XAGUSD - Long Trade IdeaHello all,
I have a long trade possibility forming on XAGUSD.
Basically, my draw on price is the Relative Equal Highs residing above. My POI for taking a trade is where the BISI 2D is. Since we have a SIBI 2D, we should see lower prices to this POI. If price does not reach my POI before trading higher, I would like to see a clean 2D close above the SIBI 2D. Preferably I see price start to halt and create a consolidation at my POI. What I DON'T want to see if price blast right through it and have a 2D candle close below the BISI.
Silver is lagging behind Gold, so I am using that to back up my bias. Based on my proprietary analysis, price SHOULD go to the current target, if not at my POI, then still soon. Of course, we make allowance for wicks, and I will still hold my POI valid should any 2D candle not close below the BISD 2D and no other SIBI 2D be created, at least without an instant rejection through it in the next 2D candle.
Overall, simple and clean by the looks of it. We can always go to the lower timeframes to refine the narrative and frame some trades.
Have a good weekend!
- R2F
Silver
Silver at the top of a channel?Silver has been trading traditional fib longs and and extensions in this big bull runup. However, we are very overextended, trading well in excess of big support over the past two days. We are also at a potential top in terms of it trend channel. The risk of a decline in silver is significant, and unlike gold which gives you a clue on the fifteen minutes charts, silver could simply start falling and keep going. Given the lack of bull fib support, I think this is a good spot to take profit and enter a small short position. There is a good chance that we begin the down leg of silver here.
SILVER - near supporting area? holding or not ??#SILVER.. it was perfect move as per our expectations, and now market near to his weekly supporting area,
that is 31.10 to 31.15 around, keep close that area because it will play key role for next move to any side.
dont be lazy here guys,
good luck
trade wisely
BRIEFING Week #20 : Pay the Price, Receive the Value !Here's your weekly update ! Brought to you each weekend with years of track-record history..
Don't forget to hit the like/follow button if you feel like this post deserves it ;)
That's the best way to support me and help pushing this content to other users.
Kindly,
Phil
SILVER (XAGUSD): Massive Breakout 🪙
Silver went up rapidly on Friday,
violating a massive psychological resistance cluster.
With a high probability, the broken structure turned into support.
The market has a nice potential to go higher after a pullback.
Next resistance - 34.0
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Silver H4 | Approaching pullback supportSilver (XAG/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 31.34 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 30.35 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 32.50 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Strifor || GBPUSD-US CPIPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: The British currency is also expected to boost amid the publication of US CPI data . This is the most likely scenario and is indicated on the chart as scenario №1 . Login is expected just before the data is published. One can especially consider buy-position through pending orders if the price immediately falls to 1.25396 . Near this level, one can accumulate a buy-position with a target at the level of 1.27000 (scenario №2).
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
Thank you for like and share your views!
Strifor || USDCAD-16/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: All of our previous trading ideas against the US dollar are currently fixed at take profit, however, we continue to adhere to the short-term priority of selling the US currency. At the moment, the USDCAD currency pair is one of the most promising for a short trade, since there is the fact of a rollback and, accordingly, a large distance for potential profit.
The best and most likely scenario is to consider selling at the highest current prices (scenario №1). In addition, within the framework of scenario №2 , you can consider entering from the level of 1.36557 . The target of the fall is still the same level of 1.36000.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
Thank you for like and share your views!
Strifor || SILVER-17/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: The previous long trade in silver was successfully closed at take profit, but we continue to actively adhere to short-term buy priority. Current prices are perfect for this and one can safely consider purchases with a goal of at least level 31 (scenario №1).
In the event of a sharp change in market sentiment, one can consider entering a long position as part of a re-test of the level 29.77800 (scenario №2).
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
Thank you for like and share your views!
ARTGPosting an updated idea for Artemis Gold here with my most recent price targets of 5.50, 6.50 and 8.50 but i think it will go higher than that . The ascending triangle / accumulation pattern looks ready to break out, the fundamentals are solid as they secure permits for mine production most recently from the fisheries branch . ARTG has over 62 million ounces of proven silver reserves and possibly over 100 mil and is one of my top picks for appreciation in this silver bull market . Watching this one closely .
www.artemisgoldinc.com
SILVER (SILN2024, XAGUSD)... BULLISH BIAS!Bias is Bullish.
The reaction to news and world
events was enough where there
was no need for the +FVG to be
mitigated before the rally.
Lots of momentum in that move.
All HTFs are bullish.
Although we selll above highs as
a general rule
Expectations are for the DOL to
be reached over the next week
or so, as price grinds higher.
For buyers, wait for pullbacks into
+FVGs on LTFs. Buying at the top of
a rally is risky bisky.
Thank you for viewing!
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
May profits be upon you.
Is gold or silver the trade to make this week? This week's trade could be a decision between gold and silver.
The former might be swayed by the seven fed officials that are planned to speak this week, while the latter could be influenced by the #SilverSqueeze movement that is tangentially related to the meme stock frenzy that reignited last week.
Gold Technical
Gold (XAU/USD) prices rose at the end of the week but did not quite test the all-time high around $2,431.
Gold is trading well above the 20 Simple Moving Average (SMA), with the 100 and 200 SMAs maintaining bullish slopes much below it. Renewed buying pressure beyond $2,413 might push prices above the $2,420 mark.
Silver Technical
Silver (XAG/USD) is nearing the multi-year high at $31.40. A significant break at the end of the week saw Friday's sharp rise validate the break above the multi-year trendline. The challenge for the coming week is whether silver can maintain this bullish momentum despite entering overbought territory. The frenzy we saw in meme stocks might be dampening down too, with 2 days of declines following the surge. But it might be premature to count anything out yet.
The 14-period Relative Strength Index (RSI) is in the range of 70.00, possibly suggesting bullish momentum. The next resistance level is $31.50 from May 2011. In this fundamentally detached market, the next support could lie all the way back at where the metal was trading before the surge.
Weekly Forex Forecast: May 20-25th Part 2This 2 part video covers...
- USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY
- S&P500, NASDAQ, GOLD, SILVER, CRUDE OIL
Thank you for viewing!
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
May profits be upon you.
SILVER Massive Bullish Breakout! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SILVER keeps growing
And it made a massive
Bullish breakout of the
Key horizontal level
Of 30.00$ and the
Breakout is confirmed
So we will be expecting
A further bullish continuation
Buy!
Like, comment and subscribe to help us grow!
Check out other forecasts below too!
SILVER - The Perfect Impulsive WaveSilver is showing us a perfect impulsive wave in accordance to Elliott Wave Theory.
The basic principle of an impulse wave is as follows:
Impulse waves = 5 waves
Wave 1 - is made up of 5 subwaves (impulse)
Wave 2 - Is a corrective wave made up of 3 waves (correction)
Wave 3 - is another impulse wave made up of 5 subwaves (impulse)
Wave 4 - is a corrective wave made up of 3 waves (correction)
Wave 5 - Can be either an impulse or a correction - But its made up of 5 waves
We are looking for wave 4 now, which is a correction. Anticipating price to come down to the buy zone. The closer we get to the invalidation level, the better as we don't expect price to break below it.
Trade Idea:
- Watch for wave 4 correction to form. This wave can be traded. Look for reversal signs on lower timeframe
- Once we're in buy zone, watch for bullish price action and reversal patterns
- Once entered, stops go below invalidation level
- Targets: 32, 34.5, taper
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
A Traders’ Week Ahead Playbook • Key event risks for the week ahead.
• Nvidia’s Q125 earnings, a key driver of equity markets this week.
• Fed speakers could move markets – Powell, Waller, and Jefferson in the spotlight.
• US equity markets at all-time highs – fatigued, but well-supported.
• Copper, gold, platinum, and silver are all on fire.
The key event risks for traders this week
We look ahead and eye the key event risk, where I would be paying particular attention to earnings from Nvidia, and speeches from Fed members Waller (he speaks 3 times this week), Jefferson and Chair Powell. We get UK, and Canadian CPI, and will keep a beady eye on the narrative out from the RBNZ meeting, which will keep rates hold but guide on the future direction of rates. We also get manufacturing and services PMIs in the US, UK, Australia, and Europe.
