SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-23 : Gap/Breakaway PatternToday's Pattern suggests the SPY will attempt to move higher in a potential Gap/Breakaway mode.
I read this as a potential for an opening price gap (likely higher) and trending upward throughout most of today.
I will point out that I believe the QQQ will not follow this same pattern. The expectation I drew earlier with my SPY Cycle Patterns suggests the QQQ will attempt to consolidate today - possibly moving slightly downward.
This can, and often does, happen when we get a divergence between the SPY & QQQ.
Gold & Silver appear to be moving into my expected Rally phase over the next 4+ trading days. I believe Gold and Silver will attempt to rally about 2.5% to 3.5% higher before reaching a peak near 10-29~10-30.
Bitcoin is consolidating in the Phase #4 Excess Phase peak pattern - just as I suggested. Watch for support to form near 65,600 or slightly higher. I believe this congestion phase will last until after November 2-4 - be aware.
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Silver
SILVER: Market Is Looking Down! Sell!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the downside. So we are locally bearish biased and the target for the short trade is 34.24632$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
silver to 35$ Rate Cut Expectations Hello Traders as I can see Silver Breaks Above $30.19 as Fed Rate Cuts Loom, Eyes $31.76 and $32.52 as Bullish Targets for the Week Ahead. Dollar Weakness and Gold Inflows Propel Silver Higher; Traders Await Fed's Upcoming Interest Rate Decision. Fed Rate Cut Expectations Soar: Markets See 57% Chance of 25-Basis-Point Cut, 43% Chance of a Bigger 50-Basis-Point Cut
is moving toward to 35$ range as we can see bull market continues on the base of FFR cut Expectations also technically chart is showing us that the descending Triangle breakout is a clear view to continue Rally till 35$. Silver prices surged last week, breaking above the $30.19 per ounce mark and confirming a bullish trend on the weekly charts. The rally brought key levels of $32.52and $35 into focus. Optimism that the U.S. Federal Reserve is preparing to cut interest rates, coupled with a weaker U.S. dollar and strong gold inflows, fueled silver’s upward move.
Dollar Weakness and Gold Inflows Drive Silver Higher. One of the key drivers of silver’s rise was the U.S. dollar’s continued decline, which hit its lowest level of the year against the yen. A weaker dollar typically boosts silver by making it cheaper for holders of other currencies. Additionally, global gold-backed exchange-traded funds (ETFs) saw continued inflows, with the SPDR Gold Trust reaching its highest levels since January. This increased demand for gold also lifted silver prices, as the two metals often move in tandem. Friends its just a trade idea make proper research before entering any trade Support the idea it will help many other traders Stay tuned for more updates ....
XAUUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade EOD Update : Rally ContinuationThis quick update related to my SPY/GOLD cycle patterns, and other research/predictions, is to help you plan and prepare for the pending rally phase in the markets.
Based on my research, the markets will likely pause a bit tomorrow, Wednesday, and move into a basing/bottoming phase - where price will attempt to develop support.
From that support, I see a fairly strong rally taking place on Thursday and lasting into late- Monday/mid-Tuesday next week.
As I have urged traders to stay cautious over the next 15+ days (elections and liquidity issues), this may be a great time to play the last rally phase before the 3-5 day pullback just before the US elections.
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SLV - Finally Catching Up With GoldPrecious metals continue to rocket higher and even as Central Banks around the world flock to gold and lighten up on US Dollar exposure, lagging far behind is silver that is still quite a ways from its all time high close to 50. Reverse head and shoulders formations show some possible targets in the 34-35 area but my best speculative bet is that SLV will hit its previous high, perhaps forming a mega cup and handle formation. For many silver enthusiasts, prices reaching $100-200 seems quite plausible. While it's always best to acquire the physical metal, as the ETFs erode value over time due to management fees, Silver is still cheap in my book. With the gold/silver ratio around 80 and falling, I expect silver to outperform gold going forward.
