BRIEFING Week #5 : Still Patient...Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Silver
Weekly Market Forecast Feb 2-7thThis is an outlook for the week of Feb 2-7th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
ES \ S&P 500
NQ | NASDAQ 100
YM | Dow Jones 30
GC |Gold
SiI | Silver
PL | Platinum
HG | Copper
The indices were not easy to trade last week, as there were plenty of fundamentals at play. However, they are relatively still strong, and I am looking for further gains next week.
NFP week, imo, is best traded Mon-Wed. Thurs will likely see consolidation until the NFP news announcement Friday morning. I will look to fade the news release on Friday for NY Session.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
SILVER: Short Trading Opportunity
SILVER
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short SILVER
Entry Point - 31.324
Stop Loss - 31.671
Take Profit - 30.750
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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SILVER // bull trend in sync across major timeframesThe trend has just become bullish across the monthly, weekly, and daily timeframes, however, the market is still in an accumulation phase.
Each dashed level represents an untested breakdown that requires attention from the buyers.
If the market transitions into the expansion phase, the Fibonacci target levels on the weekly and daily timeframes become valid targets.
Key Fundamentals
Silver has experienced significant price movements, driven by industrial demand, supply constraints, and macroeconomic factors. As of late January 2025, silver is trading at $33.88 per ounce, reflecting a 3% decline after a two-week rally that pushed it to nearly 13-year highs. Despite the recent pullback, silver has surged 40% over the past year.
Key Factors
Industrial Demand:
Silver is widely used in solar panel manufacturing and electronics, with industrial demand reaching a record 654.4 million ounces in 2023, marking the third consecutive year where demand outpaced supply (Investopedia).
Supply Constraints:
Global silver supply has struggled due to weaker mine production and labor strikes in major producing countries like Mexico. These disruptions have contributed to a supply deficit, further supporting higher prices (Wall Street Journal).
Investment Demand:
Economic uncertainties and lower interest rates have driven investors toward precious metals as safe-haven assets. The iShares Silver Trust alone saw $856 million in inflows, reflecting rising investor interest (Wall Street Journal).
Macroeconomic Factors:
The Federal Reserve’s recent interest rate cuts have increased the appeal of non-yielding assets like silver. Meanwhile, China’s increased investment in silver, partly due to gold import restrictions, has further bolstered demand (Wall Street Journal).
Actionable Insights
Bullish Case:
Continued Industrial Demand: With ongoing growth in renewable energy and electronics, silver demand is expected to remain strong.
Supply Deficits: Ongoing production challenges could sustain upward price pressure.
Bearish Case:
Economic Recovery: If the global economy recovers faster than expected, investor preference may shift away from safe-haven assets, leading to a price decline.
Interest Rate Increases: If central banks reverse course and raise interest rates, the appeal of non-yielding assets like silver could diminish.
———
Orange lines represent impulse bases on major timeframes, signaling the direction and validity of the prevailing trend by acting as key levels where significant momentum originated.
Level colors:
Daily - blue
Weekly - purple
Monthly - magenta
H4 - aqua
Long trigger - green
Short trigger - red
Clean (not yet tested) breakdown - dashed green
Clean (not yet tested) breakout - dashed red
———
Stay grounded, stay present. 🏄🏼♂️
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SILVER SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
SILVER pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 6H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 30.534 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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XAGUSD: Channel Up has started new rally to 37.000Silver turned bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 59.696, MACD = 0.197, ADX = 24.838) as it has validated the start of the new bullish wave of the long term Channel Up. The price has been detached from the 1D MA50 and is approaching the December 12th high. The 1D RSI is expanding a rebound from a Double Bottom much like Silver's previous low on August 7th 2024. So far the Channel Up has had two bullish legs of 33.47% and 31.67% respectively. Assuming a slight rate of decline on each subsequent bullish wave, we anticipate the current to reach +29.15% and we are targeting a little under it (TP = 37.000).
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Plan Your Trade : Behind The Scenes - Learning PerspectiveI created this video to help answer a question from a follower.
One of the biggest concerns for traders is how to use my research/info in a way that benefits them.
My Plan Your Trade videos are based on Daily & Weekly price patterns/cycles. I won't delve into the Intraday research much because it is almost impossible to predict 2 to 10-minute price bars/action throughout the day when new hits and external price data may dramatically change how price moves throughout the day. I would have to continue making videos every 30 to 45 minutes to help you understand the dynamics of intraday price action.
Either way, watch this video to learn a bit more about my research and why I'm trying to help traders learn to make better decisions.
I'm really not here to tell you what to trade - or when to trade. I'm here to help you learn to make better trading decisions ON YOUR OWN.
