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GOLD : Gold's ability to increase is still thereXAU/USD has met the minimum requirement to complete a bearish "Measured Move" pattern after reaching the 0.618 Fibonacci level of wave C at $2,286. This means that gold prices will likely go up in the near future. This pattern is made up of three waves in a zig-zag pattern. The end of wave C, which is also the final wave, can be estimated based on the length of wave A and will usually be equal to the length of wave A or equal to the 0.681 Fibonacci ratio of wave A. If the price penetrates the 0.681 Fibonacci level At 2,285 USD, it is possible that wave C in this model will be equal to wave A and the target will be 2,245 USD or also the Fibonacci 1,000 threshold. In general, the trend of gold prices is still increasing in both the medium and long term. If it successfully breaks through the cluster of SMA lines and the peak of wave B at around 2,350 USD, it could open a new price increase and XAU/USD could completely return to test the high of 2,400 USD. However, the Fed did not forget to send the market a "hawkish" signal on the issue of inflation, specifically: "In recent months, there has been no significant progress towards the 2% inflation target. " This makes some investors concerned about the possibility of the Fed raising interest rates in the future, which could negatively affect gold prices.
TVC:GOLD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold is back on the rise once againThe current gold price is trading around 2,323 USD/ounce. The golden boy immediately regained the mark of 2,300 USD/ounce after yesterday's sharp decline to 2,285 USD/ounce. The spot price of gold (XAU/USD) soared last night to more than 2,328 USD/ounce after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell spoke. Mr. Powell affirmed that cutting interest rates now is inappropriate until inflation shows clear signs of returning to the 2% target. He also added that this year's inflation data is "not convincing enough" to change the Fed's stance. Gold prices rose slightly after the Fed took a less hawkish stance than expected by keeping interest rates unchanged, and Japanese authorities were suspected of intervening to support the Yen, damaging the USD.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold breached the $2,300/ounce mark!Gold prices lost the $2,300 mark last night as data from the US showed that labor costs are rising, thus pushing up inflationary pressure. As a result, the Fed will need to be more patient in lowering interest rates, as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell announced two weeks ago. Gold price is trading at $2,292/ounce, up slightly by 0.27% after falling more than 2% on Tuesday, in the context of rising US government bond yields and a stronger USD. Data from the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) shows that the Labor Cost Index (ECI) skyrocketed in April. In addition, US consumer confidence also continued to decline, according to the monthly report. 4 by the American Conference Board (CB). It is still too early to conclude that the uptrend has ended. Although a drop below the $2,300 mark could open the door to a deeper correction, at least as long as the price has not completely breached the April 23 low at $2,291. The downtrend will increase if the price loses this mark and will be even more negative if the EMA 50 at $2,240 is breached. Currently, XAU/USD has broken through the EMA 20 and beyond is the rising trendline, which is also the lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle model. Not to mention, the RSI indicator is pointing down and fluctuating below 50. However, investors should not be too pessimistic. In case the price rebounds, the first resistance will be the 20 EMA at $2,215 and beyond that is the April 26 high at $2,252. The buyers will need to overcome these two barriers to consolidate their formation before considering the next increases.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold will grow strongly again, right?Gold prices are expected to increase for the third consecutive month ahead of the Fed meeting Gold prices are on track to increase for the third consecutive month thanks to strong demand from central banks. Attention is now on the Fed's interest rate decision meeting this week, where policymakers are expected to take a hawkish stance. As of early Asian session, spot gold price was stable around 2,330 USD/oz - up nearly 5% over the month - ahead of the FOMC meeting on Wednesday. After higher-than-expected inflation data was released in recent months, authorities are expected to change their stance in a hawkish direction. This raises the possibility that BoA may have to abandon proposals for more rapid interest rate cuts that Fed Chairman Jerome Powell made in December. Traders predict that the Fed will only cut interest rates a maximum of two times by the end of the year - this is the lowest prediction since November 2023. Higher interest rates typically impact gold negatively because gold is a non-yielding asset. Although the expected timing of the Fed's interest rate cut was pushed back, gold prices still increased more than 13% this year thanks to many factors such as strong buying demand from central banks and support from Asian markets. (especially China) and rising geopolitical tensions globally (from Ukraine to the Middle East). In recent days, gold prices have also been supported by a weaker USD. The dollar fell on Monday after the yen jumped on fears the Japanese government would intervene to support its currency for the first time since 2022. Any further moves by Japan could put pressure on the Japanese government. pressure on the USD, making gold more attractive to investors because gold prices are calculated in USD.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrTrongVo
1