Dont Buy Silver Here; Watch Gold/Silver RatioSilver has been mostly sideways since 2021 and till 2024, when metal clearly formed a corrective price action because of choppy and overlapping moves. Ideally, that was a very big triangle that sent prices sharply higher this year as shown on weekly chart below. We have seen some nice turn up, due to inflation hedge, CB easing and geopolitical tensions. In fact, we can see some volatility in last few weeks with sharp move out of a big contracting range; its an impulsive reaction since price broke above $25, but notice that price now trades $34-37 area as expected; marked as potential resistance zone identified by swing highs from 2012, 2013, and Fibonacci levels.
The reason why we should be aware of a resistance on silver and also gold, is gold/silver ratio (XAUSD/XAGUSD ), which is pointing higher after an A-B-C corrective setback. Based on past correlations, bullish gold/silver ratio is usually bearish for metals, so if ratio start moving higher, then watch out for a limited upside on silver. From an Elliott wave perspective this push higher on XAUSD/XAGUSD chart would deffinitely not be a surprise because of bullish pattern.
If someone wants to join uptrends on gold and silver, then due to the reasons described above, it may not be a bad idea to wait on some pullback first. $30 can be an interesting levels in such case.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your trade For 10-22: Gap Reversal In Counter-TrendToday's Gap Reversal in Counter Trend mode should resolve as a moderate downward early price trend - possibly transitioning into a base/bottom and turning higher near the end of the trading day today.
Looking at the charts, it appears price is actually leading my SPY Cycle Patterns by about 12+ hours right now. Why?? I don't actually know why - but it appears price is anticipating the cycle patterns a bit early.
Given the heightened sense of concern related to the elections, price may be rolling through stages of liquidity and volatility with only about 15 days to go before the elections.
Either way, as I suggested, this week is going to be tough to trade with the markets moving into a pause phase ahead of the elections. Most traders are trying to position assets away from the markets or are planning on riding things out past the elections right now.
I continue to suggest traders scale back allocation levels this week and next because of the issues related to liquidity in the markets.
Look for the SPY/QQQ to attempt to find a base and try to melt upward near the end of trading today.
Gold & Silver should stay rather muted today.
Bitcoin is consolidating - just as I suggested.
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Is Silver About to Rewrite the Rules of the Global Financial GaIn a remarkable twist of market dynamics, silver – long overshadowed by its golden cousin – is positioning itself for what could be its most dramatic transformation in decades. Russia's unprecedented decision to add silver to its central bank reserves has sent shockwaves through the precious metals market, potentially signaling a fundamental shift in how central banks view this dual-purpose metal. This strategic move, combined with a staggering supply deficit of 663 million ounces projected through 2024, suggests we may be witnessing the early stages of a historic price realignment.
The numbers tell a compelling story: a 41% price surge year-to-date, pushing above $33.89 per ounce, with analysts projecting potential moves beyond $40 before year's end. Yet it's not just the price action that's turning heads. The convergence of industrial demand from emerging technologies, particularly in renewable energy and electronics, alongside traditional investment demand, has created a unique supply-demand imbalance. This structural deficit, coupled with major central banks' expected rate cuts in 2024, could catalyze a powerful upward price trajectory.
Perhaps most intriguing is the current gold-silver ratio of 81:1, sitting well above its historical average of 55:1. This disparity, viewed alongside Russia's groundbreaking policy shift, raises a provocative question: Are we witnessing the early signs of a new monetary paradigm where silver reclaims its historical role as a strategic reserve asset? For investors and market observers alike, the unfolding story of silver in 2024 may well represent one of the most compelling opportunities in the precious metals space – a narrative where industrial necessity meets monetary revolution.
SILVER: Local Correction Ahead! Buy!
Welcome to our daily SILVER prediction!
We made our analysis today using SMC and ICT trading theories, which, combined with our trading experience all point to the upside. So we are locally bullish biased and the target for the long trade is 34.63460$
Wish you good luck in trading to you all!
SILVER Rockets Beyond All Targets – 6,000 Points Secured!SILVER Futures (15m time frame), Long Trade
Entry: ₹92,508
Current Price: ₹98,451
All Targets Hit!
Key Levels:
Entry: ₹92,508 – Positioned after a clear bullish breakout from consolidation, following a strong uptrend.
Stop-Loss (SL): ₹91,769 – Placed below recent support to manage risk in case of a reversal.
