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Cage Cycle Values for ENSUSDT.PCage Cycle Values: If the price is above 26.770 (Buy Point), the price target is 35.330, and if it is below 26.623 (Sell Point), the price target is 18.103. You can find the details of the Cage Cycle strategy attached. (MAKE SURE TO FOLLOW THE NEW TAKE PROFIT POINTS PUBLISHED AS TAKE PROFIT POINTS ARE INCREASED ACCORDING TO THE TRADING CYCLE) Long Position: Entry: 26.770 Profit: 35.330 (Will be updated if necessary in the positive direction) Stop: 26.623 Short Position: Entry: 26.623 Profit:18.103 (Will be updated if necessary in the positive direction) Stop: 26.770 The Cage Cycle Strategy is a model that emerges from analyzing approximately 2 over 20 data points (1,000,000 and above tick data). The price definitely reaches one of the specified Take Profit Points as a price target. It is not possible to determine the direction with a hundred percent certainty in financial markets. Therefore, success rates are attempted to be increased by using certain models. The Cage Cycles end when the price reaches the price target in any direction in the Cage Cycle Strategy. Although it is not an investment advice, an example of use is as follows: A Long position is opened at the price level of 26.770, the Stop Loss is 26.623, and the Take Profit is 35.330. When the price reaches 26.623, instead of the Long position that was stopped, a Short Position is opened, with the Stop Loss of the Short Position being 26.770 and the Take Profit being 18.103. Transactions are monitored by stopping until the market direction is determined. Considering the number of stopped transactions and the expected time, Take Profit points are updated to increase profits (Updated Take Profit Points will never be lower than the initially specified Take Profit points). By recalculating the Take Profit points to increase profits, the aim is to compensate for the losses of the stopped transactions when the Cage Cycle ends. In the data analysis of the last 10 years, the average number of stops is 12, and the highest number of stops is calculated as 83 (These figures may vary in the future). Although it is not an investment advice, in the Cage Cycle, if the amount to be stopped is set at $1, by increasing the position by half of the initial lot amount for every 10 stops (0.5 $ for every 10 stops), a higher profit can be targeted along with the increased Take Profit point. Using the Cage Cycle data provided above as an example for Ensusdt, after 15 stops, when the cycle ends, the profit-loss calculation (Initial Stop Amount to be stopped is $1): For the first 10 stops, the loss will be 10$*1=10$, and between 10 and 15 stops, the loss will be 5*1.5$= 7.5$, resulting in a total loss of 17.5$. The profit to be obtained with the updated Take Profit points will be 1.5*27= 40.5$. The net profit, excluding commission, will be 40.5-17.5= 23$. The Cage Cycle helps you determine the Take Profit point in your own trades as well, as it is known that the price will definitely reach one of the Take Profit points. Enjoy and Good luck with your trades. THIS IS NOT AN INVESTMENT ADVICE. Made by Yourcages
by yourcages
XAUUSD : Gold continues to rise strongly againGold prices continued to expand their gains thanks to safe-haven demand amid concerns over escalating tensions following the assassination of a Hamas leader in Iran. The war in Gaza and the deepening conflict in Lebanon have left the entire region in turmoil. In particular, the rise of this precious metal was further boosted when US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that a rate cut could be discussed as early as September if inflation remains in line with expectations. As expected, the Fed decided to keep interest rates unchanged at this meeting. However, Mr. Powell raised investors' hopes for a possible rate cut at the September meeting. He said that policymakers are increasingly confident that inflation is moving towards the 2% target.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold is down but that is bullish momentumA drop below $2,380 could continue to attract buyers near the 50-day SMA, around $2,360-2,359. A break-down of the 50-day SMA would push the price towards the $2,350 support. The price could then continue to decline towards the 100-day SMA, around the $2,325-2,324 region. Further downside could see XAU/USD test the sub-$2,300 levels or the June 2024 low. On the contrary, the bulls are struggling to capitalize on the upside momentum above $2,400. Meanwhile, if XAU/USD breaks out of the $2,400 pivot, it could face some resistance around $2,412. Gold prices could then climb to the intermediate resistance level of $2,469-2,470 and challenge the record high, around $2,483-2,484.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
