Silver forecast - break it or make itWe have a bit different situation in Silver. The flagging formations on the monthly chart failed more compared to Gold. In fact, in 2012 there was a clear depreciation in this market – flagging formation that broke to the downside; tight consolidation followed by the final breakdown. Certainly, it is too early to jump into this market, but in the case, we see a breakup in this market, bulls could target the 38 – 40 range.
Overall a lot depends on the dynamic of key economic indicators. It’s worth noting that inflation is growing quite rapidly in China’s manufacturing sector, which many economists warn could translate to higher costs for a wide range of goods across the globe. If inflation worries spread on major markets, the precious metals sector will shine and deliver amazing returns for qualified traders.
SILJ
SILJ RECTANGLE PATTERNSILJ :
Are you bullish on Silver ?
Beautiful rectangle pattern on junior silver miners .
Traders could trade the top and bottom of the rectangle or wait for a break of USD 18.
Potential target of 22 if we break bullish. Then we could see 30 if Silver breaks past USD30-35.
Trade safe.
Alien metals in a very positive set upAlien metals (UFO) after an 8-month correction seems to be about to turn up again judging by:
- A momentum turning up
- A reverse head and shoulders pattern
- A price above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages
- A positive Ichimoku set up
Knowing that last year's up leg ended up with a multiplication by 30 of its price, before correcting, UFO could this time once again become a very profitable investment for anyone long junior silver miners.
Retesting its support before reaching new highsAlien Metals, which is a high beta play on silver, but also other base metals such as iron or copper, seems to be retesting its resistance after a 7-month consolidation.
Given the positive dynamic of precious and base metals, $UFO might reach new highs in the coming semester.
SILJ : RESET / POSITION TRADESILJ is likely to outperform the metal on the next leg higher
Now could be the perfect time to purchase silver mining shares on a scale-down basis before the next leg to the upside.
Silver mining shares tend to outperform the price of silver on the upside and underperform during price corrections. Therefore, they act as leveraged tools for the silver market. Most leveraged products involve time decay as they use put and call options to create the gearing. However, silver mining shares have no expiration dates. The leverage comes from the ability to extract more silver at higher production costs from the earth's crust as the price of the metal appreciates.
As we return to a more normal economy, we are going to face challenges. No one knows what is ahead. The 10 year note is beginning to indicate that there are some inflationary pressures. Rates have hit 175 as a recent high. The 10 year note is anticipating inflation. But interest rates cannot go up. In the 1970s, even though we had inflation, the debt was not that much of a problem and the US dollar had just come off the gold standard, so we could print a lot of money. Today, we are in a very different situation. We have massive debt of almost $30 trillion and the US dollar has lost most of its value. As the government prints more and more money, the dollar will continue to lose value, and gold and silver are becoming increasingly attractive investments.
REFERENCES :
EQUITY MANAGEMENT ACADEMY, 17 Apr 2021, SeekingAlpha
seekingalpha.com
ANDREW HECHT, 23 Mar 2021, SeekingAlpha
seekingalpha.com
Silver Silver, after a decade long fall, has entered a positive momentum and now offers a high risk-return trade-off.
Correcting the price of silver for the quantity of money, we can notice that, according to this measure, the last silver peak of 2011 would now be equal to roughly $100.
While this does not indicate whether silver should reach $100 over the medium term, it for sure highlights the potential of silver and silver miners.
SILJ - LONG!SILJ is currently moving in an ascending triangle. We believe a breakout is very close. Fundamentally, Silver is looking very strong so we believe the breakout will be to the upside (targets are shown in the chart). External factors are out of our control so if for some reason Silver starts breaking down, $13.50 would be the first large support. Other than that, we believe the odds are in our favor. Trade smart, stay safe. - HH
GOLD Barrick: Divergence-> left turn? -Divergence of RSI MACD STOCH against the general downward trend, similar to late 2018,
-lows holding, highs descending between 32%and50% RT
-similar to 2018, same as gdx
-ONE dirty dirty DIRTY heart crushing gap from the Spring rebound (not on chart)
I'm like NASCAR, left turns only please.
SILJ - Tentative Signs of LiftoffSILJ often charts the best of all the metals and miners. It now looks like we have confirmation that the low back on September 24 was THE low, and we have a i-ii setup in place and we’re in wave iii of a potentially huge rally to higher highs. Again, a break of the yellow downtrend line would be a warning sign that we’re not done on the downside. Otherwise, all systems are green.