Take Profit 1 (TP1): ₹93,420 – Already hit, confirming momentum continuation.
Take Profit 2 (TP2): ₹94,896 – Successfully reached, indicating a sustained buying interest.
Take Profit 3 (TP3): ₹96,373 – Achieved, reinforcing the trend strength.
Take Profit 4 (TP4): ₹97,285 – All targets met, signaling a powerful bullish surge.
Trend Analysis:
The price movement stayed well above the Risological Dotted Trendline, indicating strong bullish momentum. Each take profit level was hit, showcasing a clear uptrend without significant pullbacks.
The long entry capitalized on a breakout of consolidation with growing volumes. The continuation of higher highs confirms that buying pressure remains strong, allowing all targets to be comfortably reached.
With the current price significantly above all targets, the trade has yielded excellent returns.
XAG/USD Analysis: Silver Price Approaching $35XAG/USD Analysis: Silver Price Approaching $35
Precious metal prices are fluctuating near multi-year highs due to safe-haven demand driven by:
→ Uncertainty surrounding the U.S. elections,
→ Ongoing tensions in the Middle East,
→ Expectations of central banks lowering interest rates.
As seen on the XAG/USD chart, silver prices:
→ Are near their highest levels in 12 years,
→ Are approaching the $35 mark,
→ Have risen by over 43% since the start of the year.
Technical analysis of the XAG/USD chart indicates that silver is following an upward trend (shown in a blue channel), with the current price near its median line. This suggests a potential balance between supply and demand, which could stabilise price fluctuations.
Key observations:
→ A red resistance line on the chart reflects a corrective phase within the blue channel.
→ Breaking through this resistance in September triggered a strong bullish impulse (marked by a blue arrow).
→ This impulse was so robust that it pushed the price above the psychological $30 level, turning it into support.
A similar pattern might emerge in the future. After another strong bullish move (marked by a second blue arrow), the $32.5 level could also become a support area.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
SILVER Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 34.118.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 30.110 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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SILVER SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so SILVER is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 32.444.
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SILVER - Potential long trade !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on SILVER.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from trendline and LZ.
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XAUUSD Potential breakout to a new ATHXAUUSD has broken and closed above the downward channel, signaling a strong bullish trend. As the price approaches the all-time high (ATH) level, there is potential for a pullback as traders may take profits or reassess positions. However, with the current bullish momentum, the market is likely to continue moving higher, even if a slight pullback occurs. If the price does pull back, looking for rejection signs near key support levels could confirm further upside. The target is the resistance zone at 2698
SILVER (XAGUSD): The Next Historic Resistances
As a bull run continues on Silver,
here are the next historic resistances to focus on.
Resistance 1: 34.0 - 34.4 area
Resistance 2: 34.7 - 35.4 area
Resistance 3: 37.0 - 37.5 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 10-21: Gap Potential PatternToday's pattern suggests an opening price Gap is likely. Given the markets are trading slightly lower this morning, this Gap potential plays very well with my Roadmap trading outline from last week. I highlighted the need to sell out of positions last Friday and look to buy into the Gap Potential pattern today.
If the markets rally off this opening gap pattern, we could see a nice move in the SPY up to 587-588+.
Gold and Silver are rallying again. But be aware today is a TOP pattern for Gold/Silver. That means both Gold & Silver will attempt to identify resistance and move away (lower) from that resistance level.
Bitcoin looks to have moved into the Ultimate Peak level on an intermediate-term Excess Phase Peak pattern. Additionally, the deeper low sets up a longer-term Excess Phase Peak pattern that suggests Bitcoin has entered the Consolidation Phase (#3).
Because of this, I suspect Bitcoin will fall below the FWB:67K level and potentially move into broad consolidation for a minimum of at least 5-6 weeks.
These Consolidation phases in longer-term Excess Phase Peak patterns can be brutal for traders. The volatility of these consolidation phases can present real challenges and last about 50% of the time it took to Flag. Given this information, we may see many weeks of consolidation within a range in Bitcoin - possibly lasting into December 2024.
This will be a tough week for traders. Try to stay aware of the bigger picture and play the rotation headed into next week.
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