XAUUSD : Will gold fall to 2300 again?Gold has ended its 5-week winning streak, but it can still increase Gold ended a five-week winning streak on Friday, but its rally is likely not over yet as favorable factors such as demand from central banks continue, even as a wave of net withdrawals continues. from gold ETFs began to reverse. Gold prices increased 0.3% to 2,348.75 USD, but fell sharply earlier this week as Middle East tensions are showing signs of being contained. Morgan Stanley said that the road ahead for gold prices will be volatile but more likely to bearish instead of reversing. They forecast a higher likelihood of their bullish price scenario occurring, with gold reaching $2,760/oz in the second half of the year, rather than falling to $2,000/oz. Although the factors pushing up gold prices show no signs of cooling down, the macroeconomic outlook, in which US inflation seems to be more persistent, causes interest rates to remain at higher levels for a long time. more, causing some to doubt the next rise in gold prices. "But if economic data remains strong, leading to more persistent inflation concerns, as well as rising geopolitical risks, gold could still be bought regardless," Morgan Stanley said. Thoi added that if the interest rate cut is implemented sooner than expected, this will be another positive factor for gold.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by MrTrongVo
XAUUSD : In which direction will gold move?Gold slid after high inflation in the US extinguished expectations of the Fed cutting interest rates Gold fell ahead of the Fed meeting, where policymakers are expected to keep interest rates high for longer to control inflation. Gold prices continued last week's momentum and fell by 0.8%. According to data, the US core PCE index rose at a breakneck pace in March. The swaps market is currently only pricing the Fed will cut interest rates once this year, well below the cut. around 150 bps is expected at the beginning of the year. High interest rates are often negative for gold because gold has no interest rate. Gold also lost some support as demand for safe-haven assets weakened, geopolitical risks also decreased as the US was trying to secure a ceasefire agreement in meetings in the Middle East. The foreign exchange market is also in the spotlight as the possibility grows that Japan will support the JPY after the currency fell to its lowest level in more than three decades. If they act, the USD will weaken. Gold has risen about 13% this year, hitting a record earlier this month even though the Fed's cut deadline was pushed back. This price increase is linked to central bank buying, strong demand from Asia, especially China, and rising geopolitical tensions from Ukraine to the Middle East.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
DXY : Why does a stronger USD pose many risks?As US growth remains strong and expectations of the Fed cutting interest rates gradually decrease, capital has poured into this country's market and the USD has increased, specifically 4% this year and shows no signs of stopping. . This situation is made even more difficult by the influence of other countries. By the end of 2023, the US economy had grown by more than 8% compared to the end of 2019. Meanwhile, the UK, France, Germany and Japan had grown by less than 2%. USDJPY record high. EURUSD dropped to 1.07 from 1.10 USD at the beginning of the year. The market even predicts that the pair will reach parity early next year. If Donald Trump wins in November, there will be many problems. A strong dollar tends to increase the price of US exports and lower the price of imports, increasing the persistent US trade deficit, which has been a nagging problem for Mr Trump for decades. Robert Lighthizer, who designed the tariffs against China while Mr. Trump was in the White House, wants to weaken the USD. President Joe Biden has not made any statements about currency, but the strong USD also makes it difficult for his plans. However, a strong USD will benefit exporters whose costs are denominated in other currencies. But high US interest rates and a strong USD have also created imported inflation, which has been exacerbated by rising oil prices. Additionally, companies that have borrowed in USD face tougher repayments. On April 18, Kristalina Georgieva, head of the IMF, warned about the impact of these developments on global financial stability.
TVC:DXY
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Is gold showing signs of decline?Gold moved sideways after two days of decline as Middle East tensions cooled Gold prices have continued to weaken in the Asian session on April 24 after recovering slightly in the US session yesterday thanks to US PMI data and currently XAU/USD is trading around $2,320. Gold prices have now adjusted slightly and are currently trading around $2,320 after rebounding to $2,330 thanks to the weakening of the USD. Although gold prices are still supported by geopolitical risk concerns in the Middle East, gold's upward momentum seems to have weakened. The price's current resistance lies at $2,350. If buyers successfully push the price through this zone, the $2,400 threshold will be within sight. The market is now shifting focus back to US monetary policy. The PCE index - the Fed's preferred inflation gauge expected to be released on Friday - is forecast to remain stubborn in March, reinforcing the case for a delay in interest rate cuts, a thorn'' for gold because gold is not profitable.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
UAL United Airlines Holdings Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought UAL before the previous earnings: Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of UAL United Airlines Holdings prior to the earnings report this week, I would consider purchasing the 43usd strike price Calls with an expiration date of 2024-4-19, for a premium of approximately $1.36. If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NASDAQ:UALLong
by TopgOptions
1
XAUUSD : Gold has continued its upward momentumGold surpassed the $2,400 mark due to concerns about conflict in the Middle East Gold surpassed $2,400 an ounce as concerns about rising tensions between Israel and Iran boosted demand for the safe-haven asset. Gold prices rose as much as 1.3% and are headed for a fifth consecutive week of increases after unverified reports of attacks in Iran, Syria and Iraq. Tensions between Iran and Israel have increased since last weekend's attack, with Iran warning against attacking its nuclear facilities and threatening to respond in kind if they are attacked. Meanwhile, the US called for peace measures. raises concerns that the Fed will wait further before cutting interest rates because high interest rates often have a negative impact on gold. Strong demand from global central banks and Chinese consumers has also supported gold prices. Data on Thursday showed gold exports from Switzerland to China rose 31% in March compared with February. Spot gold increased 1.1% to 2,404.95 USD/ounce. The Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index rose 0.2%. Silver, palladium and platinum also rose.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold will increase due to middle east politicsGold's upward momentum is still maintained but the price has not yet been able to return to the $2,400 threshold Gold prices are currently maintaining their upward momentum and are trading around $2,380 despite the strength of the greenback. Gold prices increased slightly at the end of the US session yesterday after a hawkish speech by Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. Along with that, the fact that US retail sales are also remaining at a high level has caused the USD to continue to increase in price and somewhat limited the rise of precious metals. XAU/USD is currently trading around $2,380, with closest support located at the April 12 bottom around $2,343, below the psychological threshold of $2,300.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold is likely to fluctuate strongly to 2500 ?"Precious metals" regained what they lost during the US session on Monday During the Asian session on April 16, gold prices recovered and are currently trading around $2,386.80. On April 15, world gold prices adjusted slightly downward after US retail sales were higher than market expectations, however the upward momentum of XAU/USD returned early this morning and Currently the precious metal is trading around $2,386.80. If bearish momentum increases in the near term, support at $2,268 will come into view, with $2,233 lower. The focus of the market today will be the speech of Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The anxiety underpinned gold's rally even as expectations for when the Fed would cut interest rates were pushed back. Instead, gold prices have been supported by other factors including strong buying by central banks, rising demand from Chinese consumers and rising geopolitical risks. There is growing evidence that the inverse relationship between bullion and US real interest rates is faltering. This phenomenon happened on Monday, when gold prices increased along with US government bond yields. Citigroup raised its 2024 gold price estimate to 2,350 USD/ounce and adjusted its 2025 gold price forecast to 2,875 USD. This happened after Goldman Sachs Group said that gold prices will increase continuously in the future, raising its year-end prediction to $2,700.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold soared to a new record high 2400Gold rebounded after the US PPI index was lower than expected Gold rises to $2,355 as PPI data misses estimates, focus turns to University of Michigan consumer confidence index In the April 11 session, gold prices benefited from US PPI data rising lower than estimated. The precious metal touched down to $2,325 early in the European session but then rebounded sharply after the data release and ended the day near $2,355. Today, the market will receive the University of Michigan's consumer confidence report. Currently, gold is rising to $2,390. New York Fed President John Williams said the Fed has made “tremendous progress” toward a better balance between its inflation and employment goals, adding that there is no need to cut interest rates. recently".
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Is gold likely to decline after CPI data?Gold turned down after the US CPI report increased higher than expected. Gold "free-falled" to $2,319 as the US CPI report exceeded estimates and the market downplayed interest rate cuts. During the April 10 session, gold prices fluctuated strongly after the announcement of US CPI data exceeding estimates. The precious metal fell from $2,349 to $2,319 and then recovered to $2,348 before weakening again to end the day at $2,328. Today, the market will receive the US PPI report along with weekly unemployment benefit applications. Currently, gold is rising to $2,339. Expectations for US interest rate cuts dropped sharply after inflation was announced. The probability of policy easing in the June meeting has decreased from 50% to 22%. The July meeting now shows 40%.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold continues to create all-time highsGold prices continue to increase as the war situation in the Middle East escalates. Gold prices are currently increasing for 3 consecutive sessions and are currently trading around $2,349.70. During the April 9 session, gold prices continued to increase sharply, extending their upward momentum to 3 consecutive sessions and currently XAU/USD is trading around $2,349.70. Despite the RSI touching overbought territory, the precious metal has been consistently making new highs for nearly a month now. This evening, US CPI data will be released and this may cause gold to fluctuate strongly. In the context of continuously escalating tensions between Israel and Hamas in the Middle East, gold prices have continued to rise. The precious metal has now maintained its upward momentum for the third consecutive trading session, as demand for haven assets continues to increase amid the current turmoil. This week, gold's upward momentum will be tested by US March CPI data, released on Wednesday. Currently, the market is expecting US core CPI to increase by 0.3%.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold
XAUUSD : Gold prices hit a new record peakGold turned down after a galloping increase at the beginning of the week. Gold has now adjusted back down after yesterday's increase to $2,353, the market awaits the upcoming US CPI report. During the April 8 session, gold turned down after a galloping increase on Monday. The precious metal spiked to nearly $2,354, then corrected down to $2,318 and then recovered slightly and ended the day at $2,328. Gold prices continuously touch record highs ahead of US inflation data on Wednesday, which is an important basis for determining the upcoming direction of interest rates. Gold prices are currently reaching nearly 2,340 USD/oz at the beginning of today's Asian session, after closing the Monday session up 0.4%. According to forecasts of economists in a Bloomberg survey, the March CPI report will likely show signs of cooling inflation and this scenario will create conditions for the Fed to cut interest rates. The economic calendar is devoid of any prominent economic events as the market awaits US CPI data tomorrow. Currently, gold is rising to $2,345.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by SantaTradeGold