SILVER Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 29.576.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 31.792 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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Silver
SILVER, very bullish outlookHello everyone,
I like to provide you a detailed elliot wave analysis on silver. In my opinion we are in the middle of a higher degree fifth wave. The elliot wave rules I use:
Standard:
- Wave 3 has to be the longest
- Wave 4 can not overlap with wave 1
Advanced:
- Target levels are 1,5 to 1,618 (wave 3) and 2.272 to 2.618 (wave 5)
- Wave 3 needs to show a change of character to wave 1 (usually steeper)
GOLD - Rockin' Higher (MACRO BULLISH!!!!)From a macro perspective, the bullish trend has just been confirmed. With the current worldwide uncertainty regarding monetary policies, the wars going on and the political conflicts people tend to swift towards safe havens like gold since their store of value does not deteriorate in an economic crisis, it's always on demand and easily convertible. History doesn’t repeat itself but it certainly rhymes.
We have two active Time at Mode weekly bullish trends.
First trend expires mid September with the highest target of $2,900.
Second trend expires in November with the highest target of $3,100.
Combining both short and longer term trends, we could easily expect price continuation toward $3,000's by the end of the year.
Silver Rebounds at Key Demand Zone: A Bullish ImpulseSilver recently rebounded from a significant Demand area around $28.48, marking the start of what appears to be a new bullish impulse. This recovery comes at a crucial moment, as market participants closely monitor the movements of precious metals amid fluctuating economic indicators and shifting sentiment in the broader market.
From a technical standpoint, the surge in Silver's price following this rebound is notable. The metal has managed to find strong support at this key level, suggesting that buyers are stepping in, possibly positioning for a sustained upward move. This aligns well with the latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which reveals interesting dynamics among the major players in the market.
The COT report, which tracks the positions of commercial and non-commercial traders, indicates a favorable environment for further bullish momentum in Silver. Non-commercial traders, often seen as speculators, seem to be gradually increasing their long positions, reflecting a growing confidence in Silver's potential upside. Meanwhile, commercial traders, who typically use futures contracts to hedge their positions, may be signaling the underlying strength in Silver by reducing their short positions.
Applying our Supply and Demand strategy, the recent price action further supports the case for a long continuation in Silver. The demand area around $28.48 has proven to be a robust support zone, and as Silver continues to build on this foundation, we anticipate the possibility of higher prices in the near term. The current market conditions, combined with the insights from the COT report, suggest that Silver may be poised for a strong rally.
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XAGUSD - Silver will reach 30$?!Silver is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its descending channel
If the upward movement continues and silver is placed within the specified supply Zone, we can look for silver sales situations
Correction of silver towards the specified trend line, which is also in the intersection with the demand zone, will provide us with a good buying position in terms of reward to risk
SILVER BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Previous week’s green candle means that for us the SILVER pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 27.919.
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Repositioning Silver to buy H4 19.08.2024 Repositioning Silver to buy
Silver has formed a pattern of repositioning to buy
and if the pullback is given, I will look for a buy at 1/2 margin 27.90 to continue the growth.
I am targeting the area of 30, and further I will clarify.
On options bounced off the option hedge area at 26.50
and the hedge up around 30 and 32 is filled.
The main OI has now moved to the new December contract,
so be careful with volumes, they have only just started to come in from last week.
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-19 : Gap Potential (Consolidation)This short video shows you why I believe the US markets will move into a consolidation phase over the next 5-7 days. This phase will likely represent moderate volatility with a Bozu Trending bar on Tuesday (8-20).
That Bozu Trending bar may be very explosive in price range.
Sit back, wait for the lows to setup over the next 5+ days and position your trades for the bigger Vortex rally phase setting up in about 7+ days.
If my research is correct, by 8-26 or so, we should be moving back into the Vortex Rally phase again.
Gold, Bitcoin, Silver, SPY, QQQ and others will likely consolidate this week unless there is big news.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Silver H4 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 29.14 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 29.60 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 28.09 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
BRIEFING Week #33: Market are bumpy, be cautiousHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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SILVER Will Go Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 29.041.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 27.071.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Silver H4 | Falling to 61.8% Fibonacci supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 27.24 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 26.20 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 28.54 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Gold Ripper Rally Set For 8-16 into 8-20 Targeting $2575-$2650Have you been following my research on GOLD?
This next move will likely be a very strong Ripper-Rally where Gold will break through the dual Flag Apex and move dramatically higher over the next 5-10+ days.
I will let this video tell you all you need to know.
Remember, watch my Gold Dual-Leg Rally video too.
I wonder what the "driver" of this rally in Gold will be?
US-Dollar?
Foreign Markets?
Some political or geo-political news?
Something will send Gold upward $75-$100+ over the next 5+ days.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SILVER BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
SILVER pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 27.619 area.
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Silver Short Idea for June Seasonal Outlook 🌦️
June has historically been a challenging month for silver. Seasonality analysis suggests that silver often experiences weakness during this period. Various factors, including market liquidity, investor behavior, and macroeconomic conditions, contribute to this trend. As we enter June, these seasonal patterns may play a significant role in influencing silver prices, potentially leading to a decline.
Commitment of Traders (COT) Index 📊
The COT index, which measures the positioning of different market participants, offers valuable insights into market sentiment. Currently, the 6 month COT index score for silver is at a bearish 3.8%, while the 3-year rolling COT index score is even lower at 2.3%. These figures indicate that smart money—typically the more informed and larger traders—are significantly short on silver. This bearish sentiment from smart money contrasts sharply with the retail traders, who are predominantly long on silver. This divergence often suggests a potential reversal or pullback in prices as the smart money tends to be on the right side of the market over time.
Technical Analysis 🔍
Despite the overall uptrend in silver prices, several key technical signals suggest a potential pullback is on the horizon:
Break of Structure: A higher time frame break of structure has been observed, indicating a potential shift in market dynamics.
Buy Side Liquidity Taken: Recent price action has taken out buy-side liquidity, potentially trapping retail traders who are long.
Imbalance Left Behind: An imbalance left on the H4 chart adds to the expectation of a corrective move.
Given these factors, a strategic short position could be advantageous. The proposed trading plan is as follows:
Entry: Sell at $31.24
Stop Loss: Above the recent H4 high after the imbalance
Take Profit: $26.80
This plan aims to capitalize on the expected pullback to a daily demand level before any new buyers step in.
Conclusion 🧩
In summary, the seasonal weakness in June, coupled with bearish signals from the COT index and technical indicators, supports the case for a short position in silver. While the overall trend remains up, the confluence of these factors suggests a pullback is likely. Traders should consider the outlined strategy to navigate the anticipated market movements.