GOLD : Gold is turning around unexpectedlyGold prices ended the US session and started the new day quite calmly compared to previous developments, trading around 2,400 USD after peaking on July 24 at 2,432 USD. Last night, the fluctuations after the release of the preliminary PMI report were not too significant. Besides, before the opening of the 5-year US government bond auction, gold prices increased slightly as yields decreased. But soon after, the 10-year government bond yield increased 2 bps to 4,274%, putting pressure on gold prices. Although the USD weakened slightly, the impact was insignificant. CME's FedWatch tool shows a 100% probability of a 25 bps rate cut in September; while market forecasts show that the Fed could cut interest rates by a total of 53 bps in 2024. On the economic front, the US trade balance improved more than expected, but the preliminary manufacturing PMI fell, indicating weakness. Specifically, S&P Global's July services and composite PMIs both exceeded expectations, reaching 56.0 and 55.0 respectively; while manufacturing PMI decreased from 51.6 to 49.5, lower than forecast. Investors are waiting for the release of Q2 GDP data and the core PCE index - the Fed's preferred inflation measure - to have more basis to evaluate the economic situation and guide monetary policy. Regarding forecast, Q2 GDP is expected to reach 1.9% over the same period last year, showing that the economy is accelerating. It is worth noting that inflation calculated on core PCE is expected to decrease from 2.6% to 2.5%.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold is plunging, will it return to 2300?Gold prices have formed a "Bullish Harami" pattern, but unfortunately cannot maintain the upward momentum and are currently struggling around the $2,400 mark. If it closes below this mark, gold prices will likely continue to decline. The RSI indicator is in the 40.0-60.0 zone and moving sideways, showing a balance between buying and selling power. If gold prices can return and surpass $2,430, the next target will be $2,450, followed by the historical peak of $2,483 and the psychological threshold of $2,500. On the contrary, the gold price continuing to adjust below USD 2,384 may open up deeper declines. The next support levels are SMA 50 at $2,359 and SMA 100 at $2,315, respectively.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold returns to create upward momentumWorld gold prices tend to recover after falling in the previous session, losing the mark of 2,400 USD/ounce right after Joe Biden announced he would not run for the next US presidential election. Previously, analysts predicted that after a sharp decline from a peak of 2,482 USD/ounce, gold could witness another sharp decline at any time, when the overbought volume is dominating, especially in if it falls below the psychological mark of 2,400 USD/ounce. Gold can only stabilize or reverse the situation, when upcoming economic data will benefit this precious metal. In particular, the US June CPI - announced this weekend is expected to continue to decrease, which supports gold prices.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold is recovering after a sharp declineWorld gold prices tend to recover after plunging in the last trading session of last week. While investors are waiting for important reports at the end of the week, experts predict that the gold market may stabilize at the beginning of the week and will witness fluctuations after the inflation report. However, many opinions believe that the June core personal consumption expenditure index report may not create large price fluctuations. Although gold is likely to decline in the short term, some experts say that will not affect the medium-term prospects of this precious metal. Accordingly, optimistic opinions are that the decline will not last long and gold is still strongly supported by interest rate expectations, geopolitical situation along with uncertainties surrounding the elections.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Will falling gold create strong momentum in the future?XAU/USD has fallen for two consecutive sessions since hitting a new peak at $2,483, suggesting traders are taking profits after gaining more than 8.0% in the past three weeks. In the medium term, the general trend is still up, but the RSI indicator on the daily chart is turning down, showing that investors are somewhat cautious as the gold price gets closer to the 2,500 USD mark. In the short term, XAU/USD may continue to fall deeply if it does not quickly regain the $2,450 mark. If selling pressure remains overwhelming, gold prices may move towards the July 5 high at $2,392 after breaking through the $2,400 mark and then the $2,350 mark. On the contrary, if XAU/USD successfully surpasses 2,490 USD, conquering the 2,500 USD mark is completely feasible.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