I try to help you learn to become a more knowledgeable and skilled trader by sharing some of my advanced research and demonstrating patterns, setups, price levels, and Cycle Patterns.
The only thing I can do to help you become a better trader is to help you learn better skills and techniques. If you treat trading like gambling, you'll go broke (often). If you understand trading as a process of grabbing profits when efficient and limiting risks, you'll survive and grow your account over time.
It's really that simple.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Gold & Silver Go Ballistic: The Fed Collides with Trump!Well, well, well… look who’s breaking records like a rockstar smashing guitars. Gold just hit an all-time high, blasting past $2,795 per ounce like it’s got a rocket strapped to its back. 🚀💰 Meanwhile, silver? Oh, she’s not just tagging along—she’s on a mission, up 60 cents to $31.65 per ounce. 🎯⚡
But wait… this isn’t just your average bull run. There’s blood in the water, and the sharks are circling. 🦈💸
🔎 Behind the Scenes: The COMEX Panic
Turns out, Trump’s tariff threats have thrown institutional traders into full-blown “Oh Sh*t” mode. 🏃💨 They’re scrambling to move gold and silver into the U.S. before any new taxes hit, and it’s causing absolute chaos in the background. The COMEX is feeling the squeeze, and some traders? They can’t even source the metal to cover their bets—so they’re bailing out of positions before they get steamrolled. 🚨📉
And if you think silver is done partying, think again. An analyst at TD Commodities just threw gasoline on the fire, warning that the market is severely underpricing a potential EXPLOSION in silver prices. 🔥💥 With tariffs on Mexico & Canada looming, this thing could go vertical any second now. 📈🤯
💀 Meanwhile, in Trump Land…
The Orange Man himself is out here taking shots at the real villain (in his eyes)—the Federal Reserve. 🎯💀 In a classic Trumpian mic drop moment, he blamed the Fed for wrecking the economy with inflation:
👉 “If the Fed had spent less time on DEI, gender ideology, 'green' energy, and fake climate change, Inflation would never have been a problem.” - Trump, straight from Truth Social. 🔥🎤
Love him or hate him, one thing’s for sure—markets are feeling the heat. And if these tariffs go live, this gold & silver rally could turn into an absolute face-melter. 🏆🔥
📢 Stay locked in. This ride’s just getting started. 🚀💰
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For Jan 31 : GAP PotentialAs we move into the end of January 2025, I'm still watching for technical failure near these higher levels. On Monday, we saw a huge breakdown in the markets just days after my Jan 21-23 Top prediction. Now, as we are moving into the Feb 9-11 DeepV base/bottom pattern - I've been expecting the markets to move into a downward trending phase - which has not happened yet.
The way I see the markets right now and how I would offer a general interpretation of the trend is "struggling to find/set a new trend".
In other words, the markets are really congested in a wide range. I believe the markets will attempt to move downward after today's opening GAP higher.
I believe the markets are going to continue to struggle to find support and trade in a downward-sloping consolidated price range until Q3/Q4:2025.
I believe the markets are reacting to earnings and continued support right now, but that will ultimately resolve as a breakdown phase over the next 60+ days - leading to the multiple BASE/BOTTOM patterns my cycle research suggests will happen.
So, I continue to explain what I see in the context of the broader cycle phases.
Gold and Silver may rally a bit today - but we have a CRUSH pattern on Monday - so try not to carry any positions over the weekend.
BTCUSD is struggling to move away from very strong consolidation. It is also setting up multiple Excess Phase Peak patterns. I believe we need to be patient as BTCUSD struggles to find a new trend. Right now, I see more downside potential than upside potential.
I would offer one warning about today. Today's opening GAP will likely prompt a breakdown in price (moving downward) as we head into next week.
I believe next week will be very volatile. Buckle up.
Get Some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Silver Analysis by zForex Research TeamSilver Surges to $31.7 on Fed Speculation and Supply Deficit
Silver jumped past $31.7 per ounce on Thursday, a six-week high, as Fed policy speculation boosted demand for non-yielding assets.
The Silver Institute projected a fifth straight annual supply deficit despite higher output from China, Canada, and Chile.
Investors also assessed industrial demand, particularly from Chinese solar panel manufacturers, a key driver of silver consumption.
Technically, the first resistance level will be 32.00 level. In case of this level’s breach, the next levels to watch would be 32.50 and 32.90 consequently. On the downside 30.90 will be the first support level. 29.80 and 29.30 are the next levels to monitor if the first support level is breached.
Silver/Gold Ratio AnalysisOften you will see the Gold/Silver ratio chart get more analysis. However, I like to look at this one as I find it easier to spot the bottoms.
Rarely has silver traded at this level to gold. At .01, it means that it would take 100oz of silver to trade for 1 oz of gold.
Historically, this ratio has traded higher. With gold pushing up towards all time highs, and silver often lagging gold, the silver trade is on.
SILVER | The longest timeframe cup & handle in history!SILVER has been forming a cup-and-handle pattern for the past 45 years. And even though SILVER has made some incredible moves during that time, its price has been blatantly manipulated by the LBMA (London Bullion Market Association), central banks around the world, and a completely fraudulent derivatives market that circulates fake paper silver at hundreds of times greater than the underlying asset. Prices have been artificially suppressed for decades to prop up the global fake fiat currency Ponzi scheme and tighten the grip of control over nearly every asset and human being—making these fake currencies appear legitimate when they are clearly instruments of debt and deception.
This artificial suppression of SILVER and many other commodities is coming to an end as the debt-and-death paradigm unravels before our very eyes.
The day is rapidly approaching when SILVER will enter true price discovery, and people will not believe the price points it will reach in the very near future. Silver is one of the most—if not the most—undervalued physical assets of all time.
Good luck, and always use a stop-loss!
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade for 1-30 : Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the markets will attempt a minor rally in early trading, possibly targeting the 605 resistance level, then shift/rollover into a downward price trend (the TOP pattern) and being to move downward into the pre-DeepV low levels I've suggests (possibly near 585-588).
At that point, I suspect we'll get a few days of consolidation before we see the DeepV breakdown take place near Feb 11-13 (which may actually start on Friday the previous week).
Overall, I'm expecting the markets to roll into downward trending over the next 7 to 10+ days.
Gold and Silver are moving higher - which is great to see (finally). Maybe all Gold needed was to roll to the newer contract to finally break above the $2820 level. lol
Who knows.
This is the start of the BIG RALLY (Expansion Phase) in metals that should last almost all year. If my research is correct, Gold and Silver will reach a peak level near July-October 2025.
Bitcoin has moved into an inverted Excess Phase Peak pattern that may prompt a rally up to resistance near $108,450.
At this point, the inverted EPP pattern is in the consolidation phase and I'm watching for it to break above $105,500 (moving to the ultimate high), or below $100,270 (as an invalidation breakdown move).
The next 5+ trading days should be very interesting for everyone.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SILVER at Key Resistance: Correction Ahead?OANDA:XAGEUR is currently approaching a key resistance zone. The ongoing bullish momentum may face exhaustion as price reaches this area, making it a potential turning point.
If bearish confirmation appears, such as rejection candles or a bearish engulfing pattern, I anticipate a pullback targeting the 29.49615 level. This area represents a logical target within the current market structure, reflecting a possible short-term correction.
This setup aligns with the idea of trend exhaustion near resistance. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts!
Silver Prices Flat, Fed and US Tariffs in FocusSilver remained steady at around $30.40 per ounce on Wednesday as traders awaited the Fed’s policy decision. The central bank is expected to keep rates unchanged despite pressure from President Trump to lower borrowing costs.
Investors also assessed potential US tariffs, with Trump planning levies on Canada and Mexico by Saturday, while tariffs on China remain under consideration. Meanwhile, overcapacity in China’s solar panel industry may dampen silver demand.
Key resistance is at 31.00, with further levels at 31.80 and 32.50. Support stands at 29.85, followed by 28.80 and 28.50.
SHORT SILVER (XAGUSD) Based on Trend Exhaustion & Mean ReversionThe line-work pretty much spells it out ...
Not shown are the pitchforks that generated some of the trendlines. The Resistance/Support Channel is derived from the same. The AVWAP establishes the "horizontal" (i.e. "momentary) component of the range, while the diagonals establish the "arguably more reliable"trading range. The anchored Volume Profile lends further corroboration.
SILVER - Potential Short Setup at Key Resistance LevelOANDA:XAGUSD is currently testing a key resistance level, presenting a potential sell opportunity. If price fails to break above and holds below this resistance, a downward move towards 30.61800 could be expected.
A rejection at this level—confirmed by a bearish candlestick pattern or strong selling pressure—would strengthen the bearish outlook. Traders should watch for signs of failure to break resistance, which would support the short position. However, if the price breaks and closes above resistance, the bearish scenario would be invalidated, and the bias would shift to the upside.
This is not financial advice but rather how I approach support/resistance zones. Remember, always wait for confirmation, like a rejection candle or volume spike before jumping in.
Please boost this post, every like and comment drives me to bring you more ideas! I’d love to hear your perspective in the comments.
Best of luck , TrendDiva