UK CPI (due Wed at 16:00 AEST) could get the GBP moving – in either direction – with UK swaps market pricing a near 60% probability of a 25bp cut in the 20 June BoE meeting, and 55bp of cuts by December, and with core CPI expected to fall to 3.6% y/y (from 4.2%) and headline CPI eyed at 2.1% y/y, a lower-than-forecast CPI print could cement a June cut in the market eyes. For those wanting to trade GBP downside, short GBPNZD was the play last week, although, with the RBNZ meeting due on Wednesday, an extension of this trade has risk.
Nvidia should beat but by how much?
Q125 earnings from Nvidia could get the AI-related semis and the NAS100 firing up (or lower), and even set off moves across other markets too. When the options market prices an 8.6% move on the day of earnings, if this implied move proves to be correct, that’s a staggering $195b in market cap gained or lost in a likely 60-minute window. It would also equate to a -/+0.5% move in S&P500 futures in the after-hours session.
We know Nvidia will likely beat the sell-side (investment banks) consensus estimates for revenue, EPS, and gross margins - they always do - but it’s the extent of the beat that matters. Q125 sales are eyed at $24.61b, with Q225 sales guidance expected to come in around $26.72b – one suspects they’ll need to hit us with sales of GETTEX:26B + for Q125 sales and GETTEX:29B for Q225 sales respectively, with CEO Jensen Huang with inspiring guidance to get this pumping like we saw in February.
Fed speakers to watch out for
The message last week from the Fed was one of patience and this message is likely what we’ll hear from Fed speakers this week as well. Chair Powell, Fed board member Waller and Vice-chair Jefferson will be the central focus here, and their views on inflation and policy could move markets, although broadly, markets feel comfortable with the current pricing of 43bp of cuts priced by December, and we see US 2yr Treasuries holding a range of 4.89% to 4.70%.
Last week’s US CPI was encouraging and while this week’s US PMI data could move the dial, notably, if the services print were to surprise and pull below 50 (consensus is at 51.4) it could lift volatility and promote USD sellers. That said, it feels like the market is looking forward to the nonfarm payrolls print on 7 June as the next big piece of the macro jigsaw.
US data has been missing the mark on a consistent basis since mid-April and that has led some to say the US economy is moving towards a ‘soft landing’ environment and away from a ‘no landing’ dynamic. Add in solid earnings beats and growth, a renewed belief in the ‘Fed put’ and a world with a huge appetite to sell volatility (the VIX now sits at a lowly 11.99%) - and we have the S&P500, Dow and NAS100 at all-time highs.
This is a tough market for those in short positions for more than an intraday day trade, and those positioned for downside would be hoping that Nvidia disappoints in a big way. Nvidia are not a company I would typically bet against, so even though the various US indices look tired, the platform is set for further highs and pullbacks should be shallow.
This is true of the HK50/CHINAH indices too, which have had another incredible week of gains. Data in China is lacking this week, so we are fully at the mercy of liquidity and flows. 20k is the near-term target for the HK50 index, but I would consider switching some of HK50 exposure towards the mainland equity markets and the CN50 index, which has broken out and outperformed HK equity on Friday.
We’ll see if some of the goodwill towards China can spill over into the ASX200, which saw supply above 7850 last week – should the ASX200 kick through 7860 early I would be looking for a re-test of Thursday’s highs (7900) and even new all-time highs above 7910.
Copper on fire
The action continues to be in the metals complex – the space is red hot. Copper closed 4.1% higher on Friday, taking the gains for the week to 8.3%, and for the trend-followers and momentum traders, the daily chart is a thing of beauty. Many know the story on reduced copper supply, and those highly focused on the copper scene would be aware of the massive short covering seen in CME futures positioning since mid-February (-42k contracts to stand at +72k) and the widening premium of CME copper to LME copper to $1041 - but the move in copper is momentum 101 and discretionary and systematic players have had to chase.
For FX traders, this move in copper remains a huge tailwind for the CLP (Chilean peso), where USDCLP has fallen 9.4% since mid-April.
Market players chasing silver, platinum and gold
The chase higher from various market players is also true in silver, which had its best week since August 2020, helped by a monster move of 6.5% on Friday, which took price through to the best levels since Feb 2013. Platinum has participated with an 8.8% weekly gain, while gold closed at a new closing high, and eyes the all-time intraday high of $2431.52 – a weekly close above here this week and the FOMO chase could be real.
The question of exactly what is driving the gold move above $2400 is one we hear frequently. The fact we saw US real rates (i.e. US bonds adjusted for expected inflation) rise 3bp higher on Friday – typically a headwind for gold - yet gold rallied 1.6% details that there are other factors than rates driving gold flows – these include a broad base rally in metals, central bank buying, increasing Chinese gold holdings (relative to its international reserves), a hedge against ballooning government deficits; it’s all there and it seems we always have to pick a reasoning behind a move after the fact.
I have little idea how anyone trades gold short-term from a purely fundamental standpoint. My view is to be a slave to price action, react, align with the short-term trend, and cut quickly when the move goes against you.
Anyhow, another big week of market themes and risk to have on the radar.
Good luck to all.
5-Year SPX500 Expectations - Greatest Opportunity Of Your LifeWould you believe me if I told you the US & global markets (some) will rally more than 65% to 125% (or more) over the next 4 to 5+ years?
You would probably call me crazy for even suggesting that will happen in a reasonably short time frame.
But, what if I could show you how structurally (using Elliot Wave concepts and Fibonacci) this incredible rally may already be baked into the markets?
What if I could show you that, barring any major economic destruction event, the US Fed and Global Central banks may have unleashed the inflation beast - which could lead to massive Hyperinflation over the next 5+ years?
Would you be prepared for it? Would you even believe me if I could show you evidence that it may happen much quicker than you can imagine?
And would you believe me if I told you Gold/Silver will rally more than 500% over the next 5+ years while attempting to hedge global debt/inflation risks?
Now is the time to prepare for the greatest opportunity of your life. You must understand the structural mechanics of price related to the current global market dynamics.
Please boost and share this video with your friends. Everyone needs to be aware of what is likely to happen over the next 5+ years so they can prepare for and profit from these exceptional price trends.
XAGUSD. Weekly trading levels 13 - 17.05.2024We continue the experiment with a wider range of zones. Let's see if we can guess the places to search for deals for the week ahead.
During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a trade is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. The next morning I adjust the levels based on the new data and publish a new post.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
----------------------------------------------
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from CME. Used as areas of interest for trade. When approaching a level, a “reaction” is expected, which can be traded for both a rebound and a breakout. The worst option is if we revolve around the level in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to enter into a continuation of the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
Don’t forget to like Rocket, Comments and Subscribe!!!
Silver Miners vs Silver SpotThis might be the explosion that will kickstart the silver stocks. This chart is showing a possible W formation that's about to break out... as well as the 25 weekly crossing the 52 weekly, which is usually pretty significant. Lastly, if it can break above the ichimoku cloud, then this ride might take off.
Silver: Potential Double Top Formation Signaling a DowntrendI'm observing a potential double top forming in the silver market at the 29.85 level. This pattern is typically a bearish reversal signal, indicating that silver might be poised for a downward move.
Trade Details:
Pattern: Double top at 29.85
Potential Target: 24.12
Technical Analysis:
Double Top Formation (29.85): The price action (PA) shows that silver has tested the 29.85 resistance level twice, failing to break above it. This creates a double top pattern, a common reversal signal in technical analysis.
Neckline and Confirmation: The neckline of this double top pattern is around the 26.50 level. A decisive break below this neckline would confirm the pattern and likely accelerate the bearish momentum.
Target Projection (24.12): Based on the height of the double top pattern (from the peak at 29.85 to the neckline around 26.50), we project a potential target at 24.12. This level aligns with previous support zones, making it a logical target for the downward move.
Supporting Factors:
Bearish Divergence: Potential bearish divergence on the RSI/MACD indicators could add strength to the bearish case if observed.
Market Sentiment: Current market conditions and sentiment could influence the extent of the move. If the broader market turns risk-off, it could further pressure silver prices.
Fundamental Analysis: Monitor economic indicators, particularly inflation data and Federal Reserve policies, as they can impact precious metals significantly.