Gold is falling after creating a record for itselfGold prices continued to decline on Thursday, although remaining around the old peak of $2,450. Currently, XAU/USD is trading around 2,444 USD, down more than 1.5% from its peak of 2,483 USD due to the greenback's recovery, supported by rising US government bond yields. Jobs data released by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) showed that more people than expected applied for unemployment benefits, signaling a slowing economy. This, along with last week's string of data showing inflation moving toward the 2% target, could prompt a change in stance from Fed policymakers. The number of Americans filing new unemployment claims increased more than expected last week, but according to data released by the Labor Department on Thursday, the labor market did not change significantly. Finally, Fed officials have expressed that the central bank may be "getting closer" to lowering interest rates as inflation and recession risks have become more balanced. Still, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) said on Thursday that the Fed should not rush to cut interest rates until the end of 2024. In the context of extremely increased expectations of interest rate cuts in September, gold prices reached a new all-time high of 2,483 USD, but demand could not maintain the upward momentum as a part of investors moved forward. take profit. This, along with former US President Donald Trump's announcement of imposing at least 60% tariffs on Chinese goods, has boosted the flow of money back to the USD. The DXY index, which tracks the greenback's performance against six other major currencies, rose 0.43% to 104.18. Besides, US government bond yields also increased on many terms. Typically, the 10-year term reached 4.187%, an increase of more than 2.5 bps.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
Gold is looking for new peaks for itselfIn his latest speech, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell once again expressed a dovish stance, but it could go in either direction. As has been pointed out many times, gold appears to be very sensitive, with just the slightest impact being able to push gold prices to new record highs in any given week. Robert Minter, Chief Strategy Officer of abrdn, said that inflation is only half the reason for this price increase, the other half is the weakness of the economy. "There is a basis to cut interest rates in September. If you look at the current high level of consumer debt, even a little pressure on the labor market can cause serious problems for the economy. I don't think we're going to see a recession, but it all depends on the Fed. They're a little late, but it's not too late to do something." Despite supposedly positive economic data, economic optimism seems increasingly foolish. We supposedly avoided a Volcker recession, but have we really? Or is the media downplaying how bad the real situation is? Could a devastating recession begin after the Fed starts lowering interest rates? That's often what happens, as Ryan McMaken warns us - the reason "soft landings" are so elusive is simply because they're impossible, "But there are two problems with the "soft landing" story: The first is that the Fed has never done this in the past 45 years. Normally, the Fed denies a recession until it happens. Then, the Fed reduces Interest rates on unemployment have begun to rise." The market has high expectations that the Fed will reduce interest rates. The CME FedWatch tool shows an over 90% probability of this happening. According to expert Carsten Fritsch, the market is predicting that the Fed will reduce interest rates in September and may reduce it again before the end of the year. Based on these, Fritsch thinks gold has all the elements to test and could surpass record highs this week. And all of this is still in the short term. As we approach the end of the year, gold will exit its weakest quarter and enter the election cycle, a period that is expected to be turbulent even by the standards of the past twenty years. The dynamics driving gold prices are changing, and investors should stay one step ahead. In the latest report, Incrementum AG's Ronald Stoeferle notes that gold investors should pay attention to the changes driving the gold market. (This is not to say that the old factors are disappearing. Inflation and currency depreciation will still ensure gold's appeal, and any discussion of safe investments must include Yellow.)
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold is at its historic peakWorld gold prices continue to climb and are at a historic peak due to the further weakening of the USD. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the market is betting on a 100% chance that the US Federal Reserve will cut interest rates on September 18. Earlier this week, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said that recently released data "increases confidence" that inflation is falling sustainably toward the Fed's target level. Many Fed policymakers also said they are increasingly optimistic that price inflation is on track and falling toward the 2% target mark.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
GOLD : Gold is increasing fearfullyIn an interview with Kitco News, Robert Minter, Chief Investment Strategist at abrdn, said that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's testimony before Congress last week appears to be the turning point the market has been waiting for. long time ago. During a two-day hearing on Capitol Hill, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told Congress that risks to the economy now hang in the balance. "Rising inflation is not the only risk we face," Mr. Powell emphasized in prepared remarks. Immediately after these comments, gold prices held the $2,400 support level and even surpassed the peak of the two-month accumulation period. The August gold futures contract set a new record at a price of 2,470.20 USD/oz. This breakthrough took place in the context that the market was almost completely confident that the Fed would reduce interest rates in September. Mr. Robert Minter, Director of Investment Strategy at abrdn, said he was not surprised by Powell and the Fed shifting their focus away from inflation. He noted that rising consumer debt in a high interest rate environment could pose significant risks to the economy.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold is heading towards new heightsThe daily chart shows that gold still has room to expand its upward momentum. XAU/USD is trading significantly above all SMAs, which are steeply sloping up. At the same time, technical indicators are also increasing rapidly, moving deeper into the overbought zone but showing no signs of slowing down. Based on the H4 frame, gold is in the overbought zone in the short term, but the possibility of a downward adjustment is still unclear. The 20 SMA is strongly sloping up, providing dynamic support around $2,420. The two SMA lines 100 and 200 are also following and pointing up. Finally, the Momentum indicator maintained an uptrend at a high level, but the RSI indicator entered the overbought zone and showed signs of slowing down. Therefore, gold may be under some short-term profit-taking pressure before contemplating the next increase. Potential support levels are $2,448, 2,435, and $2,422, respectively. Conversely, the next resistance levels to watch out for are $2,480 and $2,500.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold will find its old peak within the weekWorld gold moved sideways around 2,427 USD/ounce in the early trading session this morning, a number of important economic reports will be announced by the US this week. However, experts predict that the gold market will not change much after these reports. FxPro senior market analyst Alex Kuptsikevich said that the fact that XAU/USD remains firmly above the 2,400 USD/ounce mark is a good sign. Expectations that the Fed will soon cut interest rates are increasing, which underpins the price of gold - a non-yielding asset.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold increased sharply at the end of the year?Although the PPI index last week somewhat restrained the excitement, gold was still able to hold the important support level of 2,400 USD/ounce. Coming into the new week, world gold prices were under pressure from investors to take profits at the beginning of this morning's session when ECB officials announced that the central bank could cut operating interest rates again in the end. 2024. It is likely that many ECBs will not be able to lower interest rates at this week's meeting on July 18, but possibly in September. This may have led to an increase in expectations for a similar move with the FOMC and opening shows a clearer trend of interest rate cuts. Carsten Fritsch, commodity analyst at Commerzbank, expects that gold will find its historic peak again this week when the gap is only about 40 USD/ounce. Because after recent developments, from both data and Mr. Powell's statements, the possibility of cutting interest rates in September is higher than ever. However, many experts say that investors should also be cautious because Q2 economic information is about to be announced in the US and Europe from now until the end of July. If the economic data is positive, gold can will likely be under pressure to make room for other risky assets, typically stocks.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
Will gold decrease or increase when US politics is tense?The assassination not only increased Mr. Trump's chances of victory but also increased the Republican Party's chances of a sweep. If Republicans gain control of the White House and both houses of Congress, they could enact tax cuts that would increase the budget deficit. That's how things work. When one party takes control, it's either Republicans cutting taxes or Democrats spending more. Both cases resulted in higher deficits, while a divided Congress barely passed anything. When the budget deficit increases, bonds will be sold off due to concerns about increased supply and accelerating inflation. The Fed will therefore have to maintain interest rates at higher levels for longer. How does this affect the market? Higher yields from US government bonds will make gold less attractive. Stock investors love low interest rates, and higher interest rates can make the market less attractive. The biggest beneficiary is probably the USD. The USD benefits from both higher yields and a safe-haven environment. Political violence is bad news, and in tough times, the world's reserve currency is the winner. Overall, the assassination of former President Donald Trump could cause gold and stocks to decline, while boosting the USD. Polls and ongoing information will determine how long this story lasts and how it impacts the markets.