BRIEFING Week #32: Stagflation May be InevitableHere's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
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Silver
Silver Price Forecast: Wave Five Targets $33According to Sabah Equity Research's analysis using Elliott Wave Theory 2.0, silver is poised for an upward trajectory. The recent market movements suggest that wave four's corrective phase has concluded, paving the way for wave five.
Elliott Wave Theory Overview
Elliott Wave Theory is a technical analysis framework used to forecast market trends by identifying recurring patterns in investor behavior. It suggests that markets move in repetitive cycles, consisting of five upward waves followed by three corrective waves.
Current Market Position
Sabah Equity Research indicates that silver has completed its wave four correction. This phase typically involves a sideways or downward movement, allowing the market to consolidate before resuming its upward trend.
Wave Five Projection
As wave five begins, investors should prepare for a potential rise in silver prices. The target is set at $33, driven by renewed investor interest and favorable market conditions. This wave is often characterized by strong momentum and increased buying pressure.
Investment Implications
For investors, this forecast suggests a promising opportunity to capitalize on silver's expected growth. Monitoring market indicators and maintaining a strategic approach could be key to maximizing returns during this phase.
To sum up, with wave four behind us, the path seems clear for silver to advance to $33 as it enters wave five. Investors should remain vigilant and consider adjusting their portfolios to align with this bullish outlook.
$SILVER will overperform $ETH ?In this #silver against #ethereum (XAG/ETH) chart, silver formed a bull flag against #ETH and also there' s a gap downside as seen on the chart. If this index make bullish breakout to upper red box, then i may expect some issues:
- ETH and #crypto may go into a corrective wave.
- Silver pumps, ETH just underperforms.
OR Whole markets' correction / dump.
If index goes to fill the gap: #ETH pumps.
Not financial advice.
Has silver turned the corner?Silver's bullish engulfing candle on Thursday may have marked the end of the corrective phase for the metal, potentially paving the way for a new bull trend.
On Thursday, XAGUSD found strong support from the area around $26.50, where it had taken off in May. It is essential that it now finds some follow-through on the upside.
An ideal scenario for the bulls today would be if we can close above resistance in the $27.60-$28.00 range, with a more significant level seen around $28.65.
Short-term support is seen around $27.26, marking Thursday's high. It is important that silver at the very least holds above this level heading into the close.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
Silver Could Be BottomingSilver has been slowing down for the last three months, but drop on 4h time frame is in three waves A-B-C, which indicates for a corrective decline within higher degree wave IV. It's now potentially finishing final subwave (5) of C at 26.50 - 26.00 strong and key support area. If we get sharp or five-wave impulsive recovery back above 29.22 first bullish evidence level, then it can easily send the price back to highs for wave V.
BTCUSD Will Rally In Multi-Leg Phase Targeting $104kMy longer-term research suggests BTCUSD will rally through multiple trending-flagging stages and attempt to reach the $104 area before the end of 2025.
My broader market research suggests a unique underlying market phenomenon is taking place, and a Vortex Rally will initiate throughout the end of 2024.
This Vortex Rally phase is a "decoupling" event between the US economy and other global economies. It will most likely be seen in Asian economies.
Because of this, I believe hedge assets will see a fantastic benefit over the next 16 to 48 months. Gold, Silver, and Bitcoin will all increase over the next 16+ months as global traders attempt to hedge against this Vortex Rally and weaker currency rates.
Of course, this move in Bitcoin will happen in stages (phases or legs). The price does not go straight up. It always moves through trending/flagging phases.
Get ready. Defending this $57k level is critical for the next move up to $70.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
Silver Price Finds Support Near 3-Month LowSilver Price Finds Support Near 3-Month Low
As shown on the XAG/USD chart, the price of silver is currently around $26.75 this week, marking the lowest level since early May.
In our analysis of silver on June 6, we noted:
→ Silver was underperforming gold—a bearish sign;
→ Other bearish indicators included a double top pattern near the $32 per ounce level.
Since the close on June 6, silver prices have dropped by more than 14%, with:
→ A bearish head-and-shoulders pattern forming above the psychological level of $30 per ounce;
→ The price breaking below the median line of an ascending channel (shown in blue);
→ The price establishing a downward channel (shown in purple), with the $29 level acting as resistance (indicated by an arrow).
One of the drivers of this decline has been recession fears in the U.S. economy, as commodity markets typically experience downward trends during recessions.
Could the bearish trend in silver continue?
While further declines can't be ruled out, technical analysis of the XAG/USD chart today suggests that silver is finding support at current levels:
→ Support is likely at the lower boundary of the blue channel;
→ The $26 per ounce level, which previously influenced significant price extremes, could also offer support.
Notably, yesterday's silver price dipped below Monday's low but is recovering today. This inability of the bears to extend the downward momentum suggests their pressure is weakening, and the bulls may be poised to take control.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis on Silver (XAGUSD) Looking to BuyShort Term Elliott Wave View in Silver (XAGUSD) suggests that pullback to 28.58 low ended a wave (A). The metal turned higher again in wave (B) ended at 31.75 high. The market resuming lower from wave (B) high breaking below 28.58 low to rule a larger correction. It means, Silver is developing a wave (C) of ((4)) as a zig zag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave (B), wave ((i)) ended at 28.65 and wave ((ii)) ended at 29.45. Wave ((iii)) lower ended at 27.40, and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 28.19. Wave ((v)) ended at 27.29 which completed wave 1. Pullback in wave 2 ended at 29.22 high and the metal resumed lower in wave 3.
Down from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 27.93 and wave ((ii)) ended at 28.67. Wave ((iii)) lower ended at 26.49, and pullback in wave ((iv)) built a triangle structure ended at 27.16. Currently, silver is trading in wave ((v)) of 3. We are calling for one more low to end the cycle. The ideal place to end this wave comes in 26.32 – 26.06 area, where buyers should appear to start wave 4 pullback. Near term, as far as pivot at 29.22 high stays intact, expect pullback as wave 4 to fail in 3, 7 or 11 swing for further downside in wave 5 of (C).
XAGUSD:Clear Bearish Pattern Signals Potential Short OpportunityHey Realistic Traders, let's dive into the technical analysis of OANDA:XAGUSD
XAGUSD has consistently moved below the EMA90 line, indicating a strong bearish trend. Historically, it also broke the Ascending Broadening Wedge (ABW) pattern, and more recently, it broke out of the symmetrical triangle. This second breakout strengthens the possibility of continued bearish movement. Additionally, the MACD has formed a bearish crossover, where the MACD line crosses below the signal line, suggesting potential downward momentum. These technical indicators support a potential downside movement to 26.02030 (Target 1) and 25.44300 (Target 2).
It is essential to note that the analysis will no longer hold validity once the target/resistance area is reached.
Disclaimer: "Please note that this analysis is solely for educational purposes and should not be considered a recommendation to take a long or short position on XAGUSD."
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GOLD Plan Your Trade For 8-7 : Huge Dual-Leg Rally Setup $2550+Gold is setting up a unique dual-leg rally phase, and traders need to be aware of this before the move is complete.
The recent panic setoff by the BOJ unsettled the markets - including Gold.
The Yen Carry-trade unwound over the past 5+ days - resulting in a very consolidated downward price trend in Gold.
I believe Gold is about to make two very big moves to the upside.
The first move will be quick. Probably lasting only 2 or 3 days.
The second move may be a bit longer, but it has the ability to rally well above $2550 as Gold reverts higher.
Please pay attention to this video if you follow Gold. Gold as a hedge is one thing. This move is related to the reversion pressure and the protection of currency devaluation after the past 3+ weeks of global decoupling.
I believe this next rally in gold will be explosive (min upside target $2550 or higher).
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
07.08.2024 - GBE Marktcheck - DAX, S&P 500, Nvidia, Silber Herzlich Willkommen zu einem neuen GBE Marktcheck mit dem langjährigen Trading- und Charttechnik Experten John Gossen. In diesem Video werden folgende Basiswerte anhand der aktuellen charttechnischen Situation besprochen und unter anderem potenzielle Trading-Strategien aufgezeigt:
- DAX Erholung Richtung 17.700 Punkte?
- S&P 500 deutlich überverkauft!
- Nvidia zieht an!
- Silber mit Long Chance?
Wir wünschen Ihnen einen erfolgreichen Handelstag!
Disclaimer:
CFDs sind komplexe Instrumente und bergen ein hohes Risiko, Gelder schnell durch Hebelwirkung zu verlieren. 78.68% der Privatanleger-Konten verlieren Gelder, wenn Sie CFDs mit diesem Anbieter handeln. Sie sollten überlegen, ob Sie verstehen, wie CFDs funktionieren und ob Sie es sich leisten können, das Risiko einzugehen, Ihr Geld zu verlieren.
Developing Success With PineScript : Building Trigger MechanismsIn my ongoing quest to build better tools for traders, I continue to develop new quantitative trigger logic to improve the working versions I have already created.
Trigger logic is complicated for most people because they fail to take the time to "focus on failure."
Everyone builds trading systems focused on where the triggers work perfectly (trust me - I've seen/built a few hundred of them).
But the most important thing to focus on is where it fails to generate a decent trigger and how you are going to filter it out or protect capital when that failed trigger hits.
In this example, I highlight my new "Gun-Slinger" triggers and how my continued development is creating more advanced trading tools for skilled traders.
I hope you enjoy it.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
SILVER: Bulls Will Push Higher
It is essential that we apply multitimeframe technical analysis and there is no better example of why that is the case than the current SILVER chart which, if analyzed properly, clearly points in the upward direction.
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SILVER Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for SILVER.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 26.933.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 24.948 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
SILVER LONG FROM SUPPORT
Hello, Friends!
SILVER is trending up which is obvious from the green colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally plunged into the oversold territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB lower band. Which presents a great trend following opportunity for a long trade from the support line below towards the supply level of 29.152.
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SILVER BUY OVERVIEWHere's the beauty of closing out partial profits & sticking to your rules in trading. We originally closed out 50% of our position at £18,000 profit, followed by the remaining 50% at £17,600 profit, as I kept an eye on price action & noticed price would likely start dropping now.
We made 0 losses & enormous profits off our Silver buy analysis, which was called live for you all🦾
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade 8-5 : The Shot Across The Bow.Watch this video.
I'm going to try to keep this short and sweet.
I've gotten a lot of comments about how my SPY Cycle Patterns have NOT been working out over the past 10+ days and I want to address that.
The SPY Cycle Patterns are built on Gann & Fibonacci price structures/patterns. They reflect "Normal market psychology" and attempt to provide a guide as to what to expect within normal market rotation/trends.
Nothing has been "normal" over the past 3+ weeks.
It all started when Biden dropped out of the race for POTUS. Then, the real shot across the bow was the Bank Of Japan warning the rest of the world "hey, you may need to start aggressively defending your currencies against devaluation risks".
If you really understand what that means, you'll understand the panic process that is playing out right now.
But, I urge all of you to think about "what changed over the past 3 weeks". That is the question I keep asking myself.
What changed is uncertainty (the Kamala-Crush) and the BOJ signaling foreign markets to prepare to defend the value of your currency against the US-Dollar.
And I believe the panic-mode will subside very quickly as global asset prices drop. Falling prices mean stocks move into undervalued price territory. That also means smart traders BUY INTO this weakness for the longer-term ROI potential.
Get some.
#trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold