Get started

Siliconvalley

NVDA SHORT TO 620 BECAUSE BEARS PARTY WITH GOOD GPU'SHere's a neat little POTENTIAL setup. I added a projection line. I probably shouldn't have added a projection line. It will probably make me look stupid in a few months to a year. Or maybe even right now. Depends if you like my charts or not. Or have just recently followed. This chart is a little more longer term. Do I think NVDA crashes some 32% to $620 overnight? No. Sorry, but even bears gotta be realistic. There will be stops along the way. There are some levels of support heading down. But ultimately. There are a lot of rejection areas stacked in a small window of time. Weekly RSI is crossed down. Daily RSI still technically bullish. That can change quickly. Monthly RSI still technically bullish. But also, pretty much maxed out. 4 hour is on the chart 55.41 to 55.17, still technically Bullish until crossing. Price targets are marked, which include but are limited to only 4 (I normally include a lot more but I want to keep this chart clean), as the patterns and major trends are well defined. You'll see. RED HORIZONTAL rejection line at 1200. PINK TREND LINES, ALL currently rejection trends, all of which can breakout in future. GREEN TREND LINE, It's a superman strong trendline. IF PRICE CONFIRMS, YOU WANT IN. WHITE GREEN HORIZTONAL, IDEAL bottom from the drop. 617.21?? GREEN HORIZONTAL, potential BOTTOM. (this number projects out some 2 years or so, and I'm not sure we see it until we see upside targets of ridiculous numbers, like 1200 or even 1800 per share. I could then see NVDA taking down the market. Which would bring price to 230. That move is very possible. 620 to 800 buy nets 2 to 3x profit at those 1200 and 1800 price targets. A drop from those price targets to 230 is just around 80%. If you don't think a stock can lose 80% of its value and run to 5000, SEE META. Too lazy to look? Got ya covered. Does it happening to META mean it will happen to NVDA?? NOT ONE BIT. My point with that is that an 80% drop followed by a 600% run isn't totally out of reality. Because it literally happened. Multiple times, but I only used META as the example. This chart covers TECHNICALS only. Mostly Trends, Price targets. But also, put/call. check the ratio's heading into AUG thru NOV. They look a little high to you? Maybe it's just me because it's near 4/20. www.barchart.com Alright, I think that covers everything. I'll add more when I see via updates to this chart. IDK where the entry would be, but somewhere between now and 890. I'm WRONG often, don't take my word for any of this chart. Look everything up, pull from a lot of sources, do YOUR analysis and then make a decision. GOOD LUCK.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by nicktussing77
16
Silicon Valley Bank / SIVBSVB Financial Group stock tumbled more than 42% in premarket trades Friday on fears of a run on the bank, as analysts downgraded the company and reports surfaced of funds advising clients to pull their money from the parent company of Silicon Valley Bank. Founders Fund, the San Francisco-based venture-capital fund co-founded by Peter Thiel, has advised companies to pull their money, according to a Bloomberg News report citing people familiar with the matter.In a separate development, The Wall Street Journal reported that SVB Financial Group took out $15 billion of loans from the Federal Home Loan Bank of San Francisco at the end of 2022, compared to zero in the year-ago period, to assure liquidity. The bank pledged collateral of about three times what it borrowed to back the advances, the WSJ reported, around the same time it sustained a 13%, or $25 billion decline in deposits in the final three quarters of 2022, the WSJ reported. The steep losses Friday came after SVB Financial SIVB, ended down 60% in the regular trading day after it disclosed large losses from securities sales and announcing a dilutive stock offering along with a profit warning. The bank was unprepared for rising interest rates which have hit its net interest income and net interest margin the troubles at SVB seemed unlikely to spread widely throughout the banking system. Morgan Stanley said in a note to clients that SVB’s issues were “highly idiosyncratic.” Also on Wednesday, SVB announced it sold $21 billion worth of securities to raise cash and reposition its balance sheet toward assets with a shorter duration, which are less exposed to rising interest rates. SVB estimated that it took a $1.8 billion loss on that sale.
Editors' picks
SShort
by moonypto
16
XAUUSD : Gold SVB Ralley Near to EndOANDA:XAUUSD Gold is trading in extreme bullish pattern Gold is rallied more than 1000 pip's in last 1 week Big reason is downfall of banking sector collapse of SVB and other banks people shifting money in precious metal like gold 1865 is touching of upper trendline of rising wedge Rising wedge is a bearish reversal pattern Gold will target 1920 area and in extension 1890 area this month ❤️ Please, support my work with follow ,share and like, thank you! ❤️
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by INVESTRONE
3
Backfiring BondsTwo financial institutions, Silvergate Capital and Silicon Valley Bank (SVB), collapsed early last week due to a series of ill-fated investment decisions which were exposed by global interest rate tightening. The collapses came after the institutions invested large amounts of capital in long-dated US government bonds, which were considered relatively low risk. However, as interest rates rose rapidly to combat spiralling inflation, bond portfolios started to lose significant value. As a result, when cash demands got high enough, Silvergate and SVB had to sell those backing assets at substantial losses. Silvergate announced a $1 billion loss on the sale of assets in the fourth quarter of last year, while SVB lost $1.8 billion. In both cases, US Treasury bonds comprised large portions of the liquidations. SVB, once the 16th largest bank in the US, then announced a $1.75bn capital raising to plug the hole caused by the sale of its bond portfolio. As one would anticipate, this news resulted in a run on the bank's reserves, and two days later, the bank collapsed, marking the largest bank failure in the US since the global financial crisis. The US government has since guaranteed all deposits of the bank's customers, which has attempted to address concerns of widespread contagion and further runs on other banks' reserves. After the collapse of these institutions, the Federal Reserve announced the Bank Term Funding Program (BTFP), which will provide banks and other depository institutions with emergency loans. However, JPMorgan has since stated this program could inject as much as $2 trillion into the American banking system, which would nullify all hope of inflationary pressures easing. All of the talk in recent years has been about protecting the banking system from crypto. However, ironically, we had a situation where a digital asset had to be protected from the banking system. The SVB debacle caused USDC to temporarily lose its peg after it was revealed that its issuer, Circle, had $3.3bn wrapped up in a SVB bank account. The stablecoin fell to as low as $0.88 over the weekend before recovering after the US government's deposit guarantee was announced. These events have highlighted an underappreciated problem with increasing interest rates to reign in inflation. The issuance of new Treasury bonds with higher yields causes the market value of existing bonds with lower yields to decrease. As a result, all banks that hold a significant amount of Treasurys as legally required collateral are vulnerable to the same risk that has affected banks like Silvergate and Silicon Valley Bank. Recently, it looked as if the contagion effects had spread to Swiss banking giant Credit Suisse when their stock began to plummet after questions were raised about the banks' stability. However, since then, the bank has secured a £44.5bn lifeline from the Swiss central bank. The importance of this should not be underestimated. Credit Suisse manages assets in the region of $1.6 trillion. If the bank collapses, it could trigger a domino effect, bringing about a 2008-like crisis. All in all, it would be ironic if increasing interest rates failed to lower inflation but instead resulted in a number of banks collapsing as a result of their bad bets on treasuries. Despite this market turmoil, yesterday, the European Central Bank stuck to its plan and went with a 50bps rate hike meaning that Credit Suisse may not be out of the woods yet. In recent weeks, the market had been pricing in a 50bps rate hike from the Fed. However, the collapse of SVB and broader risks to the financial system may lead the Fed to raise interest rates by no more than a quarter percentage point next week, with some institutions such as Barclays expecting the Fed to pause all rate increases. Despite these events, in recent days Bitcoin has significantly outperformed markets. Since the 11th of March, Bitcoin is up over 20% whilst other asset classes are up between 0-2% with 10Y US Yields down around 4%. The key reasons for this most likely come down to the dampening of US CPI data along with the decreased likelihood of future rate hikes as a consequence of the events of the past week. Ironically, while inflation and bank crisis now look more likely, the expectation of more liquidity has provided risk-on assets, such as Bitcoin, bullish momentum.
by Coinrule
After the collapse of SVB Silicon Valley Bank... The sequence of events leading up to the collapse of SVB Silicon Valley Bank is as follows: SVB Silicon Valley Bank was one of the top 20 banks in the United States, with over 40 years of operation and total assets of $211.8 billion as of the end of 2022. As its name suggests, the bank primarily served technology startups and employees of large companies in Silicon Valley, and was the bank with the most deposits in the area. On Thursday, March 9th, SVB Silicon Valley Bank announced a liquidity crisis. The stock price of its parent company, SVB Financial Group, plummeted by 60%, causing a sell-off in bank stocks and a simultaneous decline in the three major U.S. stock indices. As news of the crisis spread, more and more institutional and high-net-worth clients rushed to withdraw their funds, causing a bank run that fueled panic and accelerated the bank's bankruptcy process. In short, the bank's collapse was due to a combination of factors: taking in deposits at low interest rates, investing heavily in mortgage-backed securities (MBS), facing short-term liquidity constraints, selling MBS at a loss to stop the bleeding, and triggering a panic. The SVB Silicon Valley Bank incident is directly related to the Federal Reserve's monetary policy and bank liquidity management. In response to the global pandemic in 2020, the Fed implemented unlimited quantitative easing (QE) and lowered interest rates to near 0%. Over the next two years, U.S. tech companies initiated a wave of share buybacks, and businesses took advantage of the low interest rates to raise large amounts of capital, which SVB absorbed in the form of deposits. The bank used a significant portion of these deposits to engage in relative value trades, primarily in various types of U.S. bonds. More than 65% of SVB's deposits were invested in MBS, which was normally a safe practice as long as the securities were held until maturity. However, the problem arose when SVB over-invested in MBS and the Fed began to shift towards raising interest rates. The Fed's aggressive interest rate hikes drastically changed the macroeconomic environment, pushing rates higher. Startups in Silicon Valley were no longer able to spend as lavishly, and there were more layoffs and closures. As interest rates rose, the interest paid to depositors also increased, putting pressure on the bank's short-term liquidity. SVB had to sell its MBS holdings to raise cash, but by this time, market rates had risen from 0% to nearly 5% for two-year yields, causing the value of assets to plummet. SVB sold $21 billion worth of assets at a loss of $1.8 billion. While SVB could have absorbed the loss of $1.8 billion, the bank still held more than $1 trillion in MBS, and a run on these securities could result in a loss of $15 billion, making SVB insolvent. Investors panicked in anticipation of this scenario. Event impact 1.SVB announces bankruptcy without warning. After panic spread, Silicon Valley Bank experienced a run on withdrawals of $420, causing an immediate liquidity crisis. The stock price of SVB Financial Group plummeted by 60% in a single day, crushing the management team's plan to sell stocks to save the company. The management team lost confidence and declared bankruptcy. Its stock price fell from $700 to $100 in just one year. 2.Chain reaction in stock and cryptocurrency markets. Investors fear that other banks may also be suffering from the negative impact of the Federal Reserve's aggressive interest rate hikes and high rates, similar to the SVB Silicon Valley Bank incident. The negative sentiment has spread to the US banking industry, which is a core asset of the US stock market. The sell-off of bank stocks is a drag on the US stock market as a whole. At the same time, concerns about financing and liquidity for large tech companies have surfaced. This event also affected the cryptocurrency market. It is difficult to say that there is no relationship between SVB Silicon Valley Bank and the cryptocurrency industry. Circle, the issuer of the stablecoin USDC, has announced that $3.3 billion in cash is deposited in Silicon Valley Bank, which accounts for approximately 8% of the USDC's $40 billion scale. For cryptocurrency companies that have not yet made an announcement, when will they collapse? Market reaction Currently, the SVB Silicon Valley Bank incident has mainly affected the US stock and cryptocurrency markets, with negative market sentiment. The general decline in US bank stocks dragged down the three major US stock indices, with particular attention paid to the Dow Jones Industrial Average. The Dow Jones has been in a four-month consolidation phase in the 32,500-34,500 range, with a possible "double top" formation. This event has become the most critical factor in the Dow Jones' downward breakthrough. "The longer the accumulation, the faster the release." Going forward, attention should be paid to the Dow Jones' oscillating downward trend, with a target pointing towards the key level of 30,000. Bitcoin prices fell below support at 22,000, but have since returned to above 20,000. In the short term, it is still necessary to closely monitor this support level. If the support is confirmed to be effective, the target will be 22,000. If the 20,000 support line is breached, it will return to a weak consolidation below 20,000, marking the end of the token's rebound. There is a possibility of further breaking through the new low of 18,000. As the largest bankruptcy case in the US financial industry since the 2008 financial crisis, this event is not yet sufficient to cause systemic risk in the US financial industry, but local risk developments need to be monitored. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDTPERP TVC:DJI
Short
by Ice_and_Fire1
1
Is a crash approaching?Hi, I had opened a short on the SP500 last night, all economic factors are pointing towards a recession whether it is interest rates, housing market, inflation or political leaders. This week the US 2 year treasury reached 5%, a level not seen since just before the financial crash. Waking up to the news of Silcon valley bank plummeting due to them announcing a share sale to help hold up their finances. This saw shares across the whole market drop, spooking investors. Shares in the four largest banks dropped more than $50 billion. I believe this could be the catalyst to start the next financial crash, I had already made some predictions on this a few months ago in September 22. SVB is also a big lender to the tech industry which has built up as the foundations of the current economy. Maybe I'm wrong - let me know your thoughts!
SP:SPXShort
by HBSPG
SVB Crashing and burning to $33 - Here's why SVB Financial group has had a major Inverse Cup and Handle forming over the last few years. Today it broke below the brim level and has confirmed strong downside to come. Price<200 - Bearish RSI<50 - Bearish Target $33 WHAT HAPPENED? Silicon Valley Bank's parent company, SVB Financial Group, saw a 60% drop in its shares after launching a $2.25 billion stock sale to recover from declining deposits from tech start-ups. They admitted to losing about $1.8 billion on the sale of securities, which led to a huge loss in their market capitalization. This event also caused other financial stocks to decrease in value, highlighting how rising interest rates can affect net interest income at other banks. On Thursday, the four largest US banks lost a total of $52.4 billion in market value.
SShort
by Timonrosso