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold will find its old peak during the weekendWorld gold increased amid unabated geopolitical instability in many regions. At the same time, countries tend to increase gold reserves and reduce dependence on the USD, supporting the price of this precious metal. Previously, in a meeting with the US Senate, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the US labor market had weakened and US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen also said that US inflation would decrease over time. This increases expectations that the Fed will soon lower interest rates in September.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
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GOLD : Can gold reach the $2,500 discipline mark?Despite gold's consolidation phase, in a report published on Wednesday, commodity analysts at Citi said strong gold demand in the second half of the year could push XAUUSD towards 2,600, as the Investors flocked to precious metals. Along with renewed investor interest, analysts say they expect central bank demand to hit a record this year. According to the model, analysts expect central banks to buy about 1,100 tons this year, up 5.8% year-on-year and likely exceeding the expected 1,250 tons. Citi's outlook comes after foreign exchange reserve data from the PBOC showed the bank did not add to China's gold reserves for the second month in a row. Despite this shift, analysts note that central banks' gold demand has stabilized at a record 28-30% of gold mining output since 2022. They also see demand is likely to increase to 35% in the bullish scenario next year due to the trade war and concerns about US financial policy. While the gold market remains driven by central bank demand, Citi also expects retail consumers and investors to further drive gold's growth. “We remain bullish on gold demand over the next 12 months, with potential Fed rate cuts and headwinds in the US labor market helping to boost demand,” Citi analysts wrote. with this metal. In this situation, Citi predicts XAUUSD will trade between 2,800 and 3,000 by mid-2025.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
Gold will increase sharply when the Fed reduces interest rates"Capital inflows were widespread, with all regions recording positive increases except for North America, which saw a slight decline for the second consecutive month. Overall, yields fell across regions important and the weakening USD has made gold more attractive to domestic investors," analysts said. "Lower interest rates are a key factor driving capital flows into the region," analysts said. Additionally, cooling stock markets and political uncertainties related to elections in The UK and France, which have sparked significant capital inflows, have also boosted investor interest in gold. Although North American gold demand remains tepid, analysts note that it could easily reverse if the Fed starts cutting interest rates. The market forecasts about a 70% chance that the Fed will cut interest rates in September. "A strong dollar and continued stock market growth may have drawn investors' attention away from gold despite falling US government bond yields," analysts said. "However, flare-ups in geopolitical risks prompted episodic capital inflows, partially offsetting larger outflows during the month."
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold is looking for a direction to create a new peakAfter a sharp decline, gold prices today increased again, fluctuating around 2,369 USD/oz when the Fed Chairman did not comment on reducing interest rates, and global investment funds increased the amount of gold held. Fed Chairman Jerome Powell told a Senate committee that the economy remains strong. However, he did not make any comments about cutting interest rates, increasing expectations that the Fed will reduce interest rates in September. Accordingly, the USD's upward momentum slowed down, benefiting gold prices today. .
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
GOLD : Gold is increasingly unpredictableXAU/USD has been on the rise since late June, reaching a peak of $2,390 on Friday, representing a 4% gain. This is mainly due to the USD falling by 1%, as gold prices are often more volatile than the USD. Weak jobs data pushed gold prices up on Friday, weakening the dollar and bringing the timing of an interest rate cut closer. However, it is worth noting that gold decreased by 0.8% immediately after the release of the report. The market's subsequent reaction was of the "good for evil" variety: labor market weakness increased expectations of an early interest rate cut, which boosted risk appetite. However, this is a very difficult trend to sustain, because not all negative factors in the macroeconomy reduce inflation. On the contrary, we see wage growth (4.1% over the same period last year) is still higher than inflation (3.3%). At the same time, hiring figures from previous months were revised downward, and the unemployment rate reached a 31-month high. However, it is likely that gold prices will continue to be under pressure. The 50-day MA at $2,340 is considered the first signal mark. If this zone is broken without resistance from buyers, XAU/USD could quickly retreat to the $2,300 zone, a key level to determine the trend in the coming months. A drop below this level would be considered a break in the uptrend since October, when the Fed first signaled its readiness to cut interest rates.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold