Today's GOLD trading strategyYesterday, gold prices' big movements were mainly seen in the first 30 minutes of the Asian session. The price climbed $10. And in the U.S. session, due to risk aversion, XAUUSD also rose $10. Bulls were relatively strong. However, the optimistic expectations for rate cuts still need to be verified or falsified by the December key data. Currently, the risk aversion sentiment is a more important factor. It may gradually fade, but in trading, we need to see what happened rather than guessing. Don't trade in advance.
Currently, bulls are strong, but the price still cannot break above the 2090-2095 range. If there is no big stimulus, it will be difficult to rise above that range in the near future. If the price of gold enter that area, it may be a good selling opportunity.
Technical analysis on the 1D frame stochastic is in the overbought area, but RSI is not in the overbought area, the histogram has begun to grow higher, on the H4 frame stochastic has been in the overbought area for a long time, RSI has entered the Overbought area, on the weekly chart stochastic is falling very strongly so gold is likely to decrease.
Signalsfree
GBPJPY is likely to rise as it encounters supportOn the hourly chart of USD/JPY, the pair started a strong decline well above the 143.50 zone. The US Dollar gained bearish momentum below the 142.85 support against the Japanese Yen.
The pair even settled below the 142.85 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it broke the 142.20 pivot level. A low was formed near 141.88 and the pair is now attempting a recovery wave.
EUR/USD Extends Rally While USD/JPY Revisits Support_2There was a break above a major bearish trend line with resistance near 142.25 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The pair spiked above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 144.93 swing high to the 141.88 low. Immediate resistance on the USD/JPY chart is near 142.85.
The first major resistance is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 144.93 swing high to the 141.88 low at 143.40.
If there is a close above the 143.40 level and the hourly RSI moves above 60, the pair could rise toward 144.50. The next major resistance is near 145.00, above which the pair could test 146.20 in the coming days.
On the downside, the first major support is near 141.85. The next major support is near the 141.45 level. If there is a close below 141.45, the pair could decline steadily. In the stated case, the pair might drop toward the 140.00 support.
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EURUSD is trending downOn the hourly chart of EUR/USD, the pair started a fresh increase above the 1.0930 zone. The Euro climbed above the 1.0985 resistance zone against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled above the 1.1020 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 1.1040 resistance. A high is formed near 1.1044 and the pair is now consolidating gains.
If there is a downside correction, the pair might test the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0929 swing low to the 1.1044 high at 1.1020. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support near 1.1020 and the 50-hour simple moving average.
The next major support is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 1.0929 swing low to the 1.1044 high at 1.0985.
EUR/USD Extends Rally While USD/JPY Revisits Support_1If there is a downside break below 1.0985, the pair could drop toward the 1.0930 support. The main support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0910, below which the pair could start a major decline.
On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near 1.1040. The next major resistance is near the 1.1065 level. An upside break above 1.1065 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1120.
Today's XAUUSD trading strategyYesterday, gold prices' big movements were mainly seen in the first 30 minutes of the Asian session. The price climbed $10. And in the U.S. session, due to risk aversion, XAUUSD also rose $10. Bulls were relatively strong. However, the optimistic expectations for rate cuts still need to be verified or falsified by the December key data. Currently, the risk aversion sentiment is a more important factor. It may gradually fade, but in trading, we need to see what happened rather than guessing. Don't trade in advance.
Currently, bulls are strong, but the price still cannot break above the 2090-2095 range. If there is no big stimulus, it will be difficult to rise above that range in the near future. If the price of gold enter that area, it may be a good selling opportunity.
Technical analysis on the 1D frame stochastic is in the overbought area, but RSI is not in the overbought area, the histogram has begun to grow higher, on the H4 frame stochastic has been in the overbought area for a long time, RSI has entered the Overbought area, on the weekly chart stochastic is falling very strongly so gold is likely to decrease
AUDJPY Sell/ShortAUDJPY has faked out on the daily and took a downward trend instead. I have observed AJ for the last few days and can firmly say I confirm a downtrend for the next few weeks following into the new years. Below I have the signals inputs so please use proper risk management when entering. Thank you.
