end. But it is difficult to say exactly where. Now the price continues its upward movement and I will trade in small intervals.
At the moment I think that the price will rise a little more to the area of 2712. After that I will expect a correction and then we will think where and how we will see wave “5”.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): Long to 61.8% - 100% lvl 67,912.Dear colleagues, after last week's good forecast, I realized that the upward movement is not over yet.
The price is probably moving in wave “3” of higher order and wave “3” of lower order.
Therefore, I believe that the price will correct a bit and continue the upward movement to the 67.912 area. These are the levels of 61.8% - 100% Fibonacci extension.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Silver Shines Brighter: A Bullish Run to $39.62 After Rate Cut?Hey Realistic Traders, let’s dive into the analysis of OANDA:XAGUSD
On the daily timeframe, silver has consistently traded above the EMA100, signaling a strong bullish trend. Additionally, it has broken through the upper trendline of a wide descending broadening wedge pattern . This breakout, confirmed by a bullish Marubozu candlestick, indicates strong buyer momentum. The MACD’s bullish crossover further supports the expectation of continued upward movement.
With these technical indicators in alignment, we anticipate silver advancing toward Target Area 1 at 36.76 and potentially reaching Target Area 2 at 39.62. However, the support level at 27.59 remains critical; a break below this level could invite bearish pressure.
In the broader macroeconomic landscape, central banks across multiple countries are enacting rate cuts to stimulate growth amid slowing economic conditions. Combined with declining manufacturing PMIs, geopolitical tensions, and the US-China economic slowdown, these factors heighten uncertainty. As a result, safe-haven assets like silver and gold are expected to benefit, as investors seek protection against market volatility. This influx of demand may provide further upward momentum for silver prices.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on Silver.
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Alikze »» ENS | Corner pattern formation - 4H🔍 Technical analysis: Corner pattern formation - 4H
- It is moving in a corner pattern in the 4-hour time frame.
- Due to the formation of the Double Bottom pattern, higher floors and higher ceilings have been formed in the range of 15.80.
- Therefore, it can continue its growth with pullback to the range of 17.50 to the dynamic trigger and form a newer ceiling.
- In addition, with the failure of the dynamic trigger, it can continue to grow until the supply area.
💎 Alternative scenario:
If the green box is broken sharply, it can continue its dynamic correction (origin of movement) until the bottom of the trigger.
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BINANCE:ENSUSDT
Alikze »» ALPHA | Movement in the descending channel🔍 Technical analysis: Movement in the descending channel
- In the 1D and 1W time frames, it is moving in a descending channel.
- It has encountered support in the range of the green box.
- Due to the change in structure and behavior in the 1D time frame, it can have an upward movement up to the limit of the ceiling of the descending channel.
💎 If the current rising wave is accelerated, after hitting the first supply area which is the neck line of the previous corrective wave, it can continue the upward trend after a temporary correction to the next supply area.
⚠️ In addition, if the floor of the previous range is touched, the bullish scenario will be invalidated and must be reviewed and updated again.⚠️
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BINANCE:ALPHAUSDT
Silver’s Explosive Move: Why Buying Dips Below $33 Could Pay OffAfter a minor correction at the start of last week and two days of tight range consolidation, OANDA:XAGUSD surged on Friday, gaining approximately 2000 pips.
More importantly, though, it broke above the key resistance zone at 32.35-32.50, in what appears to be an attempt to catch up with Gold’s performance.
As mentioned in my previous analyses, my target for Silver remains around the 35 resistance level.
Now, with this decisive breakout to the upside, it looks like 35 could be the next target in the coming week.
Given this setup, a strong strategy would be to buy on dips, ideally below the 33 level.
This approach could offer an attractive 1:4 risk-to-reward ratio, depending on the stop loss placement.
Alikze »» CATS | Wave 3 or C bullish scenario - 2H🔍 Technical analysis: Wave 3 or C bullish scenario - 2H
- In the 2H time frame, it is moving in an ascending channel, which is recently seen in the 0.38 Fibo retracement range of the previous wave of a morning star candlestick pattern.
- Therefore, if the Fibo range is not broken, it can have an upward wave according to the current momentum up to the middle range of the channel.
💎 In the future, with the continuation of the upward pattern, it will have the ability to reach the supply range.
⚠️ In addition, if the bottom of the previous wave is touched, the bullish scenario will be invalidated. ⚠️
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KUCOIN:CATSUSDT