AUDJPY Short/Sell
ENTRY: 96.431
TAKE PROFITS:
TP 1: 93.832
TP 2: 90.401
SL: 97.584
Please use proper risk management upon entering this trade.
Gold trading ideas todayThere was no trading yesterday for Christmas. Last Friday, gold ascended slightly in the Asian session. With the support from data, gold once reached $2070 during the European session. Then, it declined in the U.S. session to $2050, showing an inverted 'V' shape movement, closing the daily chart with a long bearish inverted hammer candlestick. Without considering the holiday effect, there was a bearish divergence in the pattern. Technically, it should reach a phase top. However, the general trend is still upward, and investors should catch the opportunity in the near term. Due to the holiday effect, gold bulls may pull up the price, and it will be a chance to short. If investors want to go long, try not to chase the upside but wait until gold prices fall from highs.
At present, gold is dominated by bulls. If they increase their positions, gold prices will go up, and if they decrease positions, gold will retrace. In the 1H chart, as the MACD death cross expands slightly, a retracement will appear soon. Moreover, there is a bearish divergence in the 4H chart and the daily chart. Today, investors should focus on the range from $2050 to $2075 where they can buy low and sell high.
XAUUSD trading ideas todayThere was no trading yesterday for Christmas. Last Friday, gold ascended slightly in the Asian session. With the support from data, gold once reached $2070 during the European session. Then, it declined in the U.S. session to $2050, showing an inverted 'V' shape movement, closing the daily chart with a long bearish inverted hammer candlestick. Without considering the holiday effect, there was a bearish divergence in the pattern. Technically, it should reach a phase top. However, the general trend is still upward, and investors should catch the opportunity in the near term. Due to the holiday effect, gold bulls may pull up the price, and it will be a chance to short. If investors want to go long, try not to chase the upside but wait until gold prices fall from highs.
At present, gold is dominated by bulls. If they increase their positions, gold prices will go up, and if they decrease positions, gold will retrace. In the 1H chart, as the MACD death cross expands slightly, a retracement will appear soon. Moreover, there is a bearish divergence in the 4H chart and the daily chart. Today, investors should focus on the range from $2050 to $2075 where they can buy low and sell high.
GBPUSD tends to decrease when it encounters resistanceOn Friday, the British Pound (GBP) continues its rebound, driven by encouraging UK Retail Sales figures for November. The Office for National Statistics (ONS) revealed that retail spending by households defied expectations by staying positive compared to the previous year, contrary to market predictions of a significant decrease. The robust performance in Retail Sales was primarily fueled by a 2.8% rise in non-food retail stores, which offered substantial discounts during the Black Friday Sale.
The significant rebound in the Pound Sterling indicates that investors have overlooked the pessimistic Q3 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) revision, indicating a 0.1% contraction. This has heightened concerns about a potential technical recession in the UK economy, especially considering the Bank of England's projection of stagnant performance in the final quarter of 2023.
After the release of the economic data, Finance Minister Jeremy Hunt said that “The medium-term outlook for the UK economy is far more optimistic than these numbers suggest".
EURUSD is trending downAs of the most recent data, the EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading at approximately 1.1000. The pair has experienced some volatility in recent sessions due to a combination of factors including economic data releases, central bank announcements, and global geopolitical events. The euro has faced pressure from concerns about the economic impact of the Omicron variant, as well as uncertainty surrounding the European Central Bank's monetary policy outlook. On the other hand, the US dollar has been influenced by the Federal Reserve's tapering of its asset purchase program and speculation about the pace of future interest rate hikes.
In the short term, the EUR/USD pair has been trading within a relatively narrow range, as market participants assess the evolving economic landscape and central bank policies. Traders are closely monitoring key economic indicators such as inflation, employment data, and consumer spending, which can influence the direction of the currency pair. Additionally, any developments related to trade tensions, geopolitical risks, or major policy announcements from the ECB or the Fed could also impact the exchange rate.
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair is about to test a resistance levels, with market participants closely watching for potential breakout opportunities. Traders are also monitoring the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for potential signals of trend direction. The pair's current position reflects a cautious sentiment among market participants, with a focus on risk management and potential opportunities for short-term trading strategies.Looking ahead, the EUR/USD pair is likely to continue to be influenced by a mix of fundamental and technical factors. Traders will be paying close attention to upcoming economic data releases, central bank communications, and any developments related to the global macroeconomic environment. As always, market sentiment and risk appetite will play a crucial role in determining the near-term direction of the currency pair. Overall, the current position of the EUR/USD pair reflects a dynamic and evolving market environment, with traders remaining vigilant for potential opportunities and risks.
DXY H1 / BULLISH DOMINATION ON US DOLLAR💲Hello Traders!
This is my perspective on DXY H1. I see US DOLLAR very strong in the next few days. That's why I'm looking for a short entry for GBPUSD. The H1 chart shows a change of structure, and I expect an increase until the OB from the price of 102.350. Also, below this price, we have an FVG (fair value gap) or liquidity.
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Gold prices closed at high prices creating momentum for 2024This morning, global spot gold prices were at $2,053.2 per ounce and gold futures were at $2,064.5, as markets were still closed after Christmas.
Last week, global gold prices registered a slight increase in the last trading session, but the $2,050 per ounce level remained a key resistance level that would be difficult for the precious metal to overcome. However, prominent commodity investor Dennis Gartman said that while stressing the increased risks following the recent sell-off in gold futures prices to an all-time high of more than $2,150 an ounce, He said prices could rise in the short term.
Dennis Gartman remains bullish on gold, saying the precious metal is supported by security demand amid concerns about increasing geopolitical instability. While the US Federal Reserve's monetary policy will be the biggest driver of the gold market in 2023, demand for safe-haven assets is being driven by concerns about geopolitical instability, Gartman said. It is said that there is. Inflation risks in the near future will likely cast a shadow.
AUDUSD trading strategy todayThe AUDUSD witnessed a remarkable rebound this week, surging to the 0.6791 level on Thursday, marking the highest level since late July.
After a failed attempt at the beginning of the month, the bulls finally broke above the resistance trendline dating back to April 2022, adding to the market's optimistic sentiment that the upward reversal from the year's low point in October may continue. The RSI and the stochastic oscillator align with this view, as they fluctuate around the 70 and 80 levels, respectively, without confirming overbought conditions.
The 0.6791 level, which has restricted both upward and downward trends for over a year, is currently under scrutiny. If it gives way, the upward momentum could accelerate toward the 0.6800 level and then rise to the double-top formation at 0.6894 from June to July 2023. If bulls make further progress, the next resistance may emerge around the 0.6980 area.
Alternatively, a downward correction may initially pause between the nearby support at 0.6655 and the breached resistance trendline. If this bottom holds, the asset might seek shelter near the exponential moving averages, currently situated between 0.6520 and 0.6600. Subsequent further declines could find stability around the 2020 ascending trendline at 0.6470 or lower near 0.6400.
GBPUSD tends to decrease when it hits resistanceGBPUSD inched up heading into the weekend but hit a roadblock at cluster resistance stretching from 1.2727 to1.2769, where a crucial Fibonacci level converges with a downtrend line extended from the 2023 peak. Reinforcing bullish momentum requires clearing this technical hurdle; with a successful breakout likely paving the way for a move towards 1.2800, followed by 1.3000.
On the other hand, if sellers stage a comeback and initiate a bearish reversal, trendline support is located around the 1.2600 area. This dynamic floor may offer stability during a pullback, but a push below it could usher in a retest of the 200-day simple moving average hovering slightly above the 1.2500 handle. Further weakness could redirect attention to 1.2455.
EURUSD is trending downAs of the most recent data, the EUR/USD currency pair is currently trading at approximately 1.1000. The pair has experienced some volatility in recent sessions due to a combination of factors including economic data releases, central bank announcements, and global geopolitical events. The euro has faced pressure from concerns about the economic impact of the Omicron variant, as well as uncertainty surrounding the European Central Bank's monetary policy outlook. On the other hand, the US dollar has been influenced by the Federal Reserve's tapering of its asset purchase program and speculation about the pace of future interest rate hikes.
In the short term, the EUR/USD pair has been trading within a relatively narrow range, as market participants assess the evolving economic landscape and central bank policies. Traders are closely monitoring key economic indicators such as inflation, employment data, and consumer spending, which can influence the direction of the currency pair. Additionally, any developments related to trade tensions, geopolitical risks, or major policy announcements from the ECB or the Fed could also impact the exchange rate.
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair is about to test a resistance levels, with market participants closely watching for potential breakout opportunities. Traders are also monitoring the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for potential signals of trend direction. The pair's current position reflects a cautious sentiment among market participants, with a focus on risk management and potential opportunities for short-term trading strategies.
Gold will likely decrease then increase againFrom a technical standpoint, gold's recent breakout above a week-long consolidative trading range, approximately around $2,048 , signals a favorable environment for bullish traders. Notably, the occurrence of a golden cross, where the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) crossed above the 200-day SMA, adds weight to the positive outlook.
This technical setup positions gold for potential further gains, with the $2,090 zone emerging as the next relevant hurdle. Should the momentum persist, there is a distinct possibility of gold reclaiming the psychologically significant $2,100 mark.
However, the path to glory is not without its challenges. A reversal below the aforementioned trading range resistance could lead to a retracement, with support levels at $2,026 and $2,017. A decisive break below the latter might trigger technical selling, leaving gold vulnerable to a more pronounced decline towards the psychological support at $2,000.
GBPUSD trading strategy todayThe technical analysis of the Pound to US Dollar (GBP/USD) pairing adds another layer to the narrative. The currency pair is currently approaching a critical support level at $1.265, representing a potential pullback point. This level aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels, including the 50.0% retracement and the 61.8% projection levels. This confluence could act as a substantial support zone, providing a platform for a potential bounce-back.
For traders eyeing potential entry points, the advised buy entry is at $1.265, with this level considered a pullback support bolstered by Fibonacci confluence. Setting a strategic stop loss at $1.26000, just below the pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level, aims to mitigate potential downside risks. In terms of potential gains, the take profit level is set at $1.2800 which aligns with a pullback resistance.
AUDUSD is likely to fall then rise againThe AUDUSD witnessed a remarkable rebound this week, surging to the 0.6791 level on Thursday, marking the highest level since late July.
After a failed attempt at the beginning of the month, the bulls finally broke above the resistance trendline dating back to April 2022, adding to the market's optimistic sentiment that the upward reversal from the year's low point in October may continue. The RSI and the stochastic oscillator align with this view, as they fluctuate around the 70 and 80 levels, respectively, without confirming overbought conditions.
The 0.6791 level, which has restricted both upward and downward trends for over a year, is currently under scrutiny. If it gives way, the upward momentum could accelerate toward the 0.6800 level and then rise to the double-top formation at 0.6894 from June to July 2023. If bulls make further progress, the next resistance may emerge around the 0.6980 area.
Alternatively, a downward correction may initially pause between the nearby support at 0.6655 and the breached resistance trendline. If this bottom holds, the asset might seek shelter near the exponential moving averages, currently situated between 0.6520 and 0.6600. Subsequent further declines could find stability around the 2020 ascending trendline at 0.6470 or lower near 0.6400. Afterward, attention might shift to the crucial 0.6269-0.6300 region.
Overall, the AUDUSD maintains a bullish bias. While the recent strong rebound may slow down, bulls could focus on the 0.6830 area as the potential endpoint of the upward impulse waves in the coming trading days.
In terms of trading strategy, buying the dips is recommended.
GBPUSD tends to decrease when it hits resistanceOn Wednesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the European session as UK inflation for November came in below expectations. The fresh weakness is expected to completely reverse Tuesday's gains and challenge key support at 1.2636. With the overall decline of the GBPUSD, bears are expected to test the starting point of the upward impulse waves. Subsequently, the bullish bias will still exist to keep the structure of "upward impulse waves" intact.
But the focus is now on the downside. As the Relative Strength Index in the 4H timeframe fell below 50 and below the lower limit of the long-term rising regression channel, reflecting a shift in the technical outlook to bearish.
On the downside, the 1.2600 level is now the first support level for the bullish market. A 4-hour close below this level could open the door to a further slide towards the 1.2550 level. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
XAUUSD is trending downYesterday's gold price in the Asian session mainly fluctuated in a narrow range. At the beginning of the US session, the gold price quickly climbed higher on the weaker dollar index, and it once closed to 2047. However, pressured by the hawkish remarks and strong economic data, the gold price slightly retraced, ultimately closing with a small bull candle. The current gold price is in the upper edge of the fluctuation range of the last 2 weeks and temporarily faces resistance. Back to the technical analysis, the daily uptrend is obvious, but the MACD signal has been at a high level. The 1-hour price stood above the 60-day moving average. It may be aligned to the 60-day MA in the lack of main intraday drivers. The support at $2028 should be focused on, and further support is at the $2015 level. Today's reference trading range is 2015-2048, in which you can still buy low and sell high, and aggressive traders can refer to a smaller range of 2028-2040.
EURUSD trading ideas todayThe EURUSD lost momentum on Wednesday as concerns about the eurozone's economic outlook intensified. However, the intraday bias remains neutral and more consolidation is likely below 1.1008. A further rebound is expected as long as the 1.0722 support level is held. On the upside, a break above 1.1016 would resume the overall uptrend starting from 1.0450 and retest the high of 1.1274.
From a broader perspective, the EURUSD is still hovering within a consolidation zone in 2023 with strong resistance at 1.1275 (a 17-month high) and support at 1.0450 (a 10-month low).
If it breaks above the 200-week EMA, then it could touch the 200-week EMA at 1.1150 ahead of 1.1275. a move higher could shift the bias to bullish. However, any move below the 50-week and 100-week SMAs will cause it to fall to 1.0450, below which the psychological barrier of 1.0200 will be closely watched to prevent further declines.
In the near term, the EURUSD could break below 1.0880 and the 4-hour 100 SMA at 1.0870 to add bearish pressure and turn bears' attention to 1.0825 until the December low at 1.0715. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
GBPUSD trading strategy todayOn Wednesday, the GBPUSD fell sharply during the European session as UK inflation for November came in below expectations. The fresh weakness is expected to completely reverse Tuesday's gains and challenge key support at 1.2636. With the overall decline of the GBPUSD, bears are expected to test the starting point of the upward impulse waves. Subsequently, the bullish bias will still exist to keep the structure of "upward impulse waves" intact.
But the focus is now on the downside. As the Relative Strength Index in the 4H timeframe fell below 50 and below the lower limit of the long-term rising regression channel, reflecting a shift in the technical outlook to bearish.
On the downside, the 1.2600 level is now the first support level for the bullish market. A 4-hour close below this level could open the door to a further slide towards the 1.2550 level. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
EURUSD tends to decrease when it encounters resistanceThe EURUSD appeared to be on firm footing on Monday after falling below the psychological barrier of 1.10 on Friday. However, the recovery is unlikely to last long as much weaker-than-expected German Ifo data and rising bearish momentum in the 1D timeframe are keeping the near-term trend under pressure.
Additionally, last week's (1W timeframe) long upper shadow and the repeated failure of the weekly close to break above the 1.1000 threshold exacerbated the negative signals of the momentum.
Currently, the price is holding above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement of 1.0900 of the 1.0723 - 1.1009 uptrend line, which is expected to show a slight bullish bias, but more work on the upside (e.g., a close above 1.0950) would be needed to remove the downside threat; otherwise, a continuation of the bearish structure would be expected.
It fell below the threshold of 1.0900 and the 20-day SMA (1.0875), which will likely lead to further declines after the completion of the reversal pattern and the double top. It is recommended to go short at the highs.
GOLD M30 / BULLISH CHANNEL, LONG OPPORTUNITY ✅ Hello Traders!
This is my perspective for GOLD M30. As you can see, we are in a BULLISH CHANNEL, and I expect a move until the price of 2042. A good opportunity to execute a long trade. At the price of 2042 we have an OB and a resistance level at 2040, very interesting levels to take into consideration.
Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective.
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